Backtesting Research
Semantic catalog, strategy evidence, and family research pages.
Open the cross-page Research Strategy Index for normalized daily and weekly results, split metrics, and examples.
Atoms636
Strategies2,134
Families103
Stage 5 Runs1,361
Research Pages17
Family Research Pages
These pages inspect Stage 3 trade ledgers and survival studies. They are joined from the catalog export.
| Page | Kind | Families | Holdout | Rows |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broad Breakout Ridge Geometry Audit | geometry audit | broad_breakout_hazard | 2023-2024 validation displayed | - |
| Classic-Quiet Maturation Audit | model audit | classic_quiet_maturation | 2023-2024 frozen walk-forward tests displayed | - |
| Weekly Support Pullbacks | trade ledger | confluence, ema20, sma33 | 2023-2024 holdout evaluated | 26,581 |
| G4.3 Rounded Historical Entries | trade ledger | pib5_g4_3_abo | 2025 holdout closed | 488 |
| Rounded BO Historical Entries | trade ledger | pib5_g4_3_bo_rounded | 2025 holdout closed | 1,485 |
| Promoted Daily Trendline Entries | trade ledger | daily_trendline_context_entry, daily_trendline_pullback, daily_trendline_management | 2025 holdout closed | 3,655 |
| Weekly Fusion Entries | trade ledger | weekly_midline_fusion_provisional, weekly_midline_fusion_pullback | 2025 holdout closed | 1,885 |
| Daily Trendline Survival | survival | daily_trendline_pullback, daily_trendline_context_entry, daily_trendline_management | 2025 holdout closed | 11,332 |
| Fib BOS + BX | trade ledger | fib_bos_bx | - | 789 |
| Fib Zone-Density Entries | trade ledger | fib_bos_bx | 2024-2025 follow-up displayed | 1,728 |
| Weekly Fib Zone-Density Entries | trade ledger | fib_bos_bx | 2024-2025 follow-up displayed | 1,075 |
| Oversold Collapse MA Recovery | trade ledger | oversold_wedge_pocket | 2024-2025 validation displayed | 6,564 |
| VCP Breakout and Anticipatory Entries | trade ledger | vcp_distinct_base_management, vcp_anticipatory_stage3 | 2024-2025 confirmation displayed | 5,848 |
| Gap-Day AVWAP Support Bounce | trade ledger | gap_day_avwap_support_bounce | 2024 management confirmation displayed | 1,203 |
| Gap-Day Geometry Audit | geometry audit | gap_day_avwap_reclaim | 2025 holdout closed | 779 |
| RS Lead-Gap Entries | trade ledger | rs_lead_gap_entry | 2023-2024 validation displayed | 1,007 |
| EMA Key-Level Confirmed Retests | trade ledger | ema_key_level_confirmation_management | 2024-2025 holdout evaluated | 383 |
Family Triage
| Family | Stage | Evidence | Best Edge | Max Signals | Research | Next Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vcp_distinct_base_management | stage3 | strong research edge | 15.0% | 1,693 | VCP Breakout and Anticipatory Entries | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| gap_day_avwap_management_ablation | stage3 | promising | 8.0% | 74 | - | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| ema_key_level_retest_context | stage3 | strong research edge | 5.2% | 2,646 | - | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| vcp_distinct_base_stage3 | stage3 | strong research edge | 5.2% | 78,946 | - | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| classic_quiet_maturation_followups | stage3 | promising | 4.4% | 1,554 | - | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| gap_day_avwap_support_bounce | stage3 | promising | 2.8% | 271 | Gap-Day AVWAP Support Bounce | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| rs_lead_gap_entry | stage3 | promising | 2.8% | 614 | RS Lead-Gap Entries | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| pib5_g4_3_bo_rounded | stage3 | promising | 2.6% | 1,723 | Rounded BO Historical Entries | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| pvwap33_touch | stage3 | promising | 2.1% | 660 | - | Promote best variants to Stage 5 |
| broad_breakout_ridge_quiet5d | stage3 | weak or sparse | 1.8% | 860 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| oversold_wedge_pocket | stage3 | weak or sparse | 1.4% | 2,475 | Oversold Collapse MA Recovery | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| pib5_g4_3_abo | stage3 | weak or sparse | 1.1% | 129 | G4.3 Rounded Historical Entries | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| classic_quiet_maturation | stage3 | weak or sparse | 1.0% | 1,032 | Classic-Quiet Maturation Audit | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3b_matrix | stage3 | weak or sparse | 1.0% | 3,949 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| confluence | stage3 | weak or sparse | 0.4% | 3,382 | Weekly Support Pullbacks | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3b_stop_sweep | stage3 | weak or sparse | 0.2% | 3,938 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| ema20 | stage3 | weak or sparse | 0.1% | 1,891 | Weekly Support Pullbacks | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3b | stage3 | weak or sparse | 0.1% | 3,938 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| rs_post_arm_entry | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.1% | 2,216 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3b_stop_horizon_matrix | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.1% | 3,957 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| triangle_anticipatory | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.1% | 4,546 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| triangle_breakout | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.2% | 10,645 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3_tripos | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.3% | 1,465 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| sma33 | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.4% | 1,238 | Weekly Support Pullbacks | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| broad_breakout_ridge_entry_window | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.6% | 1,057 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| broad_breakout_ridge | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.7% | 1,376 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| broad_breakout_ridge_armed_entry | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.8% | 1,074 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| oversold_wedge_pocket_management | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.9% | 2,132 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3b_horizon_refine | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.9% | 3,930 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |
| stage3b_support | stage3 | weak or sparse | -0.9% | 3,938 | - | Retire, regroup, or require more signals |