Backtest UI

Stage 5 Comparison

Compare portfolio runs by risk-adjusted evidence. Promotion remains an explicit, versioned decision.

1361 runs
StatusStrategy / runSplitTotal returnCAGRSPY CAGRExcess CAGRMax DDSPY DDCalmarSharpeSortinoProfit factorExpectancy (R)PayoffHitTradesAvg holdAvg winAvg lossEntry funnelFill / qualifiedCost-basis capCostsTurnover
eligibleTHT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025
locked_holdout_202574.7%75.3%18.1%57.2%12.7%18.8%5.922.184.055.251.914.2755.1%10738d43.4%6.7%55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,484 → 107
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects
3.0%10.0%$19712.1×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout80.8%81.5%18.1%63.4%17.1%18.8%4.762.304.145.242.175.4748.9%4537d108.9%12.8%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 45
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1047.0×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout79.3%80.0%18.1%61.9%18.5%18.8%4.332.103.452.721.003.7741.9%9333d66.3%10.6%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.9%10.0%$24417.7×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout78.6%79.3%18.1%61.1%23.3%18.8%3.402.033.402.761.094.5237.9%9534d66.2%10.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 95
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.0%10.0%$25017.0×
eligibleTHT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025
locked_holdout_202552.9%53.3%18.1%35.2%15.9%18.8%3.352.253.693.241.052.8952.8%10632d29.2%7.7%55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,484 → 106
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects
3.0%15.0%$20212.7×
eligibleTHT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025
holdout70.0%70.6%18.1%52.4%21.5%18.8%3.282.033.453.671.474.4745.1%5133d106.7%15.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 51
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$1107.2×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout50.5%50.9%18.1%32.8%15.6%18.8%3.262.073.743.921.433.7551.1%4534d67.5%12.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 45
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1036.6×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout37.6%37.9%18.1%19.7%12.0%18.8%3.151.833.263.891.303.1855.0%4036d46.1%12.2%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 40
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.1%10.0%$875.9×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout57.0%57.4%18.1%39.3%18.6%18.8%3.091.903.223.511.434.6243.2%4437d112.8%13.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 44
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1006.7×
eligibleTHT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2
holdout59.9%60.4%18.1%42.3%20.5%18.8%2.951.853.133.221.375.2538.0%5033d101.1%14.7%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout67.7%68.3%18.1%50.1%24.5%18.8%2.791.963.333.621.363.9347.9%4836d122.0%16.2%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 48
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$1056.6×
eligibleTHT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025
locked_holdout_202544.2%44.6%18.1%26.4%16.9%18.8%2.631.943.032.730.872.7350.0%10432d30.6%8.0%55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,484 → 104
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects
2.9%20.0%$19712.4×
eligibleTHT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025
holdout56.0%56.4%18.1%38.3%21.5%18.8%2.631.742.882.931.275.6834.0%5034d112.9%14.5%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1097.2×
eligibleTHT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3
holdout33.1%33.4%18.1%15.2%15.2%18.8%2.201.432.372.870.852.4054.5%4433d43.3%12.9%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 44
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$946.3×
eligibleTHT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025
holdout42.6%42.9%18.1%24.8%21.5%18.8%2.001.622.652.630.903.2045.1%5130d74.4%15.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 51
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$1087.0×
eligibleTHT_RISK_BX_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2
holdout35.7%36.0%18.1%17.8%21.8%18.8%1.651.492.391.900.593.6933.9%10931d36.0%10.2%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 109
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$22915.0×
eligibleTHT_RISK_BX_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2
holdout29.9%30.1%18.1%12.0%19.4%18.8%1.551.402.261.870.573.5934.3%10830d35.9%9.6%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 108
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$19411.7×
eligibleTHT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025
holdout27.2%27.4%18.1%9.3%20.6%18.8%1.331.191.912.060.602.6743.5%4633d59.1%29.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 46
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$1056.9×
eligibleTHT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025
locked_holdout_202520.2%20.3%18.1%2.2%16.4%18.8%1.241.301.851.950.461.8151.9%10435d11.8%6.4%55,316 → 2,462 → 2,462 → 2,425 → 104
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 146 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$19911.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation67.9%29.7%25.9%3.8%9.0%10.0%3.311.332.844.561.663.9853.4%8832d34.2%8.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 88
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.0%10.0%$22115.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation67.9%29.7%25.9%3.8%9.0%10.0%3.311.332.844.561.663.9853.4%8832d34.2%8.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 88
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.0%10.0%$22115.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation37.8%17.5%25.9%-8.4%5.6%10.0%3.121.772.743.371.072.7754.9%8242d16.2%6.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%14.4%$19013.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation37.8%17.5%25.9%-8.4%5.6%10.0%3.121.772.743.371.072.7754.9%8242d16.2%6.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%14.4%$19013.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation37.8%17.5%25.9%-8.4%5.6%10.0%3.121.772.743.371.072.7754.9%8242d16.2%6.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%14.4%$19013.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation37.8%17.5%25.9%-8.4%5.6%10.0%3.121.772.743.371.072.7754.9%8242d16.2%6.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%14.4%$19013.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation37.8%17.5%25.9%-8.4%5.6%10.0%3.121.772.743.371.072.7754.9%8242d16.2%6.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%14.4%$19013.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation37.8%17.5%25.9%-8.4%5.6%10.0%3.121.772.743.371.072.7754.9%8242d16.2%6.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%14.4%$19013.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3
tht_revised_stage_x_smoke
smoke_202125.8%26.1%8.5%3.071.662.422.810.933.0148.2%8547d16.0%5.5%48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 85
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects
1.8%15.0%$20011.3×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation72.3%31.4%25.9%5.5%10.6%10.0%2.961.462.964.541.965.6344.6%6545d62.4%90.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 65
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.2%15.0%$17412.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation72.3%31.4%25.9%5.5%10.6%10.0%2.961.462.964.541.965.6344.6%6545d62.4%90.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 65
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.2%15.0%$17412.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation76.0%32.8%25.9%6.9%12.0%10.0%2.731.513.125.202.336.5044.4%6346d63.9%95.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 63
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.1%20.0%$17512.7×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation76.0%32.8%25.9%6.9%12.0%10.0%2.731.513.125.202.336.5044.4%6346d63.9%95.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 63
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.1%20.0%$17512.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z
development3.7%0.9%13.1%-12.2%0.3%33.7%2.691.542.7047.0415.3523.5266.7%645d26.2%1.1%186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 7,662 → 6
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%7.0%$90.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation75.4%32.6%25.9%6.7%12.4%10.0%2.621.463.135.352.215.5049.3%7549d65.4%173.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17111.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation75.4%32.6%25.9%6.7%12.4%10.0%2.621.463.135.352.215.5049.3%7549d65.4%173.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17111.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_NONE
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation17.6%8.5%25.9%-17.4%3.3%10.0%2.561.642.543.571.162.9155.1%6944d17.0%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1025.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_NONE
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation17.6%8.5%25.9%-17.4%3.3%10.0%2.561.642.543.571.162.9155.1%6944d17.0%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1025.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation17.6%8.5%25.9%-17.4%3.3%10.0%2.561.642.543.571.162.9155.1%6944d17.0%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1025.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation17.6%8.5%25.9%-17.4%3.3%10.0%2.561.642.543.571.162.9155.1%6944d17.0%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1025.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C20
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation17.6%8.5%25.9%-17.4%3.3%10.0%2.561.642.543.571.162.9155.1%6944d17.0%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1025.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C20
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation17.6%8.5%25.9%-17.4%3.3%10.0%2.561.642.543.571.162.9155.1%6944d17.0%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$1025.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation36.7%17.0%25.9%-8.9%6.8%10.0%2.501.692.583.331.002.5057.1%9142d16.1%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 91
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$18511.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation36.7%17.0%25.9%-8.9%6.8%10.0%2.501.692.583.331.002.5057.1%9142d16.1%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 91
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$18511.9×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation93.0%39.1%25.9%13.2%15.7%10.0%2.501.453.366.502.796.6949.3%6948d54.4%134.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$17011.7×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation93.0%39.1%25.9%13.2%15.7%10.0%2.501.453.366.502.796.6949.3%6948d54.4%134.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$17011.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation89.5%37.8%25.9%11.9%15.3%10.0%2.471.483.335.412.125.0251.8%8135d41.5%8.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20914.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation89.5%37.8%25.9%11.9%15.3%10.0%2.471.483.335.412.125.0251.8%8135d41.5%8.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20914.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation66.7%29.2%25.9%3.3%11.9%10.0%2.451.442.894.191.634.3948.8%8639d42.3%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$20713.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation66.7%29.2%25.9%3.3%11.9%10.0%2.451.442.894.191.634.3948.8%8639d42.3%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$20713.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation74.3%32.1%25.9%6.2%13.1%10.0%2.451.453.114.771.924.9848.9%9035d39.1%13.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.0%10.0%$21814.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation74.3%32.1%25.9%6.2%13.1%10.0%2.451.453.114.771.924.9848.9%9035d39.1%13.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.0%10.0%$21814.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation66.8%29.3%25.9%3.4%12.0%10.0%2.451.432.884.181.704.8046.5%8638d43.8%9.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$20513.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation66.8%29.3%25.9%3.4%12.0%10.0%2.451.432.884.181.704.8046.5%8638d43.8%9.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$20513.8×
research
no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10_EX_TOP2
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_sensitivity_top2_2025
concentration_sensitivity_top231.6%31.8%18.1%13.6%13.1%18.8%2.421.512.502.540.682.0055.9%10236d19.4%8.1%55,210 → 3,509 → 3,509 → 3,456 → 102
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects
2.9%10.0%$18010.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation71.0%30.9%25.9%5.0%13.0%10.0%2.371.252.773.941.564.4547.0%8333d48.7%12.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21114.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation71.0%30.9%25.9%5.0%13.0%10.0%2.371.252.773.941.564.4547.0%8333d48.7%12.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21114.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation76.2%32.9%25.9%7.0%13.9%10.0%2.371.312.914.431.694.3250.6%8533d44.8%9.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$21814.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation76.2%32.9%25.9%7.0%13.9%10.0%2.371.312.914.431.694.3250.6%8533d44.8%9.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$21814.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation74.3%32.2%25.9%6.3%13.6%10.0%2.371.383.175.031.894.4553.1%8135d38.7%8.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20413.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation74.3%32.2%25.9%6.3%13.6%10.0%2.371.383.175.031.894.4553.1%8135d38.7%8.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20413.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation83.9%35.8%25.9%9.9%15.6%10.0%2.291.403.124.882.095.6946.2%7839d47.8%8.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19713.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation83.9%35.8%25.9%9.9%15.6%10.0%2.291.403.124.882.095.6946.2%7839d47.8%8.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19713.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation58.5%26.0%25.9%0.1%11.4%10.0%2.271.342.653.561.394.2045.9%8537d43.6%9.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$21214.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation58.5%26.0%25.9%0.1%11.4%10.0%2.271.342.653.561.394.2045.9%8537d43.6%9.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$21214.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation61.0%27.0%25.9%1.1%11.9%10.0%2.271.332.713.791.574.8743.8%8041d48.2%9.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$19713.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation61.0%27.0%25.9%1.1%11.9%10.0%2.271.332.713.791.574.8743.8%8041d48.2%9.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$19713.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation83.3%35.5%25.9%9.6%15.8%10.0%2.251.393.124.872.035.3847.5%8040d45.4%10.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20013.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation83.3%35.5%25.9%9.6%15.8%10.0%2.251.393.124.872.035.3847.5%8040d45.4%10.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20013.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation32.6%15.2%25.9%-10.7%6.8%10.0%2.251.732.633.401.032.5757.0%9342d15.9%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.9%$17010.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation32.6%15.2%25.9%-10.7%6.8%10.0%2.251.732.633.401.032.5757.0%9342d15.9%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.9%$17010.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation32.6%15.2%25.9%-10.7%6.8%10.0%2.251.732.633.401.032.5757.0%9342d15.9%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.9%$17010.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation32.6%15.2%25.9%-10.7%6.8%10.0%2.251.732.633.401.032.5757.0%9342d15.9%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.9%$17010.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation32.6%15.2%25.9%-10.7%6.8%10.0%2.251.732.633.401.032.5757.0%9342d15.9%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.9%$17010.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation32.6%15.2%25.9%-10.7%6.8%10.0%2.251.732.633.401.032.5757.0%9342d15.9%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.9%$17010.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation84.6%36.0%25.9%10.1%16.2%10.0%2.221.343.124.752.035.5746.1%7640d50.1%10.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$19413.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation84.6%36.0%25.9%10.1%16.2%10.0%2.221.343.124.752.035.5746.1%7640d50.1%10.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$19413.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation77.7%33.4%25.9%7.5%15.1%10.0%2.211.353.054.652.066.0243.6%7840d49.2%10.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19313.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation77.7%33.4%25.9%7.5%15.1%10.0%2.211.353.054.652.066.0243.6%7840d49.2%10.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19313.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation85.6%36.4%25.9%10.5%16.5%10.0%2.211.353.154.732.015.5646.0%7441d52.0%11.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$19213.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation85.6%36.4%25.9%10.5%16.5%10.0%2.211.353.154.732.015.5646.0%7441d52.0%11.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$19213.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z
development3.0%0.8%13.1%-12.3%0.3%33.7%2.201.382.4940.7413.2520.3766.7%369d43.1%2.1%186,103 → 4,945 → 3,147 → 3,130 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.1%3.6%$50.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z
development3.0%0.8%13.1%-12.3%0.3%33.7%2.201.382.4940.7413.2520.3766.7%369d43.1%2.1%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%3.6%$50.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z
development3.0%0.8%13.1%-12.3%0.3%33.7%2.201.382.4940.7413.2520.3766.7%369d43.1%2.1%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%3.6%$50.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z
development3.0%0.8%13.1%-12.3%0.3%33.7%2.201.382.4940.7413.2520.3766.7%369d43.1%2.1%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%3.6%$50.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation75.5%32.6%25.9%6.7%14.8%10.0%2.201.353.034.651.995.5445.6%9232d39.5%10.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$22415.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation75.5%32.6%25.9%6.7%14.8%10.0%2.201.353.034.651.995.5445.6%9232d39.5%10.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$22415.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation84.6%36.0%25.9%10.1%16.5%10.0%2.181.343.134.682.025.6845.2%7342d53.4%11.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 73
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$18712.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation84.6%36.0%25.9%10.1%16.5%10.0%2.181.343.134.682.025.6845.2%7342d53.4%11.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 73
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$18712.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation82.2%35.1%25.9%9.2%16.2%10.0%2.171.343.114.721.935.0748.2%8335d42.1%10.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21214.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation82.2%35.1%25.9%9.2%16.2%10.0%2.171.343.114.721.935.0748.2%8335d42.1%10.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21214.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation79.6%34.2%25.9%8.3%15.7%10.0%2.171.353.054.611.965.4845.7%8137d45.6%11.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20113.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation79.6%34.2%25.9%8.3%15.7%10.0%2.171.353.054.611.965.4845.7%8137d45.6%11.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20113.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation78.6%33.8%25.9%7.9%15.6%10.0%2.161.333.084.671.935.1847.4%7837d44.9%12.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19613.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation78.6%33.8%25.9%7.9%15.6%10.0%2.161.333.084.671.935.1847.4%7837d44.9%12.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19613.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation60.4%26.7%25.9%0.8%12.3%10.0%2.161.302.693.741.464.2446.9%8137d44.0%11.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20013.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation60.4%26.7%25.9%0.8%12.3%10.0%2.161.302.693.741.464.2446.9%8137d44.0%11.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20013.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation94.6%39.7%25.9%13.8%18.4%10.0%2.161.353.275.562.365.9648.3%8732d39.5%10.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 87
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$22315.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation94.6%39.7%25.9%13.8%18.4%10.0%2.161.353.275.562.365.9648.3%8732d39.5%10.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 87
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$22315.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%5.0%10.0%2.151.692.573.371.042.6655.9%9342d16.3%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.2%$1397.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%5.0%10.0%2.151.692.573.371.042.6655.9%9342d16.3%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.2%$1397.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%5.0%10.0%2.151.692.573.371.042.6655.9%9342d16.3%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.2%$1397.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%5.0%10.0%2.151.692.573.371.042.6655.9%9342d16.3%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.2%$1397.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%5.0%10.0%2.151.692.573.371.042.6655.9%9342d16.3%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.2%$1397.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%5.0%10.0%2.151.692.573.371.042.6655.9%9342d16.3%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%14.2%$1397.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation87.5%37.1%25.9%11.2%17.6%10.0%2.111.303.175.102.105.3648.8%8035d42.0%11.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20313.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation87.5%37.1%25.9%11.2%17.6%10.0%2.111.303.175.102.105.3648.8%8035d42.0%11.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$20313.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation22.1%10.5%25.9%-15.4%5.0%10.0%2.101.682.543.311.032.6655.4%9242d16.5%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$1377.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation22.1%10.5%25.9%-15.4%5.0%10.0%2.101.682.543.311.032.6655.4%9242d16.5%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$1377.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.1%10.5%25.9%-15.4%5.0%10.0%2.101.682.543.311.032.6655.4%9242d16.5%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$1377.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation22.1%10.5%25.9%-15.4%5.0%10.0%2.101.682.543.311.032.6655.4%9242d16.5%6.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$1377.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation71.8%31.2%25.9%5.3%14.9%10.0%2.091.302.883.931.504.1148.8%8635d40.5%10.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$22514.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation71.8%31.2%25.9%5.3%14.9%10.0%2.091.302.883.931.504.1148.8%8635d40.5%10.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.9%10.0%$22514.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation65.0%28.6%25.9%2.7%13.7%10.0%2.091.322.784.191.664.5647.9%9433d31.9%11.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 94
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.2%10.0%$22915.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation65.0%28.6%25.9%2.7%13.7%10.0%2.091.322.784.191.664.5647.9%9433d31.9%11.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 94
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.2%10.0%$22915.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation66.6%29.2%25.9%3.3%14.0%10.0%2.091.322.823.751.444.1547.4%7841d48.1%9.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19913.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation66.6%29.2%25.9%3.3%14.0%10.0%2.091.322.823.751.444.1547.4%7841d48.1%9.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19913.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation30.1%14.1%25.9%-11.8%6.8%10.0%2.081.662.503.220.962.4756.5%9242d16.1%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$16710.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation30.1%14.1%25.9%-11.8%6.8%10.0%2.081.662.503.220.962.4756.5%9242d16.1%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$16710.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation87.6%37.1%25.9%11.2%17.9%10.0%2.071.303.084.561.824.7848.8%8240d58.7%9.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21014.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation87.6%37.1%25.9%11.2%17.9%10.0%2.071.303.084.561.824.7848.8%8240d58.7%9.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21014.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation21.8%10.4%25.9%-15.5%5.0%10.0%2.071.652.503.221.002.6554.8%9342d16.5%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$1387.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation21.8%10.4%25.9%-15.5%5.0%10.0%2.071.652.503.221.002.6554.8%9342d16.5%6.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.1%10.0%$1387.3×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5
tht_revised_stage_x_smoke
smoke_202117.4%17.6%8.5%2.071.281.822.300.682.5347.6%8446d11.3%5.2%48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 84
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects
1.8%15.0%$19711.2×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X4
tht_revised_stage_x_smoke
smoke_202117.2%17.4%8.5%2.051.251.782.300.702.7245.8%8346d11.7%5.1%48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 83
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects
1.8%15.0%$19411.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation85.1%36.2%25.9%10.3%17.7%10.0%2.051.273.014.461.814.9147.6%8439d58.2%9.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 84
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21114.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation85.1%36.2%25.9%10.3%17.7%10.0%2.051.273.014.461.814.9147.6%8439d58.2%9.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 84
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$21114.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation53.1%23.8%25.9%-2.1%12.0%10.0%1.981.522.643.891.685.3941.9%6245d44.4%91.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 62
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.1%21.3%$17212.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation53.1%23.8%25.9%-2.1%12.0%10.0%1.981.522.643.891.685.3941.9%6245d44.4%91.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 62
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.1%21.3%$17212.6×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development264.1%38.2%13.1%25.1%19.4%33.7%1.971.452.202.080.643.0540.6%19737d33.8%34.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 197
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.2%20.0%$1,20594.8×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development264.1%38.2%13.1%25.1%19.4%33.7%1.971.452.202.080.643.0540.6%19737d33.8%34.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 197
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.2%20.0%$1,20594.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation76.2%32.9%25.9%7.0%16.9%10.0%1.941.262.884.251.775.0845.6%9032d34.7%14.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.0%10.0%$22715.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation76.2%32.9%25.9%7.0%16.9%10.0%1.941.262.884.251.775.0845.6%9032d34.7%14.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.0%10.0%$22715.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation44.5%20.3%25.9%-5.6%10.6%10.0%1.911.052.122.990.982.9150.6%8131d22.4%14.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$21114.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation44.5%20.3%25.9%-5.6%10.6%10.0%1.911.052.122.990.982.9150.6%8131d22.4%14.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$21114.7×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout51.4%51.8%18.1%33.6%27.3%18.8%1.891.302.060.07-0.670.1827.9%21525d44.0%242.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,34423.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout51.4%51.8%18.1%33.6%27.3%18.8%1.891.302.061.68-0.670.1827.9%21525d44.0%242.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,34423.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout50.9%51.3%18.1%33.2%27.9%18.8%1.841.282.020.28-0.530.7726.7%20625d47.7%62.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,25522.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout50.9%51.3%18.1%33.2%27.9%18.8%1.841.282.021.68-0.530.7726.7%20625d47.7%62.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,25522.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation29.4%13.8%25.9%-12.1%7.5%10.0%1.831.563.134.501.895.2846.0%5048d92.2%11.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.7%7.1%$703.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation29.4%13.8%25.9%-12.1%7.5%10.0%1.831.563.134.501.895.2846.0%5048d92.2%11.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.7%7.1%$703.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.4%10.7%25.9%-15.2%6.1%10.0%1.761.011.512.160.582.2149.4%8138d12.7%9.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$18812.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.4%10.7%25.9%-15.2%6.1%10.0%1.761.011.512.160.582.2149.4%8138d12.7%9.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$18812.8×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development272.6%39.0%13.1%25.9%22.2%33.7%1.761.432.192.040.612.9740.7%20436d36.4%21.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 204
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.3%15.0%$1,287101.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development272.6%39.0%13.1%25.9%22.2%33.7%1.761.432.192.040.612.9740.7%20436d36.4%21.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 204
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.3%15.0%$1,287101.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X0
tht_revised_stage_x_smoke
smoke_202115.7%15.9%9.1%1.750.991.412.570.974.2038.0%5061d20.2%5.7%48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 50
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects
1.1%15.0%$1057.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development96.9%18.5%13.1%5.4%10.6%33.7%1.741.311.972.000.552.4245.2%29234d25.3%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 292
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%10.0%$66244.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development96.9%18.5%13.1%5.4%10.6%33.7%1.741.311.972.000.552.4245.2%29234d25.3%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 292
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%10.0%$66244.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.6%10.8%25.9%-15.1%6.2%10.0%1.731.031.532.140.552.0351.3%7837d12.7%10.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18812.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.6%10.8%25.9%-15.1%6.2%10.0%1.731.031.532.140.552.0351.3%7837d12.7%10.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18812.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%6.2%10.0%1.731.031.532.190.592.1350.6%8138d12.4%8.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$19112.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.7%10.8%25.9%-15.1%6.2%10.0%1.731.031.532.190.592.1350.6%8138d12.4%8.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$19112.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X2
tht_revised_stage_x_smoke
smoke_202115.5%15.7%9.1%1.731.081.522.210.723.2840.3%7743d12.3%5.4%48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 77
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects
1.7%15.0%$15310.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.8%10.9%25.9%-15.0%6.4%10.0%1.711.041.552.170.561.9652.6%7837d12.4%8.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19012.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.8%10.9%25.9%-15.0%6.4%10.0%1.711.041.552.170.561.9652.6%7837d12.4%8.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$19012.9×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z
development2.0%0.5%13.1%-12.6%0.3%33.7%1.701.192.400.000.000.00100.0%173d55.6%0.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%3.6%$20.1×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development136.4%24.1%13.1%11.0%14.3%33.7%1.681.321.991.930.512.3744.9%28334d25.5%8.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 283
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.0%10.0%$87064.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development136.4%24.1%13.1%11.0%14.3%33.7%1.681.321.991.930.512.3744.9%28334d25.5%8.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 283
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.0%10.0%$87064.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development133.1%23.6%13.1%10.5%14.1%33.7%1.671.261.891.860.482.3744.0%27733d25.7%9.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%21.9%$91969.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development133.1%23.6%13.1%10.5%14.1%33.7%1.671.261.891.860.482.3744.0%27733d25.7%9.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%21.9%$91969.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development133.5%23.7%13.1%10.6%14.2%33.7%1.671.261.901.870.482.3744.0%27733d25.7%9.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%20.0%$91769.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development133.5%23.7%13.1%10.6%14.2%33.7%1.671.261.901.870.482.3744.0%27733d25.7%9.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%20.0%$91769.4×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development205.1%32.2%13.1%19.2%19.4%33.7%1.671.281.951.900.492.2845.5%23135d33.8%48.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 231
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.9%15.0%$1,16494.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development205.1%32.2%13.1%19.2%19.4%33.7%1.671.281.951.900.492.2845.5%23135d33.8%48.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 231
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.9%15.0%$1,16494.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development135.9%24.0%13.1%10.9%14.4%33.7%1.661.281.921.880.492.3944.0%27733d25.7%8.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%15.0%$91469.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development135.9%24.0%13.1%10.9%14.4%33.7%1.661.281.921.880.492.3944.0%27733d25.7%8.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%15.0%$91469.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development212.5%33.0%13.1%19.9%20.4%33.7%1.621.301.981.920.522.5343.1%22534d35.4%202.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 225
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.8%20.0%$1,18196.3×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development212.5%33.0%13.1%19.9%20.4%33.7%1.621.301.981.920.522.5343.1%22534d35.4%202.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 225
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.8%20.0%$1,18196.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development176.5%29.0%13.1%15.9%18.0%33.7%1.611.301.961.800.442.1945.1%25532d29.6%17.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15190.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development176.5%29.0%13.1%15.9%18.0%33.7%1.611.301.961.800.442.1945.1%25532d29.6%17.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15190.7×
research
no holdout
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development64.8%13.3%13.1%0.2%8.3%33.7%1.601.271.902.010.562.4844.8%29734d25.1%8.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%10.0%$50929.5×
research
no holdout
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development64.8%13.3%13.1%0.2%8.3%33.7%1.601.271.902.010.562.4844.8%29734d25.1%8.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%10.0%$50929.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development64.8%13.3%13.1%0.2%8.3%33.7%1.601.271.902.010.562.4844.8%29734d25.1%8.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%10.0%$50929.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development64.8%13.3%13.1%0.2%8.3%33.7%1.601.271.902.010.562.4844.8%29734d25.1%8.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%10.0%$50929.5×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development202.3%31.9%13.1%18.8%20.0%33.7%1.601.261.931.850.482.4343.2%22235d36.2%139.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 222
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.7%25.0%$1,17996.3×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development202.3%31.9%13.1%18.8%20.0%33.7%1.601.261.931.850.482.4343.2%22235d36.2%139.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 222
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.7%25.0%$1,17996.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation8.0%3.9%25.9%-22.0%2.5%10.0%1.591.011.541.980.491.9850.0%4248d31.1%11.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%10.0%$582.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation8.0%3.9%25.9%-22.0%2.5%10.0%1.591.011.541.980.491.9850.0%4248d31.1%11.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%10.0%$582.8×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development65.0%13.4%13.1%0.3%8.5%33.7%1.581.261.882.000.552.4445.0%29834d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%15.0%$51730.2×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development65.0%13.4%13.1%0.3%8.5%33.7%1.581.261.882.000.552.4445.0%29834d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%15.0%$51730.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development185.4%30.0%13.1%17.0%19.0%33.7%1.581.352.041.820.442.1645.7%25432d29.7%11.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,17492.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development185.4%30.0%13.1%17.0%19.0%33.7%1.581.352.041.820.442.1645.7%25432d29.7%11.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,17492.3×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development64.9%13.3%13.1%0.3%8.5%33.7%1.581.261.881.990.552.4445.0%29834d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%16.1%$51730.2×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development64.9%13.3%13.1%0.3%8.5%33.7%1.581.261.881.990.552.4445.0%29834d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%16.1%$51730.2×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development64.9%13.3%13.1%0.3%8.5%33.7%1.581.261.881.990.552.4445.0%29834d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%16.1%$51730.2×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development64.9%13.3%13.1%0.3%8.5%33.7%1.581.261.881.990.552.4445.0%29834d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.3%16.1%$51730.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development193.2%30.9%13.1%17.8%19.7%33.7%1.571.362.071.790.422.0247.1%27231d29.5%10.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 272
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,24897.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development193.2%30.9%13.1%17.8%19.7%33.7%1.571.362.071.790.422.0247.1%27231d29.5%10.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 272
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,24897.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development177.5%29.1%13.1%16.0%18.7%33.7%1.561.342.061.740.402.0446.1%26928d28.5%10.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,25798.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development177.5%29.1%13.1%16.0%18.7%33.7%1.561.342.061.740.402.0446.1%26928d28.5%10.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,25798.8×
research
no holdout
C_STALL10
equity_curve_asym_rr_dip_c_stall10
research_full_sample1671.0%40.0%14.6%25.4%25.9%25.3%1.541.452.302.421.1811.9016.9%37817d33.4%2.8%0 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
no holdout
THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development64.9%13.4%13.1%0.3%8.7%33.7%1.541.251.871.960.542.5044.0%30734d25.3%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 307
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.5%10.0%$53030.8×
research
no holdout
THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development64.9%13.4%13.1%0.3%8.7%33.7%1.541.251.871.960.542.5044.0%30734d25.3%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 307
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.5%10.0%$53030.8×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development195.2%31.1%13.1%18.1%20.3%33.7%1.531.372.061.860.482.3744.0%24835d34.0%14.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 248
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,13689.7×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development195.2%31.1%13.1%18.1%20.3%33.7%1.531.372.061.860.482.3744.0%24835d34.0%14.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 248
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,13689.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing47.4%21.5%14.1%1.531.141.702.59-0.391.2127.5%17859d32.5%26.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,93914.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing47.4%21.5%14.1%1.531.141.702.59-0.391.2127.5%17859d32.5%26.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,93914.5×
research
no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10_EX_TOP5
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_sensitivity_top5_2025
concentration_sensitivity_top519.9%20.0%18.1%1.9%13.1%18.8%1.531.161.761.900.421.7052.8%10632d16.8%8.1%55,051 → 3,467 → 3,467 → 3,414 → 106
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 210 band rejects
3.1%10.0%$18310.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development176.1%29.0%13.1%15.9%19.0%33.7%1.521.291.951.800.442.2144.9%25432d29.9%12.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,14389.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development176.1%29.0%13.1%15.9%19.0%33.7%1.521.291.951.800.442.2144.9%25432d29.9%12.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,14389.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development201.4%31.8%13.1%18.8%21.1%33.7%1.511.372.071.840.462.2844.6%24935d33.4%11.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,18193.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development201.4%31.8%13.1%18.8%21.1%33.7%1.511.372.071.840.462.2844.6%24935d33.4%11.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,18193.8×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development90.9%17.6%13.1%4.5%11.7%33.7%1.511.221.821.900.502.4044.2%29433d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%15.0%$67645.6×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development90.9%17.6%13.1%4.5%11.7%33.7%1.511.221.821.900.502.4044.2%29433d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%15.0%$67645.6×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development90.5%17.5%13.1%4.4%11.7%33.7%1.501.211.801.890.502.3944.2%29433d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%19.9%$68046.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development90.5%17.5%13.1%4.4%11.7%33.7%1.501.211.801.890.502.3944.2%29433d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%19.9%$68046.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development90.5%17.5%13.1%4.4%11.7%33.7%1.501.211.801.890.502.3944.2%29433d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%19.9%$68046.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development90.5%17.5%13.1%4.4%11.7%33.7%1.501.211.801.890.502.3944.2%29433d25.0%8.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.2%19.9%$68046.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development178.3%29.2%13.1%16.1%19.5%33.7%1.501.291.951.770.432.1844.8%25033d31.8%10.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,14089.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development178.3%29.2%13.1%16.1%19.5%33.7%1.501.291.951.770.432.1844.8%25033d31.8%10.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,14089.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.8%13.6%25.9%-12.3%9.1%10.0%1.491.161.752.510.792.7347.9%7145d17.1%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$17312.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.8%13.6%25.9%-12.3%9.1%10.0%1.491.161.752.510.792.7347.9%7145d17.1%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$17312.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.7%13.5%25.9%-12.4%9.1%10.0%1.491.181.762.500.772.6548.5%6845d17.5%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$17012.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.7%13.5%25.9%-12.4%9.1%10.0%1.491.181.762.500.772.6548.5%6845d17.5%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$17012.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.9%13.6%25.9%-12.3%9.2%10.0%1.481.171.752.520.792.7447.9%7145d16.8%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$17412.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.9%13.6%25.9%-12.3%9.2%10.0%1.481.171.752.520.792.7447.9%7145d16.8%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$17412.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.8%13.5%25.9%-12.4%9.2%10.0%1.481.181.772.500.772.6548.5%6845d17.3%7.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$17112.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.8%13.5%25.9%-12.4%9.2%10.0%1.481.181.772.500.772.6548.5%6845d17.3%7.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$17112.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.0%27.8%13.1%14.7%18.9%33.7%1.471.291.971.730.392.0046.3%25530d29.1%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,18192.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.0%27.8%13.1%14.7%18.9%33.7%1.471.291.971.730.392.0046.3%25530d29.1%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,18192.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development189.7%30.5%13.1%17.4%20.9%33.7%1.461.362.061.790.411.9747.6%26931d29.2%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,22496.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development189.7%30.5%13.1%17.4%20.9%33.7%1.461.362.061.790.411.9747.6%26931d29.2%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,22496.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing45.0%20.5%14.1%1.451.111.662.43-0.371.4226.2%19156d31.2%22.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,06014.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing45.0%20.5%14.1%1.451.111.662.43-0.371.4226.2%19156d31.2%22.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,06014.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing68.6%30.0%20.7%1.451.021.533.480.361.2061.9%9786d23.5%19.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,59112.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing68.6%30.0%20.7%1.451.021.533.480.361.2061.9%9786d23.5%19.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,59112.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development187.6%30.3%13.1%17.2%20.9%33.7%1.451.352.051.790.411.9547.8%27032d28.9%11.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 270
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,22496.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development187.6%30.3%13.1%17.2%20.9%33.7%1.451.352.051.790.411.9547.8%27032d28.9%11.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 270
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,22496.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.2%13.3%25.9%-12.6%9.2%10.0%1.441.141.692.590.873.1145.5%6646d18.4%6.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 66
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.2%10.0%$16311.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation28.2%13.3%25.9%-12.6%9.2%10.0%1.441.141.692.590.873.1145.5%6646d18.4%6.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 66
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.2%10.0%$16311.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing44.4%20.3%14.1%1.441.101.642.55-0.530.6628.2%17460d30.2%46.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,87414.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing44.4%20.3%14.1%1.441.101.642.55-0.530.6628.2%17460d30.2%46.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,87414.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation27.9%13.1%25.9%-12.8%9.2%10.0%1.441.171.742.430.692.2452.1%7144d15.7%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$18012.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation27.9%13.1%25.9%-12.8%9.2%10.0%1.441.171.742.430.692.2452.1%7144d15.7%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.4%10.0%$18012.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing39.1%18.0%12.5%1.440.841.322.790.601.3767.5%16987d21.0%15.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,2729.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing39.1%18.0%12.5%1.440.841.322.790.601.3767.5%16987d21.0%15.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,2729.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing54.4%24.4%17.0%1.431.171.743.69-0.111.6134.1%4472d34.2%21.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,33511.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing54.4%24.4%17.0%1.431.171.743.69-0.111.6134.1%4472d34.2%21.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,33511.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing54.4%24.4%17.0%1.431.171.743.69-0.111.6134.1%4472d34.2%21.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,33511.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing54.4%24.4%17.0%1.431.171.743.69-0.111.6134.1%4472d34.2%21.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,33511.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing54.4%24.4%17.0%1.431.171.743.69-0.111.6134.1%4472d34.2%21.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,33511.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing54.4%24.4%17.0%1.431.171.743.69-0.111.6134.1%4472d34.2%21.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,33511.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing44.0%20.1%14.1%1.431.101.642.51-0.191.8828.2%17060d30.2%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
23.8%$1,87414.2×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing44.0%20.1%14.1%1.431.101.642.51-0.191.8828.2%17060d30.2%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
23.8%$1,87414.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing54.9%24.5%17.2%1.430.911.353.120.771.5968.3%12686d21.7%13.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,47311.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing54.9%24.5%17.2%1.430.911.353.120.771.5968.3%12686d21.7%13.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,47311.3×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development200.0%31.7%13.1%18.6%22.2%33.7%1.431.211.791.800.492.8438.8%19635d33.0%32.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 196
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.2%25.0%$1,17090.1×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development200.0%31.7%13.1%18.6%22.2%33.7%1.431.211.791.800.492.8438.8%19635d33.0%32.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 196
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.2%25.0%$1,17090.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development162.8%27.4%13.1%14.3%19.2%33.7%1.421.281.951.760.401.9447.6%27529d25.7%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,16090.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development162.8%27.4%13.1%14.3%19.2%33.7%1.421.281.951.760.401.9447.6%27529d25.7%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,16090.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development162.5%27.4%13.1%14.3%19.2%33.7%1.421.281.951.760.412.0446.4%27627d25.7%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 276
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,18192.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development162.5%27.4%13.1%14.3%19.2%33.7%1.421.281.951.760.412.0446.4%27627d25.7%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 276
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,18192.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation27.6%13.0%25.9%-12.9%9.2%10.0%1.421.141.712.420.692.2951.3%7444d15.3%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18212.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation27.6%13.0%25.9%-12.9%9.2%10.0%1.421.141.712.420.692.2951.3%7444d15.3%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18212.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_NONE
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development48.0%10.3%13.1%-2.8%7.3%33.7%1.411.131.671.890.512.5043.0%25133d24.6%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$41723.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_NONE
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development48.0%10.3%13.1%-2.8%7.3%33.7%1.411.131.671.890.512.5043.0%25133d24.6%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$41723.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development48.0%10.3%13.1%-2.8%7.3%33.7%1.411.131.671.890.512.5043.0%25133d24.6%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$41723.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development48.0%10.3%13.1%-2.8%7.3%33.7%1.411.131.671.890.512.5043.0%25133d24.6%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$41723.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C20
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development48.0%10.3%13.1%-2.8%7.3%33.7%1.411.131.671.890.512.5043.0%25133d24.6%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$41723.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C20
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development48.0%10.3%13.1%-2.8%7.3%33.7%1.411.131.671.890.512.5043.0%25133d24.6%8.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$41723.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development170.3%28.3%13.1%15.2%20.1%33.7%1.411.271.911.750.412.1644.7%25533d30.8%14.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15391.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development170.3%28.3%13.1%15.2%20.1%33.7%1.411.271.911.750.412.1644.7%25533d30.8%14.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15391.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development170.2%28.3%13.1%15.2%20.1%33.7%1.411.271.911.750.412.1444.9%25633d30.5%14.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15591.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development170.2%28.3%13.1%15.2%20.1%33.7%1.411.271.911.750.412.1444.9%25633d30.5%14.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15591.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing53.1%23.8%16.9%1.411.131.713.08-0.360.7536.4%8876d32.5%43.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,70113.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing53.1%23.8%16.9%1.411.131.713.08-0.360.7536.4%8876d32.5%43.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,70113.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing51.5%23.2%16.6%1.401.101.672.96-0.370.9233.0%9157d25.4%27.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,76813.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing51.5%23.2%16.6%1.401.101.672.96-0.370.9233.0%9157d25.4%27.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,76813.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing51.5%23.2%16.6%1.401.101.672.96-0.370.9233.0%9157d25.4%27.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,76813.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing51.5%23.2%16.6%1.401.101.672.96-0.370.9233.0%9157d25.4%27.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,76813.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation27.1%12.8%25.9%-13.1%9.2%10.0%1.391.091.622.480.823.0444.9%6947d17.8%7.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$16511.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation27.1%12.8%25.9%-13.1%9.2%10.0%1.391.091.622.480.823.0444.9%6947d17.8%7.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.3%10.0%$16511.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation23.1%11.0%25.9%-14.9%8.0%10.0%1.381.031.512.150.592.2748.7%7639d14.1%8.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17912.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation23.1%11.0%25.9%-14.9%8.0%10.0%1.381.031.512.150.592.2748.7%7639d14.1%8.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17912.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X1
tht_revised_stage_x_smoke
smoke_202112.2%12.4%9.0%1.380.891.261.830.492.7140.2%8247d12.1%5.2%48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 82
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects
1.8%15.0%$18310.2×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing50.2%22.6%16.4%1.381.091.642.96-0.201.0139.7%7377d33.6%33.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,68713.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing50.2%22.6%16.4%1.381.091.642.96-0.201.0139.7%7377d33.6%33.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,68713.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing50.1%22.6%16.4%1.381.081.642.96-0.350.8335.5%7665d27.4%32.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69013.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing50.1%22.6%16.4%1.381.081.642.96-0.350.8335.5%7665d27.4%32.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69013.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing50.1%22.6%16.4%1.381.081.642.96-0.350.8335.5%7665d27.4%32.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69013.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing50.1%22.6%16.4%1.381.081.642.96-0.350.8335.5%7665d27.4%32.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69013.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.6%10.8%25.9%-15.1%7.9%10.0%1.371.001.472.130.592.3647.4%7840d14.2%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18012.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.6%10.8%25.9%-15.1%7.9%10.0%1.371.001.472.130.592.3647.4%7840d14.2%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18012.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development164.3%27.6%13.1%14.5%20.2%33.7%1.371.261.921.720.392.0545.7%26529d28.2%11.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,19193.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development164.3%27.6%13.1%14.5%20.2%33.7%1.371.261.921.720.392.0545.7%26529d28.2%11.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,19193.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development165.3%27.7%13.1%14.6%20.3%33.7%1.371.281.941.720.392.0246.1%26729d27.8%11.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,20694.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development165.3%27.7%13.1%14.6%20.3%33.7%1.371.281.941.720.392.0246.1%26729d27.8%11.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,20694.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing38.8%17.9%13.1%1.371.041.532.41-0.460.6033.7%27666d29.7%49.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.3%$1,77513.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing38.8%17.9%13.1%1.371.041.532.41-0.460.6033.7%27666d29.7%49.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.3%$1,77513.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing38.8%17.9%13.1%1.371.041.532.41-0.460.6033.7%27666d29.7%49.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.3%$1,77513.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing38.8%17.9%13.1%1.371.041.532.41-0.460.6033.7%27666d29.7%49.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.3%$1,77513.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.9%27.9%13.1%14.8%20.4%33.7%1.361.261.901.760.422.1145.5%25531d29.1%13.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,13989.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.9%27.9%13.1%14.8%20.4%33.7%1.361.261.901.760.422.1145.5%25531d29.1%13.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,13989.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing52.1%23.4%17.2%1.360.991.473.550.771.5768.7%11588d21.5%13.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,2289.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing52.1%23.4%17.2%1.360.991.473.550.771.5768.7%11588d21.5%13.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,2289.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation26.0%12.3%25.9%-13.6%9.1%10.0%1.361.121.662.340.672.3450.0%7444d14.9%7.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18012.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation26.0%12.3%25.9%-13.6%9.1%10.0%1.361.121.662.340.672.3450.0%7444d14.9%7.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18012.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation23.1%11.0%25.9%-14.9%8.1%10.0%1.351.031.512.160.582.1650.0%7639d13.7%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18112.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation23.1%11.0%25.9%-14.9%8.1%10.0%1.351.031.512.160.582.1650.0%7639d13.7%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18112.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development184.4%29.9%13.1%16.8%22.1%33.7%1.351.332.021.730.392.0445.8%26432d30.9%11.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,24198.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development184.4%29.9%13.1%16.8%22.1%33.7%1.351.332.021.730.392.0445.8%26432d30.9%11.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,24198.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation15.5%7.5%25.9%-18.4%5.5%10.0%1.351.171.752.490.762.6148.8%8442d17.2%7.0%106,406 → 1,766 → 877 → 877 → 84
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.8%10.0%$1226.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX
equity_curve_tht_add_validation
validation15.5%7.5%25.9%-18.4%5.5%10.0%1.351.171.752.490.762.6148.8%8442d17.2%7.0%106,406 → 1,766 → 877 → 877 → 84
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.8%10.0%$1226.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing60.5%26.8%19.8%1.350.931.413.190.681.4568.5%12489d22.3%15.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,54911.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing60.5%26.8%19.8%1.350.931.413.190.681.4568.5%12489d22.3%15.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,54911.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.5%10.7%25.9%-15.2%8.0%10.0%1.341.001.472.130.582.2448.7%7840d13.8%8.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18212.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.5%10.7%25.9%-15.2%8.0%10.0%1.341.001.472.130.582.2448.7%7840d13.8%8.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18212.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation25.6%12.1%25.9%-13.8%9.1%10.0%1.341.091.622.310.652.2550.6%7744d14.3%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 77
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18212.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation25.6%12.1%25.9%-13.8%9.1%10.0%1.341.091.622.310.652.2550.6%7744d14.3%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 77
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$18212.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%5.3%10.0%1.321.302.153.141.153.6146.5%4338d31.8%8.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$633.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%5.3%10.0%1.321.302.153.141.153.6146.5%4338d31.8%8.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$633.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%5.3%10.0%1.321.302.153.141.153.6146.5%4338d31.8%8.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$633.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%5.3%10.0%1.321.302.153.141.153.6146.5%4338d31.8%8.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$633.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_FV_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%5.3%10.0%1.321.302.153.141.153.6146.5%4338d31.8%8.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$633.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_FV_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%5.3%10.0%1.321.302.153.141.153.6146.5%4338d31.8%8.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$633.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation10.9%5.3%25.9%-20.5%4.1%10.0%1.311.171.742.680.903.0746.6%5845d17.5%6.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.9%7.1%$844.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation10.9%5.3%25.9%-20.5%4.1%10.0%1.311.171.742.680.903.0746.6%5845d17.5%6.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.9%7.1%$844.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation10.9%5.3%25.9%-20.5%4.1%10.0%1.311.171.742.680.903.0746.6%5845d17.5%6.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.9%7.1%$844.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation10.9%5.3%25.9%-20.5%4.1%10.0%1.311.171.742.680.903.0746.6%5845d17.5%6.3%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.9%7.1%$844.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.8%11.7%25.9%-14.2%9.1%10.0%1.301.081.602.270.672.5247.4%7642d14.5%7.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18212.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.8%11.7%25.9%-14.2%9.1%10.0%1.301.081.602.270.672.5247.4%7642d14.5%7.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18212.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing57.6%25.6%19.9%1.290.901.372.96-0.070.3966.4%12290d22.2%56.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,54411.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing57.6%25.6%19.9%1.290.901.372.96-0.070.3966.4%12290d22.2%56.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,54411.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.8%11.8%25.9%-14.1%9.2%10.0%1.291.091.602.280.652.4048.7%7642d14.2%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18312.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.8%11.8%25.9%-14.1%9.2%10.0%1.291.091.602.280.652.4048.7%7642d14.2%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$18312.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing36.6%17.0%13.2%1.280.981.442.27-0.520.5131.8%28365d29.9%58.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,80313.2×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing36.6%17.0%13.2%1.280.981.442.27-0.520.5131.8%28365d29.9%58.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,80313.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing46.9%21.3%16.6%1.281.031.552.770.001.4540.8%7179d33.7%23.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69613.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing46.9%21.3%16.6%1.281.031.552.770.001.4540.8%7179d33.7%23.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69613.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing36.4%16.9%13.2%1.280.971.422.18-0.231.3932.1%29064d30.3%21.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,89313.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing36.4%16.9%13.2%1.280.971.422.18-0.231.3932.1%29064d30.3%21.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,89313.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing46.8%21.3%16.6%1.281.031.552.76-0.181.2836.1%7265d28.1%22.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69713.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing46.8%21.3%16.6%1.281.031.552.76-0.181.2836.1%7265d28.1%22.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69713.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing46.8%21.3%16.6%1.281.031.552.76-0.181.2836.1%7265d28.1%22.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69713.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing46.8%21.3%16.6%1.281.031.552.76-0.181.2836.1%7265d28.1%22.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,69713.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation23.0%11.0%25.9%-14.9%8.6%10.0%1.281.001.482.170.622.4247.3%7442d15.8%7.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17812.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation23.0%11.0%25.9%-14.9%8.6%10.0%1.281.001.482.170.622.4247.3%7442d15.8%7.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17812.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.3%11.6%25.9%-14.3%9.1%10.0%1.271.051.562.250.652.4348.1%7942d13.9%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$18412.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.3%11.6%25.9%-14.3%9.1%10.0%1.271.051.562.250.652.4348.1%7942d13.9%7.2%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$18412.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing43.6%19.9%15.6%1.271.171.713.00-0.401.0229.9%8762d29.2%28.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,59513.2×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing43.6%19.9%15.6%1.271.171.713.00-0.401.0229.9%8762d29.2%28.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,59513.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development154.5%26.4%13.1%13.3%20.8%33.7%1.271.251.911.720.381.9247.3%27927d25.2%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 279
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%10.0%$1,20792.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development154.5%26.4%13.1%13.3%20.8%33.7%1.271.251.911.720.381.9247.3%27927d25.2%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 279
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%10.0%$1,20792.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.4%11.6%25.9%-14.3%9.2%10.0%1.271.051.562.250.642.3149.4%7942d13.6%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$18512.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation24.4%11.6%25.9%-14.3%9.2%10.0%1.271.051.562.250.642.3149.4%7942d13.6%7.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$18512.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing45.4%20.7%16.4%1.260.941.383.330.771.6167.5%11787d21.6%13.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,1328.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing45.4%20.7%16.4%1.260.941.383.330.771.6167.5%11787d21.6%13.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,1328.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.6%10.8%25.9%-15.1%8.6%10.0%1.260.981.442.150.622.5246.1%7643d15.8%7.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17912.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation22.6%10.8%25.9%-15.1%8.6%10.0%1.260.981.442.150.622.5246.1%7643d15.8%7.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17912.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development157.4%26.7%13.1%13.6%21.4%33.7%1.251.241.871.750.391.9048.0%26931d26.7%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,12387.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development157.4%26.7%13.1%13.6%21.4%33.7%1.251.241.871.750.391.9048.0%26931d26.7%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,12387.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing58.9%26.2%20.9%1.250.921.393.060.601.3468.4%9596d22.0%16.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,50111.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing58.9%26.2%20.9%1.250.921.393.060.601.3468.4%9596d22.0%16.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,50111.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development157.6%26.8%13.1%13.7%21.4%33.7%1.251.231.871.750.391.9347.6%26731d27.2%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,12186.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development157.6%26.8%13.1%13.7%21.4%33.7%1.251.231.871.750.391.9347.6%26731d27.2%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.7%10.0%$1,12186.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing28.2%13.3%10.7%1.240.821.222.880.651.5265.7%13488d21.9%14.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$8516.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing28.2%13.3%10.7%1.240.821.222.880.651.5265.7%13488d21.9%14.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$8516.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing38.2%17.6%14.2%1.240.951.442.290.913.6341.1%12489d32.2%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,97414.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing38.2%17.6%14.2%1.240.951.442.290.913.6341.1%12489d32.2%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,97414.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing47.7%21.6%17.5%1.241.071.582.34-0.700.1525.9%13952d35.4%234.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,02315.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing47.7%21.6%17.5%1.241.071.582.34-0.700.1525.9%13952d35.4%234.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,02315.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing47.5%21.5%17.4%1.241.071.582.450.203.2228.3%12055d35.6%11.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,91215.1×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing47.5%21.5%17.4%1.241.071.582.450.203.2228.3%12055d35.6%11.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,91215.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation
validation18.3%8.8%25.9%-17.1%7.1%10.0%1.241.141.763.780.510.8681.5%2783d21.8%25.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3543.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing32.5%15.1%12.3%1.230.751.162.490.541.3665.2%16188d20.9%15.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,1778.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing32.5%15.1%12.3%1.230.751.162.490.541.3665.2%16188d20.9%15.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,1778.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing42.6%19.5%15.9%1.231.141.662.86-0.421.2326.1%9252d26.9%21.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,69613.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing42.6%19.5%15.9%1.231.141.662.86-0.421.2326.1%9252d26.9%21.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,69613.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing42.6%19.5%15.9%1.231.141.662.86-0.421.2326.1%9252d26.9%21.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,69613.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing42.6%19.5%15.9%1.231.141.662.86-0.421.2326.1%9252d26.9%21.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,69613.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing30.4%14.3%11.7%1.220.771.162.630.531.4163.4%14590d21.2%15.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,0297.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing30.4%14.3%11.7%1.220.771.162.630.531.4163.4%14590d21.2%15.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,0297.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development147.3%25.5%13.1%12.4%20.9%33.7%1.221.201.831.700.361.8348.2%28029d24.9%11.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%10.0%$1,14687.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development147.3%25.5%13.1%12.4%20.9%33.7%1.221.201.831.700.361.8348.2%28029d24.9%11.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%10.0%$1,14687.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing37.7%17.4%14.4%1.210.951.422.260.913.6740.8%12589d32.2%8.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,96614.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing37.7%17.4%14.4%1.210.951.422.260.913.6740.8%12589d32.2%8.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,96614.8×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_202515.4%15.5%18.1%-2.6%12.9%18.8%1.211.151.662.160.642.6844.6%7444d13.9%5.5%42,074 → 1,092 → 1,092 → 1,062 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 299 band rejects
6.8%10.0%$1328.1×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_202515.4%15.5%18.1%-2.6%12.9%18.8%1.211.151.662.160.642.6844.6%7444d13.9%5.5%42,074 → 1,092 → 1,092 → 1,062 → 74
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 299 band rejects
6.8%10.0%$1328.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.3%27.8%13.1%14.7%23.1%33.7%1.201.181.821.760.412.0446.3%25528d26.0%12.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,19394.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.3%27.8%13.1%14.7%23.1%33.7%1.201.181.821.760.412.0446.3%25528d26.0%12.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,19394.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development149.6%25.8%13.1%12.7%21.4%33.7%1.201.191.791.680.372.0245.3%25631d28.7%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,12788.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development149.6%25.8%13.1%12.7%21.4%33.7%1.201.191.791.680.372.0245.3%25631d28.7%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,12788.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development175.4%28.9%13.1%15.8%24.0%33.7%1.201.301.971.700.382.0045.8%26432d30.5%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,22797.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development175.4%28.9%13.1%15.8%24.0%33.7%1.201.301.971.700.382.0045.8%26432d30.5%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,22797.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development175.2%28.9%13.1%15.8%24.1%33.7%1.201.301.971.700.381.9946.0%26532d30.2%11.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,23097.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development175.2%28.9%13.1%15.8%24.1%33.7%1.201.301.971.700.381.9946.0%26532d30.2%11.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$1,23097.5×
research
DD > 30%
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout45.2%45.5%18.1%27.4%38.3%18.8%1.191.001.501.220.173.8923.9%11739d66.8%17.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,35610.5×
research
DD > 30%
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout45.2%45.5%18.1%27.4%38.3%18.8%1.191.001.502.360.173.8923.9%11739d66.8%17.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,35610.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing48.3%21.9%18.5%1.181.031.532.840.041.8436.7%4969d29.5%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,57212.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing48.3%21.9%18.5%1.181.031.532.840.041.8436.7%4969d29.5%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,57212.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing48.3%21.9%18.5%1.181.031.532.840.041.8436.7%4969d29.5%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,57212.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing48.3%21.9%18.5%1.181.031.532.840.041.8436.7%4969d29.5%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,57212.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing48.3%21.9%18.5%1.181.031.532.840.041.8436.7%4969d29.5%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,57212.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing48.3%21.9%18.5%1.181.031.532.840.041.8436.7%4969d29.5%16.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,57212.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development151.7%26.0%13.1%12.9%22.0%33.7%1.181.211.831.730.391.9347.3%27530d26.6%10.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,12286.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development151.7%26.0%13.1%12.9%22.0%33.7%1.181.211.831.730.391.9347.3%27530d26.6%10.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,12286.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development41.8%9.1%13.1%-3.9%7.8%33.7%1.181.121.641.850.492.5042.6%22333d25.7%8.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.7%9.3%$36820.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development41.8%9.1%13.1%-3.9%7.8%33.7%1.181.121.641.850.492.5042.6%22333d25.7%8.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.7%9.3%$36820.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development41.8%9.1%13.1%-3.9%7.8%33.7%1.181.121.641.850.492.5042.6%22333d25.7%8.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.7%9.3%$36820.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C15
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development41.8%9.1%13.1%-3.9%7.8%33.7%1.181.121.641.850.492.5042.6%22333d25.7%8.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.7%9.3%$36820.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation21.2%10.1%25.9%-15.8%8.6%10.0%1.170.961.402.080.592.5644.7%7642d14.7%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17712.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation21.2%10.1%25.9%-15.8%8.6%10.0%1.170.961.402.080.592.5644.7%7642d14.7%8.1%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%10.0%$17712.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation20.7%9.9%25.9%-16.0%8.6%10.0%1.160.931.362.050.602.7143.0%7943d14.8%8.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$17912.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation
validation20.7%9.9%25.9%-16.0%8.6%10.0%1.160.931.362.050.602.7143.0%7943d14.8%8.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%10.0%$17912.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing40.4%18.6%16.1%1.151.071.592.610.192.1038.5%10481d30.3%14.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,82513.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing40.4%18.6%16.1%1.151.071.592.610.192.1038.5%10481d30.3%14.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,82513.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing36.9%17.1%14.8%1.150.941.412.220.883.7739.5%12986d32.3%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,95314.6×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing36.9%17.1%14.8%1.150.941.412.220.883.7739.5%12986d32.3%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,95314.6×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing49.3%22.3%19.4%1.151.031.542.940.031.9235.2%5467d30.0%15.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,52612.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing49.3%22.3%19.4%1.151.031.542.940.031.9235.2%5467d30.0%15.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,52612.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing49.3%22.3%19.4%1.151.031.542.940.031.9235.2%5467d30.0%15.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,52612.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing49.3%22.3%19.4%1.151.031.542.940.031.9235.2%5467d30.0%15.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,52612.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing49.3%22.3%19.4%1.151.031.542.940.031.9235.2%5467d30.0%15.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,52612.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing49.3%22.3%19.4%1.151.031.542.940.031.9235.2%5467d30.0%15.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,52612.7×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H3
tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202550.6%14.7%23.1%-8.4%12.8%18.8%1.151.271.942.080.552.1449.3%21149d22.5%10.5%160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 211
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects
4.4%15.0%$45521.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development131.7%23.4%13.1%10.3%20.5%33.7%1.141.171.771.620.331.8546.8%28025d23.2%10.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%10.0%$1,16689.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development131.7%23.4%13.1%10.3%20.5%33.7%1.141.171.771.620.331.8546.8%28025d23.2%10.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.9%10.0%$1,16689.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development169.5%28.2%13.1%15.1%24.8%33.7%1.141.171.811.780.412.0147.0%25130d26.5%11.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,15291.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development169.5%28.2%13.1%15.1%24.8%33.7%1.141.171.811.780.412.0147.0%25130d26.5%11.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,15291.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing43.0%19.7%17.4%1.131.001.492.380.112.9928.0%11855d32.7%11.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,83614.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing43.0%19.7%17.4%1.131.001.492.380.112.9928.0%11855d32.7%11.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,83614.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development26.4%6.0%13.1%-7.0%5.4%33.7%1.121.021.522.010.602.9840.3%13434d29.5%7.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.0%$21311.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development26.4%6.0%13.1%-7.0%5.4%33.7%1.121.021.522.010.602.9840.3%13434d29.5%7.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.0%$21311.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development26.4%6.0%13.1%-7.0%5.4%33.7%1.121.021.522.010.602.9840.3%13434d29.5%7.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.0%$21311.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E1_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development26.4%6.0%13.1%-7.0%5.4%33.7%1.121.021.522.010.602.9840.3%13434d29.5%7.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.0%$21311.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_FV_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development26.4%6.0%13.1%-7.0%5.4%33.7%1.121.021.522.010.602.9840.3%13434d29.5%7.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.0%$21311.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_FV_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development26.4%6.0%13.1%-7.0%5.4%33.7%1.121.021.522.010.602.9840.3%13434d29.5%7.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.0%$21311.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development133.4%23.7%13.1%10.6%21.2%33.7%1.121.151.741.640.331.8147.4%27427d23.8%10.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 274
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,13286.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development133.4%23.7%13.1%10.6%21.2%33.7%1.121.151.741.640.331.8147.4%27427d23.8%10.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 274
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1,13286.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing43.4%19.8%17.8%1.111.121.642.85-0.101.7632.6%9568d33.0%18.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,70313.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing43.4%19.8%17.8%1.111.121.642.85-0.101.7632.6%9568d33.0%18.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,70313.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing42.9%19.6%17.6%1.111.051.532.61-0.231.4431.8%6359d28.2%19.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,65413.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing42.9%19.6%17.6%1.111.051.532.61-0.231.4431.8%6359d28.2%19.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,65413.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing42.9%19.6%17.6%1.111.051.532.61-0.231.4431.8%6359d28.2%19.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,65413.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing42.9%19.6%17.6%1.111.051.532.61-0.231.4431.8%6359d28.2%19.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,65413.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing42.9%19.6%17.6%1.111.051.532.61-0.231.4331.8%6359d28.2%19.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,65413.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing42.9%19.6%17.6%1.111.051.532.61-0.231.4331.8%6359d28.2%19.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,65413.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing44.1%20.1%18.2%1.111.021.522.410.153.0128.6%12657d33.3%11.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
23.2%$1,83914.6×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing44.1%20.1%18.2%1.111.021.522.410.153.0128.6%12657d33.3%11.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
23.2%$1,83914.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing41.5%19.0%17.2%1.101.001.492.54-0.091.4137.6%10174d30.7%21.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,68713.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing41.5%19.0%17.2%1.101.001.492.54-0.091.4137.6%10174d30.7%21.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,68713.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing42.0%19.3%17.6%1.101.011.512.64-0.301.1133.3%9971d31.6%28.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,59112.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing42.0%19.3%17.6%1.101.011.512.64-0.301.1133.3%9971d31.6%28.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,59112.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing35.4%16.4%15.0%1.090.931.402.160.563.3835.7%14380d32.3%9.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,87214.1×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing35.4%16.4%15.0%1.090.931.402.160.563.3835.7%14380d32.3%9.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,87214.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.3%27.8%13.1%14.7%25.6%33.7%1.091.161.791.770.401.9747.2%25430d26.0%10.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15791.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development166.3%27.8%13.1%14.7%25.6%33.7%1.091.161.791.770.401.9747.2%25430d26.0%10.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,15791.2×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing46.4%21.1%19.4%1.081.021.532.66-0.261.4630.0%7056d27.7%19.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,77513.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing46.4%21.1%19.4%1.081.021.532.66-0.261.4630.0%7056d27.7%19.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,77513.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing46.4%21.1%19.4%1.081.021.532.66-0.261.4630.0%7056d27.7%19.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,77513.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing46.4%21.1%19.4%1.081.021.532.66-0.261.4630.0%7056d27.7%19.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,77513.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing46.4%21.1%19.4%1.081.021.532.66-0.271.4330.0%7056d27.7%19.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,77513.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing46.4%21.1%19.4%1.081.021.532.66-0.271.4330.0%7056d27.7%19.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,77513.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing41.0%18.8%17.5%1.080.991.482.54-0.121.3737.3%10273d30.2%21.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,65013.2×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing41.0%18.8%17.5%1.080.991.482.54-0.121.3737.3%10273d30.2%21.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,65013.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing42.7%19.5%18.2%1.071.001.482.290.323.6028.7%13654d34.4%9.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,94015.1×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing42.7%19.5%18.2%1.071.001.482.290.323.6028.7%13654d34.4%9.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,94015.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing40.4%18.6%17.3%1.071.021.512.49-0.351.5025.9%10851d27.7%18.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,91214.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing40.4%18.6%17.3%1.071.021.512.49-0.351.5025.9%10851d27.7%18.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,91214.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing40.4%18.6%17.3%1.071.021.512.49-0.351.5025.9%10851d27.7%18.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,91214.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing40.4%18.6%17.3%1.071.021.512.49-0.351.5025.9%10851d27.7%18.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,91214.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing44.6%20.3%19.0%1.070.991.462.59-0.500.6031.1%6160d30.1%50.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,58912.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing44.6%20.3%19.0%1.070.991.462.59-0.500.6031.1%6160d30.1%50.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,58912.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing44.6%20.3%19.0%1.070.991.462.59-0.500.6031.1%6160d30.1%50.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,58912.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing44.6%20.3%19.0%1.070.991.462.59-0.500.6031.1%6160d30.1%50.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,58912.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing44.6%20.3%19.0%1.070.991.462.59-0.500.6031.1%6160d30.1%50.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,58912.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing44.6%20.3%19.0%1.070.991.462.59-0.500.6031.1%6160d30.1%50.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,58912.9×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_202512.5%12.6%18.1%-5.6%11.8%18.8%1.070.981.391.830.492.6341.0%7838d12.8%6.0%42,074 → 972 → 972 → 966 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 175 band rejects
8.0%10.0%$1368.2×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_202512.5%12.6%18.1%-5.6%11.8%18.8%1.070.981.391.830.492.6341.0%7838d12.8%6.0%42,074 → 972 → 972 → 966 → 78
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 175 band rejects
8.0%10.0%$1368.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development43.1%9.4%13.1%-3.7%8.8%33.7%1.061.251.892.390.783.0344.1%15237d42.6%9.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 152
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.2%7.2%$24213.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E2_C05
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development43.1%9.4%13.1%-3.7%8.8%33.7%1.061.251.892.390.783.0344.1%15237d42.6%9.4%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 152
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
3.2%7.2%$24213.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development151.2%25.9%13.1%12.9%24.6%33.7%1.061.111.681.740.432.3942.2%24434d30.1%14.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.2%10.0%$1,02580.0×
research
no holdout
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_deployment_development
development151.2%25.9%13.1%12.9%24.6%33.7%1.061.111.681.740.432.3942.2%24434d30.1%14.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.2%10.0%$1,02580.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing38.6%17.8%17.3%1.030.901.352.32-0.111.4137.1%13279d31.7%22.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,61512.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing38.6%17.8%17.3%1.030.901.352.32-0.111.4137.1%13279d31.7%22.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,61512.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing50.7%22.8%22.3%1.030.851.272.750.631.3370.0%9096d21.2%15.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,41411.1×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing50.7%22.8%22.3%1.030.851.272.750.631.3370.0%9096d21.2%15.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,41411.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing37.3%17.3%17.0%1.020.921.362.02-0.391.3825.7%19153d33.9%24.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,08715.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing37.3%17.3%17.0%1.020.921.362.02-0.391.3825.7%19153d33.9%24.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,08715.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development46.6%10.1%13.1%-3.0%9.9%33.7%1.021.071.531.810.462.4043.0%24435d28.4%10.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.2%10.0%$40021.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_development
development46.6%10.1%13.1%-3.0%9.9%33.7%1.021.071.531.810.462.4043.0%24435d28.4%10.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.2%10.0%$40021.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing38.1%17.6%17.3%1.020.891.332.29-0.121.3637.1%13279d31.6%23.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
23.7%$1,61712.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing38.1%17.6%17.3%1.020.891.332.29-0.121.3637.1%13279d31.6%23.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
23.7%$1,61712.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation8.5%4.2%25.9%-21.7%4.1%10.0%1.011.191.812.160.481.5358.5%4142d19.2%12.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%10.0%$593.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation8.5%4.2%25.9%-21.7%4.1%10.0%1.011.191.812.160.481.5358.5%4142d19.2%12.8%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%10.0%$593.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing40.0%18.4%18.2%1.010.961.432.11-0.620.4426.8%14254d35.1%80.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,08416.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing40.0%18.4%18.2%1.010.961.432.11-0.620.4426.8%14254d35.1%80.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,08416.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development158.8%26.9%13.1%13.8%27.0%33.7%1.001.121.731.690.372.0145.7%24331d28.2%132.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,14891.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development158.8%26.9%13.1%13.8%27.0%33.7%1.001.121.731.690.372.0145.7%24331d28.2%132.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,14891.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.7%23.8%13.1%10.7%24.0%33.7%0.991.171.791.670.361.9346.4%26125d22.3%10.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 261
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.5%10.0%$1,13588.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.7%23.8%13.1%10.7%24.0%33.7%0.991.171.791.670.361.9346.4%26125d22.3%10.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 261
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.5%10.0%$1,13588.8×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025
holdout17.8%17.9%18.1%-0.2%18.1%18.8%0.991.001.531.480.312.6635.7%11230d22.8%9.4%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$22314.2×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2
holdout17.8%17.9%18.1%-0.2%18.1%18.8%0.991.001.531.480.312.6635.7%11230d22.8%9.4%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$22314.2×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075_050_025
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025
holdout17.8%17.9%18.1%-0.2%18.1%18.8%0.991.001.531.480.312.6635.7%11230d22.8%9.4%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$22314.2×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075_050_025
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2
holdout17.8%17.9%18.1%-0.2%18.1%18.8%0.991.001.531.480.312.6635.7%11230d22.8%9.4%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$22314.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development158.1%26.8%13.1%13.7%27.2%33.7%0.991.121.721.690.382.0345.5%24231d28.4%133.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,13890.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development158.1%26.8%13.1%13.7%27.2%33.7%0.991.121.721.690.382.0345.5%24231d28.4%133.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,13890.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development157.9%26.8%13.1%13.7%27.2%33.7%0.981.121.721.690.372.0145.7%24331d28.2%132.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,14090.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development157.9%26.8%13.1%13.7%27.2%33.7%0.981.121.721.690.372.0145.7%24331d28.2%132.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,14090.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development164.2%27.6%13.1%14.5%28.0%33.7%0.981.161.791.770.401.9347.8%25129d25.7%9.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,15291.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development164.2%27.6%13.1%14.5%28.0%33.7%0.981.161.791.770.401.9347.8%25129d25.7%9.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,15291.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development158.8%26.9%13.1%13.8%27.4%33.7%0.981.091.661.740.432.3542.5%23534d30.8%25.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 235
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.0%10.0%$1,07084.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development158.8%26.9%13.1%13.8%27.4%33.7%0.981.091.661.740.432.3542.5%23534d30.8%25.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 235
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.0%10.0%$1,07084.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development156.4%26.6%13.1%13.5%27.2%33.7%0.981.111.691.750.412.1644.8%23932d28.2%120.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,08685.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development156.4%26.6%13.1%13.5%27.2%33.7%0.981.111.691.750.412.1644.8%23932d28.2%120.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,08685.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%7.1%10.0%0.981.071.632.350.742.8345.3%7545d23.3%9.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%9.7%$1055.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_BREADTH_E3_C10
equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation
validation14.3%6.9%25.9%-19.0%7.1%10.0%0.981.071.632.350.742.8345.3%7545d23.3%9.5%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.5%9.7%$1055.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample
presample206.3%13.3%-5.3%18.5%13.6%19.3%0.971.031.511.710.392.0945.0%83838d15.6%8.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 838
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.7%10.0%$2,328153.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2
presample206.3%13.3%-5.3%18.5%13.6%19.3%0.971.031.511.710.392.0945.0%83838d15.6%8.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 838
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.7%10.0%$2,328153.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing32.6%15.2%15.7%0.970.871.302.090.823.3441.8%15395d35.1%10.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,82313.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing32.6%15.2%15.7%0.970.871.302.090.823.3441.8%15395d35.1%10.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,82313.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation36.0%16.7%25.9%-9.2%17.2%10.0%0.970.891.320.40-0.410.8332.3%16766d35.2%42.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,88814.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation36.0%16.7%25.9%-9.2%17.2%10.0%0.970.891.322.01-0.410.8332.3%16766d35.2%42.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,88814.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development41.1%9.0%13.1%-4.1%9.3%33.7%0.970.961.401.780.411.9847.3%26236d24.6%9.2%186,103 → 1,693 → 1,023 → 1,009 → 262
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.5%10.0%$41322.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX
equity_curve_tht_add_development
development41.1%9.0%13.1%-4.1%9.3%33.7%0.970.961.401.780.411.9847.3%26236d24.6%9.2%186,103 → 1,693 → 1,023 → 1,009 → 262
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.5%10.0%$41322.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing35.5%16.4%17.3%0.950.901.322.06-0.630.5024.8%12552d26.8%53.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,99715.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing35.5%16.4%17.3%0.950.901.322.06-0.630.5024.8%12552d26.8%53.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,99715.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing35.3%16.4%17.3%0.950.911.342.04-0.391.2727.1%18855d32.9%26.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
22.6%$1,95714.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing35.3%16.4%17.3%0.950.911.342.04-0.391.2727.1%18855d32.9%26.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
22.6%$1,95714.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing34.8%16.2%17.1%0.950.891.312.06-0.510.7527.8%12654d25.3%33.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,04415.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing34.8%16.2%17.1%0.950.891.312.06-0.510.7527.8%12654d25.3%33.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,04415.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation34.4%16.0%25.9%-9.9%17.0%10.0%0.941.071.672.110.552.0351.0%5144d24.6%17.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.7%20.0%$15411.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation34.4%16.0%25.9%-9.9%17.0%10.0%0.941.071.672.110.552.0351.0%5144d24.6%17.7%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.7%20.0%$15411.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing31.3%14.6%16.0%0.920.811.211.90-0.550.6527.0%13752d33.2%51.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,15716.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing31.3%14.6%16.0%0.920.811.211.90-0.550.6527.0%13752d33.2%51.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,15716.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing31.3%14.6%16.0%0.920.811.211.90-0.560.6527.0%13752d33.2%51.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,15716.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R100
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100
validation_sizing31.3%14.6%16.0%0.920.811.211.90-0.560.6527.0%13752d33.2%51.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,15716.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing33.9%15.8%17.3%0.910.881.292.00-0.221.9926.2%18756d33.9%17.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,96114.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing33.9%15.8%17.3%0.910.881.292.00-0.221.9926.2%18756d33.9%17.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,96114.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing34.4%16.0%17.7%0.910.861.282.100.061.8237.5%13682d33.6%18.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,64313.1×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing34.4%16.0%17.7%0.910.861.282.100.061.8237.5%13682d33.6%18.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,64313.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing36.1%16.7%18.5%0.900.901.341.99-0.361.4826.0%16952d34.4%23.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,20116.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing36.1%16.7%18.5%0.900.901.341.99-0.361.4826.0%16952d34.4%23.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,20116.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development143.8%25.0%13.1%11.9%27.8%33.7%0.901.081.661.780.411.9747.4%25130d24.6%17.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,04480.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development143.8%25.0%13.1%11.9%27.8%33.7%0.901.081.661.780.411.9747.4%25130d24.6%17.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,04480.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development138.1%24.3%13.1%11.2%27.0%33.7%0.901.061.641.720.392.0146.0%25228d23.9%10.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 252
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,07383.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development138.1%24.3%13.1%11.2%27.0%33.7%0.901.061.641.720.392.0146.0%25228d23.9%10.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 252
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,07383.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development145.6%25.2%13.1%12.2%28.2%33.7%0.901.111.711.710.381.9746.5%25429d25.1%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,12588.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development145.6%25.2%13.1%12.2%28.2%33.7%0.901.111.711.710.381.9746.5%25429d25.1%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,12588.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing30.4%14.3%16.1%0.890.791.191.87-0.500.8826.8%13852d33.1%37.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,14915.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing30.4%14.3%16.1%0.890.791.191.87-0.500.8826.8%13852d33.1%37.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,14915.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing30.4%14.3%16.1%0.890.791.191.87-0.500.8826.8%13852d33.1%37.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,14915.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R075
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075
validation_sizing30.4%14.3%16.1%0.890.791.191.87-0.500.8826.8%13852d33.1%37.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,14915.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development139.2%24.4%13.1%11.3%27.6%33.7%0.881.041.581.700.392.1843.8%24031d27.2%9.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,04781.9×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development139.2%24.4%13.1%11.3%27.6%33.7%0.881.041.581.700.392.1843.8%24031d27.2%9.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,04781.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing36.3%16.8%19.0%0.880.911.341.97-0.471.0126.2%16854d36.0%35.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,29116.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing36.3%16.8%19.0%0.880.911.341.97-0.471.0126.2%16854d36.0%35.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,29116.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing31.6%14.8%16.7%0.880.821.221.88-0.451.1026.2%14149d32.3%29.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,17316.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing31.6%14.8%16.7%0.880.821.221.88-0.451.1026.2%14149d32.3%29.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,17316.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing31.6%14.8%16.7%0.880.821.221.88-0.451.0926.2%14148d32.3%29.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,17316.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R050
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050
validation_sizing31.6%14.8%16.7%0.880.821.221.88-0.451.0926.2%14148d32.3%29.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,17316.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development143.7%25.0%13.1%11.9%28.7%33.7%0.871.081.661.750.391.9048.0%25030d24.8%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,05381.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development143.7%25.0%13.1%11.9%28.7%33.7%0.871.081.661.750.391.9048.0%25030d24.8%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,05381.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.6%23.8%13.1%10.7%27.4%33.7%0.871.051.621.710.392.0645.3%25427d24.0%10.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,06883.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.6%23.8%13.1%10.7%27.4%33.7%0.871.051.621.710.392.0645.3%25427d24.0%10.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,06883.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_wide_full
full1427.9%18.6%14.1%4.5%21.6%33.7%0.861.061.602.160.652.7843.7%80640d27.6%10.1%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 806
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$5,992482.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development145.8%25.3%13.1%12.2%29.6%33.7%0.851.081.671.710.392.0445.6%25029d26.2%9.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,10586.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development145.8%25.3%13.1%12.2%29.6%33.7%0.851.081.671.710.392.0445.6%25029d26.2%9.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,10586.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development136.8%24.1%13.1%11.0%28.3%33.7%0.851.031.571.690.392.1943.5%23930d27.2%9.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,04281.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development136.8%24.1%13.1%11.0%28.3%33.7%0.851.031.571.690.392.1943.5%23930d27.2%9.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,04281.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development139.1%24.4%13.1%11.3%28.7%33.7%0.851.041.591.690.382.0944.8%24130d26.4%10.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 241
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,05882.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development139.1%24.4%13.1%11.3%28.7%33.7%0.851.041.591.690.382.0944.8%24130d26.4%10.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 241
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,05882.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development143.1%24.9%13.1%11.8%29.3%33.7%0.851.081.691.730.391.9946.5%25628d24.5%11.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,11386.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development143.1%24.9%13.1%11.8%29.3%33.7%0.851.081.691.730.391.9946.5%25628d24.5%11.0%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,11386.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development145.0%25.2%13.1%12.1%29.8%33.7%0.841.091.691.700.382.0645.2%23929d26.5%13.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,09286.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development145.0%25.2%13.1%12.1%29.8%33.7%0.841.091.691.700.382.0645.2%23929d26.5%13.1%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,09286.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development138.7%24.3%13.1%11.3%28.9%33.7%0.841.031.581.680.382.0844.8%23930d26.6%10.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,06583.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development138.7%24.3%13.1%11.3%28.9%33.7%0.841.031.581.680.382.0844.8%23930d26.6%10.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,06583.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full
full1236.1%17.6%14.1%3.5%21.1%33.7%0.841.111.751.900.502.3544.7%1,51838d21.4%8.8%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,518
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.7%10.0%$7,690605.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2
full1236.1%17.6%14.1%3.5%21.1%33.7%0.841.111.751.900.502.3544.7%1,51838d21.4%8.8%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,518
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.7%10.0%$7,690605.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development138.4%24.3%13.1%11.2%29.1%33.7%0.831.051.611.740.391.9347.4%24930d24.6%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,04280.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development138.4%24.3%13.1%11.2%29.1%33.7%0.831.051.611.740.391.9347.4%24930d24.6%10.9%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$1,04280.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development136.4%24.1%13.1%11.0%29.3%33.7%0.821.031.571.680.382.1144.2%24231d26.5%9.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,06383.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development136.4%24.1%13.1%11.0%29.3%33.7%0.821.031.571.680.382.1144.2%24231d26.5%9.7%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,06383.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing35.2%16.3%20.2%0.810.911.362.270.613.1538.8%18389d35.2%11.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.7%$1,31610.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing35.2%16.3%20.2%0.810.911.362.270.613.1538.8%18389d35.2%11.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.7%$1,31610.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing34.8%16.2%20.1%0.810.901.352.260.974.0838.8%18389d35.3%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,32010.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing34.8%16.2%20.1%0.810.901.352.260.974.0838.8%18389d35.3%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,32010.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development130.7%23.3%13.1%10.2%29.1%33.7%0.801.051.601.660.361.9546.1%25626d23.3%10.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,09185.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development130.7%23.3%13.1%10.2%29.1%33.7%0.801.051.601.660.361.9546.1%25626d23.3%10.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%10.0%$1,09185.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing30.6%14.3%18.0%0.800.801.171.760.072.8827.7%19555d34.2%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,17615.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing30.6%14.3%18.0%0.800.801.171.760.072.8827.7%19555d34.2%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,17615.7×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025
holdout9.2%9.2%18.1%-8.9%11.6%18.8%0.800.751.151.370.242.4336.0%11130d22.6%9.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 111
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1729.3×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2
holdout9.2%9.2%18.1%-8.9%11.6%18.8%0.800.751.151.370.242.4336.0%11130d22.6%9.3%55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 111
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.8%10.0%$1729.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development132.6%23.5%13.1%10.5%29.8%33.7%0.791.031.591.690.361.8647.7%25830d23.7%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 258
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.5%10.0%$1,06982.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development132.6%23.5%13.1%10.5%29.8%33.7%0.791.031.591.690.361.8647.7%25830d23.7%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 258
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.5%10.0%$1,06982.3×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full1523.3%19.0%14.1%4.9%24.1%33.7%0.791.041.662.981.063.4146.6%86235d26.4%9.1%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 862
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.5%10.0%$4,802366.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E1
tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized161.0%14.7%9.2%5.5%18.9%33.7%0.780.981.491.900.451.9549.4%38366d27.9%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 383
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,23078.9×
research
no holdout
THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full1729.2%19.9%14.1%5.8%25.7%33.7%0.781.081.712.310.722.8544.8%83138d29.1%10.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$6,336503.3×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full1729.2%19.9%14.1%5.8%25.7%33.7%0.781.081.712.310.722.8544.8%83138d29.1%10.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$6,336503.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_full
full1729.2%19.9%14.1%5.8%25.7%33.7%0.781.081.712.310.722.8544.8%83138d29.1%10.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$6,336503.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full
full1729.2%19.9%14.1%5.8%25.7%33.7%0.781.081.712.310.722.8544.8%83138d29.1%10.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$6,336503.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2
full1729.2%19.9%14.1%5.8%25.7%33.7%0.781.081.712.310.722.8544.8%83138d29.1%10.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$6,336503.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing27.2%12.8%16.6%0.770.791.171.920.983.5243.8%16295d32.9%9.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,61412.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing27.2%12.8%16.6%0.770.791.171.920.983.5243.8%16295d32.9%9.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,61412.4×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_BX_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2
full1801.0%20.2%14.1%6.1%26.3%33.7%0.771.071.651.950.522.4044.8%1,46238d21.9%8.9%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,462
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.3%10.0%$9,770794.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.7%23.8%13.1%10.7%31.1%33.7%0.771.011.541.660.372.0844.4%23932d27.8%120.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,05482.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.7%23.8%13.1%10.7%31.1%33.7%0.771.011.541.660.372.0844.4%23932d27.8%120.3%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,05482.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.4%23.8%13.1%10.7%31.2%33.7%0.761.011.541.660.362.0644.6%24032d27.5%119.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,05983.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25
equity_curve_tht_recycling_development
development134.4%23.8%13.1%10.7%31.2%33.7%0.761.011.541.660.362.0644.6%24032d27.5%119.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$1,05983.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_025
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation
validation3.6%1.8%25.9%-24.1%2.4%10.0%0.750.701.011.890.482.1846.4%2831d16.6%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%$2472.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_NONE
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation
validation3.6%1.8%25.9%-24.1%2.4%10.0%0.750.701.011.890.482.1846.4%2831d16.6%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%$2472.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_NONE
equity_curve_tht_funnel_validation
validation3.6%1.8%25.9%-24.1%2.4%10.0%0.750.701.011.890.482.1846.4%2831d16.6%7.7%106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 43 → 28
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.4%7.1%$2472.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C10
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized133.4%12.9%17.5%0.740.921.391.890.441.8251.0%34967d27.0%9.8%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 349
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.8%10.0%$1,04463.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing29.9%14.0%19.0%0.740.831.252.101.003.9240.7%19489d35.0%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,35410.6×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing29.9%14.0%19.0%0.740.831.252.101.003.9240.7%19489d35.0%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,35410.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.3%3.5%10.0%0.740.901.341.710.311.3256.4%3936d15.4%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.3%7.2%$562.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.3%3.5%10.0%0.740.901.341.710.311.3256.4%3936d15.4%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.3%7.2%$562.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_CURRENT
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.3%3.5%10.0%0.740.901.341.710.311.3256.4%3936d15.4%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.3%7.2%$562.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_CURRENT
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.3%3.5%10.0%0.740.901.341.710.311.3256.4%3936d15.4%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.3%7.2%$562.9×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025
holdout15.8%15.9%18.1%-2.2%21.7%18.8%0.730.761.201.620.321.6949.0%4932d35.3%23.1%55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 49
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.6%10.0%$1036.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_BREAKEVEN
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation
validation2.8%1.4%25.9%-24.5%1.9%10.0%0.730.741.061.900.451.9050.0%2830d11.7%6.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%$2542.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_CONFIRMED
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.4%3.5%10.0%0.730.650.931.860.462.1546.4%2831d16.6%7.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3502.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_FAILED_RECLAIM
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.4%3.5%10.0%0.730.650.931.860.462.1546.4%2831d16.6%7.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3502.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q0
tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1
tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E0
tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%9.2%4.3%18.6%33.7%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D3
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.0%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8549.7%38266d26.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,18875.0×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_HARD
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202551.0%14.8%20.4%0.720.991.472.820.541.1970.4%243107d12.8%10.6%160,690 → 3,231 → 3,231 → 3,204 → 243
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
7.5%10.0%$39118.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q3
tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized141.6%13.5%18.6%0.720.911.361.830.421.8749.5%38466d26.2%9.4%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,19275.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_DEPTH
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation
validation5.1%2.5%25.9%-23.4%3.5%10.0%0.720.660.941.860.462.1446.4%2831d16.6%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3502.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q2
tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.3%13.5%18.8%0.720.911.361.840.421.8450.0%38466d26.2%9.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,20175.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E3
tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized140.7%13.4%9.2%4.2%18.8%33.7%0.710.911.371.810.422.0047.5%37766d28.7%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 377
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$2,28274.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing28.7%13.5%19.1%0.710.771.141.77-0.500.9725.6%15649d28.6%29.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,19116.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing28.7%13.5%19.1%0.710.771.141.77-0.500.9725.6%15649d28.6%29.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,19116.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_full
full1293.8%17.9%14.1%3.8%25.7%33.7%0.701.001.572.330.732.8045.5%87335d26.8%10.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 873
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$5,113391.3×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_NO_TRIM
tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_holdout_2023_2025
holdout_2023_202537.2%11.2%23.1%-12.0%16.1%18.8%0.690.911.361.830.331.2060.5%22346d16.2%13.0%160,690 → 499 → 499 → 493 → 223
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
44.7%6.9%$33017.3×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q1
tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized131.9%12.8%18.6%0.690.931.361.890.441.8750.3%38265d23.7%9.0%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,13369.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C25
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized113.6%11.5%16.7%0.690.901.351.860.441.9548.9%39165d25.6%9.4%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%25.0%$1,03058.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_R1_R2
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation
validation2.6%1.3%25.9%-24.6%1.9%10.0%0.690.690.981.820.411.8250.0%2831d11.5%6.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%$2542.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full711.4%14.0%14.1%-0.1%20.5%33.7%0.680.901.331.970.532.3246.0%83536d21.0%9.7%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 835
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$4,277324.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing24.4%11.6%17.1%0.680.680.981.670.002.2530.8%29260d28.5%12.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.8%$1,88213.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing24.4%11.6%17.1%0.680.680.981.670.002.2530.8%29260d28.5%12.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.8%$1,88213.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_full
full1402.0%18.5%14.1%4.3%27.2%33.7%0.680.971.562.090.602.5944.7%78338d26.0%11.3%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 783
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.0%10.0%$6,230499.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full
full1876.3%20.5%14.1%6.4%30.2%33.7%0.681.061.621.790.442.2144.8%1,48438d21.7%8.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,484
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.4%10.0%$12,2121015.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2
full1876.3%20.5%14.1%6.4%30.2%33.7%0.681.061.621.790.442.2144.8%1,48438d21.7%8.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,484
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.4%10.0%$12,2121015.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing24.4%11.6%17.1%0.680.680.981.660.032.3430.8%29260d28.5%12.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,88313.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing24.4%11.6%17.1%0.680.680.981.660.032.3430.8%29260d28.5%12.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,88313.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K4
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized115.1%11.6%17.2%0.670.831.241.780.411.9747.5%35671d26.5%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 356
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.9%15.0%$1,04563.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing40.2%18.5%27.4%0.670.711.052.040.170.9559.8%11297d22.8%24.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,48511.1×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing40.2%18.5%27.4%0.670.711.052.040.170.9559.8%11297d22.8%24.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,48511.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample
presample211.2%13.5%-5.3%18.7%20.2%19.3%0.670.871.251.530.291.8545.3%81338d15.4%7.8%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 813
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.3%10.0%$2,809196.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2
presample211.2%13.5%-5.3%18.7%20.2%19.3%0.670.871.251.530.291.8545.3%81338d15.4%7.8%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 813
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.3%10.0%$2,809196.3×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C20
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized110.3%11.2%16.8%0.670.881.321.850.441.9648.5%39066d25.8%9.4%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 390
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%20.0%$1,01857.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation6.7%3.3%25.9%-22.6%4.9%10.0%0.660.981.501.910.391.4357.1%4236d16.0%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.2%$603.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation6.7%3.3%25.9%-22.6%4.9%10.0%0.660.981.501.910.391.4357.1%4236d16.0%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.2%$603.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing23.7%11.3%17.0%0.660.660.961.630.052.3831.0%29059d28.4%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,90013.5×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing23.7%11.3%17.0%0.660.660.961.630.052.3831.0%29059d28.4%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,90013.5×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_LEAD
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202563.1%17.8%26.9%0.660.891.332.100.350.9968.0%31691d15.5%15.2%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,400 → 316
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%9.1%$50823.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation40.4%18.6%25.9%-7.3%28.2%10.0%0.660.711.050.83-0.060.5261.7%12892d21.9%42.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,41710.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation40.4%18.6%25.9%-7.3%28.2%10.0%0.660.711.052.13-0.060.5261.7%12892d21.9%42.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,41710.7×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C25
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized144.3%13.6%20.7%0.660.911.381.810.401.7950.3%37266d26.3%9.8%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 372
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.0%25.0%$1,20577.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_050
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation
validation6.3%3.1%25.9%-22.8%4.8%10.0%0.650.640.911.760.412.0346.4%2831d16.6%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4754.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C20
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized142.7%13.5%20.7%0.650.901.371.800.401.7950.1%37567d26.3%9.8%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 375
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%20.0%$1,20076.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_025
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full
full1651.6%19.6%14.1%5.5%30.2%33.7%0.651.021.541.780.442.2743.9%1,52537d21.5%8.6%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,711 → 15,667 → 1,525
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.7%10.0%$10,973903.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_025
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2
full1651.6%19.6%14.1%5.5%30.2%33.7%0.651.021.541.780.442.2743.9%1,52537d21.5%8.6%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,711 → 15,667 → 1,525
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.7%10.0%$10,973903.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_BLEND
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202535.6%10.7%16.6%0.650.771.122.020.320.9468.3%249112d12.2%13.5%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,399 → 249
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.0%10.0%$38017.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing26.7%12.6%19.5%0.640.741.091.70-0.341.6724.7%16649d26.5%15.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,28516.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R025
equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025
validation_sizing26.7%12.6%19.5%0.640.741.091.70-0.341.6724.7%16649d26.5%15.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,28516.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C25
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized73.8%8.2%12.8%0.640.911.352.090.562.2248.5%39669d24.5%9.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 396
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.3%25.0%$76431.0×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full1390.4%18.4%14.1%4.3%28.6%33.7%0.640.991.562.440.752.6747.7%86836d28.6%9.7%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 868
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.5%10.0%$5,223401.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E2
tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized123.1%12.2%9.2%3.0%19.0%33.7%0.640.841.251.740.381.8648.4%37666d26.6%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 376
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$2,18770.3×
research
no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024150.7%14.0%13.6%0.4%22.0%33.7%0.640.851.281.540.302.0343.1%66834d17.4%9.0%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 668
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$1,703121.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RISK_BX_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2
full1976.2%20.9%14.1%6.8%32.8%33.7%0.641.021.541.820.462.2544.8%1,45238d22.0%8.9%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,452
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.2%10.0%$12,1121003.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_full
full1101.9%16.8%14.1%2.7%26.5%33.7%0.630.941.502.230.672.6545.7%88133d24.6%13.0%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 881
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.6%10.0%$4,868368.8×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_BX_075_025_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2
presample190.6%12.6%-5.3%17.9%19.9%19.3%0.630.871.271.560.311.8645.7%79738d15.3%8.3%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 797
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.0%10.0%$2,463166.2×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing23.0%10.9%17.3%0.630.761.121.990.773.2441.6%20290d32.5%10.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,2449.4×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing23.0%10.9%17.3%0.630.761.121.990.773.2441.6%20290d32.5%10.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,2449.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_R2_R3
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation
validation2.6%1.3%25.9%-24.6%2.0%10.0%0.630.670.951.780.391.7850.0%2831d11.7%6.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.4%$2542.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing40.3%18.5%29.3%0.630.691.032.060.311.2657.7%12395d23.8%18.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,47210.8×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing40.3%18.5%29.3%0.630.691.032.060.311.2657.7%12395d23.8%18.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,47210.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full2027.0%21.1%14.1%6.9%33.3%33.7%0.630.991.501.760.422.2144.3%1,36637d23.4%9.2%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,366
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
8.7%10.0%$13,0041070.3×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K4
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022166.1%15.0%23.8%0.630.841.251.680.372.0145.5%34371d26.0%9.7%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$1,31490.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U3
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022166.1%15.0%23.8%0.630.841.251.680.372.0145.5%34371d26.0%9.7%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$1,31490.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C15
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized107.6%11.0%17.5%0.630.871.311.840.431.9448.7%39266d25.8%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 392
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,00455.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation23.5%11.2%25.9%-14.7%17.7%10.0%0.630.811.201.710.412.2643.1%5148d22.6%19.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.7%25.0%$16812.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation23.5%11.2%25.9%-14.7%17.7%10.0%0.630.811.201.710.412.2643.1%5148d22.6%19.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.7%25.0%$16812.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C20
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized72.2%8.1%12.8%0.630.891.322.050.552.2647.6%39769d24.8%9.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 397
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.3%20.0%$76230.6×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.9%14.5%23.1%0.630.640.921.79-0.250.3256.9%109108d23.8%74.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,32210.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.9%14.5%23.1%0.630.640.921.79-0.250.3256.9%109108d23.8%74.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,32210.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.9%14.4%23.1%0.630.640.921.79-0.260.2957.4%108107d23.1%79.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,31910.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.9%14.4%23.1%0.630.640.921.79-0.260.2957.4%108107d23.1%79.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,31910.3×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C10
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized114.6%11.6%18.5%0.620.831.241.740.381.8448.7%34167d26.3%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 341
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.7%10.0%$1,02563.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T3
tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized121.9%12.1%19.4%0.620.901.331.970.512.2047.2%37760d25.0%9.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,234 → 9,206 → 377
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 205 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$98856.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_RESEARCH_FINALIST_K3
tht_revised_post_selection_combined_2016_2025
post_selection_combined_2016_2025234.7%13.7%22.0%0.620.941.441.870.472.1846.2%58761d25.5%9.9%441,911 → 14,004 → 13,910 → 13,868 → 587
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 332 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,830114.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D0
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized122.8%12.2%19.8%0.610.851.271.800.411.9148.4%38265d25.9%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,11668.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing36.3%16.8%27.4%0.610.680.991.96-0.040.6159.3%108100d24.5%40.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,43511.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing36.3%16.8%27.4%0.610.680.991.96-0.040.6159.3%108100d24.5%40.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,43511.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.1%14.1%23.0%0.610.640.911.76-0.250.3157.4%108112d25.2%82.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,32010.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.1%14.1%23.0%0.610.640.911.76-0.250.3157.4%108112d25.2%82.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,32010.3×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing19.6%9.4%15.4%0.610.580.841.510.082.5930.0%31358d28.5%11.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,02414.0×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing19.6%9.4%15.4%0.610.580.841.510.082.5930.0%31358d28.5%11.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,02414.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_BX_075_050_000
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2
presample211.2%13.5%-5.3%18.7%22.2%19.3%0.610.841.211.510.281.8045.6%79338d15.2%8.7%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 793
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.0%10.0%$2,857199.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K3
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022181.3%16.0%26.5%0.600.931.371.780.422.1145.8%34371d23.5%9.7%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$1,35292.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U3
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022181.3%16.0%26.5%0.600.931.371.780.422.1145.8%34371d23.5%9.7%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$1,35292.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K3
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized115.2%11.6%19.3%0.600.811.261.740.402.0246.3%34872d26.6%9.8%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 348
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.8%15.0%$1,06364.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_NO_FV
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation6.7%3.3%25.9%-22.6%5.5%10.0%0.600.941.401.880.381.4756.1%4141d18.4%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.2%$583.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_NO_FV
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation6.7%3.3%25.9%-22.6%5.5%10.0%0.600.941.401.880.381.4756.1%4141d18.4%12.4%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.2%$583.0×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_TRIM25
tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_holdout_2023_2025
holdout_2023_202530.9%9.4%23.1%-13.7%15.8%18.8%0.600.811.191.740.291.1360.6%22646d14.6%12.5%160,690 → 499 → 499 → 493 → 226
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
45.3%6.9%$35517.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing31.8%14.9%25.1%0.590.640.931.83-0.250.2659.1%110115d22.8%86.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,36310.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing31.8%14.9%25.1%0.590.640.931.83-0.250.2659.1%110115d22.8%86.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,36310.3×
research
no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024168.7%15.2%13.6%1.6%25.7%33.7%0.590.801.191.560.322.0842.8%66432d18.2%9.4%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 664
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects
3.2%20.0%$1,655116.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C15
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized66.7%7.6%12.9%0.590.841.242.000.522.1947.7%39468d24.4%9.2%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 394
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.3%15.0%$74729.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation
validation7.9%3.9%25.9%-22.0%6.6%10.0%0.590.590.831.670.361.9346.4%2831d16.5%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$6585.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized120.9%12.0%20.6%0.580.811.261.740.402.0446.1%38466d25.0%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,15170.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized120.9%12.0%20.6%0.580.811.261.740.402.0446.1%38466d25.0%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,15170.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D1
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized120.9%12.0%20.6%0.580.811.261.740.402.0446.1%38466d25.0%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,15170.9×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H2
tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202527.3%8.4%23.1%-14.7%14.6%18.8%0.570.821.231.600.362.4039.9%21344d21.9%9.3%160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 213
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects
4.5%10.0%$43120.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C10
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized103.1%10.7%18.6%0.570.891.331.910.472.0448.4%38065d26.1%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 380
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%10.0%$92048.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_100
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation
validation7.8%3.9%25.9%-22.0%6.8%10.0%0.570.560.791.660.351.9146.4%2831d16.5%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$6675.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024121.0%12.0%13.6%-1.6%21.1%33.7%0.570.821.171.570.301.7247.9%62736d11.8%7.1%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 627
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,671119.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D3
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized115.7%11.6%20.6%0.560.801.241.720.392.0146.1%38466d25.0%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,13869.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K1
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized106.1%10.9%19.5%0.560.791.241.830.421.8749.4%33870d25.6%9.9%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 338
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$96954.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D0
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized120.5%12.0%21.4%0.560.811.251.750.422.2343.9%39065d25.5%9.4%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 390
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,16372.3×
research
no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024164.7%14.9%13.6%1.3%26.7%33.7%0.560.801.221.520.291.9244.2%67032d16.3%8.3%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 670
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%15.0%$1,962146.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_IMMEDIATE
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation
validation4.4%2.2%25.9%-23.7%4.0%10.0%0.550.610.871.730.392.0046.4%2827d15.8%7.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3472.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E1
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation4.4%2.2%25.9%-23.7%4.0%10.0%0.550.610.871.730.392.0046.4%2827d15.8%7.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3472.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E1_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation4.4%2.2%25.9%-23.7%4.0%10.0%0.550.610.871.730.392.0046.4%2827d15.8%7.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3472.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K1
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized101.5%10.5%19.2%0.550.771.211.790.411.9747.6%31375d25.7%10.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 313
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.4%15.0%$93653.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development32.8%7.4%13.1%-5.7%13.5%33.7%0.550.911.412.070.562.3047.4%13338d33.3%11.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.1%$20610.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development32.8%7.4%13.1%-5.7%13.5%33.7%0.550.911.412.070.562.3047.4%13338d33.3%11.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.1%$20610.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing33.3%15.5%28.6%0.540.630.921.860.060.8158.7%13397d22.3%27.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,44410.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing33.3%15.5%28.6%0.540.630.921.860.060.8158.7%13397d22.3%27.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,44410.7×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_025
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample
presample172.1%11.8%-5.3%17.1%21.7%19.3%0.540.771.101.470.261.8644.3%84737d14.8%8.3%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,119 → 6,113 → 847
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.8%10.0%$2,574175.3×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_075_050_025
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2
presample172.1%11.8%-5.3%17.1%21.7%19.3%0.540.771.101.470.261.8644.3%84737d14.8%8.3%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,119 → 6,113 → 847
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
13.8%10.0%$2,574175.3×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E4
tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized103.3%10.7%9.2%1.5%19.7%33.7%0.540.751.121.630.331.8446.9%37566d26.8%9.8%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 375
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$3,74366.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024116.1%11.6%13.6%-2.0%21.9%33.7%0.530.851.211.630.321.6849.2%65636d11.8%7.2%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 656
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,591108.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C10
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized67.7%7.7%14.4%0.530.871.282.040.552.2747.3%38566d24.8%9.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 385
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$72829.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024122.2%12.1%13.6%-1.5%22.9%33.7%0.530.771.151.470.271.9343.2%65133d15.8%8.8%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,297 → 651
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.2%10.0%$1,599112.6×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202545.0%13.2%25.2%0.530.711.061.840.321.1461.6%245113d18.1%15.8%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 245
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.0%10.0%$38018.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_PREF
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202540.7%12.1%23.4%0.520.781.152.420.471.1967.0%236117d13.1%10.2%160,690 → 4,428 → 4,428 → 4,394 → 236
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
5.3%9.7%$36516.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_PREF
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202535.0%10.5%20.6%0.510.691.022.050.361.0765.8%234115d13.7%11.8%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 234
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.6%8.1%$35416.1×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_full
full735.5%14.2%14.1%0.1%27.9%33.7%0.510.781.261.850.472.2744.8%83433d21.4%11.8%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 834
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.3%10.0%$4,658357.2×
research
no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024161.2%14.7%13.6%1.1%29.0%33.7%0.510.891.341.550.301.9144.8%71232d15.9%8.3%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 712
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,907139.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024106.1%10.9%13.6%-2.7%21.5%33.7%0.510.721.051.440.251.9342.7%67433d17.0%8.9%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 674
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$1,525104.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024106.1%10.9%13.6%-2.7%21.5%33.7%0.510.721.051.440.251.9342.7%67433d17.0%8.9%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 674
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$1,525104.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.7%14.4%28.4%0.510.620.901.77-0.060.5759.8%10798d23.6%41.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,38110.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.7%14.4%28.4%0.510.620.901.77-0.060.5759.8%10798d23.6%41.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,38110.7×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H1
tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202528.1%8.6%23.1%-14.5%17.1%18.8%0.510.741.091.480.292.2539.6%23544d22.4%10.3%160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 235
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects
4.9%15.0%$47822.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024103.3%10.7%13.6%-2.9%21.2%33.7%0.500.701.041.390.221.8742.7%66132d16.7%8.8%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 661
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.2%10.0%$1,618113.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full564.8%12.6%14.1%-1.5%25.1%33.7%0.500.801.161.820.462.3343.9%79841d21.6%9.5%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 798
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$3,652290.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.4%14.2%28.5%0.500.620.891.76-0.060.5660.4%10699d23.6%42.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,37710.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075
validation_sizing30.4%14.2%28.5%0.500.620.891.76-0.060.5660.4%10699d23.6%42.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,37710.7×
research
no holdout
THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_presample
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075
equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2
presample133.4%9.9%-5.3%15.2%20.4%19.3%0.480.751.101.520.291.9843.4%45440d18.1%9.1%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,734116.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full676.6%13.7%14.1%-0.4%28.4%33.7%0.480.841.221.780.452.4242.5%77741d26.6%31.4%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 777
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
4.9%10.0%$4,115327.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024178.5%15.8%13.6%2.2%32.9%33.7%0.480.821.231.620.362.2042.4%64833d19.1%9.4%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 648
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects
3.2%15.0%$1,564108.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202495.0%10.0%13.6%-3.6%21.1%33.7%0.480.771.081.500.261.6248.2%66435d12.3%7.4%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 664
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,558104.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202495.0%10.0%13.6%-3.6%21.1%33.7%0.480.771.081.500.261.6248.2%66435d12.3%7.4%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 664
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,558104.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202495.0%10.0%13.6%-3.6%21.1%33.7%0.480.771.081.500.261.6248.2%66435d12.3%7.4%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 664
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,558104.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202499.9%10.4%13.6%-3.2%21.9%33.7%0.470.761.071.500.261.6148.2%71136d10.9%6.9%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,062 → 711
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.7%15.0%$1,711116.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation18.9%9.1%25.9%-16.8%19.4%10.0%0.470.650.951.560.322.0842.9%5645d23.0%15.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 56
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.9%15.0%$16811.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation
validation18.9%9.1%25.9%-16.8%19.4%10.0%0.470.650.951.560.322.0842.9%5645d23.0%15.0%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 56
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.9%15.0%$16811.9×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_HARD
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202530.3%9.2%19.7%0.470.630.921.920.321.0365.1%212125d13.2%12.7%160,690 → 6,427 → 6,427 → 6,378 → 212
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.3%9.8%$32514.9×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025
locked_holdout_20257.8%7.9%18.1%-10.3%16.9%18.8%0.470.500.691.250.141.5844.2%10433d14.3%8.5%55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,483 → 104
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects
2.9%15.0%$18711.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024122.2%12.1%13.6%-1.5%26.1%33.7%0.460.761.121.470.271.9043.7%70334d16.8%8.6%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 703
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.4%15.0%$1,643114.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T2
tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized128.4%12.6%27.1%0.460.821.211.840.442.0647.2%37557d24.8%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,234 → 9,206 → 375
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 205 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,06964.2×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T0
tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized141.3%13.4%29.0%0.460.781.131.680.361.8847.2%37356d25.9%9.6%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,234 → 9,206 → 373
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 205 band rejects
4.0%15.0%$1,28085.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202497.4%10.2%13.6%-3.4%22.1%33.7%0.460.761.061.510.271.6747.5%66336d12.7%7.3%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 663
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,516105.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202497.4%10.2%13.6%-3.4%22.1%33.7%0.460.761.061.510.271.6747.5%66336d12.7%7.3%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 663
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,516105.2×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_presample
presample138.4%10.2%-5.3%15.4%22.1%19.3%0.460.761.121.550.312.0343.2%42140d16.8%10.0%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 421
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.9%10.0%$1,713119.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_FULL
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202482.8%9.0%13.6%-4.6%19.6%33.7%0.460.680.951.400.211.6246.3%72632d11.6%7.5%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 726
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.8%10.0%$1,611110.3×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H0
tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202524.7%7.7%23.1%-15.4%17.0%18.8%0.450.670.981.430.262.2239.1%23544d21.3%10.2%160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 235
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects
4.9%15.0%$47422.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024138.2%13.2%13.6%-0.4%29.5%33.7%0.450.791.181.470.261.8344.5%71632d16.4%8.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,295 → 716
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,870135.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202493.8%9.9%13.6%-3.7%22.5%33.7%0.440.751.061.510.271.6847.4%64835d11.8%7.2%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 648
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$1,531103.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024124.8%12.3%13.6%-1.3%28.1%33.7%0.440.691.021.410.241.9741.7%61633d18.0%9.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 616
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects
3.0%25.0%$1,640119.0×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE
equity_curve_tht_wide_presample
presample120.9%9.2%-5.3%14.5%21.1%19.3%0.440.701.011.470.272.0441.9%44140d17.9%9.4%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 441
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.2%10.0%$1,687113.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202487.0%9.4%13.6%-4.3%21.9%33.7%0.430.660.941.420.231.7245.2%62235d11.3%7.0%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 622
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.1%25.0%$1,638116.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024131.9%12.8%13.6%-0.8%29.9%33.7%0.430.791.181.450.261.8643.9%71031d15.7%8.0%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,293 → 710
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,861135.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024109.8%11.2%13.6%-2.4%26.2%33.7%0.430.650.991.400.231.9641.7%64833d16.7%8.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,303 → 648
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.2%20.0%$1,747127.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024105.2%10.8%13.6%-2.8%25.4%33.7%0.430.650.971.380.221.9541.4%63732d16.3%8.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,302 → 637
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.1%25.0%$1,757129.5×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202533.2%10.1%24.0%0.420.610.901.900.341.1562.4%226119d15.0%13.1%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 226
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%10.0%$33715.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024149.5%14.0%13.6%0.3%33.6%33.7%0.420.761.121.510.292.0242.9%64832d16.8%9.3%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 648
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects
3.2%25.0%$1,608113.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development163.5%27.5%13.1%14.4%66.1%33.7%0.420.751.100.67-0.252.2423.1%42046d73.1%32.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$10,40283.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development163.5%27.5%13.1%14.4%66.1%33.7%0.420.751.101.56-0.252.2423.1%42046d73.1%32.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$10,40283.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing19.6%9.4%22.7%0.410.470.671.46-0.350.1556.5%138104d22.5%150.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,2849.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing19.6%9.4%22.7%0.410.470.671.46-0.350.1556.5%138104d22.5%150.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,2849.8×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample169.7%11.7%-5.3%16.9%28.2%19.3%0.410.711.011.400.221.6945.4%74537d15.5%8.7%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 745
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
12.2%10.0%$2,872200.3×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample169.7%11.7%-5.3%16.9%28.2%19.3%0.410.711.011.400.221.6945.4%74537d15.5%8.7%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 745
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
12.2%10.0%$2,872200.3×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample169.7%11.7%-5.3%16.9%28.2%19.3%0.410.711.011.400.221.6945.4%74537d15.5%8.7%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 745
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
12.2%10.0%$2,872200.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_BLEND
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202523.7%7.4%18.0%0.410.570.831.750.240.8268.1%232120d10.9%13.3%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,998 → 232
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.6%10.0%$35015.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202474.8%8.3%13.6%-5.3%20.3%33.7%0.410.650.911.430.231.6546.6%63835d11.0%7.5%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,057 → 638
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$1,44295.5×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_HARD
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202530.8%9.4%23.1%0.410.580.851.710.281.1060.9%207129d16.7%15.2%160,690 → 8,862 → 8,862 → 8,794 → 207
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%9.8%$32014.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full494.8%11.8%14.1%-2.3%29.0%33.7%0.410.731.071.850.502.6441.2%80939d24.6%10.9%661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 809
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.1%10.0%$3,088232.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D2
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized67.4%7.6%19.1%0.400.630.891.490.261.6747.2%37364d20.2%9.9%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 373
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.0%15.0%$1,00357.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E5
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation6.2%3.1%25.9%-22.8%7.7%10.0%0.400.330.491.230.152.3834.0%9726d19.9%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,44110.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E5_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation6.2%3.1%25.9%-22.8%7.7%10.0%0.400.330.491.230.152.3834.0%9726d19.9%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,44110.0×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_ALL
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202530.3%9.2%23.3%0.400.570.841.880.331.1162.9%210129d14.9%13.2%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$31214.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_EQ
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202530.3%9.2%23.3%0.400.570.841.880.331.1162.9%210129d14.9%13.2%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$31214.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_CURRENT
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202530.3%9.2%23.3%0.400.570.841.880.331.1162.9%210129d14.9%13.2%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$31214.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D25
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202530.3%9.2%23.3%0.400.570.841.880.331.1162.9%210129d14.9%13.2%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$31214.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202476.3%8.4%13.6%-5.2%21.4%33.7%0.390.600.851.400.211.5747.1%63235d11.8%7.3%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 632
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.1%15.0%$1,501101.7×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_ALL
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202536.5%10.9%27.8%0.390.600.901.840.291.0064.8%213129d17.3%15.5%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%9.6%$32315.2×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_EQ
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202536.5%10.9%27.8%0.390.600.901.840.291.0064.8%213129d17.3%15.5%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%9.6%$32315.2×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_CURRENT
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202536.5%10.9%27.8%0.390.600.901.840.291.0064.8%213129d17.3%15.5%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%9.6%$32315.2×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D25
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202536.5%10.9%27.8%0.390.600.901.840.291.0064.8%213129d17.3%15.5%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%9.6%$32315.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_BLEND
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202478.8%8.7%13.6%-4.9%22.1%33.7%0.390.630.871.360.211.8342.7%63238d14.6%8.5%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,073 → 632
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.1%10.0%$1,39895.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_TRIM50
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024116.0%11.6%13.6%-2.0%29.8%33.7%0.390.751.091.490.271.7745.7%67636d17.0%8.5%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,297 → 676
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$1,643112.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024124.1%12.2%13.6%-1.4%31.6%33.7%0.390.771.131.430.241.8144.1%72332d16.6%8.5%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 723
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,836132.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024124.1%12.2%13.6%-1.4%31.6%33.7%0.390.771.131.430.241.8144.1%72332d16.6%8.5%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 723
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,836132.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C10
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024124.1%12.2%13.6%-1.4%31.6%33.7%0.390.771.131.430.241.8144.1%72332d16.6%8.5%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 723
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,836132.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024120.3%11.9%13.6%-1.7%30.9%33.7%0.390.751.091.500.281.8844.4%67236d17.9%8.4%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 672
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$1,613113.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024120.3%11.9%13.6%-1.7%30.9%33.7%0.390.751.091.500.281.8844.4%67236d17.9%8.4%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 672
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$1,613113.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202483.8%9.1%13.6%-4.5%23.6%33.7%0.390.660.931.400.211.5946.7%69135d11.4%7.2%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,061 → 691
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.5%20.0%$1,691116.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development12.5%3.0%13.1%-10.1%7.8%33.7%0.390.570.801.430.282.7734.1%13240d32.6%9.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.2%$1919.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development12.5%3.0%13.1%-10.1%7.8%33.7%0.390.570.801.430.282.7734.1%13240d32.6%9.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.2%$1919.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_CURRENT
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development12.5%3.0%13.1%-10.1%7.8%33.7%0.390.570.801.430.282.7734.1%13240d32.6%9.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.2%$1919.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_CURRENT
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development12.5%3.0%13.1%-10.1%7.8%33.7%0.390.570.801.430.282.7734.1%13240d32.6%9.6%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.2%$1919.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202475.1%8.3%13.6%-5.3%21.8%33.7%0.380.600.841.380.211.6645.5%63534d11.0%7.0%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 635
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.2%20.0%$1,569108.4×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202533.9%10.3%26.8%0.380.570.851.710.261.0063.1%222122d17.2%16.4%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 222
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$33415.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_management
full_2019_2025382.5%25.2%17.2%8.1%66.1%33.7%0.380.751.111.84-0.122.3326.3%63655d60.9%26.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$17,379136.6×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_RECOVERY
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202532.4%9.8%26.1%0.380.580.851.700.240.9165.0%220126d16.4%16.3%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,399 → 220
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$33415.4×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_PREF
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202529.8%9.1%24.1%0.380.550.801.600.231.0061.5%226125d16.8%16.4%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,400 → 226
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%8.9%$34315.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202496.3%10.1%13.6%-3.5%26.8%33.7%0.380.650.941.370.211.8542.6%69733d16.7%8.9%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 697
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.4%25.0%$1,586108.9×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202532.8%9.9%26.4%0.380.560.831.660.250.9962.6%222117d17.6%16.2%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 222
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$33816.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_BLEND
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202474.1%8.3%13.6%-5.4%21.9%33.7%0.380.630.881.340.191.7044.1%64438d13.9%8.6%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,072 → 644
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$1,47496.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024105.1%10.8%13.6%-2.8%28.9%33.7%0.370.670.961.380.211.7344.3%75633d14.9%8.0%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,293 → 756
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$1,840130.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024105.3%10.8%13.6%-2.8%29.1%33.7%0.370.640.951.360.211.7843.5%60331d16.1%8.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,303 → 603
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
2.9%20.0%$1,760131.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_RISK_100
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development
development70.4%14.3%13.1%1.2%38.7%33.7%0.370.530.931.810.574.2130.1%9333d50.5%10.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,20426.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024108.1%11.1%13.6%-2.6%30.0%33.7%0.370.680.991.370.201.7244.3%75032d15.5%8.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 750
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.7%20.0%$1,888135.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202468.9%7.8%13.6%-5.8%21.2%33.7%0.370.580.801.380.211.6046.3%56634d10.5%6.8%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,065 → 566
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
3.7%20.0%$1,449101.5×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_LEAD
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202528.6%8.8%24.0%0.370.580.831.620.200.7767.8%30791d11.1%14.3%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,997 → 307
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.4%9.4%$46520.4×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202535.9%10.8%29.5%0.370.610.901.680.271.1260.0%245108d17.1%14.6%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 245
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.0%10.0%$37317.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202474.7%8.3%13.6%-5.3%22.8%33.7%0.360.580.801.340.191.5945.9%65435d11.7%7.4%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 654
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%25.0%$1,620111.6×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_ALL
tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202528.9%8.9%24.4%0.360.610.911.860.331.1561.8%233123d13.3%11.4%160,690 → 4,428 → 4,428 → 4,393 → 233
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
5.3%9.9%$34815.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing23.6%11.2%31.0%0.360.510.731.560.020.7458.6%12899d22.1%30.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,41210.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing23.6%11.2%31.0%0.360.510.731.560.020.7458.6%12899d22.1%30.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,41210.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation5.3%2.6%25.9%-23.3%7.3%10.0%0.360.560.781.610.331.8546.5%4344d26.0%13.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$582.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation
validation5.3%2.6%25.9%-23.3%7.3%10.0%0.360.560.781.610.331.8546.5%4344d26.0%13.9%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$582.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202490.8%9.7%13.6%-3.9%27.1%33.7%0.360.630.911.360.211.8442.4%70133d16.7%8.9%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 701
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.4%20.0%$1,565106.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_TRIM25
tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202262.3%7.2%9.2%-2.0%20.1%33.7%0.360.550.831.840.301.0364.1%46049d11.7%11.0%302,663 → 1,112 → 1,112 → 1,110 → 460
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
41.4%10.0%$74636.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202471.8%8.0%13.6%-5.6%22.8%33.7%0.350.600.841.350.191.5546.6%68435d10.9%7.1%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,062 → 684
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.5%25.0%$1,640111.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202472.7%8.1%13.6%-5.5%23.1%33.7%0.350.620.861.330.181.6544.7%64937d14.5%8.6%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,072 → 649
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,47496.9×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202527.5%8.5%24.1%0.350.530.791.650.261.1159.8%224120d15.2%14.2%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 224
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%10.0%$33315.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_RS
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202469.3%7.8%13.6%-5.8%22.4%33.7%0.350.540.781.280.161.7242.7%72231d15.4%9.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 722
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,540102.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024103.7%10.7%13.6%-2.9%30.8%33.7%0.350.660.961.360.201.6944.6%73733d15.4%8.1%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 737
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.6%25.0%$1,848132.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202475.8%8.4%13.6%-5.2%24.2%33.7%0.350.620.861.350.201.7443.8%64037d14.8%8.5%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,071 → 640
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$1,40795.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202489.8%9.6%13.6%-4.0%27.7%33.7%0.350.580.851.340.201.9440.8%58831d15.0%7.9%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,304 → 588
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
2.9%25.0%$1,687125.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202469.4%7.8%13.6%-5.8%22.7%33.7%0.340.560.781.340.181.6045.5%67334d11.1%7.4%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,064 → 673
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.4%20.0%$1,598108.2×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H3
tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202528.7%8.8%23.1%-14.3%25.8%18.8%0.340.520.771.590.230.9961.6%203128d18.3%17.7%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 203
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.6%9.8%$30714.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0_K4
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022102.2%10.6%31.1%0.340.620.901.500.322.6136.5%41159d22.3%7.9%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 411
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.2%15.0%$1,29285.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202471.2%8.0%13.6%-5.6%23.5%33.7%0.340.570.801.330.181.6045.5%68335d11.5%7.5%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,062 → 683
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.5%15.0%$1,603107.9×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H1
tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202525.7%7.9%23.1%-15.2%23.4%18.8%0.340.510.761.660.261.0461.5%205127d15.1%14.9%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 205
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$30214.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_NO_TRIM
tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202262.5%7.2%9.2%-2.0%21.3%33.7%0.340.550.821.800.291.0263.9%45149d12.3%11.7%302,663 → 1,112 → 1,112 → 1,110 → 451
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
40.6%10.0%$67535.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202296.3%10.1%30.1%0.340.630.901.490.322.8134.6%45155d27.5%7.3%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 451
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,36590.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202296.3%10.1%30.1%0.340.630.901.490.322.8134.6%45155d27.5%7.3%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 451
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,36590.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized92.9%9.9%29.5%0.330.691.051.600.352.3340.7%39159d24.6%7.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,18876.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K0
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized92.9%9.9%29.5%0.330.691.051.600.352.3340.7%39159d24.6%7.3%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,18876.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_075
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development
development60.5%12.6%13.1%-0.5%38.1%33.7%0.330.500.861.780.544.1230.1%9333d50.5%10.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,95724.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202294.5%10.0%30.3%0.330.620.891.490.322.9233.8%44755d27.9%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 447
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,34589.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202294.5%10.0%30.3%0.330.620.891.490.322.9233.8%44755d27.9%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 447
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,34589.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0_K0
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202294.5%10.0%30.3%0.330.620.891.490.322.9233.8%44755d27.9%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 447
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,34589.3×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H2
tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202525.1%7.8%23.1%-15.3%23.7%18.8%0.330.500.751.640.240.9962.4%210123d15.1%14.5%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 210
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$30814.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202527.3%8.4%25.6%0.330.530.781.670.251.0062.4%226119d14.7%14.3%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 226
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%10.0%$33515.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_DEPTH
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development
development36.8%8.2%13.1%-4.9%25.1%33.7%0.330.450.731.850.594.2930.1%9333d50.5%10.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,51912.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0_K3
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202270.9%8.0%24.6%0.320.520.751.360.222.1938.4%41963d21.6%8.7%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 419
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,23078.0×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H0
tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025
locked_holdout_2023_202524.3%7.5%23.1%-15.6%23.4%18.8%0.320.490.721.630.251.0461.2%201130d15.0%14.0%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 201
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$29814.0×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025
confirmation_2023_202528.3%8.7%27.1%0.320.550.811.640.271.1957.9%252105d14.4%12.7%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 252
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.8%10.0%$37717.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing21.8%10.4%32.5%0.320.480.691.51-0.050.6358.1%12998d22.1%35.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,38910.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing21.8%10.4%32.5%0.320.480.691.51-0.050.6358.1%12998d22.1%35.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,38910.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full
full633.9%13.3%14.1%-0.8%41.8%33.7%0.320.681.011.480.282.1440.9%1,35338d23.4%9.8%661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,353
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
8.6%10.0%$6,602520.2×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202274.8%8.3%26.2%0.320.610.891.530.322.4338.6%36362d20.9%7.0%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 363
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.9%15.0%$1,08768.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K0
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202274.8%8.3%26.2%0.320.610.891.530.322.4338.6%36362d20.9%7.0%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 363
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.9%15.0%$1,08768.9×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample76.7%6.5%-5.3%11.8%20.6%19.3%0.320.530.761.350.191.6944.3%48535d13.9%8.9%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 485
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.9%10.0%$1,606108.0×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample76.7%6.5%-5.3%11.8%20.6%19.3%0.320.530.761.350.191.6944.3%48535d13.9%8.9%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 485
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.9%10.0%$1,606108.0×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample76.7%6.5%-5.3%11.8%20.6%19.3%0.320.530.761.350.191.6944.3%48535d13.9%8.9%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 485
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.9%10.0%$1,606108.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_CONFIRMED
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development
development37.8%8.3%13.1%-4.7%26.4%33.7%0.320.450.731.810.553.9831.2%9339d50.9%11.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,54312.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_FAILED_RECLAIM
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development
development37.8%8.3%13.1%-4.7%26.4%33.7%0.320.450.731.810.553.9831.2%9339d50.9%11.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,54312.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_2024112.1%11.3%13.6%-2.3%36.0%33.7%0.320.650.951.360.211.9441.2%64132d17.8%9.3%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 641
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.1%15.0%$1,613113.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_BASE
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202483.5%9.1%13.6%-4.5%28.8%33.7%0.320.580.841.400.242.2038.9%63339d20.3%8.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,309 → 633
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.1%10.0%$1,38293.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_ATH_ARM
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202465.5%7.5%13.6%-6.1%23.7%33.7%0.310.610.841.360.191.5347.0%64236d10.6%7.5%332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,370 → 642
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 655 band rejects
5.6%10.0%$1,42998.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202486.1%9.3%13.6%-4.3%29.5%33.7%0.310.580.831.330.201.9340.8%56130d14.7%8.9%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,301 → 561
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
2.7%25.0%$1,459105.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_BREAKEVEN
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development
development14.2%3.4%13.1%-9.7%10.8%33.7%0.310.450.721.820.533.3635.1%9430d31.4%8.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%$8976.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K2
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202285.0%9.2%30.1%0.310.620.901.520.332.7036.1%39167d23.6%7.4%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,13973.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202486.4%9.3%13.6%-4.3%30.5%33.7%0.310.610.861.330.191.9141.1%64238d19.9%10.1%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,310 → 642
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.1%10.0%$1,42997.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_ATH_FULL
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202451.3%6.1%13.6%-7.5%20.1%33.7%0.300.520.711.250.131.4845.8%71631d10.0%7.4%332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,368 → 716
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 654 band rejects
6.2%10.0%$1,572107.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X4
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202283.8%9.1%30.0%0.300.600.831.440.292.7634.3%42059d27.8%7.3%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 420
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,27684.8×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_PAYOFF
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202515.2%4.9%16.1%0.300.430.611.410.150.8363.0%257110d10.1%11.6%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 257
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.1%9.1%$39116.7×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202281.3%8.9%29.4%0.300.590.821.440.292.8333.7%41860d27.9%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 418
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.2%15.0%$1,27583.7×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G0
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202281.3%8.9%29.4%0.300.590.821.440.292.8333.7%41860d27.9%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 418
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.2%15.0%$1,27583.7×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202281.3%8.9%29.4%0.300.590.821.440.292.8133.9%41960d27.7%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 419
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,27783.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G0
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202281.3%8.9%29.4%0.300.590.821.440.292.8133.9%41960d27.7%7.2%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 419
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,27783.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X4
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202283.1%9.0%30.0%0.300.600.831.440.292.7434.4%42159d27.6%7.3%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 421
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,27684.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C15
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized71.7%8.0%26.7%0.300.570.831.440.241.6746.2%35766d25.2%9.9%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 357
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.9%15.0%$1,03062.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_BLEND
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202499.3%10.4%13.6%-3.3%34.5%33.7%0.300.680.971.380.221.9741.3%64937d20.2%9.5%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,308 → 649
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.2%10.0%$1,508104.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized83.2%9.0%30.2%0.300.640.971.550.332.3739.6%40755d23.9%7.2%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 407
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.4%15.0%$1,19175.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K0
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized83.2%9.0%30.2%0.300.640.971.550.332.3739.6%40755d23.9%7.2%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 407
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.4%15.0%$1,19175.7×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X2
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202279.2%8.7%29.1%0.300.560.761.430.303.0432.0%36561d28.7%7.5%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 365
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.0%15.0%$1,03677.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_ATH_TRIM50
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202458.6%6.8%13.6%-6.8%22.9%33.7%0.300.580.801.320.171.4847.1%64536d10.3%7.5%332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,370 → 645
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 655 band rejects
5.6%10.0%$1,46597.0×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P100
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202526.5%8.2%27.6%0.300.480.721.510.190.9262.1%227125d16.6%18.0%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,538 → 227
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$34215.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X2
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202276.7%8.5%29.1%0.290.550.751.420.293.0731.7%36661d28.7%7.4%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 366
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.0%15.0%$1,02976.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development25.2%5.8%13.1%-7.3%20.0%33.7%0.290.440.721.670.453.3433.3%13232d42.2%10.2%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.5%$21511.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development25.2%5.8%13.1%-7.3%20.0%33.7%0.290.440.721.670.453.3433.3%13232d42.2%10.2%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.5%$21511.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development25.2%5.8%13.1%-7.3%20.0%33.7%0.290.440.721.670.453.3433.3%13232d42.2%10.2%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.5%$21511.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development25.2%5.8%13.1%-7.3%20.0%33.7%0.290.440.721.670.453.3433.3%13232d42.2%10.2%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.5%$21511.3×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample103.7%8.2%-5.3%13.5%28.4%19.3%0.290.630.911.420.242.0241.2%41343d17.5%48.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 413
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.7%10.0%$1,450103.7×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample103.7%8.2%-5.3%13.5%28.4%19.3%0.290.630.911.420.242.0241.2%41343d17.5%48.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 413
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.7%10.0%$1,450103.7×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample103.7%8.2%-5.3%13.5%28.4%19.3%0.290.630.911.420.242.0241.2%41343d17.5%48.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 413
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.7%10.0%$1,450103.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing18.6%8.9%31.2%0.290.440.651.490.161.0556.7%20197d21.8%20.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,3029.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing18.6%8.9%31.2%0.290.440.651.490.161.0556.7%20197d21.8%20.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,3029.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C25
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized68.6%7.8%27.6%0.280.550.801.400.221.6246.4%35865d24.9%9.9%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 358
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.9%25.0%$1,05865.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_050
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development
development39.4%8.7%13.1%-4.4%30.9%33.7%0.280.440.741.740.524.0530.1%9333d50.5%10.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,95715.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C20
tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized68.6%7.8%27.8%0.280.550.801.410.221.5947.1%35965d24.6%9.9%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 359
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
3.9%20.0%$1,04763.9×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample78.9%6.7%-5.3%12.0%24.0%19.3%0.280.530.761.340.191.5845.9%47738d14.9%9.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 477
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.8%10.0%$1,596107.9×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample78.9%6.7%-5.3%12.0%24.0%19.3%0.280.530.761.340.191.5845.9%47738d14.9%9.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 477
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.8%10.0%$1,596107.9×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample78.9%6.7%-5.3%12.0%24.0%19.3%0.280.530.761.340.191.5845.9%47738d14.9%9.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 477
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.8%10.0%$1,596107.9×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing16.8%8.1%29.3%0.280.420.601.380.020.7359.3%216101d21.0%28.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,3469.7×
research
no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing16.8%8.1%29.3%0.280.420.601.380.020.7359.3%216101d21.0%28.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,3469.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202472.7%8.1%13.6%-5.5%29.5%33.7%0.280.490.751.240.141.6942.3%67631d15.9%8.7%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 676
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%15.0%$1,743124.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_BASE
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202451.6%6.1%13.6%-7.5%22.5%33.7%0.270.470.641.300.181.8940.7%63138d13.7%7.3%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,075 → 631
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.1%10.0%$1,30886.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development28.5%6.5%13.1%-6.6%23.8%33.7%0.270.480.761.650.453.6631.1%13230d46.3%10.8%186,103 → 4,945 → 3,147 → 3,130 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%7.4%$22011.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development28.5%6.5%13.1%-6.6%23.8%33.7%0.270.480.761.650.453.6631.1%13230d46.3%10.8%186,103 → 4,945 → 3,147 → 3,130 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.7%7.4%$22011.8×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202265.0%7.4%28.0%0.260.550.801.440.282.4936.7%37161d21.4%7.0%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 371
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
4.0%15.0%$1,09769.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202484.3%9.1%13.6%-4.5%34.5%33.7%0.260.550.801.280.161.7642.0%63134d16.7%9.3%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 631
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.1%15.0%$1,581111.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202454.8%6.4%13.6%-7.2%24.4%33.7%0.260.490.671.290.161.6344.1%56032d10.5%6.9%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,066 → 560
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
3.7%25.0%$1,453102.3×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample60.5%5.4%-5.3%10.7%20.5%19.3%0.260.460.661.280.161.6543.7%46237d14.4%9.0%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 462
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.6%10.0%$1,55199.2×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample60.5%5.4%-5.3%10.7%20.5%19.3%0.260.460.661.280.161.6543.7%46237d14.4%9.0%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 462
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.6%10.0%$1,55199.2×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample60.5%5.4%-5.3%10.7%20.5%19.3%0.260.460.661.280.161.6543.7%46237d14.4%9.0%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 462
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.6%10.0%$1,55199.2×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P50
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202522.4%7.0%26.6%0.260.460.671.540.200.8963.5%326117d12.5%14.4%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,104 → 326
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.6%10.0%$43616.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C15
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202464.4%7.4%13.6%-6.2%28.4%33.7%0.260.480.691.220.131.7241.5%71132d16.3%8.4%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,297 → 711
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%15.0%$1,704119.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized75.6%8.4%32.5%0.260.550.781.360.242.6833.7%47554d28.2%7.5%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 475
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.6%15.0%$1,42193.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized75.6%8.4%32.5%0.260.550.781.360.242.6833.7%47554d28.2%7.5%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 475
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.6%15.0%$1,42193.3×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_RECOVERY
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202520.8%6.5%25.3%0.260.430.631.500.180.8264.5%214129d14.2%16.4%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,998 → 214
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.4%10.0%$31914.2×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P67
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202523.2%7.2%28.1%0.260.460.681.620.230.9263.9%288121d12.4%13.5%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,117 → 288
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.2%10.0%$39215.7×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K2
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized65.3%7.5%29.1%0.260.550.801.430.272.4636.7%40667d25.4%8.2%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 406
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.4%15.0%$1,08265.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_presample
presample63.7%5.6%-5.3%10.9%22.1%19.3%0.260.480.681.290.171.7542.5%46837d15.5%10.0%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 468
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.6%10.0%$1,54598.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing17.5%8.4%33.3%0.250.420.611.410.080.8558.3%204100d21.1%24.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,3689.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing17.5%8.4%33.3%0.250.420.611.410.080.8558.3%204100d21.1%24.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,3689.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_FVB
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202478.7%8.6%13.6%-5.0%34.5%33.7%0.250.570.811.310.181.7942.2%66338d19.9%9.7%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 663
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects
3.2%10.0%$1,46499.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202277.5%9.4%37.6%0.250.500.701.670.230.9065.0%392122d18.4%16.4%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 392
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.0%10.0%$66634.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E3_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development30.0%6.8%13.1%-6.3%27.3%33.7%0.250.410.641.340.243.1829.7%24924d27.3%8.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,80931.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_management
full_2019_2025159.2%14.6%17.2%-2.6%58.7%33.7%0.250.560.851.650.140.8960.2%342140d35.9%40.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,90944.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing12.3%6.0%24.6%0.240.360.501.27-0.110.4959.6%136104d21.3%43.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,2239.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing12.3%6.0%24.6%0.240.360.501.27-0.110.4959.6%136104d21.3%43.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,2239.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RISK_025
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development
development19.1%4.5%13.1%-8.6%18.3%33.7%0.240.370.601.800.564.1730.1%9333d50.5%10.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.0%$9087.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_NONE
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development
development19.1%4.5%13.1%-8.6%18.3%33.7%0.240.370.601.800.564.1730.1%9333d50.5%10.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.0%$9087.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_NONE
equity_curve_tht_funnel_development
development19.1%4.5%13.1%-8.6%18.3%33.7%0.240.370.601.800.564.1730.1%9333d50.5%10.6%186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 134 → 93
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.8%7.0%$9087.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E3
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development29.1%6.6%13.1%-6.5%27.7%33.7%0.240.400.631.330.233.1729.6%25024d27.2%8.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,81831.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_BX
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development29.1%6.6%13.1%-6.5%27.7%33.7%0.240.400.631.330.233.1729.6%25024d27.2%8.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,81831.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X2
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized68.4%7.7%32.7%0.240.500.701.350.253.2329.4%39458d31.8%7.7%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 394
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.1%15.0%$1,08780.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202464.8%7.4%13.6%-6.2%31.4%33.7%0.240.480.691.240.141.7541.5%62632d15.9%9.2%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 626
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects
3.0%20.0%$1,471102.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_R2_R3
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development
development12.1%2.9%13.1%-10.2%12.3%33.7%0.230.390.611.630.413.1134.4%9333d32.4%9.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%$8766.8×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample67.0%5.9%-5.3%11.1%25.1%19.3%0.230.470.661.300.171.8341.5%43443d15.8%9.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 434
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%10.0%$1,40798.5×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample67.0%5.9%-5.3%11.1%25.1%19.3%0.230.470.661.300.171.8341.5%43443d15.8%9.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 434
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%10.0%$1,40798.5×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample67.0%5.9%-5.3%11.1%25.1%19.3%0.230.470.661.300.171.8341.5%43443d15.8%9.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 434
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.1%10.0%$1,40798.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RR_R1_R2
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development
development11.4%2.8%13.1%-10.3%11.8%33.7%0.230.370.591.640.423.1334.4%9333d30.2%8.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
6.5%$8776.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing11.7%5.7%24.6%0.230.350.491.26-0.170.3860.0%140105d20.2%52.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.9%$1,2329.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing11.7%5.7%24.6%0.230.350.491.26-0.170.3860.0%140105d20.2%52.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.9%$1,2329.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing11.7%5.7%24.6%0.230.350.491.26-0.170.3860.0%140105d20.2%52.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.9%$1,2329.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050
validation_sizing11.7%5.7%24.6%0.230.350.491.26-0.170.3860.0%140105d20.2%52.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
19.9%$1,2329.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0_K2
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202252.9%6.3%27.1%0.230.470.691.400.262.6434.7%45359d17.9%6.1%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 453
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,15471.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K2
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized62.4%7.2%31.2%0.230.520.761.390.252.3737.0%42165d25.4%7.9%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 421
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.6%15.0%$1,11368.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X1
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202265.3%7.5%32.6%0.230.480.681.340.243.1829.7%42162d32.9%7.4%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 421
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,20377.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K1
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202270.6%7.9%34.7%0.230.540.791.340.181.6145.4%29574d26.0%11.1%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 295
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
3.2%15.0%$1,06868.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D2
tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022_risk_sized36.4%4.5%20.0%0.230.450.621.320.171.5845.5%36965d18.2%9.5%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 369
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects
4.0%15.0%$91349.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U1_R3_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202262.0%7.8%34.4%0.230.460.641.610.200.7967.2%348135d17.5%19.4%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 348
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$58529.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_RS
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202447.4%5.7%13.6%-7.9%25.2%33.7%0.230.490.681.250.131.4446.5%67332d11.7%7.7%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 673
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.4%10.0%$1,45594.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X1
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202262.6%7.2%32.0%0.220.470.661.340.243.2829.0%42161d33.7%7.5%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 421
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,18976.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_BLEND
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202465.7%7.5%13.6%-6.1%34.1%33.7%0.220.510.741.230.131.6942.1%73833d18.5%10.0%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,304 → 738
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.6%10.0%$1,607108.6×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_presample
presample57.9%5.2%-5.3%10.5%24.3%19.3%0.210.440.631.280.161.7642.0%45035d13.6%12.9%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 450
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.4%10.0%$1,539100.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202471.1%8.0%13.6%-5.6%37.3%33.7%0.210.520.741.240.141.7541.4%71933d19.4%9.8%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,304 → 719
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.5%10.0%$1,622111.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G0_K1
tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202258.6%6.8%32.1%0.210.440.641.260.131.4047.3%34069d23.0%12.3%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 340
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
1.8%15.0%$1,08766.5×
research
no holdout
THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT
equity_curve_tht_wide_presample
presample55.5%5.0%-5.3%10.3%23.8%19.3%0.210.430.621.260.151.7142.4%47935d14.3%14.4%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 479
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.8%10.0%$1,56498.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U1_R1_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202255.7%7.1%34.1%0.210.430.601.550.170.6969.2%341138d16.9%21.3%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 341
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%9.7%$56627.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U1_R2_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202255.7%7.1%34.1%0.210.430.601.550.170.6969.2%341138d16.9%21.3%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 341
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%9.7%$56627.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E1_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development17.2%4.1%13.1%-9.0%19.4%33.7%0.210.310.501.480.343.7528.3%9227d39.5%10.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,29810.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_IMMEDIATE
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development
development17.1%4.0%13.1%-9.0%19.4%33.7%0.210.310.491.470.343.7928.0%9327d39.4%10.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,29910.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E1
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development17.1%4.0%13.1%-9.0%19.4%33.7%0.210.310.491.470.343.7928.0%9327d39.4%10.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,29910.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV_RS
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202443.9%5.3%13.6%-8.3%26.2%33.7%0.200.460.631.230.131.5144.9%67232d12.3%7.6%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 672
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.4%10.0%$1,39492.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development18.6%4.4%13.1%-8.7%21.6%33.7%0.200.360.561.550.373.1033.3%13233d37.8%10.4%186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 7,662 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.1%7.5%$20310.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development18.6%4.4%13.1%-8.7%21.6%33.7%0.200.360.561.550.373.1033.3%13233d37.8%10.4%186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 7,662 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.1%7.5%$20310.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202265.3%8.2%40.6%0.200.450.621.510.170.7367.3%367132d18.6%20.4%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 367
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$63032.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.2%5.9%29.4%0.200.460.661.340.222.4435.4%39555d19.4%7.0%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 395
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
4.3%15.0%$1,09769.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C25
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202461.8%7.1%13.6%-6.5%35.6%33.7%0.200.460.661.220.131.7241.5%67733d15.5%8.4%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 677
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.3%25.0%$1,629114.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation1.9%0.9%25.9%-25.0%4.7%10.0%0.200.230.341.190.122.0137.2%4334d20.4%10.1%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.7%7.1%$663.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation1.9%0.9%25.9%-25.0%4.7%10.0%0.200.230.341.190.122.0137.2%4334d20.4%10.1%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.7%7.1%$663.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation1.9%0.9%25.9%-25.0%4.7%10.0%0.200.230.341.190.122.0137.2%4334d20.4%10.1%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.7%7.1%$663.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation1.9%0.9%25.9%-25.0%4.7%10.0%0.200.230.341.190.122.0137.2%4334d20.4%10.1%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.7%7.1%$663.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G2
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202251.6%6.1%31.1%0.200.500.691.320.202.1937.5%35758d16.4%7.0%302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 357
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects
3.5%15.0%$1,11973.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202247.8%5.8%29.8%0.190.450.651.330.212.3935.8%39155d19.2%7.0%302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects
4.2%15.0%$1,08367.9×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P67
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202518.3%5.8%29.9%0.190.370.541.390.150.8462.4%287117d14.2%15.7%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,540 → 287
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$38815.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202457.5%6.7%13.6%-6.9%34.9%33.7%0.190.450.631.220.131.8140.3%56432d14.8%9.0%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,303 → 564
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
2.7%20.0%$1,421101.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive53.6%5.5%14.1%-8.6%28.8%33.7%0.190.470.641.310.192.0639.0%59041d12.1%7.0%331,536 → 7,402 → 7,327 → 7,321 → 590
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,494 band rejects
8.0%10.0%$1,25384.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive53.6%5.5%14.1%-8.6%28.8%33.7%0.190.470.641.310.192.0639.0%59041d12.1%7.0%331,536 → 7,402 → 7,327 → 7,321 → 590
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,494 band rejects
8.0%10.0%$1,25384.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X0
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202285.7%9.3%48.8%0.190.470.681.720.534.7726.5%24595d61.1%7.7%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 245
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
1.3%15.0%$62445.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X0
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202285.7%9.3%48.8%0.190.470.681.720.534.7726.5%24595d61.1%7.7%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 245
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects
1.3%15.0%$62445.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202258.0%7.4%39.9%0.190.420.581.430.150.8163.8%376126d19.9%19.7%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 376
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.9%10.0%$63732.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development9.2%2.2%13.1%-10.9%12.1%33.7%0.180.370.531.320.191.9440.5%13139d28.3%12.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 131
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.3%$1818.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development9.2%2.2%13.1%-10.9%12.1%33.7%0.180.370.531.320.191.9440.5%13139d28.3%12.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 131
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.3%$1818.9×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing13.0%6.3%34.8%0.180.360.511.29-0.040.6657.6%198100d21.5%32.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,3589.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing13.0%6.3%34.8%0.180.360.511.29-0.040.6657.6%198100d21.5%32.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,3589.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E5_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development27.8%6.3%13.1%-6.8%35.3%33.7%0.180.380.571.250.183.1328.5%29825d28.3%8.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,89138.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C20
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202445.6%5.5%13.6%-8.1%31.1%33.7%0.180.390.551.170.101.6641.4%70131d14.9%8.5%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 701
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.4%20.0%$1,623112.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development43.9%9.5%13.1%-3.5%54.2%33.7%0.180.430.630.94-0.020.5961.4%207136d29.2%49.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,97024.0×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development43.9%9.5%13.1%-3.5%54.2%33.7%0.180.430.631.27-0.020.5961.4%207136d29.2%49.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,97024.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202256.9%7.3%42.0%0.170.420.581.490.170.8065.0%369133d17.6%18.6%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 369
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.9%10.0%$61330.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV_FVB
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202450.4%6.0%13.6%-7.6%34.8%33.7%0.170.470.651.250.141.6243.5%65037d13.9%8.5%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,066 → 650
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,33588.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G2
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202245.7%5.5%32.2%0.170.460.631.270.182.2636.1%36357d16.5%6.9%302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 363
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects
3.5%15.0%$1,11972.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202429.0%3.7%13.6%-9.9%21.6%33.7%0.170.350.481.210.121.6142.9%43640d13.4%8.0%290,259 → 2,449 → 2,421 → 2,420 → 436
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 750 band rejects
17.8%10.0%$92762.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202429.0%3.7%13.6%-9.9%21.6%33.7%0.170.350.481.210.121.6142.9%43640d13.4%8.0%290,259 → 2,449 → 2,421 → 2,420 → 436
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 750 band rejects
17.8%10.0%$92762.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X4
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized45.9%5.5%32.4%0.170.410.571.250.172.6032.5%43159d25.5%7.8%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 431
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,22479.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U2_R1_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202250.8%6.6%39.2%0.170.390.541.450.150.7366.6%335139d18.6%20.0%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 335
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$56028.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U2_R2_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202250.8%6.6%39.2%0.170.390.541.450.150.7366.6%335139d18.6%20.0%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 335
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$56028.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample73.3%6.3%-5.3%11.6%37.3%19.3%0.170.430.611.180.111.6342.0%73537d14.6%9.4%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 735
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
12.0%10.0%$2,525176.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample73.3%6.3%-5.3%11.6%37.3%19.3%0.170.430.611.180.111.6342.0%73537d14.6%9.4%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 735
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
12.0%10.0%$2,525176.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample73.3%6.3%-5.3%11.6%37.3%19.3%0.170.430.611.180.111.6342.0%73537d14.6%9.4%315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 735
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
12.0%10.0%$2,525176.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development15.8%3.7%13.1%-9.3%22.3%33.7%0.170.320.511.440.313.3630.1%13330d40.7%9.7%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 133
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.3%$20810.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development
development15.8%3.7%13.1%-9.3%22.3%33.7%0.170.320.511.440.313.3630.1%13330d40.7%9.7%186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 133
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.3%$20810.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_FVB
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202447.5%5.7%13.6%-7.9%34.3%33.7%0.170.410.581.170.101.7540.1%75032d18.6%9.7%332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,302 → 750
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects
3.7%10.0%$1,564103.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing10.2%5.0%30.2%0.170.320.451.220.040.8057.9%209104d20.9%26.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,3439.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing10.2%5.0%30.2%0.170.320.451.220.040.8057.9%209104d20.9%26.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$1,3439.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP200_ATH_TRIM50
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202437.7%4.7%13.6%-8.9%28.5%33.7%0.160.440.601.230.121.3447.9%65833d8.7%7.0%332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,713 → 658
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects
11.3%10.0%$1,42691.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E5
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development25.9%5.9%13.1%-7.2%36.2%33.7%0.160.360.551.230.163.1228.2%30125d28.2%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,90138.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P100
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.6%5.9%36.9%0.160.370.511.450.160.7865.0%392128d15.7%18.4%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,106 → 392
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.0%10.0%$64531.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202437.2%4.6%13.6%-9.0%28.8%33.7%0.160.400.551.250.151.9638.9%51141d11.7%7.0%290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,08472.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202437.2%4.6%13.6%-9.0%28.8%33.7%0.160.400.551.250.151.9638.9%51141d11.7%7.0%290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,08472.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202437.2%4.6%13.6%-9.0%28.8%33.7%0.160.400.551.250.151.9638.9%51141d11.7%7.0%290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,08472.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202437.2%4.6%13.6%-9.0%28.8%33.7%0.160.400.551.250.151.9638.9%51141d11.7%7.0%290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,08472.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_ALL
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.8%6.5%40.5%0.160.380.541.410.130.6568.6%350140d17.3%20.9%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$58529.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D25
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.8%6.5%40.5%0.160.380.541.410.130.6568.6%350140d17.3%20.9%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$58529.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_FVB
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202444.0%5.3%13.6%-8.3%33.4%33.7%0.160.440.611.210.121.5444.1%66036d13.4%8.6%332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,066 → 660
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$1,40689.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized42.3%5.2%32.3%0.160.390.541.230.162.5332.7%43459d24.9%7.8%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 434
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,23879.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G0
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized42.3%5.2%32.3%0.160.390.541.230.162.5332.7%43459d24.9%7.8%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 434
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.3%15.0%$1,23879.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U1_R4_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202244.8%5.9%37.3%0.160.370.521.410.120.6169.8%341140d16.5%22.3%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 341
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%9.4%$56127.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development7.1%1.8%13.1%-11.3%11.1%33.7%0.160.300.441.250.162.2835.3%13338d28.0%11.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.3%$1828.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development7.1%1.8%13.1%-11.3%11.1%33.7%0.160.300.441.250.162.2835.3%13338d28.0%11.5%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.3%$1828.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_final_development
development39.3%8.7%13.1%-4.4%55.1%33.7%0.160.410.611.25-0.070.6755.4%148160d35.2%52.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,64821.1×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_final_development
development39.3%8.7%13.1%-4.4%55.1%33.7%0.160.410.611.25-0.070.6755.4%148160d35.2%52.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$2,64821.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202243.1%5.8%36.8%0.160.370.511.440.150.7266.6%365133d16.1%18.7%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 365
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.4%10.0%$58027.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202240.5%5.4%34.8%0.160.350.491.400.140.7964.1%376127d16.2%17.1%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 376
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%10.0%$59928.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U2_R4_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202248.7%6.4%40.9%0.160.380.531.410.140.6967.1%334142d18.3%21.6%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 334
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%9.6%$56128.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P100
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202247.3%5.7%36.7%0.160.370.511.470.150.7067.9%396127d14.5%17.6%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,297 → 396
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.6%10.0%$64630.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_2
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202245.2%6.0%39.6%0.150.370.521.380.130.7365.3%381128d17.1%19.4%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 381
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%9.5%$63030.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U1_R0_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202242.3%5.7%37.6%0.150.360.501.400.120.5870.5%339139d16.1%22.0%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 339
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$55627.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U_U1_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202242.3%5.7%37.6%0.150.360.501.400.120.5870.5%339139d16.1%22.0%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 339
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$55627.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing10.8%5.3%35.2%0.150.320.461.240.030.7857.8%199100d21.1%27.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,3549.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing10.8%5.3%35.2%0.150.320.461.240.030.7857.8%199100d21.1%27.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,3549.5×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_20251.6%1.6%18.1%-16.6%10.5%18.8%0.150.210.281.080.051.7138.8%6734d13.0%7.4%42,074 → 188 → 188 → 184 → 67
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects
35.6%10.0%$1227.6×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_20251.6%1.6%18.1%-16.6%10.5%18.8%0.150.210.281.080.051.7138.8%6734d13.0%7.4%42,074 → 188 → 188 → 184 → 67
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects
35.6%10.0%$1227.6×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P50
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202512.9%4.1%27.9%0.150.300.431.230.090.8260.2%319118d15.2%69.1%160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,534 → 319
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.6%10.0%$42216.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.8%5.9%40.5%0.150.370.511.410.130.6568.6%350140d17.3%20.9%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$58529.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.8%5.9%40.5%0.150.370.511.410.130.6568.6%350140d17.3%20.9%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$58529.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_EQ
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.8%5.9%40.5%0.150.370.511.410.130.6568.6%350140d17.3%20.9%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$58529.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_CURRENT
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202249.8%5.9%40.5%0.150.370.511.410.130.6568.6%350140d17.3%20.9%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$58529.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U2_R0_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202245.4%6.0%41.0%0.150.360.511.390.120.6468.4%329144d17.9%21.9%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 329
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$54727.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U_U2_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202245.4%6.0%41.0%0.150.360.511.390.120.6468.4%329144d17.9%21.9%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 329
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$54727.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P67
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202244.4%5.4%37.8%0.140.350.491.390.130.6667.8%488123d15.0%18.4%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,163 → 488
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%10.0%$73532.7×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P100
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_202512.1%3.9%27.3%0.140.290.431.280.110.8061.5%218129d13.6%16.2%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,128 → 218
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.4%10.0%$31113.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_TOP3_PROFITADD
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development17.7%4.2%13.1%-8.9%30.5%33.7%0.140.290.421.150.113.0827.3%35624d25.8%8.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,96940.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing8.6%4.2%31.0%0.140.290.411.180.060.8357.8%206105d21.0%25.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,3339.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing8.6%4.2%31.0%0.140.290.411.180.060.8357.8%206105d21.0%25.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$1,3339.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G2
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202233.9%4.3%31.7%0.130.380.511.210.132.0537.2%37954d15.2%7.1%302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 379
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects
3.7%15.0%$1,08969.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP200_ATH_ARM
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202433.1%4.2%13.6%-9.4%31.0%33.7%0.130.390.531.210.111.4146.1%64833d9.1%7.0%332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,713 → 648
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects
11.1%10.0%$1,33388.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X1
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized37.0%4.6%34.8%0.130.340.471.210.153.0228.6%43761d31.1%7.7%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 437
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
2.4%15.0%$1,14870.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_ALL
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202237.8%5.1%39.1%0.130.340.471.370.110.5770.6%344144d15.4%22.9%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$55325.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D25
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202237.8%5.1%39.1%0.130.340.471.370.110.5770.6%344144d15.4%22.9%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$55325.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U1
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized21.4%2.8%21.5%0.130.300.411.190.111.4545.1%37559d12.3%8.1%302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 375
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 92 band rejects
7.1%15.0%$95352.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U2_R3_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202241.6%5.6%42.8%0.130.350.481.330.110.7065.7%344138d18.8%22.4%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$57428.4×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_management
full_2019_202572.1%8.1%17.2%-9.1%61.9%33.7%0.130.400.581.15-0.361.2628.1%1,47625d27.1%21.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$20,863159.1×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample
presample37.1%3.6%-5.3%8.9%27.6%19.3%0.130.330.461.180.111.8339.2%44940d14.0%11.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 449
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.3%10.0%$1,29488.4×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2
presample37.1%3.6%-5.3%8.9%27.6%19.3%0.130.330.461.180.111.8339.2%44940d14.0%11.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 449
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.3%10.0%$1,29488.4×
research
no holdout
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3
presample37.1%3.6%-5.3%8.9%27.6%19.3%0.130.330.461.180.111.8339.2%44940d14.0%11.2%315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 449
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
7.3%10.0%$1,29488.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U2
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized21.2%2.8%21.6%0.130.300.401.200.111.5543.6%36059d14.6%8.6%302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 360
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 126 band rejects
5.2%15.0%$86546.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D50
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202240.7%5.5%42.4%0.130.340.481.330.110.6367.9%340142d17.7%33.9%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 340
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$56828.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G2
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized25.0%3.2%25.4%0.130.310.421.170.112.1235.6%38854d15.8%7.5%302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 388
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 408 band rejects
3.8%15.0%$1,02062.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D100
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202238.0%5.1%40.9%0.130.330.461.320.100.6268.1%342143d16.7%22.1%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 342
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$56728.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E2_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development13.6%3.3%13.1%-9.8%25.9%33.7%0.130.260.401.230.162.8230.5%17425d26.1%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,38819.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G3
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized26.1%3.4%27.2%0.120.360.501.240.141.6243.3%31964d14.7%7.7%302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 319
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 107 band rejects
5.8%15.0%$87651.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing7.8%3.9%31.4%0.120.280.401.17-0.400.0656.7%208104d20.8%367.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,3259.5×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18
equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025
validation_sizing7.8%3.9%31.4%0.120.280.401.17-0.400.0656.7%208104d20.8%367.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%$1,3259.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_RECOVERY
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202241.3%5.1%41.3%0.120.330.461.320.100.6168.3%344151d18.3%24.9%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,850 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$57327.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive32.6%3.6%14.1%-10.5%29.4%33.7%0.120.330.451.200.132.0936.5%59140d12.6%6.8%331,536 → 7,648 → 7,554 → 7,524 → 591
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,179 band rejects
7.7%10.0%$1,19978.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive32.6%3.6%14.1%-10.5%29.4%33.7%0.120.330.451.200.132.0936.5%59140d12.6%6.8%331,536 → 7,648 → 7,554 → 7,524 → 591
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,179 band rejects
7.7%10.0%$1,19978.5×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E2
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development13.3%3.2%13.1%-9.9%26.1%33.7%0.120.260.391.230.162.8330.3%17525d26.0%9.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,38719.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_1
tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202236.2%4.9%40.5%0.120.330.461.310.090.5669.9%356135d16.5%22.6%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 356
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.4%10.0%$58027.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation1.1%0.5%25.9%-25.3%4.6%10.0%0.120.140.201.130.081.9037.2%4336d17.4%9.1%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.7%7.1%$633.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation1.1%0.5%25.9%-25.3%4.6%10.0%0.120.140.201.130.081.9037.2%4336d17.4%9.1%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.7%7.1%$633.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_WEEKLY_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development30.3%6.9%13.1%-6.2%56.4%33.7%0.120.370.521.080.062.3331.8%95724d23.3%39.5%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$15,033119.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202236.8%4.6%37.9%0.120.330.451.350.110.5869.9%612133d15.3%31.8%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 612
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.1%9.8%$80627.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive25.4%2.9%14.1%-11.3%23.7%33.7%0.120.290.391.150.091.5442.7%52240d13.1%8.1%331,536 → 2,764 → 2,736 → 2,731 → 522
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 805 band rejects
18.9%10.0%$1,09973.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive25.4%2.9%14.1%-11.3%23.7%33.7%0.120.290.391.150.091.5442.7%52240d13.1%8.1%331,536 → 2,764 → 2,736 → 2,731 → 522
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 805 band rejects
18.9%10.0%$1,09973.4×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G2
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized24.4%3.2%26.3%0.120.300.411.170.112.0636.3%36459d15.9%7.5%302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 364
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 408 band rejects
3.6%15.0%$99961.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202237.8%4.7%39.1%0.120.320.451.370.110.5770.6%344144d15.4%22.9%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$55325.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202237.8%4.7%39.1%0.120.320.451.370.110.5770.6%344144d15.4%22.9%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$55325.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_EQ
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202237.8%4.7%39.1%0.120.320.451.370.110.5770.6%344144d15.4%22.9%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$55325.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_CURRENT
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202237.8%4.7%39.1%0.120.320.451.370.110.5770.6%344144d15.4%22.9%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$55325.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_TOP3
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development15.4%3.6%13.1%-9.4%30.6%33.7%0.120.270.391.130.103.0627.0%35924d25.8%8.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,93840.0×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G3
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized24.0%3.1%26.6%0.120.330.471.200.121.7540.6%33758d15.8%8.2%302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 337
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 107 band rejects
6.2%15.0%$89953.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202420.1%2.6%13.6%-11.0%23.1%33.7%0.120.280.381.160.091.6441.3%39940d12.5%7.5%290,259 → 1,845 → 1,823 → 1,823 → 399
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 650 band rejects
21.6%10.0%$84957.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202420.1%2.6%13.6%-11.0%23.1%33.7%0.120.280.381.160.091.6441.3%39940d12.5%7.5%290,259 → 1,845 → 1,823 → 1,823 → 399
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 650 band rejects
21.6%10.0%$84957.0×
research
no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_PAYOFF
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025
robustness_2023_20255.9%1.9%16.8%0.110.220.311.160.060.6564.2%243115d8.7%12.7%160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 243
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.7%9.7%$35915.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202236.6%4.6%40.1%0.110.320.451.330.100.5670.2%635133d15.3%22.4%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 635
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.2%8.5%$82527.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G2
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202228.1%3.6%31.7%0.110.330.451.180.112.0736.3%38953d15.0%7.0%302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 389
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects
3.8%15.0%$1,09569.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X0
tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3
development_2016_2022_risk_sized58.7%6.8%60.3%0.110.380.551.400.314.5823.4%28285d60.2%8.0%302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 282
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects
1.5%15.0%$72852.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D33
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202236.0%4.9%44.0%0.110.320.451.300.090.6168.0%331144d17.2%22.4%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 331
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$55527.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202420.5%2.7%13.6%-10.9%24.3%33.7%0.110.270.371.150.091.6041.9%43240d12.9%7.8%290,259 → 2,216 → 2,190 → 2,189 → 432
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 726 band rejects
19.5%10.0%$90260.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202420.5%2.7%13.6%-10.9%24.3%33.7%0.110.270.371.150.091.6041.9%43240d12.9%7.8%290,259 → 2,216 → 2,190 → 2,189 → 432
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 726 band rejects
19.5%10.0%$90260.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP200_ATH_FULL
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202424.0%3.1%13.6%-10.5%28.2%33.7%0.110.310.421.130.071.3246.0%70230d9.3%7.2%332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,717 → 702
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects
12.0%10.0%$1,45796.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_TOP3_SECTOR2
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development14.0%3.3%13.1%-9.7%30.9%33.7%0.110.260.371.120.093.0626.8%35824d25.8%8.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,89139.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U1
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202218.8%2.5%23.4%0.110.260.351.150.081.3246.6%32265d12.6%9.0%302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 322
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 85 band rejects
6.1%15.0%$90752.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_ALL
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202226.8%3.8%36.0%0.100.280.401.370.120.6667.5%338141d12.2%16.4%281,221 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 338
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.4%9.8%$53824.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202231.1%4.0%38.8%0.100.300.411.290.090.5869.2%603133d15.5%21.8%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 603
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.0%10.0%$79426.8×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_management
full_2019_202553.9%6.4%17.2%-10.8%62.6%33.7%0.100.350.501.12-0.211.8627.5%1,43525d27.8%15.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$18,824144.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_PAYOFF
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202229.1%3.7%37.4%0.100.300.411.460.150.7466.3%413124d9.9%12.6%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,046 → 413
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.7%10.0%$66328.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_PREF
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202227.2%3.8%39.6%0.100.280.391.280.090.6466.8%349143d14.6%20.2%281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 349
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.8%10.0%$56225.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202226.8%3.5%36.0%0.100.270.381.370.120.6667.5%338141d12.2%16.4%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 338
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.4%9.8%$53824.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202226.8%3.5%36.0%0.100.270.381.370.120.6667.5%338141d12.2%16.4%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 338
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.4%9.8%$53824.9×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U2
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202218.6%2.5%26.2%0.090.260.341.150.081.3546.0%31368d14.4%9.1%302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 313
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 108 band rejects
4.5%15.0%$85548.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U0
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized21.9%2.9%30.8%0.090.300.411.170.101.4444.9%35962d12.2%8.1%302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 359
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects
13.2%15.0%$98957.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_NO_TRIM
equity_curve_20260721_044441
development_2016_20221.7%0.1%14.1%-14.0%1.1%33.7%0.090.290.444.390.480.7385.7%739d10.7%14.6%661,868 → 18 → 18 → 18 → 7
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
38.9%3.3%$100.5×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U1
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized13.1%1.8%19.9%0.090.220.301.130.071.3944.8%36659d12.5%8.6%302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 366
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 92 band rejects
6.9%15.0%$90348.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D50
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202226.5%3.7%41.8%0.090.280.391.240.070.5469.7%340144d15.8%44.2%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 340
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.3%10.0%$54225.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_BASE
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202418.4%2.5%13.6%-11.2%27.5%33.7%0.090.240.321.110.071.6839.8%60540d11.0%7.4%332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,384 → 605
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 655 band rejects
5.2%10.0%$1,18376.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_CONTROL_C10
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development20.2%4.7%13.1%-8.4%53.9%33.7%0.090.310.431.070.052.5629.5%85827d27.9%12.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$11,12590.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202419.0%2.5%13.6%-11.1%29.4%33.7%0.090.260.341.130.092.0535.6%51939d12.2%6.7%290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,05969.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202419.0%2.5%13.6%-11.1%29.4%33.7%0.090.260.341.130.092.0535.6%51939d12.2%6.7%290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,05969.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202419.0%2.5%13.6%-11.1%29.4%33.7%0.090.260.341.130.092.0535.6%51939d12.2%6.7%290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,05969.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202419.0%2.5%13.6%-11.1%29.4%33.7%0.090.260.341.130.092.0535.6%51939d12.2%6.7%290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects
7.9%10.0%$1,05969.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_PAYOFF
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202224.4%3.2%37.1%0.090.260.361.340.120.6866.3%413124d10.2%13.0%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,847 → 413
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.1%10.0%$66128.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202224.5%3.2%37.6%0.080.260.361.250.070.5270.5%637132d13.4%22.5%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 637
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.2%8.6%$80425.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D33
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202223.3%3.3%40.4%0.080.260.361.220.070.5369.8%328146d16.0%24.8%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 328
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$52224.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P67
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202226.8%3.5%42.2%0.080.270.371.240.070.5469.6%490125d13.5%20.4%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,354 → 490
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.2%10.0%$72930.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_TRIM25
equity_curve_20260721_044441
development_2016_20221.5%0.1%14.1%-14.0%1.1%33.7%0.080.260.393.990.430.6785.7%739d9.7%14.6%661,868 → 18 → 18 → 18 → 7
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
38.9%3.3%$100.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D100
tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202223.4%3.3%41.6%0.080.260.361.210.060.5170.4%338144d15.8%25.0%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 338
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$54325.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U1
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202214.0%1.9%23.6%0.080.210.291.110.061.4144.1%32265d12.7%8.5%302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 322
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 85 band rejects
6.1%15.0%$89251.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202222.3%2.9%37.2%0.080.250.341.240.070.5071.0%601133d13.3%22.3%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 601
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.0%10.0%$76924.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202223.6%3.1%40.1%0.080.250.351.230.070.5768.1%649128d14.2%20.3%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,046 → 649
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$84728.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U_U0_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202220.1%2.9%38.1%0.080.240.341.280.100.6765.5%322144d12.4%17.0%281,221 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,619 → 322
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$49923.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_NO_FV
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development3.4%0.8%13.1%-12.2%11.1%33.7%0.080.180.251.120.082.0934.8%13239d25.7%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.2%$1818.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_NO_FV
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development3.4%0.8%13.1%-12.2%11.1%33.7%0.080.180.251.120.082.0934.8%13239d25.7%11.2%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%7.2%$1818.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_HARD
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202219.8%2.9%38.0%0.080.240.331.320.110.6965.6%317143d11.2%16.1%281,221 → 5,795 → 5,795 → 5,774 → 317
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
5.5%10.0%$50322.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202224.2%3.1%42.5%0.070.250.351.220.070.5867.9%672130d14.4%21.4%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,056 → 672
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.4%9.2%$85427.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_RECOVERY
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202223.2%3.0%42.6%0.070.250.341.210.070.5967.4%334153d16.0%24.0%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 334
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$54024.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202410.9%1.5%13.6%-12.1%21.9%33.7%0.070.190.261.090.061.5541.4%45241d10.1%6.8%290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects
9.9%10.0%$89958.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202410.9%1.5%13.6%-12.1%21.9%33.7%0.070.190.261.090.061.5541.4%45241d10.1%6.8%290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects
9.9%10.0%$89958.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202410.9%1.5%13.6%-12.1%21.9%33.7%0.070.190.261.090.061.5541.4%45241d10.1%6.8%290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects
9.9%10.0%$89958.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202410.9%1.5%13.6%-12.1%21.9%33.7%0.070.190.261.090.061.5541.4%45241d10.1%6.8%290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects
9.9%10.0%$89958.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202222.0%2.9%42.6%0.070.240.341.200.060.5568.5%655128d14.4%30.7%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,061 → 655
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$85028.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202218.7%2.5%37.8%0.070.230.311.200.060.5070.5%590135d13.5%23.0%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 590
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.9%10.0%$76024.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P50
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202221.5%2.8%43.6%0.060.240.331.190.060.5966.9%504133d15.2%40.2%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,167 → 504
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.5%10.0%$71828.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202218.1%2.4%37.4%0.060.220.311.280.090.6167.8%667132d9.7%15.9%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,801 → 667
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
8.7%9.0%$83224.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_PREF
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202216.9%2.5%38.3%0.060.220.311.250.080.6366.7%327149d11.1%16.9%281,221 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 327
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$51322.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_CF_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development
development12.0%2.9%13.1%-10.2%47.0%33.7%0.060.250.421.190.091.1051.8%56199d50.0%36.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$9367.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development14.7%3.5%13.1%-9.6%57.6%33.7%0.060.270.390.61-0.281.5228.8%84426d25.9%17.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$11,77195.7×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development14.7%3.5%13.1%-9.6%57.6%33.7%0.060.270.391.05-0.281.5228.8%84426d25.9%17.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$11,77195.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202216.3%2.2%37.3%0.060.210.291.260.090.6366.5%614140d10.2%15.2%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,618 → 614
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
8.0%9.6%$77722.9×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202410.0%1.4%13.6%-12.2%23.3%33.7%0.060.180.241.080.051.6340.0%36840d12.5%8.1%290,259 → 1,292 → 1,277 → 1,277 → 368
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 420 band rejects
28.5%10.0%$77151.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202410.0%1.4%13.6%-12.2%23.3%33.7%0.060.180.241.080.051.6340.0%36840d12.5%8.1%290,259 → 1,292 → 1,277 → 1,277 → 368
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 420 band rejects
28.5%10.0%$77151.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G3
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202215.6%2.1%36.5%0.060.230.321.120.071.6240.9%31864d14.6%7.8%302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 318
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects
5.8%15.0%$90855.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202215.8%2.1%40.1%0.050.210.291.160.050.5269.0%680128d12.8%22.5%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,244 → 680
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.5%8.9%$84425.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G3
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202214.2%1.9%36.5%0.050.220.301.110.061.6540.2%32163d14.6%7.8%302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 321
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects
5.9%15.0%$91255.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_BLEND
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202214.3%1.9%37.2%0.050.200.281.160.050.5866.8%355142d13.1%20.4%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,048 → 355
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.4%10.0%$56624.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_HARD
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202214.6%2.1%42.9%0.050.210.291.140.050.5667.0%327145d15.2%23.3%281,221 → 15,021 → 15,021 → 14,976 → 327
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$52524.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202213.9%1.9%37.7%0.050.200.271.220.070.5867.7%591139d10.2%15.6%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,618 → 591
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
7.7%10.0%$75722.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.8%1.6%13.6%-12.0%32.5%33.7%0.050.190.251.080.051.9635.6%56239d11.9%6.8%290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects
5.1%10.0%$1,09770.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.8%1.6%13.6%-12.0%32.5%33.7%0.050.190.251.080.051.9635.6%56239d11.9%6.8%290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects
5.1%10.0%$1,09770.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.8%1.6%13.6%-12.0%32.5%33.7%0.050.190.251.080.051.9635.6%56239d11.9%6.8%290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects
5.1%10.0%$1,09770.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.8%1.6%13.6%-12.0%32.5%33.7%0.050.190.251.080.051.9635.6%56239d11.9%6.8%290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects
5.1%10.0%$1,09770.4×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation0.5%0.3%25.9%-25.6%5.0%10.0%0.050.080.111.060.041.7837.2%4333d16.1%9.0%106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 4,058 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.6%7.1%$663.1×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation0.5%0.3%25.9%-25.6%5.0%10.0%0.050.080.111.060.041.7837.2%4333d16.1%9.0%106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 4,058 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.6%7.1%$663.1×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.1%1.5%13.6%-12.1%31.9%33.7%0.050.180.241.080.052.0434.6%54639d12.2%6.8%290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects
6.0%10.0%$1,06868.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.1%1.5%13.6%-12.1%31.9%33.7%0.050.180.241.080.052.0434.6%54639d12.2%6.8%290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects
6.0%10.0%$1,06868.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.1%1.5%13.6%-12.1%31.9%33.7%0.050.180.241.080.052.0434.6%54639d12.2%6.8%290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects
6.0%10.0%$1,06868.6×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.1%1.5%13.6%-12.1%31.9%33.7%0.050.180.241.080.052.0434.6%54639d12.2%6.8%290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects
6.0%10.0%$1,06868.6×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U2
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized9.3%1.3%27.9%0.050.170.231.080.041.3544.3%38658d13.5%9.0%302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 386
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 126 band rejects
5.6%15.0%$96152.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202212.5%1.7%37.5%0.050.190.261.190.060.5668.0%628134d10.1%16.6%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,818 → 628
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
8.2%10.0%$79523.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_TOP200_BASE
equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_202411.4%1.6%13.6%-12.1%35.5%33.7%0.040.180.251.070.051.6839.0%60338d10.4%7.0%332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,733 → 603
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects
10.3%10.0%$1,17675.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G3
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_202211.5%1.6%35.9%0.040.190.261.090.051.6339.9%32859d14.4%7.8%302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 328
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects
6.0%15.0%$90154.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development8.1%2.0%13.1%-11.1%46.2%33.7%0.040.210.281.040.032.5728.8%53526d25.4%9.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$7,58962.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20245.7%0.8%13.6%-12.8%19.2%33.7%0.040.130.181.060.041.4143.0%28640d11.8%8.3%290,259 → 924 → 913 → 912 → 286
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 306 band rejects
31.0%10.0%$59239.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20245.7%0.8%13.6%-12.8%19.2%33.7%0.040.130.181.060.041.4143.0%28640d11.8%8.3%290,259 → 924 → 913 → 912 → 286
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 306 band rejects
31.0%10.0%$59239.2×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U0
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2
development_2016_2022_risk_sized8.4%1.2%27.9%0.040.160.211.070.041.5041.7%36960d11.9%7.5%302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 369
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects
13.5%15.0%$95053.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202211.6%1.6%38.8%0.040.180.251.190.060.5966.8%582138d10.3%15.2%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,618 → 582
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
7.6%10.0%$74322.3×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_BLEND
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202211.0%1.5%37.3%0.040.180.241.120.040.6463.7%344149d14.5%20.8%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,849 → 344
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.7%10.0%$53623.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U0
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20228.8%1.2%30.4%0.040.160.221.070.041.3743.9%31768d12.2%8.0%302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 317
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects
11.6%15.0%$90052.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C10
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development7.3%1.8%13.1%-11.3%45.8%33.7%0.040.200.271.040.032.5528.9%52926d25.8%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$7,24459.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G3
tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202210.1%1.4%35.8%0.040.170.241.080.051.6539.5%33259d14.3%7.8%302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 332
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects
6.1%15.0%$90654.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BASE
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development7.1%1.8%13.1%-11.3%45.8%33.7%0.040.200.271.040.032.5528.9%52926d25.8%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$7,23859.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_PREF
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_202210.3%1.5%41.8%0.040.180.251.110.030.5467.4%331152d14.3%24.0%281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 331
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.2%10.0%$51722.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20229.8%1.4%40.7%0.030.170.231.100.030.5068.9%650129d12.4%29.3%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,250 → 650
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.3%10.0%$81925.4×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C10
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development5.7%1.4%13.1%-11.7%43.2%33.7%0.030.180.241.030.022.2431.4%54723d20.8%8.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$7,69762.7×
research
CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E1
equity_curve_tht_market_holdout
holdout0.1%0.1%18.1%-18.0%4.2%18.8%0.030.050.081.030.022.8226.7%1520d27.5%9.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
5.0%$1741.5×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20228.3%1.1%37.5%0.030.160.211.120.040.5567.0%625131d9.9%15.8%302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,814 → 625
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
8.2%10.0%$79323.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_FULL
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development3.4%0.9%13.1%-12.2%28.4%33.7%0.030.150.221.050.033.1425.0%22024d28.5%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,76823.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development3.3%0.8%13.1%-12.3%28.4%33.7%0.030.140.221.040.033.1325.0%22024d28.4%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,76823.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20246.9%1.0%13.6%-12.7%33.8%33.7%0.030.140.191.050.031.9435.0%58239d11.5%6.9%290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects
4.7%10.0%$1,10669.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20246.9%1.0%13.6%-12.7%33.8%33.7%0.030.140.191.050.031.9435.0%58239d11.5%6.9%290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects
4.7%10.0%$1,10669.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20246.9%1.0%13.6%-12.7%33.8%33.7%0.030.140.191.050.031.9435.0%58239d11.5%6.9%290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects
4.7%10.0%$1,10669.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20246.9%1.0%13.6%-12.7%33.8%33.7%0.030.140.191.050.031.9435.0%58239d11.5%6.9%290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects
4.7%10.0%$1,10669.9×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U1_LEAD
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20228.1%1.1%40.3%0.030.160.221.090.030.6064.6%410126d11.1%18.3%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,045 → 410
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.7%10.0%$63026.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E2
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation0.3%0.2%25.9%-25.7%7.5%10.0%0.020.060.081.020.011.8535.6%5926d15.6%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$8085.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E2_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation0.3%0.2%25.9%-25.7%7.5%10.0%0.020.060.081.020.011.8535.6%5926d15.6%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$8085.8×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_HARD
tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20226.3%1.0%43.9%0.020.150.211.060.020.5167.4%322146d14.1%25.9%281,221 → 11,411 → 11,411 → 11,378 → 322
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.8%10.0%$50722.6×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_BOTH
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development2.2%0.5%13.1%-12.5%26.3%33.7%0.020.120.191.050.033.0025.9%13924d25.8%8.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,84915.0×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C20
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development3.7%0.9%13.1%-12.2%47.7%33.7%0.020.170.231.020.012.5228.8%53826d25.4%9.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$7,49461.8×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20243.4%0.5%13.6%-13.1%26.3%33.7%0.020.100.141.030.021.7437.2%35539d13.1%7.6%290,259 → 1,336 → 1,321 → 1,321 → 355
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 528 band rejects
26.6%10.0%$74549.7×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024
development_2018_20243.4%0.5%13.6%-13.1%26.3%33.7%0.020.100.141.030.021.7437.2%35539d13.1%7.6%290,259 → 1,336 → 1,321 → 1,321 → 355
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 528 band rejects
26.6%10.0%$74549.7×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_CONTROL_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development2.7%0.7%13.1%-12.4%57.9%33.7%0.010.190.271.010.012.6127.9%81026d26.5%17.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$10,83388.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development2.7%0.7%13.1%-12.4%57.9%33.7%0.010.190.270.60-0.291.5627.9%81026d26.5%17.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$10,83388.3×
research
E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_development
development2.7%0.7%13.1%-12.4%57.9%33.7%0.010.190.271.01-0.291.5627.9%81026d26.5%17.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$10,83388.3×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive1.5%0.2%14.1%-13.9%29.7%33.7%0.010.070.101.010.011.6737.7%41939d12.8%7.7%331,536 → 1,524 → 1,509 → 1,505 → 419
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 598 band rejects
27.5%10.0%$86357.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025
full_2018_2025_descriptive1.5%0.2%14.1%-13.9%29.7%33.7%0.010.070.101.010.011.6737.7%41939d12.8%7.7%331,536 → 1,524 → 1,509 → 1,505 → 419
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 598 band rejects
27.5%10.0%$86357.0×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z
validation0.0%0.0%25.9%-25.9%0.9%10.0%0.000.010.021.020.012.0433.3%341d10.7%5.2%106,406 → 3,052 → 1,602 → 1,602 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.1%7.1%$40.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z
validation0.0%0.0%25.9%-25.9%0.9%10.0%0.000.010.021.020.012.0433.3%341d10.7%5.2%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%7.1%$40.2×
research
no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z
validation0.0%0.0%25.9%-25.9%0.9%10.0%0.000.010.021.020.012.0433.3%341d10.7%5.2%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 3
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%7.1%$40.2×
research
DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20221.4%0.2%46.5%0.000.120.161.010.000.4768.3%630133d12.8%23.2%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,243 → 630
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
4.2%10.0%$80525.1×
research
no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U2
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_20220.6%0.1%24.1%0.000.070.101.000.001.3143.4%32064d14.1%9.7%302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 320
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 108 band rejects
4.6%15.0%$86649.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U0
tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-0.0%0.0%31.0%-0.000.060.081.00-0.001.3742.2%32765d11.9%7.8%302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 327
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects
12.0%15.0%$91653.9×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development-0.1%-0.0%13.1%-13.1%11.5%33.7%-0.000.020.031.00-0.002.2131.1%13238d26.6%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$1808.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_RANK_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_ranking_development
development-0.1%-0.0%13.1%-13.1%11.5%33.7%-0.000.020.031.00-0.002.2131.1%13238d26.6%10.8%186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
2.8%10.0%$1808.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_B2_N30_C15
tht_presenter_baseline_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-1.1%-0.2%51.1%-0.000.130.180.99-0.000.5962.6%310154d20.9%30.1%281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 310
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.2%12.1%$46821.7×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_C2_N30_C20
tht_presenter_stage_c_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-1.1%-0.2%51.1%-0.000.130.180.99-0.000.5962.6%310154d20.9%30.1%281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 310
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.2%12.1%$46821.7×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_C1_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_c_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-1.1%-0.2%49.5%-0.000.120.170.99-0.000.5962.7%308153d20.8%29.4%281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 308
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.2%10.0%$46621.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_U_U3_N30_C10
tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-1.1%-0.2%49.5%-0.000.120.170.99-0.000.5962.7%308153d20.8%29.4%281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 308
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
1.2%10.0%$46621.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P50
tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-2.0%-0.3%48.4%-0.010.100.140.98-0.010.4966.7%504134d13.4%98.8%302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,366 → 504
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
3.3%10.0%$69326.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development-1.2%-0.3%13.1%-13.4%45.8%33.7%-0.010.110.150.99-0.002.1831.3%55323d20.8%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$7,69462.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C15_T120
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development-1.2%-0.3%13.1%-13.4%45.8%33.7%-0.010.110.150.99-0.002.1831.3%55323d20.8%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$7,69462.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_CONTROL_C20
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development-2.3%-0.6%13.1%-13.7%60.2%33.7%-0.010.160.230.99-0.012.6227.5%79425d26.4%17.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$11,00389.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_FULL_FV_RANK
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development-2.0%-0.5%13.1%-13.6%46.0%33.7%-0.010.090.130.98-0.023.6021.4%27618d29.5%7.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,91330.7×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_STRICT
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z
validation-0.0%-0.0%25.9%-25.9%1.2%10.0%-0.02-0.04-0.050.90-0.072.7025.0%437d10.7%4.3%106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 4
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.1%10.0%$60.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C20
equity_curve_tht_staged_development
development-3.5%-0.9%13.1%-14.0%46.5%33.7%-0.020.090.110.98-0.012.1631.3%55623d20.7%9.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$7,66562.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_RANK_U2_LEAD
tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-9.3%-1.4%42.5%-0.030.050.070.91-0.040.6060.4%389133d13.2%18.9%302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,847 → 389
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
2.0%10.0%$59024.7×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z
validation-0.1%-0.1%25.9%-26.0%1.4%10.0%-0.05-0.11-0.150.75-0.192.2525.0%446d10.7%5.1%106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 4,058 → 4
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.1%10.0%$60.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C10
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-2.2%-1.1%25.9%-27.0%20.6%10.0%-0.050.020.020.97-0.022.3129.5%29521d16.7%7.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,84226.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_B0_N20_C15
tht_presenter_baseline_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-18.8%-3.2%55.8%-0.060.020.030.87-0.050.5959.4%219155d18.7%29.9%281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,674 → 219
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.8%15.0%$38620.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_BASIS
equity_curve_tht_market_development
development-7.5%-1.9%13.1%-15.0%28.7%33.7%-0.070.020.030.90-0.082.8324.1%24924d23.9%8.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,01724.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout
THT_PRES_B1_N25_C15
tht_presenter_baseline_dev_2016_2022
development_2016_2022-20.4%-3.5%52.0%-0.07-0.01-0.010.83-0.070.5659.9%252158d17.9%28.9%281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,674 → 252
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.9%13.0%$38718.5×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C10
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-3.2%-1.6%25.9%-27.5%20.5%10.0%-0.08-0.00-0.000.95-0.032.4228.2%29421d17.5%7.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,83326.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BASE
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-3.2%-1.6%25.9%-27.5%20.5%10.0%-0.08-0.00-0.000.95-0.032.4228.2%29421d17.5%7.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$3,83326.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-5.1%-2.6%25.9%-28.5%23.0%10.0%-0.11-0.06-0.080.93-0.052.2629.1%29921d16.7%7.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,93427.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C15_T120
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-5.1%-2.6%25.9%-28.5%23.0%10.0%-0.11-0.06-0.080.93-0.052.2629.1%29921d16.7%7.1%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,93427.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_C20
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-6.2%-3.1%25.9%-29.0%24.3%10.0%-0.13-0.08-0.120.91-0.062.2428.9%30121d16.7%7.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$3,97227.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z
validation-0.1%-0.1%25.9%-26.0%0.4%10.0%-0.14-0.36-0.470.64-0.180.6450.0%215d5.5%8.6%106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.1%3.6%$30.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-6.8%-3.5%25.9%-29.4%22.4%10.0%-0.16-0.09-0.130.90-0.072.3727.6%30121d17.6%7.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$3,92727.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E3
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-3.3%-1.7%25.9%-27.6%9.9%10.0%-0.17-0.17-0.240.85-0.101.6534.2%7925d15.0%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,0777.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_BX_E3_PA
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-3.3%-1.7%25.9%-27.6%9.9%10.0%-0.17-0.17-0.240.85-0.101.6534.2%7925d15.0%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,0777.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_BX
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-3.3%-1.7%25.9%-27.6%9.9%10.0%-0.17-0.17-0.240.85-0.101.6534.2%7925d15.0%8.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,0777.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C20
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-8.0%-4.1%25.9%-30.0%23.8%10.0%-0.17-0.12-0.170.89-0.082.3527.5%30221d17.6%7.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$3,96827.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_WEEKLY_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-9.8%-5.1%25.9%-30.9%25.9%10.0%-0.19-0.09-0.130.90-0.072.3028.0%48523d15.8%24.7%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,21636.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation-2.7%-1.4%25.9%-27.2%6.8%10.0%-0.20-0.21-0.300.79-0.152.0327.9%4329d23.5%11.5%106,406 → 3,052 → 1,602 → 1,602 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$683.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF
equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation
validation-2.7%-1.4%25.9%-27.2%6.8%10.0%-0.20-0.21-0.300.79-0.152.0327.9%4329d23.5%11.5%106,406 → 3,052 → 1,602 → 1,602 → 43
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
1.4%7.1%$683.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_TOP3_PROFITADD
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-7.5%-3.8%25.9%-29.7%19.3%10.0%-0.20-0.26-0.360.84-0.122.4725.4%18520d18.6%7.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,42517.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation-11.6%-6.0%25.9%-31.9%28.7%10.0%-0.21-0.13-0.180.52-0.351.3627.7%47023d16.5%12.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,03435.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation-11.6%-6.0%25.9%-31.9%28.7%10.0%-0.21-0.13-0.180.88-0.351.3627.7%47023d16.5%12.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,03435.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_TOP3
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-8.5%-4.3%25.9%-30.2%20.0%10.0%-0.22-0.30-0.420.82-0.132.4725.0%18820d18.6%7.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,44217.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_TOP3_SECTOR2
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-8.5%-4.3%25.9%-30.2%20.0%10.0%-0.22-0.30-0.420.82-0.132.4725.0%18820d18.6%7.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,44217.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_CONTROL_C15
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-12.4%-6.4%25.9%-32.3%28.6%10.0%-0.22-0.14-0.190.87-0.092.2927.5%46523d16.4%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,00735.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation-12.4%-6.4%25.9%-32.3%28.6%10.0%-0.22-0.14-0.190.52-0.341.3827.5%46523d16.4%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,00735.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_LOWER_BX
equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation
validation-12.4%-6.4%25.9%-32.3%28.6%10.0%-0.22-0.14-0.190.87-0.341.3827.5%46523d16.4%11.9%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5,00735.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_CONTROL_C20
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-13.1%-6.8%25.9%-32.7%29.8%10.0%-0.23-0.15-0.210.86-0.102.4426.1%45623d16.8%16.8%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%$4,94834.9×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
20.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
25.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
20.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
20.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
25.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.6%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.47-0.640.000.000.000.0%149d0.0%6.4%525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
25.0%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.25-0.48-0.640.000.000.000.0%230d0.0%20.7%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
28.6%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.27-0.51-0.680.000.000.000.0%227d0.0%23.3%525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
66.7%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.27-0.51-0.680.000.000.000.0%227d0.0%23.3%525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
66.7%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.27-0.51-0.680.000.000.000.0%227d0.0%23.3%525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
66.7%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-0.7%-0.3%21.6%-22.0%1.3%18.8%-0.27-0.51-0.680.000.000.000.0%227d0.0%23.3%525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
66.7%10.0%$30.2×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_BOTH
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-4.3%-2.2%25.9%-28.1%8.1%10.0%-0.27-0.26-0.380.80-0.131.7131.9%7224d16.0%9.2%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$9846.9×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_BASIS
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-11.0%-5.7%25.9%-31.6%19.8%10.0%-0.29-0.44-0.610.76-0.192.5223.2%17719d19.2%7.4%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$2,26415.9×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_2025-6.3%-6.4%18.1%-24.5%21.0%18.8%-0.30-0.39-0.490.78-0.120.9445.4%9736d11.3%10.0%42,074 → 316 → 316 → 311 → 97
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 55 band rejects
30.7%10.0%$1609.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025
holdout_2025-6.3%-6.4%18.1%-24.5%21.0%18.8%-0.30-0.39-0.490.78-0.120.9445.4%9736d11.3%10.0%42,074 → 316 → 316 → 311 → 97
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 55 band rejects
30.7%10.0%$1609.3×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_ST_CONTROL_C10
equity_curve_tht_staged_validation
validation-19.5%-10.3%25.9%-36.2%33.1%10.0%-0.31-0.33-0.450.79-0.162.2126.3%47923d16.7%10.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$4,86733.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%730d0.0%20.3%525 → 14 → 14 → 14 → 7
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
50.0%10.0%$110.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%730d0.0%20.3%525 → 14 → 14 → 14 → 7
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects
50.0%10.0%$110.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%827d0.0%22.1%525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
50.0%10.0%$120.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%827d0.0%22.1%525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects
50.0%10.0%$120.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%827d0.0%22.1%525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
50.0%10.0%$120.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%827d0.0%22.1%525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects
50.0%10.0%$120.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%827d0.0%22.1%525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
50.0%10.0%$120.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-2.5%-1.3%21.6%-22.9%3.8%18.8%-0.34-0.76-1.030.000.000.000.0%827d0.0%22.1%525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects
50.0%10.0%$120.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-2.6%-1.3%21.6%-23.0%3.9%18.8%-0.34-0.83-1.110.000.000.000.0%631d0.0%10.2%525 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 6
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
66.7%10.0%$110.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-2.6%-1.3%21.6%-23.0%3.9%18.8%-0.34-0.83-1.110.000.000.000.0%631d0.0%10.2%525 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 6
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects
66.7%10.0%$110.6×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_FULL_FV_RANK
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-11.8%-6.1%25.9%-32.0%17.4%10.0%-0.35-0.31-0.430.75-0.213.7916.4%14017d33.3%8.6%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
9.5%$2,62212.7×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_FULL
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-6.7%-3.4%25.9%-29.3%9.7%10.0%-0.35-0.39-0.540.77-0.161.6831.4%10522d14.1%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,35010.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_MC_SPY_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_market_validation
validation-6.7%-3.4%25.9%-29.3%9.7%10.0%-0.35-0.39-0.540.77-0.161.6831.4%10522d14.1%8.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
10.0%$1,35010.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke-1.8%-0.9%21.6%-22.5%2.1%18.8%-0.43-0.98-1.200.000.000.000.0%423d0.0%20.6%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 4
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
57.1%10.0%$70.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_LIQ_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke-1.8%-0.9%21.6%-22.5%2.1%18.8%-0.43-0.98-1.200.000.000.000.0%423d0.0%20.6%525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 4
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1 band rejects
57.1%10.0%$70.4×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_final_holdout
holdout-26.2%-26.4%18.1%-44.5%33.5%18.8%-0.79-0.74-1.060.36-0.350.4444.8%29139d18.6%42.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$4543.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08
equity_curve_tht_final_holdout
holdout-26.2%-26.4%18.1%-44.5%33.5%18.8%-0.79-0.74-1.060.36-0.350.4444.8%29139d18.6%42.0%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$4543.1×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout-23.3%-23.4%18.1%-41.6%29.6%18.8%-0.79-0.65-0.900.56-0.220.5650.0%54108d18.6%33.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5303.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_S5_BX_ONLY
equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout
holdout-23.3%-23.4%18.1%-41.6%29.6%18.8%-0.79-0.65-0.900.42-0.220.5650.0%54108d18.6%33.3%— → — → — → — → —
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
15.0%$5303.8×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FV_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT14_UPPER_RS_BX
equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2
holdout0.0%0.0%18.1%-18.1%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_EQ
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S33
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S50
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S67
tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E0
tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015
predevelopment_2010_20150.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E1
tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015
predevelopment_2010_20150.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E2
tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015
predevelopment_2010_20150.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E3
tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015
predevelopment_2010_20150.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout
THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E4
tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015
predevelopment_2010_20150.0%0.0%0.0%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R0
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R1
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_R3
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke
smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills
0.0%$00.0×
research
PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY
THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2
equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke
integration_smoke0.0%0.0%21.6%-21.6%0.0%18.8%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.0%00d0.0%0.0%525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0
observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects
0.0%$00.0×