Stage 5 Comparison
Compare portfolio runs by risk-adjusted evidence. Promotion remains an explicit, versioned decision.
| Status | Strategy / run | Split | Total return | CAGR | SPY CAGR | Excess CAGR | Max DD | SPY DD | Calmar | Sharpe | Sortino | Profit factor | Expectancy (R) | Payoff | Hit | Trades | Avg hold | Avg win | Avg loss | Entry funnel | Fill / qualified | Cost-basis cap | Costs | Turnover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| eligible | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025 | locked_holdout_2025 | 74.7% | 75.3% | 18.1% | 57.2% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 5.92 | 2.18 | 4.05 | 5.25 | 1.91 | 4.27 | 55.1% | 107 | 38d | 43.4% | 6.7% | 55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,484 → 107 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects | 3.0% | 10.0% | $197 | 12.1× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 80.8% | 81.5% | 18.1% | 63.4% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 4.76 | 2.30 | 4.14 | 5.24 | 2.17 | 5.47 | 48.9% | 45 | 37d | 108.9% | 12.8% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 45 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $104 | 7.0× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 79.3% | 80.0% | 18.1% | 61.9% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 4.33 | 2.10 | 3.45 | 2.72 | 1.00 | 3.77 | 41.9% | 93 | 33d | 66.3% | 10.6% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.9% | 10.0% | $244 | 17.7× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 78.6% | 79.3% | 18.1% | 61.1% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 3.40 | 2.03 | 3.40 | 2.76 | 1.09 | 4.52 | 37.9% | 95 | 34d | 66.2% | 10.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 95 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.0% | 10.0% | $250 | 17.0× |
| eligible | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025 | locked_holdout_2025 | 52.9% | 53.3% | 18.1% | 35.2% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 3.35 | 2.25 | 3.69 | 3.24 | 1.05 | 2.89 | 52.8% | 106 | 32d | 29.2% | 7.7% | 55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,484 → 106 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects | 3.0% | 15.0% | $202 | 12.7× |
| eligible | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025 | holdout | 70.0% | 70.6% | 18.1% | 52.4% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.28 | 2.03 | 3.45 | 3.67 | 1.47 | 4.47 | 45.1% | 51 | 33d | 106.7% | 15.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 51 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $110 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 50.5% | 50.9% | 18.1% | 32.8% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 3.26 | 2.07 | 3.74 | 3.92 | 1.43 | 3.75 | 51.1% | 45 | 34d | 67.5% | 12.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 45 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $103 | 6.6× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 37.6% | 37.9% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 3.15 | 1.83 | 3.26 | 3.89 | 1.30 | 3.18 | 55.0% | 40 | 36d | 46.1% | 12.2% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 40 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.1% | 10.0% | $87 | 5.9× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 57.0% | 57.4% | 18.1% | 39.3% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 3.09 | 1.90 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 1.43 | 4.62 | 43.2% | 44 | 37d | 112.8% | 13.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 44 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $100 | 6.7× |
| eligible | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 59.9% | 60.4% | 18.1% | 42.3% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 2.95 | 1.85 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 1.37 | 5.25 | 38.0% | 50 | 33d | 101.1% | 14.7% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 67.7% | 68.3% | 18.1% | 50.1% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 2.79 | 1.96 | 3.33 | 3.62 | 1.36 | 3.93 | 47.9% | 48 | 36d | 122.0% | 16.2% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 48 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $105 | 6.6× |
| eligible | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025 | locked_holdout_2025 | 44.2% | 44.6% | 18.1% | 26.4% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 2.63 | 1.94 | 3.03 | 2.73 | 0.87 | 2.73 | 50.0% | 104 | 32d | 30.6% | 8.0% | 55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,484 → 104 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects | 2.9% | 20.0% | $197 | 12.4× |
| eligible | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025 | holdout | 56.0% | 56.4% | 18.1% | 38.3% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 2.63 | 1.74 | 2.88 | 2.93 | 1.27 | 5.68 | 34.0% | 50 | 34d | 112.9% | 14.5% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $109 | 7.2× |
| eligible | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v3 | holdout | 33.1% | 33.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 2.20 | 1.43 | 2.37 | 2.87 | 0.85 | 2.40 | 54.5% | 44 | 33d | 43.3% | 12.9% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 44 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $94 | 6.3× |
| eligible | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025 | holdout | 42.6% | 42.9% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.65 | 2.63 | 0.90 | 3.20 | 45.1% | 51 | 30d | 74.4% | 15.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 51 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $108 | 7.0× |
| eligible | THT_RISK_BX_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 35.7% | 36.0% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 1.65 | 1.49 | 2.39 | 1.90 | 0.59 | 3.69 | 33.9% | 109 | 31d | 36.0% | 10.2% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 109 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $229 | 15.0× |
| eligible | THT_RISK_BX_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 29.9% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 1.55 | 1.40 | 2.26 | 1.87 | 0.57 | 3.59 | 34.3% | 108 | 30d | 35.9% | 9.6% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 108 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $194 | 11.7× |
| eligible | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025 | holdout | 27.2% | 27.4% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 1.33 | 1.19 | 1.91 | 2.06 | 0.60 | 2.67 | 43.5% | 46 | 33d | 59.1% | 29.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 46 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $105 | 6.9× |
| eligible | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025 | locked_holdout_2025 | 20.2% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 2.2% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 1.24 | 1.30 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 0.46 | 1.81 | 51.9% | 104 | 35d | 11.8% | 6.4% | 55,316 → 2,462 → 2,462 → 2,425 → 104 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 146 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $199 | 11.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 67.9% | 29.7% | 25.9% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 3.31 | 1.33 | 2.84 | 4.56 | 1.66 | 3.98 | 53.4% | 88 | 32d | 34.2% | 8.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 88 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.0% | 10.0% | $221 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 67.9% | 29.7% | 25.9% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 3.31 | 1.33 | 2.84 | 4.56 | 1.66 | 3.98 | 53.4% | 88 | 32d | 34.2% | 8.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 88 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.0% | 10.0% | $221 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 37.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | -8.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 1.77 | 2.74 | 3.37 | 1.07 | 2.77 | 54.9% | 82 | 42d | 16.2% | 6.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 14.4% | $190 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 37.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | -8.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 1.77 | 2.74 | 3.37 | 1.07 | 2.77 | 54.9% | 82 | 42d | 16.2% | 6.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 14.4% | $190 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 37.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | -8.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 1.77 | 2.74 | 3.37 | 1.07 | 2.77 | 54.9% | 82 | 42d | 16.2% | 6.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 14.4% | $190 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 37.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | -8.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 1.77 | 2.74 | 3.37 | 1.07 | 2.77 | 54.9% | 82 | 42d | 16.2% | 6.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 14.4% | $190 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 37.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | -8.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 1.77 | 2.74 | 3.37 | 1.07 | 2.77 | 54.9% | 82 | 42d | 16.2% | 6.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 14.4% | $190 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 37.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | -8.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 1.77 | 2.74 | 3.37 | 1.07 | 2.77 | 54.9% | 82 | 42d | 16.2% | 6.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 14.4% | $190 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3 tht_revised_stage_x_smoke | smoke_2021 | 25.8% | 26.1% | — | — | 8.5% | — | 3.07 | 1.66 | 2.42 | 2.81 | 0.93 | 3.01 | 48.2% | 85 | 47d | 16.0% | 5.5% | 48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 85 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects | 1.8% | 15.0% | $200 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 72.3% | 31.4% | 25.9% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.96 | 1.46 | 2.96 | 4.54 | 1.96 | 5.63 | 44.6% | 65 | 45d | 62.4% | 90.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 65 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.2% | 15.0% | $174 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 72.3% | 31.4% | 25.9% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.96 | 1.46 | 2.96 | 4.54 | 1.96 | 5.63 | 44.6% | 65 | 45d | 62.4% | 90.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 65 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.2% | 15.0% | $174 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 76.0% | 32.8% | 25.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 2.73 | 1.51 | 3.12 | 5.20 | 2.33 | 6.50 | 44.4% | 63 | 46d | 63.9% | 95.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 63 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.1% | 20.0% | $175 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 76.0% | 32.8% | 25.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 2.73 | 1.51 | 3.12 | 5.20 | 2.33 | 6.50 | 44.4% | 63 | 46d | 63.9% | 95.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 63 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.1% | 20.0% | $175 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z | development | 3.7% | 0.9% | 13.1% | -12.2% | 0.3% | 33.7% | 2.69 | 1.54 | 2.70 | 47.04 | 15.35 | 23.52 | 66.7% | 6 | 45d | 26.2% | 1.1% | 186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 7,662 → 6 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 7.0% | $9 | 0.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 75.4% | 32.6% | 25.9% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 2.62 | 1.46 | 3.13 | 5.35 | 2.21 | 5.50 | 49.3% | 75 | 49d | 65.4% | 173.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $171 | 11.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 75.4% | 32.6% | 25.9% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 2.62 | 1.46 | 3.13 | 5.35 | 2.21 | 5.50 | 49.3% | 75 | 49d | 65.4% | 173.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $171 | 11.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_NONE equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 17.6% | 8.5% | 25.9% | -17.4% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.54 | 3.57 | 1.16 | 2.91 | 55.1% | 69 | 44d | 17.0% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $102 | 5.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_NONE equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 17.6% | 8.5% | 25.9% | -17.4% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.54 | 3.57 | 1.16 | 2.91 | 55.1% | 69 | 44d | 17.0% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $102 | 5.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 17.6% | 8.5% | 25.9% | -17.4% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.54 | 3.57 | 1.16 | 2.91 | 55.1% | 69 | 44d | 17.0% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $102 | 5.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 17.6% | 8.5% | 25.9% | -17.4% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.54 | 3.57 | 1.16 | 2.91 | 55.1% | 69 | 44d | 17.0% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $102 | 5.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C20 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 17.6% | 8.5% | 25.9% | -17.4% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.54 | 3.57 | 1.16 | 2.91 | 55.1% | 69 | 44d | 17.0% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $102 | 5.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C20 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 17.6% | 8.5% | 25.9% | -17.4% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.54 | 3.57 | 1.16 | 2.91 | 55.1% | 69 | 44d | 17.0% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $102 | 5.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 36.7% | 17.0% | 25.9% | -8.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.50 | 1.69 | 2.58 | 3.33 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 57.1% | 91 | 42d | 16.1% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 91 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $185 | 11.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 36.7% | 17.0% | 25.9% | -8.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.50 | 1.69 | 2.58 | 3.33 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 57.1% | 91 | 42d | 16.1% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 91 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $185 | 11.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 93.0% | 39.1% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 2.50 | 1.45 | 3.36 | 6.50 | 2.79 | 6.69 | 49.3% | 69 | 48d | 54.4% | 134.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $170 | 11.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 93.0% | 39.1% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 2.50 | 1.45 | 3.36 | 6.50 | 2.79 | 6.69 | 49.3% | 69 | 48d | 54.4% | 134.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $170 | 11.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 89.5% | 37.8% | 25.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 2.47 | 1.48 | 3.33 | 5.41 | 2.12 | 5.02 | 51.8% | 81 | 35d | 41.5% | 8.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $209 | 14.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 89.5% | 37.8% | 25.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 2.47 | 1.48 | 3.33 | 5.41 | 2.12 | 5.02 | 51.8% | 81 | 35d | 41.5% | 8.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $209 | 14.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 66.7% | 29.2% | 25.9% | 3.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.89 | 4.19 | 1.63 | 4.39 | 48.8% | 86 | 39d | 42.3% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $207 | 13.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 66.7% | 29.2% | 25.9% | 3.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.89 | 4.19 | 1.63 | 4.39 | 48.8% | 86 | 39d | 42.3% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $207 | 13.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 74.3% | 32.1% | 25.9% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.45 | 1.45 | 3.11 | 4.77 | 1.92 | 4.98 | 48.9% | 90 | 35d | 39.1% | 13.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.0% | 10.0% | $218 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 74.3% | 32.1% | 25.9% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 2.45 | 1.45 | 3.11 | 4.77 | 1.92 | 4.98 | 48.9% | 90 | 35d | 39.1% | 13.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.0% | 10.0% | $218 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 66.8% | 29.3% | 25.9% | 3.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 2.45 | 1.43 | 2.88 | 4.18 | 1.70 | 4.80 | 46.5% | 86 | 38d | 43.8% | 9.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $205 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 66.8% | 29.3% | 25.9% | 3.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 2.45 | 1.43 | 2.88 | 4.18 | 1.70 | 4.80 | 46.5% | 86 | 38d | 43.8% | 9.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $205 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10_EX_TOP2 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_sensitivity_top2_2025 | concentration_sensitivity_top2 | 31.6% | 31.8% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 2.42 | 1.51 | 2.50 | 2.54 | 0.68 | 2.00 | 55.9% | 102 | 36d | 19.4% | 8.1% | 55,210 → 3,509 → 3,509 → 3,456 → 102 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects | 2.9% | 10.0% | $180 | 10.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 71.0% | 30.9% | 25.9% | 5.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.37 | 1.25 | 2.77 | 3.94 | 1.56 | 4.45 | 47.0% | 83 | 33d | 48.7% | 12.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $211 | 14.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 71.0% | 30.9% | 25.9% | 5.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.37 | 1.25 | 2.77 | 3.94 | 1.56 | 4.45 | 47.0% | 83 | 33d | 48.7% | 12.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $211 | 14.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 76.2% | 32.9% | 25.9% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 2.37 | 1.31 | 2.91 | 4.43 | 1.69 | 4.32 | 50.6% | 85 | 33d | 44.8% | 9.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $218 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 76.2% | 32.9% | 25.9% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 2.37 | 1.31 | 2.91 | 4.43 | 1.69 | 4.32 | 50.6% | 85 | 33d | 44.8% | 9.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $218 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 74.3% | 32.2% | 25.9% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.37 | 1.38 | 3.17 | 5.03 | 1.89 | 4.45 | 53.1% | 81 | 35d | 38.7% | 8.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $204 | 13.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 74.3% | 32.2% | 25.9% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.37 | 1.38 | 3.17 | 5.03 | 1.89 | 4.45 | 53.1% | 81 | 35d | 38.7% | 8.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $204 | 13.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 83.9% | 35.8% | 25.9% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 2.29 | 1.40 | 3.12 | 4.88 | 2.09 | 5.69 | 46.2% | 78 | 39d | 47.8% | 8.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $197 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 83.9% | 35.8% | 25.9% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 2.29 | 1.40 | 3.12 | 4.88 | 2.09 | 5.69 | 46.2% | 78 | 39d | 47.8% | 8.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $197 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 58.5% | 26.0% | 25.9% | 0.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 2.27 | 1.34 | 2.65 | 3.56 | 1.39 | 4.20 | 45.9% | 85 | 37d | 43.6% | 9.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $212 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 58.5% | 26.0% | 25.9% | 0.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 2.27 | 1.34 | 2.65 | 3.56 | 1.39 | 4.20 | 45.9% | 85 | 37d | 43.6% | 9.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 85 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $212 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 61.0% | 27.0% | 25.9% | 1.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 2.27 | 1.33 | 2.71 | 3.79 | 1.57 | 4.87 | 43.8% | 80 | 41d | 48.2% | 9.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $197 | 13.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 61.0% | 27.0% | 25.9% | 1.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 2.27 | 1.33 | 2.71 | 3.79 | 1.57 | 4.87 | 43.8% | 80 | 41d | 48.2% | 9.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $197 | 13.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 83.3% | 35.5% | 25.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.39 | 3.12 | 4.87 | 2.03 | 5.38 | 47.5% | 80 | 40d | 45.4% | 10.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $200 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 83.3% | 35.5% | 25.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.39 | 3.12 | 4.87 | 2.03 | 5.38 | 47.5% | 80 | 40d | 45.4% | 10.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $200 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 32.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | -10.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 3.40 | 1.03 | 2.57 | 57.0% | 93 | 42d | 15.9% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.9% | $170 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 32.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | -10.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 3.40 | 1.03 | 2.57 | 57.0% | 93 | 42d | 15.9% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.9% | $170 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 32.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | -10.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 3.40 | 1.03 | 2.57 | 57.0% | 93 | 42d | 15.9% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.9% | $170 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 32.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | -10.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 3.40 | 1.03 | 2.57 | 57.0% | 93 | 42d | 15.9% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.9% | $170 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 32.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | -10.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 3.40 | 1.03 | 2.57 | 57.0% | 93 | 42d | 15.9% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.9% | $170 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 32.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | -10.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 3.40 | 1.03 | 2.57 | 57.0% | 93 | 42d | 15.9% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.9% | $170 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 84.6% | 36.0% | 25.9% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 2.22 | 1.34 | 3.12 | 4.75 | 2.03 | 5.57 | 46.1% | 76 | 40d | 50.1% | 10.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $194 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 84.6% | 36.0% | 25.9% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 2.22 | 1.34 | 3.12 | 4.75 | 2.03 | 5.57 | 46.1% | 76 | 40d | 50.1% | 10.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $194 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 77.7% | 33.4% | 25.9% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 2.21 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 4.65 | 2.06 | 6.02 | 43.6% | 78 | 40d | 49.2% | 10.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $193 | 13.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 77.7% | 33.4% | 25.9% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 2.21 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 4.65 | 2.06 | 6.02 | 43.6% | 78 | 40d | 49.2% | 10.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $193 | 13.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 85.6% | 36.4% | 25.9% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 2.21 | 1.35 | 3.15 | 4.73 | 2.01 | 5.56 | 46.0% | 74 | 41d | 52.0% | 11.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $192 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 85.6% | 36.4% | 25.9% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 2.21 | 1.35 | 3.15 | 4.73 | 2.01 | 5.56 | 46.0% | 74 | 41d | 52.0% | 11.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $192 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z | development | 3.0% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.3% | 0.3% | 33.7% | 2.20 | 1.38 | 2.49 | 40.74 | 13.25 | 20.37 | 66.7% | 3 | 69d | 43.1% | 2.1% | 186,103 → 4,945 → 3,147 → 3,130 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.1% | 3.6% | $5 | 0.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z | development | 3.0% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.3% | 0.3% | 33.7% | 2.20 | 1.38 | 2.49 | 40.74 | 13.25 | 20.37 | 66.7% | 3 | 69d | 43.1% | 2.1% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 3.6% | $5 | 0.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z | development | 3.0% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.3% | 0.3% | 33.7% | 2.20 | 1.38 | 2.49 | 40.74 | 13.25 | 20.37 | 66.7% | 3 | 69d | 43.1% | 2.1% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 3.6% | $5 | 0.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z | development | 3.0% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.3% | 0.3% | 33.7% | 2.20 | 1.38 | 2.49 | 40.74 | 13.25 | 20.37 | 66.7% | 3 | 69d | 43.1% | 2.1% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 3.6% | $5 | 0.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 75.5% | 32.6% | 25.9% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 2.20 | 1.35 | 3.03 | 4.65 | 1.99 | 5.54 | 45.6% | 92 | 32d | 39.5% | 10.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $224 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 75.5% | 32.6% | 25.9% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 2.20 | 1.35 | 3.03 | 4.65 | 1.99 | 5.54 | 45.6% | 92 | 32d | 39.5% | 10.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $224 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 84.6% | 36.0% | 25.9% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 2.18 | 1.34 | 3.13 | 4.68 | 2.02 | 5.68 | 45.2% | 73 | 42d | 53.4% | 11.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 73 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $187 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 84.6% | 36.0% | 25.9% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 2.18 | 1.34 | 3.13 | 4.68 | 2.02 | 5.68 | 45.2% | 73 | 42d | 53.4% | 11.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 73 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $187 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 82.2% | 35.1% | 25.9% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 2.17 | 1.34 | 3.11 | 4.72 | 1.93 | 5.07 | 48.2% | 83 | 35d | 42.1% | 10.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $212 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 82.2% | 35.1% | 25.9% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 2.17 | 1.34 | 3.11 | 4.72 | 1.93 | 5.07 | 48.2% | 83 | 35d | 42.1% | 10.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 83 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $212 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 79.6% | 34.2% | 25.9% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 2.17 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 4.61 | 1.96 | 5.48 | 45.7% | 81 | 37d | 45.6% | 11.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $201 | 13.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 79.6% | 34.2% | 25.9% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 2.17 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 4.61 | 1.96 | 5.48 | 45.7% | 81 | 37d | 45.6% | 11.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $201 | 13.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 78.6% | 33.8% | 25.9% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 2.16 | 1.33 | 3.08 | 4.67 | 1.93 | 5.18 | 47.4% | 78 | 37d | 44.9% | 12.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $196 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 78.6% | 33.8% | 25.9% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 2.16 | 1.33 | 3.08 | 4.67 | 1.93 | 5.18 | 47.4% | 78 | 37d | 44.9% | 12.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $196 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 60.4% | 26.7% | 25.9% | 0.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 2.16 | 1.30 | 2.69 | 3.74 | 1.46 | 4.24 | 46.9% | 81 | 37d | 44.0% | 11.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $200 | 13.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 60.4% | 26.7% | 25.9% | 0.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 2.16 | 1.30 | 2.69 | 3.74 | 1.46 | 4.24 | 46.9% | 81 | 37d | 44.0% | 11.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $200 | 13.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 94.6% | 39.7% | 25.9% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 2.16 | 1.35 | 3.27 | 5.56 | 2.36 | 5.96 | 48.3% | 87 | 32d | 39.5% | 10.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 87 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $223 | 15.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 94.6% | 39.7% | 25.9% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 2.16 | 1.35 | 3.27 | 5.56 | 2.36 | 5.96 | 48.3% | 87 | 32d | 39.5% | 10.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 87 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $223 | 15.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.57 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 2.66 | 55.9% | 93 | 42d | 16.3% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.2% | $139 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.57 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 2.66 | 55.9% | 93 | 42d | 16.3% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.2% | $139 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.57 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 2.66 | 55.9% | 93 | 42d | 16.3% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.2% | $139 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.57 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 2.66 | 55.9% | 93 | 42d | 16.3% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.2% | $139 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.57 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 2.66 | 55.9% | 93 | 42d | 16.3% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.2% | $139 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.57 | 3.37 | 1.04 | 2.66 | 55.9% | 93 | 42d | 16.3% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 14.2% | $139 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 87.5% | 37.1% | 25.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 2.11 | 1.30 | 3.17 | 5.10 | 2.10 | 5.36 | 48.8% | 80 | 35d | 42.0% | 11.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $203 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 87.5% | 37.1% | 25.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 2.11 | 1.30 | 3.17 | 5.10 | 2.10 | 5.36 | 48.8% | 80 | 35d | 42.0% | 11.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 80 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $203 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 22.1% | 10.5% | 25.9% | -15.4% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.10 | 1.68 | 2.54 | 3.31 | 1.03 | 2.66 | 55.4% | 92 | 42d | 16.5% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $137 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 22.1% | 10.5% | 25.9% | -15.4% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.10 | 1.68 | 2.54 | 3.31 | 1.03 | 2.66 | 55.4% | 92 | 42d | 16.5% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $137 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.1% | 10.5% | 25.9% | -15.4% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.10 | 1.68 | 2.54 | 3.31 | 1.03 | 2.66 | 55.4% | 92 | 42d | 16.5% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $137 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 22.1% | 10.5% | 25.9% | -15.4% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.10 | 1.68 | 2.54 | 3.31 | 1.03 | 2.66 | 55.4% | 92 | 42d | 16.5% | 6.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $137 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 71.8% | 31.2% | 25.9% | 5.3% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 2.09 | 1.30 | 2.88 | 3.93 | 1.50 | 4.11 | 48.8% | 86 | 35d | 40.5% | 10.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $225 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 71.8% | 31.2% | 25.9% | 5.3% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 2.09 | 1.30 | 2.88 | 3.93 | 1.50 | 4.11 | 48.8% | 86 | 35d | 40.5% | 10.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 86 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.9% | 10.0% | $225 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 65.0% | 28.6% | 25.9% | 2.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 2.09 | 1.32 | 2.78 | 4.19 | 1.66 | 4.56 | 47.9% | 94 | 33d | 31.9% | 11.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 94 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.2% | 10.0% | $229 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 65.0% | 28.6% | 25.9% | 2.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 2.09 | 1.32 | 2.78 | 4.19 | 1.66 | 4.56 | 47.9% | 94 | 33d | 31.9% | 11.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 94 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.2% | 10.0% | $229 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 66.6% | 29.2% | 25.9% | 3.3% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.09 | 1.32 | 2.82 | 3.75 | 1.44 | 4.15 | 47.4% | 78 | 41d | 48.1% | 9.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $199 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 66.6% | 29.2% | 25.9% | 3.3% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.09 | 1.32 | 2.82 | 3.75 | 1.44 | 4.15 | 47.4% | 78 | 41d | 48.1% | 9.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $199 | 13.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 30.1% | 14.1% | 25.9% | -11.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.08 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 3.22 | 0.96 | 2.47 | 56.5% | 92 | 42d | 16.1% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $167 | 10.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 30.1% | 14.1% | 25.9% | -11.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 2.08 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 3.22 | 0.96 | 2.47 | 56.5% | 92 | 42d | 16.1% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 92 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $167 | 10.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 87.6% | 37.1% | 25.9% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 2.07 | 1.30 | 3.08 | 4.56 | 1.82 | 4.78 | 48.8% | 82 | 40d | 58.7% | 9.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $210 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 87.6% | 37.1% | 25.9% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 2.07 | 1.30 | 3.08 | 4.56 | 1.82 | 4.78 | 48.8% | 82 | 40d | 58.7% | 9.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $210 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 21.8% | 10.4% | 25.9% | -15.5% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.50 | 3.22 | 1.00 | 2.65 | 54.8% | 93 | 42d | 16.5% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $138 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 21.8% | 10.4% | 25.9% | -15.5% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.50 | 3.22 | 1.00 | 2.65 | 54.8% | 93 | 42d | 16.5% | 6.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.1% | 10.0% | $138 | 7.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5 tht_revised_stage_x_smoke | smoke_2021 | 17.4% | 17.6% | — | — | 8.5% | — | 2.07 | 1.28 | 1.82 | 2.30 | 0.68 | 2.53 | 47.6% | 84 | 46d | 11.3% | 5.2% | 48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 84 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects | 1.8% | 15.0% | $197 | 11.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X4 tht_revised_stage_x_smoke | smoke_2021 | 17.2% | 17.4% | — | — | 8.5% | — | 2.05 | 1.25 | 1.78 | 2.30 | 0.70 | 2.72 | 45.8% | 83 | 46d | 11.7% | 5.1% | 48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 83 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects | 1.8% | 15.0% | $194 | 11.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 85.1% | 36.2% | 25.9% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 2.05 | 1.27 | 3.01 | 4.46 | 1.81 | 4.91 | 47.6% | 84 | 39d | 58.2% | 9.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 84 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $211 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 85.1% | 36.2% | 25.9% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 2.05 | 1.27 | 3.01 | 4.46 | 1.81 | 4.91 | 47.6% | 84 | 39d | 58.2% | 9.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 84 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $211 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 53.1% | 23.8% | 25.9% | -2.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 1.98 | 1.52 | 2.64 | 3.89 | 1.68 | 5.39 | 41.9% | 62 | 45d | 44.4% | 91.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 62 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.1% | 21.3% | $172 | 12.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 53.1% | 23.8% | 25.9% | -2.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 1.98 | 1.52 | 2.64 | 3.89 | 1.68 | 5.39 | 41.9% | 62 | 45d | 44.4% | 91.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 62 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.1% | 21.3% | $172 | 12.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 264.1% | 38.2% | 13.1% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 1.97 | 1.45 | 2.20 | 2.08 | 0.64 | 3.05 | 40.6% | 197 | 37d | 33.8% | 34.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 197 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.2% | 20.0% | $1,205 | 94.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 264.1% | 38.2% | 13.1% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 1.97 | 1.45 | 2.20 | 2.08 | 0.64 | 3.05 | 40.6% | 197 | 37d | 33.8% | 34.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 197 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.2% | 20.0% | $1,205 | 94.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 76.2% | 32.9% | 25.9% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 1.94 | 1.26 | 2.88 | 4.25 | 1.77 | 5.08 | 45.6% | 90 | 32d | 34.7% | 14.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.0% | 10.0% | $227 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 76.2% | 32.9% | 25.9% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 1.94 | 1.26 | 2.88 | 4.25 | 1.77 | 5.08 | 45.6% | 90 | 32d | 34.7% | 14.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 90 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.0% | 10.0% | $227 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 44.5% | 20.3% | 25.9% | -5.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 1.91 | 1.05 | 2.12 | 2.99 | 0.98 | 2.91 | 50.6% | 81 | 31d | 22.4% | 14.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $211 | 14.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 44.5% | 20.3% | 25.9% | -5.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 1.91 | 1.05 | 2.12 | 2.99 | 0.98 | 2.91 | 50.6% | 81 | 31d | 22.4% | 14.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $211 | 14.7× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | 51.4% | 51.8% | 18.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | 18.8% | 1.89 | 1.30 | 2.06 | 0.07 | -0.67 | 0.18 | 27.9% | 215 | 25d | 44.0% | 242.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,344 | 23.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | 51.4% | 51.8% | 18.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | 18.8% | 1.89 | 1.30 | 2.06 | 1.68 | -0.67 | 0.18 | 27.9% | 215 | 25d | 44.0% | 242.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,344 | 23.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | 50.9% | 51.3% | 18.1% | 33.2% | 27.9% | 18.8% | 1.84 | 1.28 | 2.02 | 0.28 | -0.53 | 0.77 | 26.7% | 206 | 25d | 47.7% | 62.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,255 | 22.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | 50.9% | 51.3% | 18.1% | 33.2% | 27.9% | 18.8% | 1.84 | 1.28 | 2.02 | 1.68 | -0.53 | 0.77 | 26.7% | 206 | 25d | 47.7% | 62.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,255 | 22.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 29.4% | 13.8% | 25.9% | -12.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 1.83 | 1.56 | 3.13 | 4.50 | 1.89 | 5.28 | 46.0% | 50 | 48d | 92.2% | 11.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.7% | 7.1% | $70 | 3.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 29.4% | 13.8% | 25.9% | -12.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 1.83 | 1.56 | 3.13 | 4.50 | 1.89 | 5.28 | 46.0% | 50 | 48d | 92.2% | 11.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.7% | 7.1% | $70 | 3.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.4% | 10.7% | 25.9% | -15.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 1.76 | 1.01 | 1.51 | 2.16 | 0.58 | 2.21 | 49.4% | 81 | 38d | 12.7% | 9.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $188 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.4% | 10.7% | 25.9% | -15.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 1.76 | 1.01 | 1.51 | 2.16 | 0.58 | 2.21 | 49.4% | 81 | 38d | 12.7% | 9.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $188 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 272.6% | 39.0% | 13.1% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 33.7% | 1.76 | 1.43 | 2.19 | 2.04 | 0.61 | 2.97 | 40.7% | 204 | 36d | 36.4% | 21.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 204 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.3% | 15.0% | $1,287 | 101.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 272.6% | 39.0% | 13.1% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 33.7% | 1.76 | 1.43 | 2.19 | 2.04 | 0.61 | 2.97 | 40.7% | 204 | 36d | 36.4% | 21.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 204 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.3% | 15.0% | $1,287 | 101.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X0 tht_revised_stage_x_smoke | smoke_2021 | 15.7% | 15.9% | — | — | 9.1% | — | 1.75 | 0.99 | 1.41 | 2.57 | 0.97 | 4.20 | 38.0% | 50 | 61d | 20.2% | 5.7% | 48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 50 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects | 1.1% | 15.0% | $105 | 7.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 96.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 33.7% | 1.74 | 1.31 | 1.97 | 2.00 | 0.55 | 2.42 | 45.2% | 292 | 34d | 25.3% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 292 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 10.0% | $662 | 44.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 96.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 33.7% | 1.74 | 1.31 | 1.97 | 2.00 | 0.55 | 2.42 | 45.2% | 292 | 34d | 25.3% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 292 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 10.0% | $662 | 44.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.6% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 1.73 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.14 | 0.55 | 2.03 | 51.3% | 78 | 37d | 12.7% | 10.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $188 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.6% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 1.73 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.14 | 0.55 | 2.03 | 51.3% | 78 | 37d | 12.7% | 10.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $188 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 1.73 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.19 | 0.59 | 2.13 | 50.6% | 81 | 38d | 12.4% | 8.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $191 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.7% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 1.73 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.19 | 0.59 | 2.13 | 50.6% | 81 | 38d | 12.4% | 8.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 81 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $191 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X2 tht_revised_stage_x_smoke | smoke_2021 | 15.5% | 15.7% | — | — | 9.1% | — | 1.73 | 1.08 | 1.52 | 2.21 | 0.72 | 3.28 | 40.3% | 77 | 43d | 12.3% | 5.4% | 48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 77 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects | 1.7% | 15.0% | $153 | 10.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.8% | 10.9% | 25.9% | -15.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 1.71 | 1.04 | 1.55 | 2.17 | 0.56 | 1.96 | 52.6% | 78 | 37d | 12.4% | 8.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $190 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.8% | 10.9% | 25.9% | -15.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 1.71 | 1.04 | 1.55 | 2.17 | 0.56 | 1.96 | 52.6% | 78 | 37d | 12.4% | 8.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $190 | 12.9× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development.stale-20260719T071314Z | development | 2.0% | 0.5% | 13.1% | -12.6% | 0.3% | 33.7% | 1.70 | 1.19 | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 1 | 73d | 55.6% | 0.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 3.6% | $2 | 0.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 136.4% | 24.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 33.7% | 1.68 | 1.32 | 1.99 | 1.93 | 0.51 | 2.37 | 44.9% | 283 | 34d | 25.5% | 8.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 283 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.0% | 10.0% | $870 | 64.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 136.4% | 24.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 33.7% | 1.68 | 1.32 | 1.99 | 1.93 | 0.51 | 2.37 | 44.9% | 283 | 34d | 25.5% | 8.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 283 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.0% | 10.0% | $870 | 64.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 133.1% | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 33.7% | 1.67 | 1.26 | 1.89 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 2.37 | 44.0% | 277 | 33d | 25.7% | 9.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 21.9% | $919 | 69.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 133.1% | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 33.7% | 1.67 | 1.26 | 1.89 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 2.37 | 44.0% | 277 | 33d | 25.7% | 9.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 21.9% | $919 | 69.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 133.5% | 23.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 33.7% | 1.67 | 1.26 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 0.48 | 2.37 | 44.0% | 277 | 33d | 25.7% | 9.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 20.0% | $917 | 69.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 133.5% | 23.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 33.7% | 1.67 | 1.26 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 0.48 | 2.37 | 44.0% | 277 | 33d | 25.7% | 9.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 20.0% | $917 | 69.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 205.1% | 32.2% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 1.67 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 0.49 | 2.28 | 45.5% | 231 | 35d | 33.8% | 48.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 231 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.9% | 15.0% | $1,164 | 94.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 205.1% | 32.2% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 1.67 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 0.49 | 2.28 | 45.5% | 231 | 35d | 33.8% | 48.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 231 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.9% | 15.0% | $1,164 | 94.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 135.9% | 24.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 33.7% | 1.66 | 1.28 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 0.49 | 2.39 | 44.0% | 277 | 33d | 25.7% | 8.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 15.0% | $914 | 69.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R050_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 135.9% | 24.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 33.7% | 1.66 | 1.28 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 0.49 | 2.39 | 44.0% | 277 | 33d | 25.7% | 8.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 277 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 15.0% | $914 | 69.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 212.5% | 33.0% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 33.7% | 1.62 | 1.30 | 1.98 | 1.92 | 0.52 | 2.53 | 43.1% | 225 | 34d | 35.4% | 202.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 225 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.8% | 20.0% | $1,181 | 96.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 212.5% | 33.0% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 33.7% | 1.62 | 1.30 | 1.98 | 1.92 | 0.52 | 2.53 | 43.1% | 225 | 34d | 35.4% | 202.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 225 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.8% | 20.0% | $1,181 | 96.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 176.5% | 29.0% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 1.61 | 1.30 | 1.96 | 1.80 | 0.44 | 2.19 | 45.1% | 255 | 32d | 29.6% | 17.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,151 | 90.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 176.5% | 29.0% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 1.61 | 1.30 | 1.96 | 1.80 | 0.44 | 2.19 | 45.1% | 255 | 32d | 29.6% | 17.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,151 | 90.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 64.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.2% | 8.3% | 33.7% | 1.60 | 1.27 | 1.90 | 2.01 | 0.56 | 2.48 | 44.8% | 297 | 34d | 25.1% | 8.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 10.0% | $509 | 29.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 64.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.2% | 8.3% | 33.7% | 1.60 | 1.27 | 1.90 | 2.01 | 0.56 | 2.48 | 44.8% | 297 | 34d | 25.1% | 8.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 10.0% | $509 | 29.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 64.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.2% | 8.3% | 33.7% | 1.60 | 1.27 | 1.90 | 2.01 | 0.56 | 2.48 | 44.8% | 297 | 34d | 25.1% | 8.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 10.0% | $509 | 29.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 64.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.2% | 8.3% | 33.7% | 1.60 | 1.27 | 1.90 | 2.01 | 0.56 | 2.48 | 44.8% | 297 | 34d | 25.1% | 8.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 297 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 10.0% | $509 | 29.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 202.3% | 31.9% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 33.7% | 1.60 | 1.26 | 1.93 | 1.85 | 0.48 | 2.43 | 43.2% | 222 | 35d | 36.2% | 139.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 222 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.7% | 25.0% | $1,179 | 96.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 202.3% | 31.9% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 33.7% | 1.60 | 1.26 | 1.93 | 1.85 | 0.48 | 2.43 | 43.2% | 222 | 35d | 36.2% | 139.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 222 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.7% | 25.0% | $1,179 | 96.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 8.0% | 3.9% | 25.9% | -22.0% | 2.5% | 10.0% | 1.59 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1.98 | 0.49 | 1.98 | 50.0% | 42 | 48d | 31.1% | 11.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 10.0% | $58 | 2.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 8.0% | 3.9% | 25.9% | -22.0% | 2.5% | 10.0% | 1.59 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1.98 | 0.49 | 1.98 | 50.0% | 42 | 48d | 31.1% | 11.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 10.0% | $58 | 2.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 65.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 2.00 | 0.55 | 2.44 | 45.0% | 298 | 34d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 15.0% | $517 | 30.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 65.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 2.00 | 0.55 | 2.44 | 45.0% | 298 | 34d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 15.0% | $517 | 30.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 185.4% | 30.0% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.35 | 2.04 | 1.82 | 0.44 | 2.16 | 45.7% | 254 | 32d | 29.7% | 11.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,174 | 92.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 185.4% | 30.0% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.35 | 2.04 | 1.82 | 0.44 | 2.16 | 45.7% | 254 | 32d | 29.7% | 11.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,174 | 92.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 64.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 1.99 | 0.55 | 2.44 | 45.0% | 298 | 34d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 16.1% | $517 | 30.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 64.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 1.99 | 0.55 | 2.44 | 45.0% | 298 | 34d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 16.1% | $517 | 30.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 64.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 1.99 | 0.55 | 2.44 | 45.0% | 298 | 34d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 16.1% | $517 | 30.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R025_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 64.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 33.7% | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.88 | 1.99 | 0.55 | 2.44 | 45.0% | 298 | 34d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 298 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.3% | 16.1% | $517 | 30.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 193.2% | 30.9% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 33.7% | 1.57 | 1.36 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 0.42 | 2.02 | 47.1% | 272 | 31d | 29.5% | 10.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 272 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,248 | 97.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 193.2% | 30.9% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 33.7% | 1.57 | 1.36 | 2.07 | 1.79 | 0.42 | 2.02 | 47.1% | 272 | 31d | 29.5% | 10.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 272 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,248 | 97.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 177.5% | 29.1% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 33.7% | 1.56 | 1.34 | 2.06 | 1.74 | 0.40 | 2.04 | 46.1% | 269 | 28d | 28.5% | 10.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,257 | 98.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 177.5% | 29.1% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 33.7% | 1.56 | 1.34 | 2.06 | 1.74 | 0.40 | 2.04 | 46.1% | 269 | 28d | 28.5% | 10.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,257 | 98.8× |
| research no holdout | C_STALL10 equity_curve_asym_rr_dip_c_stall10 | research_full_sample | 1671.0% | 40.0% | 14.6% | 25.4% | 25.9% | 25.3% | 1.54 | 1.45 | 2.30 | 2.42 | 1.18 | 11.90 | 16.9% | 378 | 17d | 33.4% | 2.8% | 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 64.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.7% | 33.7% | 1.54 | 1.25 | 1.87 | 1.96 | 0.54 | 2.50 | 44.0% | 307 | 34d | 25.3% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 307 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.5% | 10.0% | $530 | 30.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_ADD_FIRST_REVISIT equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 64.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 0.3% | 8.7% | 33.7% | 1.54 | 1.25 | 1.87 | 1.96 | 0.54 | 2.50 | 44.0% | 307 | 34d | 25.3% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 307 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.5% | 10.0% | $530 | 30.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 195.2% | 31.1% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 33.7% | 1.53 | 1.37 | 2.06 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 2.37 | 44.0% | 248 | 35d | 34.0% | 14.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 248 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,136 | 89.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 195.2% | 31.1% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 33.7% | 1.53 | 1.37 | 2.06 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 2.37 | 44.0% | 248 | 35d | 34.0% | 14.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 248 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,136 | 89.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 47.4% | 21.5% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.53 | 1.14 | 1.70 | 2.59 | -0.39 | 1.21 | 27.5% | 178 | 59d | 32.5% | 26.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,939 | 14.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 47.4% | 21.5% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.53 | 1.14 | 1.70 | 2.59 | -0.39 | 1.21 | 27.5% | 178 | 59d | 32.5% | 26.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,939 | 14.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10_EX_TOP5 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_sensitivity_top5_2025 | concentration_sensitivity_top5 | 19.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 1.9% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 1.53 | 1.16 | 1.76 | 1.90 | 0.42 | 1.70 | 52.8% | 106 | 32d | 16.8% | 8.1% | 55,051 → 3,467 → 3,467 → 3,414 → 106 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 210 band rejects | 3.1% | 10.0% | $183 | 10.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 176.1% | 29.0% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 33.7% | 1.52 | 1.29 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 0.44 | 2.21 | 44.9% | 254 | 32d | 29.9% | 12.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,143 | 89.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 176.1% | 29.0% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 33.7% | 1.52 | 1.29 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 0.44 | 2.21 | 44.9% | 254 | 32d | 29.9% | 12.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,143 | 89.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 201.4% | 31.8% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 1.51 | 1.37 | 2.07 | 1.84 | 0.46 | 2.28 | 44.6% | 249 | 35d | 33.4% | 11.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,181 | 93.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 201.4% | 31.8% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 1.51 | 1.37 | 2.07 | 1.84 | 0.46 | 2.28 | 44.6% | 249 | 35d | 33.4% | 11.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,181 | 93.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 90.9% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 11.7% | 33.7% | 1.51 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 2.40 | 44.2% | 294 | 33d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 15.0% | $676 | 45.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 90.9% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 11.7% | 33.7% | 1.51 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 2.40 | 44.2% | 294 | 33d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 15.0% | $676 | 45.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 90.5% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 33.7% | 1.50 | 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.89 | 0.50 | 2.39 | 44.2% | 294 | 33d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 19.9% | $680 | 46.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 90.5% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 33.7% | 1.50 | 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.89 | 0.50 | 2.39 | 44.2% | 294 | 33d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 19.9% | $680 | 46.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 90.5% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 33.7% | 1.50 | 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.89 | 0.50 | 2.39 | 44.2% | 294 | 33d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 19.9% | $680 | 46.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R035_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 90.5% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 33.7% | 1.50 | 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.89 | 0.50 | 2.39 | 44.2% | 294 | 33d | 25.0% | 8.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 294 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.2% | 19.9% | $680 | 46.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 178.3% | 29.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 33.7% | 1.50 | 1.29 | 1.95 | 1.77 | 0.43 | 2.18 | 44.8% | 250 | 33d | 31.8% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,140 | 89.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 178.3% | 29.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 33.7% | 1.50 | 1.29 | 1.95 | 1.77 | 0.43 | 2.18 | 44.8% | 250 | 33d | 31.8% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,140 | 89.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.8% | 13.6% | 25.9% | -12.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.49 | 1.16 | 1.75 | 2.51 | 0.79 | 2.73 | 47.9% | 71 | 45d | 17.1% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $173 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.8% | 13.6% | 25.9% | -12.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.49 | 1.16 | 1.75 | 2.51 | 0.79 | 2.73 | 47.9% | 71 | 45d | 17.1% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $173 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.7% | 13.5% | 25.9% | -12.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.49 | 1.18 | 1.76 | 2.50 | 0.77 | 2.65 | 48.5% | 68 | 45d | 17.5% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $170 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.7% | 13.5% | 25.9% | -12.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.49 | 1.18 | 1.76 | 2.50 | 0.77 | 2.65 | 48.5% | 68 | 45d | 17.5% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $170 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.9% | 13.6% | 25.9% | -12.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 2.52 | 0.79 | 2.74 | 47.9% | 71 | 45d | 16.8% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $174 | 12.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.9% | 13.6% | 25.9% | -12.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 2.52 | 0.79 | 2.74 | 47.9% | 71 | 45d | 16.8% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $174 | 12.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.8% | 13.5% | 25.9% | -12.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.48 | 1.18 | 1.77 | 2.50 | 0.77 | 2.65 | 48.5% | 68 | 45d | 17.3% | 7.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $171 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.8% | 13.5% | 25.9% | -12.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.48 | 1.18 | 1.77 | 2.50 | 0.77 | 2.65 | 48.5% | 68 | 45d | 17.3% | 7.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 68 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $171 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.0% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 33.7% | 1.47 | 1.29 | 1.97 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.00 | 46.3% | 255 | 30d | 29.1% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,181 | 92.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.0% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 33.7% | 1.47 | 1.29 | 1.97 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.00 | 46.3% | 255 | 30d | 29.1% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,181 | 92.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 189.7% | 30.5% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 33.7% | 1.46 | 1.36 | 2.06 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 1.97 | 47.6% | 269 | 31d | 29.2% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,224 | 96.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 189.7% | 30.5% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 33.7% | 1.46 | 1.36 | 2.06 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 1.97 | 47.6% | 269 | 31d | 29.2% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,224 | 96.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 45.0% | 20.5% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.45 | 1.11 | 1.66 | 2.43 | -0.37 | 1.42 | 26.2% | 191 | 56d | 31.2% | 22.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,060 | 14.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 45.0% | 20.5% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.45 | 1.11 | 1.66 | 2.43 | -0.37 | 1.42 | 26.2% | 191 | 56d | 31.2% | 22.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,060 | 14.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 68.6% | 30.0% | — | — | 20.7% | — | 1.45 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 3.48 | 0.36 | 1.20 | 61.9% | 97 | 86d | 23.5% | 19.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,591 | 12.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 68.6% | 30.0% | — | — | 20.7% | — | 1.45 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 3.48 | 0.36 | 1.20 | 61.9% | 97 | 86d | 23.5% | 19.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,591 | 12.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 187.6% | 30.3% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 33.7% | 1.45 | 1.35 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 1.95 | 47.8% | 270 | 32d | 28.9% | 11.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 270 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,224 | 96.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 187.6% | 30.3% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 33.7% | 1.45 | 1.35 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 1.95 | 47.8% | 270 | 32d | 28.9% | 11.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 270 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,224 | 96.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.2% | 13.3% | 25.9% | -12.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.44 | 1.14 | 1.69 | 2.59 | 0.87 | 3.11 | 45.5% | 66 | 46d | 18.4% | 6.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 66 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.2% | 10.0% | $163 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 28.2% | 13.3% | 25.9% | -12.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.44 | 1.14 | 1.69 | 2.59 | 0.87 | 3.11 | 45.5% | 66 | 46d | 18.4% | 6.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 66 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.2% | 10.0% | $163 | 11.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 44.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.44 | 1.10 | 1.64 | 2.55 | -0.53 | 0.66 | 28.2% | 174 | 60d | 30.2% | 46.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,874 | 14.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 44.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.44 | 1.10 | 1.64 | 2.55 | -0.53 | 0.66 | 28.2% | 174 | 60d | 30.2% | 46.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,874 | 14.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 27.9% | 13.1% | 25.9% | -12.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.44 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.43 | 0.69 | 2.24 | 52.1% | 71 | 44d | 15.7% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $180 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 27.9% | 13.1% | 25.9% | -12.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.44 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.43 | 0.69 | 2.24 | 52.1% | 71 | 44d | 15.7% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 71 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.4% | 10.0% | $180 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 39.1% | 18.0% | — | — | 12.5% | — | 1.44 | 0.84 | 1.32 | 2.79 | 0.60 | 1.37 | 67.5% | 169 | 87d | 21.0% | 15.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,272 | 9.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 39.1% | 18.0% | — | — | 12.5% | — | 1.44 | 0.84 | 1.32 | 2.79 | 0.60 | 1.37 | 67.5% | 169 | 87d | 21.0% | 15.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,272 | 9.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 54.4% | 24.4% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 3.69 | -0.11 | 1.61 | 34.1% | 44 | 72d | 34.2% | 21.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,335 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 54.4% | 24.4% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 3.69 | -0.11 | 1.61 | 34.1% | 44 | 72d | 34.2% | 21.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,335 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 54.4% | 24.4% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 3.69 | -0.11 | 1.61 | 34.1% | 44 | 72d | 34.2% | 21.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,335 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 54.4% | 24.4% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 3.69 | -0.11 | 1.61 | 34.1% | 44 | 72d | 34.2% | 21.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,335 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 54.4% | 24.4% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 3.69 | -0.11 | 1.61 | 34.1% | 44 | 72d | 34.2% | 21.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,335 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 54.4% | 24.4% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 3.69 | -0.11 | 1.61 | 34.1% | 44 | 72d | 34.2% | 21.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,335 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 44.0% | 20.1% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.43 | 1.10 | 1.64 | 2.51 | -0.19 | 1.88 | 28.2% | 170 | 60d | 30.2% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 23.8% | $1,874 | 14.2× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 44.0% | 20.1% | — | — | 14.1% | — | 1.43 | 1.10 | 1.64 | 2.51 | -0.19 | 1.88 | 28.2% | 170 | 60d | 30.2% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 23.8% | $1,874 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 54.9% | 24.5% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 1.43 | 0.91 | 1.35 | 3.12 | 0.77 | 1.59 | 68.3% | 126 | 86d | 21.7% | 13.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,473 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 54.9% | 24.5% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 1.43 | 0.91 | 1.35 | 3.12 | 0.77 | 1.59 | 68.3% | 126 | 86d | 21.7% | 13.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,473 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 200.0% | 31.7% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 33.7% | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 0.49 | 2.84 | 38.8% | 196 | 35d | 33.0% | 32.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 196 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.2% | 25.0% | $1,170 | 90.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 200.0% | 31.7% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 33.7% | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 0.49 | 2.84 | 38.8% | 196 | 35d | 33.0% | 32.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 196 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.2% | 25.0% | $1,170 | 90.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 162.8% | 27.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.76 | 0.40 | 1.94 | 47.6% | 275 | 29d | 25.7% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,160 | 90.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 162.8% | 27.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.76 | 0.40 | 1.94 | 47.6% | 275 | 29d | 25.7% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,160 | 90.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 162.5% | 27.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 2.04 | 46.4% | 276 | 27d | 25.7% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 276 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,181 | 92.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 162.5% | 27.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 2.04 | 46.4% | 276 | 27d | 25.7% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 276 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,181 | 92.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 27.6% | 13.0% | 25.9% | -12.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.42 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 2.42 | 0.69 | 2.29 | 51.3% | 74 | 44d | 15.3% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 27.6% | 13.0% | 25.9% | -12.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.42 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 2.42 | 0.69 | 2.29 | 51.3% | 74 | 44d | 15.3% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_NONE equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 48.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | -2.8% | 7.3% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 43.0% | 251 | 33d | 24.6% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $417 | 23.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_NONE equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 48.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | -2.8% | 7.3% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 43.0% | 251 | 33d | 24.6% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $417 | 23.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 48.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | -2.8% | 7.3% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 43.0% | 251 | 33d | 24.6% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $417 | 23.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 48.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | -2.8% | 7.3% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 43.0% | 251 | 33d | 24.6% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $417 | 23.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C20 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 48.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | -2.8% | 7.3% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 43.0% | 251 | 33d | 24.6% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $417 | 23.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C20 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 48.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | -2.8% | 7.3% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 2.50 | 43.0% | 251 | 33d | 24.6% | 8.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $417 | 23.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 170.3% | 28.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 0.41 | 2.16 | 44.7% | 255 | 33d | 30.8% | 14.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,153 | 91.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 170.3% | 28.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 0.41 | 2.16 | 44.7% | 255 | 33d | 30.8% | 14.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,153 | 91.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 170.2% | 28.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 0.41 | 2.14 | 44.9% | 256 | 33d | 30.5% | 14.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,155 | 91.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 170.2% | 28.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 33.7% | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 0.41 | 2.14 | 44.9% | 256 | 33d | 30.5% | 14.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,155 | 91.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 53.1% | 23.8% | — | — | 16.9% | — | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 3.08 | -0.36 | 0.75 | 36.4% | 88 | 76d | 32.5% | 43.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,701 | 13.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 53.1% | 23.8% | — | — | 16.9% | — | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 3.08 | -0.36 | 0.75 | 36.4% | 88 | 76d | 32.5% | 43.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,701 | 13.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 51.5% | 23.2% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 2.96 | -0.37 | 0.92 | 33.0% | 91 | 57d | 25.4% | 27.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,768 | 13.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 51.5% | 23.2% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 2.96 | -0.37 | 0.92 | 33.0% | 91 | 57d | 25.4% | 27.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,768 | 13.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 51.5% | 23.2% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 2.96 | -0.37 | 0.92 | 33.0% | 91 | 57d | 25.4% | 27.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,768 | 13.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 51.5% | 23.2% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 2.96 | -0.37 | 0.92 | 33.0% | 91 | 57d | 25.4% | 27.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,768 | 13.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 27.1% | 12.8% | 25.9% | -13.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.39 | 1.09 | 1.62 | 2.48 | 0.82 | 3.04 | 44.9% | 69 | 47d | 17.8% | 7.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $165 | 11.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 27.1% | 12.8% | 25.9% | -13.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.39 | 1.09 | 1.62 | 2.48 | 0.82 | 3.04 | 44.9% | 69 | 47d | 17.8% | 7.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 69 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.3% | 10.0% | $165 | 11.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 23.1% | 11.0% | 25.9% | -14.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 1.38 | 1.03 | 1.51 | 2.15 | 0.59 | 2.27 | 48.7% | 76 | 39d | 14.1% | 8.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $179 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 23.1% | 11.0% | 25.9% | -14.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 1.38 | 1.03 | 1.51 | 2.15 | 0.59 | 2.27 | 48.7% | 76 | 39d | 14.1% | 8.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $179 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X1 tht_revised_stage_x_smoke | smoke_2021 | 12.2% | 12.4% | — | — | 9.0% | — | 1.38 | 0.89 | 1.26 | 1.83 | 0.49 | 2.71 | 40.2% | 82 | 47d | 12.1% | 5.2% | 48,081 → 4,666 → 4,666 → 4,591 → 82 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 192 band rejects | 1.8% | 15.0% | $183 | 10.2× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 50.2% | 22.6% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.38 | 1.09 | 1.64 | 2.96 | -0.20 | 1.01 | 39.7% | 73 | 77d | 33.6% | 33.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,687 | 13.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 50.2% | 22.6% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.38 | 1.09 | 1.64 | 2.96 | -0.20 | 1.01 | 39.7% | 73 | 77d | 33.6% | 33.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,687 | 13.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 50.1% | 22.6% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.38 | 1.08 | 1.64 | 2.96 | -0.35 | 0.83 | 35.5% | 76 | 65d | 27.4% | 32.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,690 | 13.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 50.1% | 22.6% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.38 | 1.08 | 1.64 | 2.96 | -0.35 | 0.83 | 35.5% | 76 | 65d | 27.4% | 32.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,690 | 13.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 50.1% | 22.6% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.38 | 1.08 | 1.64 | 2.96 | -0.35 | 0.83 | 35.5% | 76 | 65d | 27.4% | 32.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,690 | 13.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 50.1% | 22.6% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.38 | 1.08 | 1.64 | 2.96 | -0.35 | 0.83 | 35.5% | 76 | 65d | 27.4% | 32.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,690 | 13.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.6% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 0.59 | 2.36 | 47.4% | 78 | 40d | 14.2% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $180 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.6% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 0.59 | 2.36 | 47.4% | 78 | 40d | 14.2% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $180 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 164.3% | 27.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 33.7% | 1.37 | 1.26 | 1.92 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.05 | 45.7% | 265 | 29d | 28.2% | 11.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,191 | 93.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 164.3% | 27.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 33.7% | 1.37 | 1.26 | 1.92 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.05 | 45.7% | 265 | 29d | 28.2% | 11.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,191 | 93.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 165.3% | 27.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 33.7% | 1.37 | 1.28 | 1.94 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.02 | 46.1% | 267 | 29d | 27.8% | 11.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,206 | 94.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 165.3% | 27.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 33.7% | 1.37 | 1.28 | 1.94 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.02 | 46.1% | 267 | 29d | 27.8% | 11.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,206 | 94.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 38.8% | 17.9% | — | — | 13.1% | — | 1.37 | 1.04 | 1.53 | 2.41 | -0.46 | 0.60 | 33.7% | 276 | 66d | 29.7% | 49.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.3% | $1,775 | 13.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 38.8% | 17.9% | — | — | 13.1% | — | 1.37 | 1.04 | 1.53 | 2.41 | -0.46 | 0.60 | 33.7% | 276 | 66d | 29.7% | 49.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.3% | $1,775 | 13.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 38.8% | 17.9% | — | — | 13.1% | — | 1.37 | 1.04 | 1.53 | 2.41 | -0.46 | 0.60 | 33.7% | 276 | 66d | 29.7% | 49.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.3% | $1,775 | 13.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 38.8% | 17.9% | — | — | 13.1% | — | 1.37 | 1.04 | 1.53 | 2.41 | -0.46 | 0.60 | 33.7% | 276 | 66d | 29.7% | 49.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.3% | $1,775 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.9% | 27.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 33.7% | 1.36 | 1.26 | 1.90 | 1.76 | 0.42 | 2.11 | 45.5% | 255 | 31d | 29.1% | 13.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,139 | 89.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.9% | 27.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 33.7% | 1.36 | 1.26 | 1.90 | 1.76 | 0.42 | 2.11 | 45.5% | 255 | 31d | 29.1% | 13.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,139 | 89.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 52.1% | 23.4% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 1.36 | 0.99 | 1.47 | 3.55 | 0.77 | 1.57 | 68.7% | 115 | 88d | 21.5% | 13.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,228 | 9.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 52.1% | 23.4% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 1.36 | 0.99 | 1.47 | 3.55 | 0.77 | 1.57 | 68.7% | 115 | 88d | 21.5% | 13.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,228 | 9.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 26.0% | 12.3% | 25.9% | -13.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.36 | 1.12 | 1.66 | 2.34 | 0.67 | 2.34 | 50.0% | 74 | 44d | 14.9% | 7.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $180 | 12.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 26.0% | 12.3% | 25.9% | -13.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.36 | 1.12 | 1.66 | 2.34 | 0.67 | 2.34 | 50.0% | 74 | 44d | 14.9% | 7.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $180 | 12.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 23.1% | 11.0% | 25.9% | -14.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.35 | 1.03 | 1.51 | 2.16 | 0.58 | 2.16 | 50.0% | 76 | 39d | 13.7% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $181 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 23.1% | 11.0% | 25.9% | -14.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.35 | 1.03 | 1.51 | 2.16 | 0.58 | 2.16 | 50.0% | 76 | 39d | 13.7% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $181 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 184.4% | 29.9% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 33.7% | 1.35 | 1.33 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.04 | 45.8% | 264 | 32d | 30.9% | 11.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,241 | 98.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 184.4% | 29.9% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 33.7% | 1.35 | 1.33 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.04 | 45.8% | 264 | 32d | 30.9% | 11.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,241 | 98.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 15.5% | 7.5% | 25.9% | -18.4% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 1.35 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 2.49 | 0.76 | 2.61 | 48.8% | 84 | 42d | 17.2% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 1,766 → 877 → 877 → 84 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.8% | 10.0% | $122 | 6.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX equity_curve_tht_add_validation | validation | 15.5% | 7.5% | 25.9% | -18.4% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 1.35 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 2.49 | 0.76 | 2.61 | 48.8% | 84 | 42d | 17.2% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 1,766 → 877 → 877 → 84 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.8% | 10.0% | $122 | 6.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 60.5% | 26.8% | — | — | 19.8% | — | 1.35 | 0.93 | 1.41 | 3.19 | 0.68 | 1.45 | 68.5% | 124 | 89d | 22.3% | 15.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,549 | 11.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 60.5% | 26.8% | — | — | 19.8% | — | 1.35 | 0.93 | 1.41 | 3.19 | 0.68 | 1.45 | 68.5% | 124 | 89d | 22.3% | 15.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,549 | 11.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.5% | 10.7% | 25.9% | -15.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 1.34 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 0.58 | 2.24 | 48.7% | 78 | 40d | 13.8% | 8.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.5% | 10.7% | 25.9% | -15.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 1.34 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 0.58 | 2.24 | 48.7% | 78 | 40d | 13.8% | 8.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 25.6% | 12.1% | 25.9% | -13.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.34 | 1.09 | 1.62 | 2.31 | 0.65 | 2.25 | 50.6% | 77 | 44d | 14.3% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 77 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 25.6% | 12.1% | 25.9% | -13.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.34 | 1.09 | 1.62 | 2.31 | 0.65 | 2.25 | 50.6% | 77 | 44d | 14.3% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 77 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.15 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 3.61 | 46.5% | 43 | 38d | 31.8% | 8.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.15 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 3.61 | 46.5% | 43 | 38d | 31.8% | 8.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.15 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 3.61 | 46.5% | 43 | 38d | 31.8% | 8.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.15 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 3.61 | 46.5% | 43 | 38d | 31.8% | 8.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_FV_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.15 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 3.61 | 46.5% | 43 | 38d | 31.8% | 8.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_FV_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.15 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 3.61 | 46.5% | 43 | 38d | 31.8% | 8.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 10.9% | 5.3% | 25.9% | -20.5% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 1.31 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.68 | 0.90 | 3.07 | 46.6% | 58 | 45d | 17.5% | 6.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.9% | 7.1% | $84 | 4.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 10.9% | 5.3% | 25.9% | -20.5% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 1.31 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.68 | 0.90 | 3.07 | 46.6% | 58 | 45d | 17.5% | 6.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.9% | 7.1% | $84 | 4.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 10.9% | 5.3% | 25.9% | -20.5% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 1.31 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.68 | 0.90 | 3.07 | 46.6% | 58 | 45d | 17.5% | 6.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.9% | 7.1% | $84 | 4.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 10.9% | 5.3% | 25.9% | -20.5% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 1.31 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 2.68 | 0.90 | 3.07 | 46.6% | 58 | 45d | 17.5% | 6.3% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 58 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.9% | 7.1% | $84 | 4.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.8% | 11.7% | 25.9% | -14.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.30 | 1.08 | 1.60 | 2.27 | 0.67 | 2.52 | 47.4% | 76 | 42d | 14.5% | 7.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.8% | 11.7% | 25.9% | -14.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.30 | 1.08 | 1.60 | 2.27 | 0.67 | 2.52 | 47.4% | 76 | 42d | 14.5% | 7.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $182 | 12.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 57.6% | 25.6% | — | — | 19.9% | — | 1.29 | 0.90 | 1.37 | 2.96 | -0.07 | 0.39 | 66.4% | 122 | 90d | 22.2% | 56.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,544 | 11.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 57.6% | 25.6% | — | — | 19.9% | — | 1.29 | 0.90 | 1.37 | 2.96 | -0.07 | 0.39 | 66.4% | 122 | 90d | 22.2% | 56.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,544 | 11.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.8% | 11.8% | 25.9% | -14.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.29 | 1.09 | 1.60 | 2.28 | 0.65 | 2.40 | 48.7% | 76 | 42d | 14.2% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $183 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.8% | 11.8% | 25.9% | -14.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.29 | 1.09 | 1.60 | 2.28 | 0.65 | 2.40 | 48.7% | 76 | 42d | 14.2% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $183 | 12.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 36.6% | 17.0% | — | — | 13.2% | — | 1.28 | 0.98 | 1.44 | 2.27 | -0.52 | 0.51 | 31.8% | 283 | 65d | 29.9% | 58.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,803 | 13.2× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 36.6% | 17.0% | — | — | 13.2% | — | 1.28 | 0.98 | 1.44 | 2.27 | -0.52 | 0.51 | 31.8% | 283 | 65d | 29.9% | 58.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,803 | 13.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 46.9% | 21.3% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.77 | 0.00 | 1.45 | 40.8% | 71 | 79d | 33.7% | 23.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,696 | 13.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 46.9% | 21.3% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.77 | 0.00 | 1.45 | 40.8% | 71 | 79d | 33.7% | 23.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,696 | 13.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 36.4% | 16.9% | — | — | 13.2% | — | 1.28 | 0.97 | 1.42 | 2.18 | -0.23 | 1.39 | 32.1% | 290 | 64d | 30.3% | 21.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,893 | 13.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 36.4% | 16.9% | — | — | 13.2% | — | 1.28 | 0.97 | 1.42 | 2.18 | -0.23 | 1.39 | 32.1% | 290 | 64d | 30.3% | 21.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,893 | 13.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 46.8% | 21.3% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.76 | -0.18 | 1.28 | 36.1% | 72 | 65d | 28.1% | 22.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,697 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 46.8% | 21.3% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.76 | -0.18 | 1.28 | 36.1% | 72 | 65d | 28.1% | 22.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,697 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 46.8% | 21.3% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.76 | -0.18 | 1.28 | 36.1% | 72 | 65d | 28.1% | 22.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,697 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 46.8% | 21.3% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 1.28 | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.76 | -0.18 | 1.28 | 36.1% | 72 | 65d | 28.1% | 22.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,697 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 23.0% | 11.0% | 25.9% | -14.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.28 | 1.00 | 1.48 | 2.17 | 0.62 | 2.42 | 47.3% | 74 | 42d | 15.8% | 7.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $178 | 12.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 23.0% | 11.0% | 25.9% | -14.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.28 | 1.00 | 1.48 | 2.17 | 0.62 | 2.42 | 47.3% | 74 | 42d | 15.8% | 7.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $178 | 12.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.3% | 11.6% | 25.9% | -14.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.56 | 2.25 | 0.65 | 2.43 | 48.1% | 79 | 42d | 13.9% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $184 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.3% | 11.6% | 25.9% | -14.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.56 | 2.25 | 0.65 | 2.43 | 48.1% | 79 | 42d | 13.9% | 7.2% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $184 | 12.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 43.6% | 19.9% | — | — | 15.6% | — | 1.27 | 1.17 | 1.71 | 3.00 | -0.40 | 1.02 | 29.9% | 87 | 62d | 29.2% | 28.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,595 | 13.2× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 43.6% | 19.9% | — | — | 15.6% | — | 1.27 | 1.17 | 1.71 | 3.00 | -0.40 | 1.02 | 29.9% | 87 | 62d | 29.2% | 28.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,595 | 13.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 154.5% | 26.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 33.7% | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 0.38 | 1.92 | 47.3% | 279 | 27d | 25.2% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 279 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 10.0% | $1,207 | 92.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 154.5% | 26.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 33.7% | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.91 | 1.72 | 0.38 | 1.92 | 47.3% | 279 | 27d | 25.2% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 279 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 10.0% | $1,207 | 92.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.4% | 11.6% | 25.9% | -14.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.56 | 2.25 | 0.64 | 2.31 | 49.4% | 79 | 42d | 13.6% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $185 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 24.4% | 11.6% | 25.9% | -14.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.56 | 2.25 | 0.64 | 2.31 | 49.4% | 79 | 42d | 13.6% | 7.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $185 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 45.4% | 20.7% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.26 | 0.94 | 1.38 | 3.33 | 0.77 | 1.61 | 67.5% | 117 | 87d | 21.6% | 13.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,132 | 8.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 45.4% | 20.7% | — | — | 16.4% | — | 1.26 | 0.94 | 1.38 | 3.33 | 0.77 | 1.61 | 67.5% | 117 | 87d | 21.6% | 13.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,132 | 8.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.6% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.26 | 0.98 | 1.44 | 2.15 | 0.62 | 2.52 | 46.1% | 76 | 43d | 15.8% | 7.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $179 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 22.6% | 10.8% | 25.9% | -15.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.26 | 0.98 | 1.44 | 2.15 | 0.62 | 2.52 | 46.1% | 76 | 43d | 15.8% | 7.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $179 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 157.4% | 26.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 0.39 | 1.90 | 48.0% | 269 | 31d | 26.7% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,123 | 87.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 157.4% | 26.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 0.39 | 1.90 | 48.0% | 269 | 31d | 26.7% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 269 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,123 | 87.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 58.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 20.9% | — | 1.25 | 0.92 | 1.39 | 3.06 | 0.60 | 1.34 | 68.4% | 95 | 96d | 22.0% | 16.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,501 | 11.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 58.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 20.9% | — | 1.25 | 0.92 | 1.39 | 3.06 | 0.60 | 1.34 | 68.4% | 95 | 96d | 22.0% | 16.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,501 | 11.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 157.6% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 0.39 | 1.93 | 47.6% | 267 | 31d | 27.2% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,121 | 86.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 157.6% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 0.39 | 1.93 | 47.6% | 267 | 31d | 27.2% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 267 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.7% | 10.0% | $1,121 | 86.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 28.2% | 13.3% | — | — | 10.7% | — | 1.24 | 0.82 | 1.22 | 2.88 | 0.65 | 1.52 | 65.7% | 134 | 88d | 21.9% | 14.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $851 | 6.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 28.2% | 13.3% | — | — | 10.7% | — | 1.24 | 0.82 | 1.22 | 2.88 | 0.65 | 1.52 | 65.7% | 134 | 88d | 21.9% | 14.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $851 | 6.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 38.2% | 17.6% | — | — | 14.2% | — | 1.24 | 0.95 | 1.44 | 2.29 | 0.91 | 3.63 | 41.1% | 124 | 89d | 32.2% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,974 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 38.2% | 17.6% | — | — | 14.2% | — | 1.24 | 0.95 | 1.44 | 2.29 | 0.91 | 3.63 | 41.1% | 124 | 89d | 32.2% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,974 | 14.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 47.7% | 21.6% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 1.24 | 1.07 | 1.58 | 2.34 | -0.70 | 0.15 | 25.9% | 139 | 52d | 35.4% | 234.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,023 | 15.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 47.7% | 21.6% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 1.24 | 1.07 | 1.58 | 2.34 | -0.70 | 0.15 | 25.9% | 139 | 52d | 35.4% | 234.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,023 | 15.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 47.5% | 21.5% | — | — | 17.4% | — | 1.24 | 1.07 | 1.58 | 2.45 | 0.20 | 3.22 | 28.3% | 120 | 55d | 35.6% | 11.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,912 | 15.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 47.5% | 21.5% | — | — | 17.4% | — | 1.24 | 1.07 | 1.58 | 2.45 | 0.20 | 3.22 | 28.3% | 120 | 55d | 35.6% | 11.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,912 | 15.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation | validation | 18.3% | 8.8% | 25.9% | -17.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 1.24 | 1.14 | 1.76 | 3.78 | 0.51 | 0.86 | 81.5% | 27 | 83d | 21.8% | 25.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $354 | 3.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 32.5% | 15.1% | — | — | 12.3% | — | 1.23 | 0.75 | 1.16 | 2.49 | 0.54 | 1.36 | 65.2% | 161 | 88d | 20.9% | 15.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,177 | 8.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 32.5% | 15.1% | — | — | 12.3% | — | 1.23 | 0.75 | 1.16 | 2.49 | 0.54 | 1.36 | 65.2% | 161 | 88d | 20.9% | 15.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,177 | 8.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 42.6% | 19.5% | — | — | 15.9% | — | 1.23 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 2.86 | -0.42 | 1.23 | 26.1% | 92 | 52d | 26.9% | 21.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,696 | 13.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 42.6% | 19.5% | — | — | 15.9% | — | 1.23 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 2.86 | -0.42 | 1.23 | 26.1% | 92 | 52d | 26.9% | 21.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,696 | 13.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 42.6% | 19.5% | — | — | 15.9% | — | 1.23 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 2.86 | -0.42 | 1.23 | 26.1% | 92 | 52d | 26.9% | 21.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,696 | 13.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 42.6% | 19.5% | — | — | 15.9% | — | 1.23 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 2.86 | -0.42 | 1.23 | 26.1% | 92 | 52d | 26.9% | 21.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,696 | 13.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 11.7% | — | 1.22 | 0.77 | 1.16 | 2.63 | 0.53 | 1.41 | 63.4% | 145 | 90d | 21.2% | 15.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,029 | 7.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 11.7% | — | 1.22 | 0.77 | 1.16 | 2.63 | 0.53 | 1.41 | 63.4% | 145 | 90d | 21.2% | 15.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,029 | 7.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 147.3% | 25.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 33.7% | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 0.36 | 1.83 | 48.2% | 280 | 29d | 24.9% | 11.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 10.0% | $1,146 | 87.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 147.3% | 25.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 33.7% | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 0.36 | 1.83 | 48.2% | 280 | 29d | 24.9% | 11.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 10.0% | $1,146 | 87.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 37.7% | 17.4% | — | — | 14.4% | — | 1.21 | 0.95 | 1.42 | 2.26 | 0.91 | 3.67 | 40.8% | 125 | 89d | 32.2% | 8.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,966 | 14.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 37.7% | 17.4% | — | — | 14.4% | — | 1.21 | 0.95 | 1.42 | 2.26 | 0.91 | 3.67 | 40.8% | 125 | 89d | 32.2% | 8.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,966 | 14.8× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | 15.4% | 15.5% | 18.1% | -2.6% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 1.21 | 1.15 | 1.66 | 2.16 | 0.64 | 2.68 | 44.6% | 74 | 44d | 13.9% | 5.5% | 42,074 → 1,092 → 1,092 → 1,062 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 299 band rejects | 6.8% | 10.0% | $132 | 8.1× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | 15.4% | 15.5% | 18.1% | -2.6% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 1.21 | 1.15 | 1.66 | 2.16 | 0.64 | 2.68 | 44.6% | 74 | 44d | 13.9% | 5.5% | 42,074 → 1,092 → 1,092 → 1,062 → 74 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 299 band rejects | 6.8% | 10.0% | $132 | 8.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.3% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 2.04 | 46.3% | 255 | 28d | 26.0% | 12.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,193 | 94.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.3% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 2.04 | 46.3% | 255 | 28d | 26.0% | 12.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 255 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,193 | 94.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 149.6% | 25.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.79 | 1.68 | 0.37 | 2.02 | 45.3% | 256 | 31d | 28.7% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,127 | 88.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 149.6% | 25.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.79 | 1.68 | 0.37 | 2.02 | 45.3% | 256 | 31d | 28.7% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,127 | 88.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 175.4% | 28.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.97 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 2.00 | 45.8% | 264 | 32d | 30.5% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,227 | 97.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 175.4% | 28.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.97 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 2.00 | 45.8% | 264 | 32d | 30.5% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 264 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,227 | 97.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 175.2% | 28.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 24.1% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.97 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 1.99 | 46.0% | 265 | 32d | 30.2% | 11.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,230 | 97.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 175.2% | 28.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 24.1% | 33.7% | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.97 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 1.99 | 46.0% | 265 | 32d | 30.2% | 11.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 265 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,230 | 97.5× |
| research DD > 30% | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | 45.2% | 45.5% | 18.1% | 27.4% | 38.3% | 18.8% | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.22 | 0.17 | 3.89 | 23.9% | 117 | 39d | 66.8% | 17.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,356 | 10.5× |
| research DD > 30% | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | 45.2% | 45.5% | 18.1% | 27.4% | 38.3% | 18.8% | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 2.36 | 0.17 | 3.89 | 23.9% | 117 | 39d | 66.8% | 17.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,356 | 10.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 48.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.84 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 36.7% | 49 | 69d | 29.5% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,572 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 48.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.84 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 36.7% | 49 | 69d | 29.5% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,572 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 48.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.84 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 36.7% | 49 | 69d | 29.5% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,572 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 48.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.84 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 36.7% | 49 | 69d | 29.5% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,572 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 48.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.84 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 36.7% | 49 | 69d | 29.5% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,572 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 48.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 1.18 | 1.03 | 1.53 | 2.84 | 0.04 | 1.84 | 36.7% | 49 | 69d | 29.5% | 16.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,572 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 151.7% | 26.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 22.0% | 33.7% | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 1.93 | 47.3% | 275 | 30d | 26.6% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,122 | 86.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 151.7% | 26.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 22.0% | 33.7% | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 1.93 | 47.3% | 275 | 30d | 26.6% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 275 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,122 | 86.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 41.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% | -3.9% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 0.49 | 2.50 | 42.6% | 223 | 33d | 25.7% | 8.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.7% | 9.3% | $368 | 20.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 41.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% | -3.9% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 0.49 | 2.50 | 42.6% | 223 | 33d | 25.7% | 8.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.7% | 9.3% | $368 | 20.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 41.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% | -3.9% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 0.49 | 2.50 | 42.6% | 223 | 33d | 25.7% | 8.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.7% | 9.3% | $368 | 20.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C15 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 41.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% | -3.9% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 1.85 | 0.49 | 2.50 | 42.6% | 223 | 33d | 25.7% | 8.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 223 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.7% | 9.3% | $368 | 20.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 21.2% | 10.1% | 25.9% | -15.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.17 | 0.96 | 1.40 | 2.08 | 0.59 | 2.56 | 44.7% | 76 | 42d | 14.7% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $177 | 12.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 21.2% | 10.1% | 25.9% | -15.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.17 | 0.96 | 1.40 | 2.08 | 0.59 | 2.56 | 44.7% | 76 | 42d | 14.7% | 8.1% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 76 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 10.0% | $177 | 12.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 20.7% | 9.9% | 25.9% | -16.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.16 | 0.93 | 1.36 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 2.71 | 43.0% | 79 | 43d | 14.8% | 8.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $179 | 12.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_validation | validation | 20.7% | 9.9% | 25.9% | -16.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 1.16 | 0.93 | 1.36 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 2.71 | 43.0% | 79 | 43d | 14.8% | 8.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 79 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 10.0% | $179 | 12.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 40.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 1.15 | 1.07 | 1.59 | 2.61 | 0.19 | 2.10 | 38.5% | 104 | 81d | 30.3% | 14.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,825 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 40.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 1.15 | 1.07 | 1.59 | 2.61 | 0.19 | 2.10 | 38.5% | 104 | 81d | 30.3% | 14.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,825 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 36.9% | 17.1% | — | — | 14.8% | — | 1.15 | 0.94 | 1.41 | 2.22 | 0.88 | 3.77 | 39.5% | 129 | 86d | 32.3% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,953 | 14.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 36.9% | 17.1% | — | — | 14.8% | — | 1.15 | 0.94 | 1.41 | 2.22 | 0.88 | 3.77 | 39.5% | 129 | 86d | 32.3% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,953 | 14.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 49.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 1.92 | 35.2% | 54 | 67d | 30.0% | 15.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,526 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 49.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 1.92 | 35.2% | 54 | 67d | 30.0% | 15.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,526 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 49.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 1.92 | 35.2% | 54 | 67d | 30.0% | 15.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,526 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 49.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 1.92 | 35.2% | 54 | 67d | 30.0% | 15.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,526 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 49.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 1.92 | 35.2% | 54 | 67d | 30.0% | 15.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,526 | 12.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 49.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.54 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 1.92 | 35.2% | 54 | 67d | 30.0% | 15.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,526 | 12.7× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H3 tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 50.6% | 14.7% | 23.1% | -8.4% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 1.15 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.08 | 0.55 | 2.14 | 49.3% | 211 | 49d | 22.5% | 10.5% | 160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 211 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects | 4.4% | 15.0% | $455 | 21.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 131.7% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 20.5% | 33.7% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.77 | 1.62 | 0.33 | 1.85 | 46.8% | 280 | 25d | 23.2% | 10.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 10.0% | $1,166 | 89.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 131.7% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 20.5% | 33.7% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.77 | 1.62 | 0.33 | 1.85 | 46.8% | 280 | 25d | 23.2% | 10.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 280 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.9% | 10.0% | $1,166 | 89.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 169.5% | 28.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 33.7% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 2.01 | 47.0% | 251 | 30d | 26.5% | 11.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,152 | 91.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 169.5% | 28.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 33.7% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 2.01 | 47.0% | 251 | 30d | 26.5% | 11.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,152 | 91.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 43.0% | 19.7% | — | — | 17.4% | — | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.49 | 2.38 | 0.11 | 2.99 | 28.0% | 118 | 55d | 32.7% | 11.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,836 | 14.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 43.0% | 19.7% | — | — | 17.4% | — | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.49 | 2.38 | 0.11 | 2.99 | 28.0% | 118 | 55d | 32.7% | 11.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,836 | 14.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 26.4% | 6.0% | 13.1% | -7.0% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 0.60 | 2.98 | 40.3% | 134 | 34d | 29.5% | 7.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.0% | $213 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 26.4% | 6.0% | 13.1% | -7.0% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 0.60 | 2.98 | 40.3% | 134 | 34d | 29.5% | 7.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.0% | $213 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 26.4% | 6.0% | 13.1% | -7.0% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 0.60 | 2.98 | 40.3% | 134 | 34d | 29.5% | 7.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.0% | $213 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E1_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 26.4% | 6.0% | 13.1% | -7.0% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 0.60 | 2.98 | 40.3% | 134 | 34d | 29.5% | 7.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.0% | $213 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_FV_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 26.4% | 6.0% | 13.1% | -7.0% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 0.60 | 2.98 | 40.3% | 134 | 34d | 29.5% | 7.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.0% | $213 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_FV_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 26.4% | 6.0% | 13.1% | -7.0% | 5.4% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.01 | 0.60 | 2.98 | 40.3% | 134 | 34d | 29.5% | 7.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 134 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.0% | $213 | 11.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 133.4% | 23.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.74 | 1.64 | 0.33 | 1.81 | 47.4% | 274 | 27d | 23.8% | 10.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 274 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,132 | 86.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 133.4% | 23.7% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 21.2% | 33.7% | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.74 | 1.64 | 0.33 | 1.81 | 47.4% | 274 | 27d | 23.8% | 10.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 274 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $1,132 | 86.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 43.4% | 19.8% | — | — | 17.8% | — | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 2.85 | -0.10 | 1.76 | 32.6% | 95 | 68d | 33.0% | 18.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,703 | 13.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 43.4% | 19.8% | — | — | 17.8% | — | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.64 | 2.85 | -0.10 | 1.76 | 32.6% | 95 | 68d | 33.0% | 18.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,703 | 13.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 42.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.11 | 1.05 | 1.53 | 2.61 | -0.23 | 1.44 | 31.8% | 63 | 59d | 28.2% | 19.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,654 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 42.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.11 | 1.05 | 1.53 | 2.61 | -0.23 | 1.44 | 31.8% | 63 | 59d | 28.2% | 19.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,654 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 42.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.11 | 1.05 | 1.53 | 2.61 | -0.23 | 1.44 | 31.8% | 63 | 59d | 28.2% | 19.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,654 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 42.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.11 | 1.05 | 1.53 | 2.61 | -0.23 | 1.44 | 31.8% | 63 | 59d | 28.2% | 19.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,654 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 42.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.11 | 1.05 | 1.53 | 2.61 | -0.23 | 1.43 | 31.8% | 63 | 59d | 28.2% | 19.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,654 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 42.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.11 | 1.05 | 1.53 | 2.61 | -0.23 | 1.43 | 31.8% | 63 | 59d | 28.2% | 19.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,654 | 13.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 44.1% | 20.1% | — | — | 18.2% | — | 1.11 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.41 | 0.15 | 3.01 | 28.6% | 126 | 57d | 33.3% | 11.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 23.2% | $1,839 | 14.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 44.1% | 20.1% | — | — | 18.2% | — | 1.11 | 1.02 | 1.52 | 2.41 | 0.15 | 3.01 | 28.6% | 126 | 57d | 33.3% | 11.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 23.2% | $1,839 | 14.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 41.5% | 19.0% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.49 | 2.54 | -0.09 | 1.41 | 37.6% | 101 | 74d | 30.7% | 21.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,687 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 41.5% | 19.0% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.49 | 2.54 | -0.09 | 1.41 | 37.6% | 101 | 74d | 30.7% | 21.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,687 | 13.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 42.0% | 19.3% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.10 | 1.01 | 1.51 | 2.64 | -0.30 | 1.11 | 33.3% | 99 | 71d | 31.6% | 28.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,591 | 12.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 42.0% | 19.3% | — | — | 17.6% | — | 1.10 | 1.01 | 1.51 | 2.64 | -0.30 | 1.11 | 33.3% | 99 | 71d | 31.6% | 28.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,591 | 12.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 35.4% | 16.4% | — | — | 15.0% | — | 1.09 | 0.93 | 1.40 | 2.16 | 0.56 | 3.38 | 35.7% | 143 | 80d | 32.3% | 9.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,872 | 14.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 35.4% | 16.4% | — | — | 15.0% | — | 1.09 | 0.93 | 1.40 | 2.16 | 0.56 | 3.38 | 35.7% | 143 | 80d | 32.3% | 9.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,872 | 14.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.3% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 25.6% | 33.7% | 1.09 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 0.40 | 1.97 | 47.2% | 254 | 30d | 26.0% | 10.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,157 | 91.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 166.3% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 25.6% | 33.7% | 1.09 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 0.40 | 1.97 | 47.2% | 254 | 30d | 26.0% | 10.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,157 | 91.2× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 46.4% | 21.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.66 | -0.26 | 1.46 | 30.0% | 70 | 56d | 27.7% | 19.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,775 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 46.4% | 21.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.66 | -0.26 | 1.46 | 30.0% | 70 | 56d | 27.7% | 19.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,775 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 46.4% | 21.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.66 | -0.26 | 1.46 | 30.0% | 70 | 56d | 27.7% | 19.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,775 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 46.4% | 21.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.66 | -0.26 | 1.46 | 30.0% | 70 | 56d | 27.7% | 19.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,775 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 46.4% | 21.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.66 | -0.27 | 1.43 | 30.0% | 70 | 56d | 27.7% | 19.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,775 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 46.4% | 21.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.53 | 2.66 | -0.27 | 1.43 | 30.0% | 70 | 56d | 27.7% | 19.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,775 | 13.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 41.0% | 18.8% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 1.08 | 0.99 | 1.48 | 2.54 | -0.12 | 1.37 | 37.3% | 102 | 73d | 30.2% | 21.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,650 | 13.2× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 41.0% | 18.8% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 1.08 | 0.99 | 1.48 | 2.54 | -0.12 | 1.37 | 37.3% | 102 | 73d | 30.2% | 21.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,650 | 13.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 42.7% | 19.5% | — | — | 18.2% | — | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.48 | 2.29 | 0.32 | 3.60 | 28.7% | 136 | 54d | 34.4% | 9.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,940 | 15.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 42.7% | 19.5% | — | — | 18.2% | — | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.48 | 2.29 | 0.32 | 3.60 | 28.7% | 136 | 54d | 34.4% | 9.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,940 | 15.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 40.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.51 | 2.49 | -0.35 | 1.50 | 25.9% | 108 | 51d | 27.7% | 18.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,912 | 14.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 40.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.51 | 2.49 | -0.35 | 1.50 | 25.9% | 108 | 51d | 27.7% | 18.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,912 | 14.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 40.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.51 | 2.49 | -0.35 | 1.50 | 25.9% | 108 | 51d | 27.7% | 18.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,912 | 14.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 40.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.51 | 2.49 | -0.35 | 1.50 | 25.9% | 108 | 51d | 27.7% | 18.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,912 | 14.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 44.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.59 | -0.50 | 0.60 | 31.1% | 61 | 60d | 30.1% | 50.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,589 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 44.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.59 | -0.50 | 0.60 | 31.1% | 61 | 60d | 30.1% | 50.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,589 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 44.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.59 | -0.50 | 0.60 | 31.1% | 61 | 60d | 30.1% | 50.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,589 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 44.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.59 | -0.50 | 0.60 | 31.1% | 61 | 60d | 30.1% | 50.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,589 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 44.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.59 | -0.50 | 0.60 | 31.1% | 61 | 60d | 30.1% | 50.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,589 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 44.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.46 | 2.59 | -0.50 | 0.60 | 31.1% | 61 | 60d | 30.1% | 50.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,589 | 12.9× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | 12.5% | 12.6% | 18.1% | -5.6% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 1.07 | 0.98 | 1.39 | 1.83 | 0.49 | 2.63 | 41.0% | 78 | 38d | 12.8% | 6.0% | 42,074 → 972 → 972 → 966 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 175 band rejects | 8.0% | 10.0% | $136 | 8.2× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | 12.5% | 12.6% | 18.1% | -5.6% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 1.07 | 0.98 | 1.39 | 1.83 | 0.49 | 2.63 | 41.0% | 78 | 38d | 12.8% | 6.0% | 42,074 → 972 → 972 → 966 → 78 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 175 band rejects | 8.0% | 10.0% | $136 | 8.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 43.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | -3.7% | 8.8% | 33.7% | 1.06 | 1.25 | 1.89 | 2.39 | 0.78 | 3.03 | 44.1% | 152 | 37d | 42.6% | 9.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 152 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.2% | 7.2% | $242 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E2_C05 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 43.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | -3.7% | 8.8% | 33.7% | 1.06 | 1.25 | 1.89 | 2.39 | 0.78 | 3.03 | 44.1% | 152 | 37d | 42.6% | 9.4% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 152 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 3.2% | 7.2% | $242 | 13.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 151.2% | 25.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 24.6% | 33.7% | 1.06 | 1.11 | 1.68 | 1.74 | 0.43 | 2.39 | 42.2% | 244 | 34d | 30.1% | 14.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.2% | 10.0% | $1,025 | 80.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_deployment_development | development | 151.2% | 25.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 24.6% | 33.7% | 1.06 | 1.11 | 1.68 | 1.74 | 0.43 | 2.39 | 42.2% | 244 | 34d | 30.1% | 14.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.2% | 10.0% | $1,025 | 80.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 38.6% | 17.8% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.03 | 0.90 | 1.35 | 2.32 | -0.11 | 1.41 | 37.1% | 132 | 79d | 31.7% | 22.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,615 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 38.6% | 17.8% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.03 | 0.90 | 1.35 | 2.32 | -0.11 | 1.41 | 37.1% | 132 | 79d | 31.7% | 22.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,615 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 50.7% | 22.8% | — | — | 22.3% | — | 1.03 | 0.85 | 1.27 | 2.75 | 0.63 | 1.33 | 70.0% | 90 | 96d | 21.2% | 15.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,414 | 11.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 50.7% | 22.8% | — | — | 22.3% | — | 1.03 | 0.85 | 1.27 | 2.75 | 0.63 | 1.33 | 70.0% | 90 | 96d | 21.2% | 15.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,414 | 11.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 37.3% | 17.3% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.02 | 0.92 | 1.36 | 2.02 | -0.39 | 1.38 | 25.7% | 191 | 53d | 33.9% | 24.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,087 | 15.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 37.3% | 17.3% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 1.02 | 0.92 | 1.36 | 2.02 | -0.39 | 1.38 | 25.7% | 191 | 53d | 33.9% | 24.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,087 | 15.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 46.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | -3.0% | 9.9% | 33.7% | 1.02 | 1.07 | 1.53 | 1.81 | 0.46 | 2.40 | 43.0% | 244 | 35d | 28.4% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.2% | 10.0% | $400 | 21.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_development | development | 46.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | -3.0% | 9.9% | 33.7% | 1.02 | 1.07 | 1.53 | 1.81 | 0.46 | 2.40 | 43.0% | 244 | 35d | 28.4% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 244 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.2% | 10.0% | $400 | 21.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 38.1% | 17.6% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.02 | 0.89 | 1.33 | 2.29 | -0.12 | 1.36 | 37.1% | 132 | 79d | 31.6% | 23.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 23.7% | $1,617 | 12.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 38.1% | 17.6% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 1.02 | 0.89 | 1.33 | 2.29 | -0.12 | 1.36 | 37.1% | 132 | 79d | 31.6% | 23.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 23.7% | $1,617 | 12.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 8.5% | 4.2% | 25.9% | -21.7% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 1.01 | 1.19 | 1.81 | 2.16 | 0.48 | 1.53 | 58.5% | 41 | 42d | 19.2% | 12.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 10.0% | $59 | 3.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 8.5% | 4.2% | 25.9% | -21.7% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 1.01 | 1.19 | 1.81 | 2.16 | 0.48 | 1.53 | 58.5% | 41 | 42d | 19.2% | 12.8% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 10.0% | $59 | 3.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 40.0% | 18.4% | — | — | 18.2% | — | 1.01 | 0.96 | 1.43 | 2.11 | -0.62 | 0.44 | 26.8% | 142 | 54d | 35.1% | 80.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,084 | 16.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 40.0% | 18.4% | — | — | 18.2% | — | 1.01 | 0.96 | 1.43 | 2.11 | -0.62 | 0.44 | 26.8% | 142 | 54d | 35.1% | 80.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,084 | 16.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 158.8% | 26.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 27.0% | 33.7% | 1.00 | 1.12 | 1.73 | 1.69 | 0.37 | 2.01 | 45.7% | 243 | 31d | 28.2% | 132.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,148 | 91.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 158.8% | 26.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 27.0% | 33.7% | 1.00 | 1.12 | 1.73 | 1.69 | 0.37 | 2.01 | 45.7% | 243 | 31d | 28.2% | 132.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,148 | 91.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.7% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 24.0% | 33.7% | 0.99 | 1.17 | 1.79 | 1.67 | 0.36 | 1.93 | 46.4% | 261 | 25d | 22.3% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 261 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.5% | 10.0% | $1,135 | 88.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.7% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 24.0% | 33.7% | 0.99 | 1.17 | 1.79 | 1.67 | 0.36 | 1.93 | 46.4% | 261 | 25d | 22.3% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 261 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.5% | 10.0% | $1,135 | 88.8× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025 | holdout | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.1% | -0.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 0.31 | 2.66 | 35.7% | 112 | 30d | 22.8% | 9.4% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $223 | 14.2× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.1% | -0.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 0.31 | 2.66 | 35.7% | 112 | 30d | 22.8% | 9.4% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $223 | 14.2× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075_050_025 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025 | holdout | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.1% | -0.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 0.31 | 2.66 | 35.7% | 112 | 30d | 22.8% | 9.4% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $223 | 14.2× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075_050_025 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.1% | -0.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 0.31 | 2.66 | 35.7% | 112 | 30d | 22.8% | 9.4% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 112 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $223 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 158.1% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.99 | 1.12 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 0.38 | 2.03 | 45.5% | 242 | 31d | 28.4% | 133.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,138 | 90.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 158.1% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.99 | 1.12 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 0.38 | 2.03 | 45.5% | 242 | 31d | 28.4% | 133.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,138 | 90.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 157.9% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.12 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 0.37 | 2.01 | 45.7% | 243 | 31d | 28.2% | 132.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,140 | 90.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 157.9% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.12 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 0.37 | 2.01 | 45.7% | 243 | 31d | 28.2% | 132.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 243 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,140 | 90.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 164.2% | 27.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 28.0% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 0.40 | 1.93 | 47.8% | 251 | 29d | 25.7% | 9.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,152 | 91.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 164.2% | 27.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 28.0% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 0.40 | 1.93 | 47.8% | 251 | 29d | 25.7% | 9.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,152 | 91.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 158.8% | 26.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 27.4% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.09 | 1.66 | 1.74 | 0.43 | 2.35 | 42.5% | 235 | 34d | 30.8% | 25.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 235 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.0% | 10.0% | $1,070 | 84.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_NONE equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 158.8% | 26.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 27.4% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.09 | 1.66 | 1.74 | 0.43 | 2.35 | 42.5% | 235 | 34d | 30.8% | 25.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 235 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.0% | 10.0% | $1,070 | 84.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 156.4% | 26.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.69 | 1.75 | 0.41 | 2.16 | 44.8% | 239 | 32d | 28.2% | 120.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,086 | 85.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 156.4% | 26.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.69 | 1.75 | 0.41 | 2.16 | 44.8% | 239 | 32d | 28.2% | 120.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,086 | 85.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 1.07 | 1.63 | 2.35 | 0.74 | 2.83 | 45.3% | 75 | 45d | 23.3% | 9.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 9.7% | $105 | 5.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_BREADTH_E3_C10 equity_curve_tht_breadth_validation | validation | 14.3% | 6.9% | 25.9% | -19.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 1.07 | 1.63 | 2.35 | 0.74 | 2.83 | 45.3% | 75 | 45d | 23.3% | 9.5% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 75 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.5% | 9.7% | $105 | 5.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample | presample | 206.3% | 13.3% | -5.3% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 0.97 | 1.03 | 1.51 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 2.09 | 45.0% | 838 | 38d | 15.6% | 8.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 838 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.7% | 10.0% | $2,328 | 153.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2 | presample | 206.3% | 13.3% | -5.3% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 0.97 | 1.03 | 1.51 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 2.09 | 45.0% | 838 | 38d | 15.6% | 8.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 838 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.7% | 10.0% | $2,328 | 153.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 32.6% | 15.2% | — | — | 15.7% | — | 0.97 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 2.09 | 0.82 | 3.34 | 41.8% | 153 | 95d | 35.1% | 10.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,823 | 13.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 32.6% | 15.2% | — | — | 15.7% | — | 0.97 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 2.09 | 0.82 | 3.34 | 41.8% | 153 | 95d | 35.1% | 10.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,823 | 13.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | 36.0% | 16.7% | 25.9% | -9.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 0.89 | 1.32 | 0.40 | -0.41 | 0.83 | 32.3% | 167 | 66d | 35.2% | 42.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,888 | 14.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | 36.0% | 16.7% | 25.9% | -9.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 0.89 | 1.32 | 2.01 | -0.41 | 0.83 | 32.3% | 167 | 66d | 35.2% | 42.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,888 | 14.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 41.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | -4.1% | 9.3% | 33.7% | 0.97 | 0.96 | 1.40 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 1.98 | 47.3% | 262 | 36d | 24.6% | 9.2% | 186,103 → 1,693 → 1,023 → 1,009 → 262 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 15.5% | 10.0% | $413 | 22.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ADD_PROFITABLE_BX equity_curve_tht_add_development | development | 41.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | -4.1% | 9.3% | 33.7% | 0.97 | 0.96 | 1.40 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 1.98 | 47.3% | 262 | 36d | 24.6% | 9.2% | 186,103 → 1,693 → 1,023 → 1,009 → 262 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 15.5% | 10.0% | $413 | 22.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 35.5% | 16.4% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.95 | 0.90 | 1.32 | 2.06 | -0.63 | 0.50 | 24.8% | 125 | 52d | 26.8% | 53.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,997 | 15.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 35.5% | 16.4% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.95 | 0.90 | 1.32 | 2.06 | -0.63 | 0.50 | 24.8% | 125 | 52d | 26.8% | 53.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,997 | 15.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 35.3% | 16.4% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.95 | 0.91 | 1.34 | 2.04 | -0.39 | 1.27 | 27.1% | 188 | 55d | 32.9% | 26.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 22.6% | $1,957 | 14.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 35.3% | 16.4% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.95 | 0.91 | 1.34 | 2.04 | -0.39 | 1.27 | 27.1% | 188 | 55d | 32.9% | 26.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 22.6% | $1,957 | 14.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 34.8% | 16.2% | — | — | 17.1% | — | 0.95 | 0.89 | 1.31 | 2.06 | -0.51 | 0.75 | 27.8% | 126 | 54d | 25.3% | 33.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,044 | 15.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 34.8% | 16.2% | — | — | 17.1% | — | 0.95 | 0.89 | 1.31 | 2.06 | -0.51 | 0.75 | 27.8% | 126 | 54d | 25.3% | 33.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,044 | 15.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 34.4% | 16.0% | 25.9% | -9.9% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 0.94 | 1.07 | 1.67 | 2.11 | 0.55 | 2.03 | 51.0% | 51 | 44d | 24.6% | 17.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.7% | 20.0% | $154 | 11.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 34.4% | 16.0% | 25.9% | -9.9% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 0.94 | 1.07 | 1.67 | 2.11 | 0.55 | 2.03 | 51.0% | 51 | 44d | 24.6% | 17.7% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.7% | 20.0% | $154 | 11.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 31.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 16.0% | — | 0.92 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.90 | -0.55 | 0.65 | 27.0% | 137 | 52d | 33.2% | 51.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,157 | 16.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 31.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 16.0% | — | 0.92 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.90 | -0.55 | 0.65 | 27.0% | 137 | 52d | 33.2% | 51.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,157 | 16.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 31.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 16.0% | — | 0.92 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.90 | -0.56 | 0.65 | 27.0% | 137 | 52d | 33.2% | 51.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,157 | 16.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R100 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_100 | validation_sizing | 31.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 16.0% | — | 0.92 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.90 | -0.56 | 0.65 | 27.0% | 137 | 52d | 33.2% | 51.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,157 | 16.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 33.9% | 15.8% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.91 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 2.00 | -0.22 | 1.99 | 26.2% | 187 | 56d | 33.9% | 17.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,961 | 14.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 33.9% | 15.8% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.91 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 2.00 | -0.22 | 1.99 | 26.2% | 187 | 56d | 33.9% | 17.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,961 | 14.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 34.4% | 16.0% | — | — | 17.7% | — | 0.91 | 0.86 | 1.28 | 2.10 | 0.06 | 1.82 | 37.5% | 136 | 82d | 33.6% | 18.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,643 | 13.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 34.4% | 16.0% | — | — | 17.7% | — | 0.91 | 0.86 | 1.28 | 2.10 | 0.06 | 1.82 | 37.5% | 136 | 82d | 33.6% | 18.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,643 | 13.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 36.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.34 | 1.99 | -0.36 | 1.48 | 26.0% | 169 | 52d | 34.4% | 23.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,201 | 16.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 36.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.34 | 1.99 | -0.36 | 1.48 | 26.0% | 169 | 52d | 34.4% | 23.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,201 | 16.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 143.8% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 27.8% | 33.7% | 0.90 | 1.08 | 1.66 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 1.97 | 47.4% | 251 | 30d | 24.6% | 17.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,044 | 80.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 143.8% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 27.8% | 33.7% | 0.90 | 1.08 | 1.66 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 1.97 | 47.4% | 251 | 30d | 24.6% | 17.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 251 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,044 | 80.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 138.1% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 27.0% | 33.7% | 0.90 | 1.06 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.01 | 46.0% | 252 | 28d | 23.9% | 10.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 252 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,073 | 83.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 138.1% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 27.0% | 33.7% | 0.90 | 1.06 | 1.64 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.01 | 46.0% | 252 | 28d | 23.9% | 10.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 252 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,073 | 83.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 145.6% | 25.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 28.2% | 33.7% | 0.90 | 1.11 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 0.38 | 1.97 | 46.5% | 254 | 29d | 25.1% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,125 | 88.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 145.6% | 25.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 28.2% | 33.7% | 0.90 | 1.11 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 0.38 | 1.97 | 46.5% | 254 | 29d | 25.1% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,125 | 88.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 0.89 | 0.79 | 1.19 | 1.87 | -0.50 | 0.88 | 26.8% | 138 | 52d | 33.1% | 37.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,149 | 15.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 0.89 | 0.79 | 1.19 | 1.87 | -0.50 | 0.88 | 26.8% | 138 | 52d | 33.1% | 37.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,149 | 15.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 0.89 | 0.79 | 1.19 | 1.87 | -0.50 | 0.88 | 26.8% | 138 | 52d | 33.1% | 37.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,149 | 15.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R075 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_075 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 0.89 | 0.79 | 1.19 | 1.87 | -0.50 | 0.88 | 26.8% | 138 | 52d | 33.1% | 37.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,149 | 15.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 139.2% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 27.6% | 33.7% | 0.88 | 1.04 | 1.58 | 1.70 | 0.39 | 2.18 | 43.8% | 240 | 31d | 27.2% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,047 | 81.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 139.2% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 27.6% | 33.7% | 0.88 | 1.04 | 1.58 | 1.70 | 0.39 | 2.18 | 43.8% | 240 | 31d | 27.2% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,047 | 81.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 36.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 0.88 | 0.91 | 1.34 | 1.97 | -0.47 | 1.01 | 26.2% | 168 | 54d | 36.0% | 35.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,291 | 16.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 36.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 0.88 | 0.91 | 1.34 | 1.97 | -0.47 | 1.01 | 26.2% | 168 | 54d | 36.0% | 35.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,291 | 16.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 31.6% | 14.8% | — | — | 16.7% | — | 0.88 | 0.82 | 1.22 | 1.88 | -0.45 | 1.10 | 26.2% | 141 | 49d | 32.3% | 29.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,173 | 16.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 31.6% | 14.8% | — | — | 16.7% | — | 0.88 | 0.82 | 1.22 | 1.88 | -0.45 | 1.10 | 26.2% | 141 | 49d | 32.3% | 29.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,173 | 16.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 31.6% | 14.8% | — | — | 16.7% | — | 0.88 | 0.82 | 1.22 | 1.88 | -0.45 | 1.09 | 26.2% | 141 | 48d | 32.3% | 29.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,173 | 16.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R050 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_050 | validation_sizing | 31.6% | 14.8% | — | — | 16.7% | — | 0.88 | 0.82 | 1.22 | 1.88 | -0.45 | 1.09 | 26.2% | 141 | 48d | 32.3% | 29.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,173 | 16.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 143.7% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 28.7% | 33.7% | 0.87 | 1.08 | 1.66 | 1.75 | 0.39 | 1.90 | 48.0% | 250 | 30d | 24.8% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,053 | 81.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 143.7% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 28.7% | 33.7% | 0.87 | 1.08 | 1.66 | 1.75 | 0.39 | 1.90 | 48.0% | 250 | 30d | 24.8% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,053 | 81.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.6% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 27.4% | 33.7% | 0.87 | 1.05 | 1.62 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 2.06 | 45.3% | 254 | 27d | 24.0% | 10.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,068 | 83.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.6% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 27.4% | 33.7% | 0.87 | 1.05 | 1.62 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 2.06 | 45.3% | 254 | 27d | 24.0% | 10.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 254 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,068 | 83.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_wide_full | full | 1427.9% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 21.6% | 33.7% | 0.86 | 1.06 | 1.60 | 2.16 | 0.65 | 2.78 | 43.7% | 806 | 40d | 27.6% | 10.1% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 806 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $5,992 | 482.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 145.8% | 25.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 29.6% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.08 | 1.67 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 2.04 | 45.6% | 250 | 29d | 26.2% | 9.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,105 | 86.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 145.8% | 25.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 29.6% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.08 | 1.67 | 1.71 | 0.39 | 2.04 | 45.6% | 250 | 29d | 26.2% | 9.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 250 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,105 | 86.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 136.8% | 24.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 28.3% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.69 | 0.39 | 2.19 | 43.5% | 239 | 30d | 27.2% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,042 | 81.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 136.8% | 24.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 28.3% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.69 | 0.39 | 2.19 | 43.5% | 239 | 30d | 27.2% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,042 | 81.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 139.1% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 28.7% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.04 | 1.59 | 1.69 | 0.38 | 2.09 | 44.8% | 241 | 30d | 26.4% | 10.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 241 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,058 | 82.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 139.1% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 28.7% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.04 | 1.59 | 1.69 | 0.38 | 2.09 | 44.8% | 241 | 30d | 26.4% | 10.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 241 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,058 | 82.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 143.1% | 24.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 29.3% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.08 | 1.69 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 1.99 | 46.5% | 256 | 28d | 24.5% | 11.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,113 | 86.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N3_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 143.1% | 24.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 29.3% | 33.7% | 0.85 | 1.08 | 1.69 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 1.99 | 46.5% | 256 | 28d | 24.5% | 11.0% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,113 | 86.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 145.0% | 25.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 29.8% | 33.7% | 0.84 | 1.09 | 1.69 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 2.06 | 45.2% | 239 | 29d | 26.5% | 13.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,092 | 86.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 145.0% | 25.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 29.8% | 33.7% | 0.84 | 1.09 | 1.69 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 2.06 | 45.2% | 239 | 29d | 26.5% | 13.1% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,092 | 86.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 138.7% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 28.9% | 33.7% | 0.84 | 1.03 | 1.58 | 1.68 | 0.38 | 2.08 | 44.8% | 239 | 30d | 26.6% | 10.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,065 | 83.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 138.7% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 28.9% | 33.7% | 0.84 | 1.03 | 1.58 | 1.68 | 0.38 | 2.08 | 44.8% | 239 | 30d | 26.6% | 10.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,065 | 83.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full | full | 1236.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.84 | 1.11 | 1.75 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 2.35 | 44.7% | 1,518 | 38d | 21.4% | 8.8% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,518 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.7% | 10.0% | $7,690 | 605.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2 | full | 1236.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.84 | 1.11 | 1.75 | 1.90 | 0.50 | 2.35 | 44.7% | 1,518 | 38d | 21.4% | 8.8% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,518 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.7% | 10.0% | $7,690 | 605.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 138.4% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 29.1% | 33.7% | 0.83 | 1.05 | 1.61 | 1.74 | 0.39 | 1.93 | 47.4% | 249 | 30d | 24.6% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,042 | 80.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 138.4% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 29.1% | 33.7% | 0.83 | 1.05 | 1.61 | 1.74 | 0.39 | 1.93 | 47.4% | 249 | 30d | 24.6% | 10.9% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 249 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $1,042 | 80.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 136.4% | 24.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 29.3% | 33.7% | 0.82 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.68 | 0.38 | 2.11 | 44.2% | 242 | 31d | 26.5% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,063 | 83.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 136.4% | 24.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 29.3% | 33.7% | 0.82 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.68 | 0.38 | 2.11 | 44.2% | 242 | 31d | 26.5% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 242 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,063 | 83.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 35.2% | 16.3% | — | — | 20.2% | — | 0.81 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 2.27 | 0.61 | 3.15 | 38.8% | 183 | 89d | 35.2% | 11.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.7% | $1,316 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 35.2% | 16.3% | — | — | 20.2% | — | 0.81 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 2.27 | 0.61 | 3.15 | 38.8% | 183 | 89d | 35.2% | 11.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.7% | $1,316 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 34.8% | 16.2% | — | — | 20.1% | — | 0.81 | 0.90 | 1.35 | 2.26 | 0.97 | 4.08 | 38.8% | 183 | 89d | 35.3% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,320 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 34.8% | 16.2% | — | — | 20.1% | — | 0.81 | 0.90 | 1.35 | 2.26 | 0.97 | 4.08 | 38.8% | 183 | 89d | 35.3% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,320 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 130.7% | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 29.1% | 33.7% | 0.80 | 1.05 | 1.60 | 1.66 | 0.36 | 1.95 | 46.1% | 256 | 26d | 23.3% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,091 | 85.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 130.7% | 23.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 29.1% | 33.7% | 0.80 | 1.05 | 1.60 | 1.66 | 0.36 | 1.95 | 46.1% | 256 | 26d | 23.3% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 256 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.4% | 10.0% | $1,091 | 85.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 30.6% | 14.3% | — | — | 18.0% | — | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.17 | 1.76 | 0.07 | 2.88 | 27.7% | 195 | 55d | 34.2% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,176 | 15.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 30.6% | 14.3% | — | — | 18.0% | — | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.17 | 1.76 | 0.07 | 2.88 | 27.7% | 195 | 55d | 34.2% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,176 | 15.7× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025 | holdout | 9.2% | 9.2% | 18.1% | -8.9% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.80 | 0.75 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 0.24 | 2.43 | 36.0% | 111 | 30d | 22.6% | 9.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 111 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $172 | 9.3× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 9.2% | 9.2% | 18.1% | -8.9% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.80 | 0.75 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 0.24 | 2.43 | 36.0% | 111 | 30d | 22.6% | 9.3% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 1,915 → 1,871 → 111 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.8% | 10.0% | $172 | 9.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 132.6% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 29.8% | 33.7% | 0.79 | 1.03 | 1.59 | 1.69 | 0.36 | 1.86 | 47.7% | 258 | 30d | 23.7% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 258 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.5% | 10.0% | $1,069 | 82.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D21_N2_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 132.6% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 29.8% | 33.7% | 0.79 | 1.03 | 1.59 | 1.69 | 0.36 | 1.86 | 47.7% | 258 | 30d | 23.7% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 258 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.5% | 10.0% | $1,069 | 82.3× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 1523.3% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 24.1% | 33.7% | 0.79 | 1.04 | 1.66 | 2.98 | 1.06 | 3.41 | 46.6% | 862 | 35d | 26.4% | 9.1% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 862 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.5% | 10.0% | $4,802 | 366.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E1 tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 161.0% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 18.9% | 33.7% | 0.78 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.90 | 0.45 | 1.95 | 49.4% | 383 | 66d | 27.9% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 383 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,230 | 78.9× |
| research no holdout | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 1729.2% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.78 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 2.31 | 0.72 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 831 | 38d | 29.1% | 10.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $6,336 | 503.3× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 1729.2% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.78 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 2.31 | 0.72 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 831 | 38d | 29.1% | 10.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $6,336 | 503.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_full | full | 1729.2% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.78 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 2.31 | 0.72 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 831 | 38d | 29.1% | 10.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $6,336 | 503.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full | full | 1729.2% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.78 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 2.31 | 0.72 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 831 | 38d | 29.1% | 10.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $6,336 | 503.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2 | full | 1729.2% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.78 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 2.31 | 0.72 | 2.85 | 44.8% | 831 | 38d | 29.1% | 10.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 831 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $6,336 | 503.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 27.2% | 12.8% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 0.77 | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1.92 | 0.98 | 3.52 | 43.8% | 162 | 95d | 32.9% | 9.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,614 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 27.2% | 12.8% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 0.77 | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1.92 | 0.98 | 3.52 | 43.8% | 162 | 95d | 32.9% | 9.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,614 | 12.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_BX_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2 | full | 1801.0% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 26.3% | 33.7% | 0.77 | 1.07 | 1.65 | 1.95 | 0.52 | 2.40 | 44.8% | 1,462 | 38d | 21.9% | 8.9% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,462 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.3% | 10.0% | $9,770 | 794.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.7% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 31.1% | 33.7% | 0.77 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 0.37 | 2.08 | 44.4% | 239 | 32d | 27.8% | 120.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,054 | 82.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_NEG equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.7% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 31.1% | 33.7% | 0.77 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 0.37 | 2.08 | 44.4% | 239 | 32d | 27.8% | 120.3% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 239 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,054 | 82.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.4% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 31.2% | 33.7% | 0.76 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 0.36 | 2.06 | 44.6% | 240 | 32d | 27.5% | 119.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,059 | 83.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_TRIM25 equity_curve_tht_recycling_development | development | 134.4% | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 31.2% | 33.7% | 0.76 | 1.01 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 0.36 | 2.06 | 44.6% | 240 | 32d | 27.5% | 119.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 240 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,059 | 83.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_025 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation | validation | 3.6% | 1.8% | 25.9% | -24.1% | 2.4% | 10.0% | 0.75 | 0.70 | 1.01 | 1.89 | 0.48 | 2.18 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 7.1% | $247 | 2.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_NONE equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation | validation | 3.6% | 1.8% | 25.9% | -24.1% | 2.4% | 10.0% | 0.75 | 0.70 | 1.01 | 1.89 | 0.48 | 2.18 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 7.1% | $247 | 2.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_NONE equity_curve_tht_funnel_validation | validation | 3.6% | 1.8% | 25.9% | -24.1% | 2.4% | 10.0% | 0.75 | 0.70 | 1.01 | 1.89 | 0.48 | 2.18 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.7% | 106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 43 → 28 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.4% | 7.1% | $247 | 2.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C10 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 133.4% | 12.9% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 0.74 | 0.92 | 1.39 | 1.89 | 0.44 | 1.82 | 51.0% | 349 | 67d | 27.0% | 9.8% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 349 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.8% | 10.0% | $1,044 | 63.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 29.9% | 14.0% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 0.74 | 0.83 | 1.25 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 3.92 | 40.7% | 194 | 89d | 35.0% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,354 | 10.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 29.9% | 14.0% | — | — | 19.0% | — | 0.74 | 0.83 | 1.25 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 3.92 | 40.7% | 194 | 89d | 35.0% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,354 | 10.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.3% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.74 | 0.90 | 1.34 | 1.71 | 0.31 | 1.32 | 56.4% | 39 | 36d | 15.4% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.3% | 7.2% | $56 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.3% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.74 | 0.90 | 1.34 | 1.71 | 0.31 | 1.32 | 56.4% | 39 | 36d | 15.4% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.3% | 7.2% | $56 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_CURRENT equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.3% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.74 | 0.90 | 1.34 | 1.71 | 0.31 | 1.32 | 56.4% | 39 | 36d | 15.4% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.3% | 7.2% | $56 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_CURRENT equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.3% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.74 | 0.90 | 1.34 | 1.71 | 0.31 | 1.32 | 56.4% | 39 | 36d | 15.4% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 39 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.3% | 7.2% | $56 | 2.9× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_holdout_2025 | holdout | 15.8% | 15.9% | 18.1% | -2.2% | 21.7% | 18.8% | 0.73 | 0.76 | 1.20 | 1.62 | 0.32 | 1.69 | 49.0% | 49 | 32d | 35.3% | 23.1% | 55,316 → 1,915 → 954 → 954 → 49 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.6% | 10.0% | $103 | 6.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_BREAKEVEN equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation | validation | 2.8% | 1.4% | 25.9% | -24.5% | 1.9% | 10.0% | 0.73 | 0.74 | 1.06 | 1.90 | 0.45 | 1.90 | 50.0% | 28 | 30d | 11.7% | 6.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 5.4% | $254 | 2.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_CONFIRMED equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.4% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.73 | 0.65 | 0.93 | 1.86 | 0.46 | 2.15 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $350 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_FAILED_RECLAIM equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.4% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.73 | 0.65 | 0.93 | 1.86 | 0.46 | 2.15 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $350 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q0 tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1 tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E0 tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 18.6% | 33.7% | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D3 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.0% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.85 | 49.7% | 382 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 75.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_HARD tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 51.0% | 14.8% | — | — | 20.4% | — | 0.72 | 0.99 | 1.47 | 2.82 | 0.54 | 1.19 | 70.4% | 243 | 107d | 12.8% | 10.6% | 160,690 → 3,231 → 3,231 → 3,204 → 243 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 7.5% | 10.0% | $391 | 18.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q3 tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 141.6% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.87 | 49.5% | 384 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.4% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,192 | 75.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_DEPTH equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation | validation | 5.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | -23.4% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 0.72 | 0.66 | 0.94 | 1.86 | 0.46 | 2.14 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $350 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q2 tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.3% | 13.5% | — | — | 18.8% | — | 0.72 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.84 | 0.42 | 1.84 | 50.0% | 384 | 66d | 26.2% | 9.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,201 | 75.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E3 tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 140.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 18.8% | 33.7% | 0.71 | 0.91 | 1.37 | 1.81 | 0.42 | 2.00 | 47.5% | 377 | 66d | 28.7% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 377 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $2,282 | 74.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 28.7% | 13.5% | — | — | 19.1% | — | 0.71 | 0.77 | 1.14 | 1.77 | -0.50 | 0.97 | 25.6% | 156 | 49d | 28.6% | 29.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,191 | 16.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 28.7% | 13.5% | — | — | 19.1% | — | 0.71 | 0.77 | 1.14 | 1.77 | -0.50 | 0.97 | 25.6% | 156 | 49d | 28.6% | 29.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,191 | 16.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_full | full | 1293.8% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 3.8% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 2.33 | 0.73 | 2.80 | 45.5% | 873 | 35d | 26.8% | 10.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 873 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $5,113 | 391.3× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_NO_TRIM tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_holdout_2023_2025 | holdout_2023_2025 | 37.2% | 11.2% | 23.1% | -12.0% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 0.69 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 1.83 | 0.33 | 1.20 | 60.5% | 223 | 46d | 16.2% | 13.0% | 160,690 → 499 → 499 → 493 → 223 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 44.7% | 6.9% | $330 | 17.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_Q1 tht_revised_stage_q_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 131.9% | 12.8% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.69 | 0.93 | 1.36 | 1.89 | 0.44 | 1.87 | 50.3% | 382 | 65d | 23.7% | 9.0% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,133 | 69.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C25 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 113.6% | 11.5% | — | — | 16.7% | — | 0.69 | 0.90 | 1.35 | 1.86 | 0.44 | 1.95 | 48.9% | 391 | 65d | 25.6% | 9.4% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 25.0% | $1,030 | 58.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_R1_R2 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation | validation | 2.6% | 1.3% | 25.9% | -24.6% | 1.9% | 10.0% | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.98 | 1.82 | 0.41 | 1.82 | 50.0% | 28 | 31d | 11.5% | 6.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 5.4% | $254 | 2.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 711.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | -0.1% | 20.5% | 33.7% | 0.68 | 0.90 | 1.33 | 1.97 | 0.53 | 2.32 | 46.0% | 835 | 36d | 21.0% | 9.7% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 835 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $4,277 | 324.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 24.4% | 11.6% | — | — | 17.1% | — | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.25 | 30.8% | 292 | 60d | 28.5% | 12.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.8% | $1,882 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 24.4% | 11.6% | — | — | 17.1% | — | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.25 | 30.8% | 292 | 60d | 28.5% | 12.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.8% | $1,882 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_full | full | 1402.0% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 27.2% | 33.7% | 0.68 | 0.97 | 1.56 | 2.09 | 0.60 | 2.59 | 44.7% | 783 | 38d | 26.0% | 11.3% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 783 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.0% | 10.0% | $6,230 | 499.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full | full | 1876.3% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 30.2% | 33.7% | 0.68 | 1.06 | 1.62 | 1.79 | 0.44 | 2.21 | 44.8% | 1,484 | 38d | 21.7% | 8.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,484 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.4% | 10.0% | $12,212 | 1015.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2 | full | 1876.3% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 30.2% | 33.7% | 0.68 | 1.06 | 1.62 | 1.79 | 0.44 | 2.21 | 44.8% | 1,484 | 38d | 21.7% | 8.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,484 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.4% | 10.0% | $12,212 | 1015.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 24.4% | 11.6% | — | — | 17.1% | — | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 1.66 | 0.03 | 2.34 | 30.8% | 292 | 60d | 28.5% | 12.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,883 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 24.4% | 11.6% | — | — | 17.1% | — | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.98 | 1.66 | 0.03 | 2.34 | 30.8% | 292 | 60d | 28.5% | 12.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,883 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K4 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 115.1% | 11.6% | — | — | 17.2% | — | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.24 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 1.97 | 47.5% | 356 | 71d | 26.5% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 356 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.9% | 15.0% | $1,045 | 63.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 40.2% | 18.5% | — | — | 27.4% | — | 0.67 | 0.71 | 1.05 | 2.04 | 0.17 | 0.95 | 59.8% | 112 | 97d | 22.8% | 24.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,485 | 11.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 40.2% | 18.5% | — | — | 27.4% | — | 0.67 | 0.71 | 1.05 | 2.04 | 0.17 | 0.95 | 59.8% | 112 | 97d | 22.8% | 24.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,485 | 11.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample | presample | 211.2% | 13.5% | -5.3% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 0.67 | 0.87 | 1.25 | 1.53 | 0.29 | 1.85 | 45.3% | 813 | 38d | 15.4% | 7.8% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 813 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.3% | 10.0% | $2,809 | 196.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2 | presample | 211.2% | 13.5% | -5.3% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 0.67 | 0.87 | 1.25 | 1.53 | 0.29 | 1.85 | 45.3% | 813 | 38d | 15.4% | 7.8% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 813 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.3% | 10.0% | $2,809 | 196.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C20 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 110.3% | 11.2% | — | — | 16.8% | — | 0.67 | 0.88 | 1.32 | 1.85 | 0.44 | 1.96 | 48.5% | 390 | 66d | 25.8% | 9.4% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 390 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 20.0% | $1,018 | 57.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 6.7% | 3.3% | 25.9% | -22.6% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 0.66 | 0.98 | 1.50 | 1.91 | 0.39 | 1.43 | 57.1% | 42 | 36d | 16.0% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.2% | $60 | 3.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 6.7% | 3.3% | 25.9% | -22.6% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 0.66 | 0.98 | 1.50 | 1.91 | 0.39 | 1.43 | 57.1% | 42 | 36d | 16.0% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 42 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.2% | $60 | 3.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 23.7% | 11.3% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.96 | 1.63 | 0.05 | 2.38 | 31.0% | 290 | 59d | 28.4% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,900 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 23.7% | 11.3% | — | — | 17.0% | — | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.96 | 1.63 | 0.05 | 2.38 | 31.0% | 290 | 59d | 28.4% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,900 | 13.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_LEAD tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 63.1% | 17.8% | — | — | 26.9% | — | 0.66 | 0.89 | 1.33 | 2.10 | 0.35 | 0.99 | 68.0% | 316 | 91d | 15.5% | 15.2% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,400 → 316 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 9.1% | $508 | 23.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | 40.4% | 18.6% | 25.9% | -7.3% | 28.2% | 10.0% | 0.66 | 0.71 | 1.05 | 0.83 | -0.06 | 0.52 | 61.7% | 128 | 92d | 21.9% | 42.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,417 | 10.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | 40.4% | 18.6% | 25.9% | -7.3% | 28.2% | 10.0% | 0.66 | 0.71 | 1.05 | 2.13 | -0.06 | 0.52 | 61.7% | 128 | 92d | 21.9% | 42.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,417 | 10.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C25 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 144.3% | 13.6% | — | — | 20.7% | — | 0.66 | 0.91 | 1.38 | 1.81 | 0.40 | 1.79 | 50.3% | 372 | 66d | 26.3% | 9.8% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 372 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.0% | 25.0% | $1,205 | 77.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_050 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation | validation | 6.3% | 3.1% | 25.9% | -22.8% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.76 | 0.41 | 2.03 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.6% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $475 | 4.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C20 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 142.7% | 13.5% | — | — | 20.7% | — | 0.65 | 0.90 | 1.37 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 1.79 | 50.1% | 375 | 67d | 26.3% | 9.8% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 375 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 20.0% | $1,200 | 76.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_025 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full | full | 1651.6% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 30.2% | 33.7% | 0.65 | 1.02 | 1.54 | 1.78 | 0.44 | 2.27 | 43.9% | 1,525 | 37d | 21.5% | 8.6% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,711 → 15,667 → 1,525 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.7% | 10.0% | $10,973 | 903.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_025 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2 | full | 1651.6% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 30.2% | 33.7% | 0.65 | 1.02 | 1.54 | 1.78 | 0.44 | 2.27 | 43.9% | 1,525 | 37d | 21.5% | 8.6% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,711 → 15,667 → 1,525 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.7% | 10.0% | $10,973 | 903.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_BLEND tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 35.6% | 10.7% | — | — | 16.6% | — | 0.65 | 0.77 | 1.12 | 2.02 | 0.32 | 0.94 | 68.3% | 249 | 112d | 12.2% | 13.5% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,399 → 249 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.0% | 10.0% | $380 | 17.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 26.7% | 12.6% | — | — | 19.5% | — | 0.64 | 0.74 | 1.09 | 1.70 | -0.34 | 1.67 | 24.7% | 166 | 49d | 26.5% | 15.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,285 | 16.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H18_R025 equity_curve_tht_sizing_risk_025 | validation_sizing | 26.7% | 12.6% | — | — | 19.5% | — | 0.64 | 0.74 | 1.09 | 1.70 | -0.34 | 1.67 | 24.7% | 166 | 49d | 26.5% | 15.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,285 | 16.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C25 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 73.8% | 8.2% | — | — | 12.8% | — | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.35 | 2.09 | 0.56 | 2.22 | 48.5% | 396 | 69d | 24.5% | 9.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 396 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.3% | 25.0% | $764 | 31.0× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 1390.4% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 28.6% | 33.7% | 0.64 | 0.99 | 1.56 | 2.44 | 0.75 | 2.67 | 47.7% | 868 | 36d | 28.6% | 9.7% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 868 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.5% | 10.0% | $5,223 | 401.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E2 tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 123.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 19.0% | 33.7% | 0.64 | 0.84 | 1.25 | 1.74 | 0.38 | 1.86 | 48.4% | 376 | 66d | 26.6% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 376 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $2,187 | 70.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 150.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 0.4% | 22.0% | 33.7% | 0.64 | 0.85 | 1.28 | 1.54 | 0.30 | 2.03 | 43.1% | 668 | 34d | 17.4% | 9.0% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 668 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $1,703 | 121.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RISK_BX_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_full_v2 | full | 1976.2% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 32.8% | 33.7% | 0.64 | 1.02 | 1.54 | 1.82 | 0.46 | 2.25 | 44.8% | 1,452 | 38d | 22.0% | 8.9% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,452 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 9.2% | 10.0% | $12,112 | 1003.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_full | full | 1101.9% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 26.5% | 33.7% | 0.63 | 0.94 | 1.50 | 2.23 | 0.67 | 2.65 | 45.7% | 881 | 33d | 24.6% | 13.0% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 881 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.6% | 10.0% | $4,868 | 368.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_BX_075_025_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2 | presample | 190.6% | 12.6% | -5.3% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 0.63 | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.56 | 0.31 | 1.86 | 45.7% | 797 | 38d | 15.3% | 8.3% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 797 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.0% | 10.0% | $2,463 | 166.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 23.0% | 10.9% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.63 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.99 | 0.77 | 3.24 | 41.6% | 202 | 90d | 32.5% | 10.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,244 | 9.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H08 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 23.0% | 10.9% | — | — | 17.3% | — | 0.63 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.99 | 0.77 | 3.24 | 41.6% | 202 | 90d | 32.5% | 10.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,244 | 9.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_R2_R3 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_validation | validation | 2.6% | 1.3% | 25.9% | -24.6% | 2.0% | 10.0% | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.95 | 1.78 | 0.39 | 1.78 | 50.0% | 28 | 31d | 11.7% | 6.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 5.4% | $254 | 2.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 40.3% | 18.5% | — | — | 29.3% | — | 0.63 | 0.69 | 1.03 | 2.06 | 0.31 | 1.26 | 57.7% | 123 | 95d | 23.8% | 18.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,472 | 10.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 40.3% | 18.5% | — | — | 29.3% | — | 0.63 | 0.69 | 1.03 | 2.06 | 0.31 | 1.26 | 57.7% | 123 | 95d | 23.8% | 18.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,472 | 10.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 2027.0% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 33.3% | 33.7% | 0.63 | 0.99 | 1.50 | 1.76 | 0.42 | 2.21 | 44.3% | 1,366 | 37d | 23.4% | 9.2% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,366 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 8.7% | 10.0% | $13,004 | 1070.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K4 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 166.1% | 15.0% | — | — | 23.8% | — | 0.63 | 0.84 | 1.25 | 1.68 | 0.37 | 2.01 | 45.5% | 343 | 71d | 26.0% | 9.7% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $1,314 | 90.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U3 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 166.1% | 15.0% | — | — | 23.8% | — | 0.63 | 0.84 | 1.25 | 1.68 | 0.37 | 2.01 | 45.5% | 343 | 71d | 26.0% | 9.7% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $1,314 | 90.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C15 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 107.6% | 11.0% | — | — | 17.5% | — | 0.63 | 0.87 | 1.31 | 1.84 | 0.43 | 1.94 | 48.7% | 392 | 66d | 25.8% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 392 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,004 | 55.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 23.5% | 11.2% | 25.9% | -14.7% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 0.63 | 0.81 | 1.20 | 1.71 | 0.41 | 2.26 | 43.1% | 51 | 48d | 22.6% | 19.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.7% | 25.0% | $168 | 12.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 23.5% | 11.2% | 25.9% | -14.7% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 0.63 | 0.81 | 1.20 | 1.71 | 0.41 | 2.26 | 43.1% | 51 | 48d | 22.6% | 19.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 51 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.7% | 25.0% | $168 | 12.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C20 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 72.2% | 8.1% | — | — | 12.8% | — | 0.63 | 0.89 | 1.32 | 2.05 | 0.55 | 2.26 | 47.6% | 397 | 69d | 24.8% | 9.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 397 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.3% | 20.0% | $762 | 30.6× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.9% | 14.5% | — | — | 23.1% | — | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.92 | 1.79 | -0.25 | 0.32 | 56.9% | 109 | 108d | 23.8% | 74.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,322 | 10.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.9% | 14.5% | — | — | 23.1% | — | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.92 | 1.79 | -0.25 | 0.32 | 56.9% | 109 | 108d | 23.8% | 74.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,322 | 10.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.9% | 14.4% | — | — | 23.1% | — | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.92 | 1.79 | -0.26 | 0.29 | 57.4% | 108 | 107d | 23.1% | 79.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,319 | 10.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.9% | 14.4% | — | — | 23.1% | — | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.92 | 1.79 | -0.26 | 0.29 | 57.4% | 108 | 107d | 23.1% | 79.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,319 | 10.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C10 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 114.6% | 11.6% | — | — | 18.5% | — | 0.62 | 0.83 | 1.24 | 1.74 | 0.38 | 1.84 | 48.7% | 341 | 67d | 26.3% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 341 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.7% | 10.0% | $1,025 | 63.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T3 tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 121.9% | 12.1% | — | — | 19.4% | — | 0.62 | 0.90 | 1.33 | 1.97 | 0.51 | 2.20 | 47.2% | 377 | 60d | 25.0% | 9.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,234 → 9,206 → 377 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 205 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $988 | 56.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_RESEARCH_FINALIST_K3 tht_revised_post_selection_combined_2016_2025 | post_selection_combined_2016_2025 | 234.7% | 13.7% | — | — | 22.0% | — | 0.62 | 0.94 | 1.44 | 1.87 | 0.47 | 2.18 | 46.2% | 587 | 61d | 25.5% | 9.9% | 441,911 → 14,004 → 13,910 → 13,868 → 587 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 332 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,830 | 114.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D0 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 122.8% | 12.2% | — | — | 19.8% | — | 0.61 | 0.85 | 1.27 | 1.80 | 0.41 | 1.91 | 48.4% | 382 | 65d | 25.9% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 382 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,116 | 68.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 36.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 27.4% | — | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 1.96 | -0.04 | 0.61 | 59.3% | 108 | 100d | 24.5% | 40.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,435 | 11.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 36.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 27.4% | — | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 1.96 | -0.04 | 0.61 | 59.3% | 108 | 100d | 24.5% | 40.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,435 | 11.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.1% | 14.1% | — | — | 23.0% | — | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.76 | -0.25 | 0.31 | 57.4% | 108 | 112d | 25.2% | 82.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,320 | 10.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.1% | 14.1% | — | — | 23.0% | — | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.91 | 1.76 | -0.25 | 0.31 | 57.4% | 108 | 112d | 25.2% | 82.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,320 | 10.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 19.6% | 9.4% | — | — | 15.4% | — | 0.61 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 1.51 | 0.08 | 2.59 | 30.0% | 313 | 58d | 28.5% | 11.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,024 | 14.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_LOWER_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 19.6% | 9.4% | — | — | 15.4% | — | 0.61 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 1.51 | 0.08 | 2.59 | 30.0% | 313 | 58d | 28.5% | 11.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,024 | 14.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_BX_075_050_000 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2 | presample | 211.2% | 13.5% | -5.3% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 19.3% | 0.61 | 0.84 | 1.21 | 1.51 | 0.28 | 1.80 | 45.6% | 793 | 38d | 15.2% | 8.7% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 793 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.0% | 10.0% | $2,857 | 199.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K3 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 181.3% | 16.0% | — | — | 26.5% | — | 0.60 | 0.93 | 1.37 | 1.78 | 0.42 | 2.11 | 45.8% | 343 | 71d | 23.5% | 9.7% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $1,352 | 92.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U3 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 181.3% | 16.0% | — | — | 26.5% | — | 0.60 | 0.93 | 1.37 | 1.78 | 0.42 | 2.11 | 45.8% | 343 | 71d | 23.5% | 9.7% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 343 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $1,352 | 92.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K3 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 115.2% | 11.6% | — | — | 19.3% | — | 0.60 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 1.74 | 0.40 | 2.02 | 46.3% | 348 | 72d | 26.6% | 9.8% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 348 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.8% | 15.0% | $1,063 | 64.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_NO_FV equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 6.7% | 3.3% | 25.9% | -22.6% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 0.60 | 0.94 | 1.40 | 1.88 | 0.38 | 1.47 | 56.1% | 41 | 41d | 18.4% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.2% | $58 | 3.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_NO_FV equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 6.7% | 3.3% | 25.9% | -22.6% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 0.60 | 0.94 | 1.40 | 1.88 | 0.38 | 1.47 | 56.1% | 41 | 41d | 18.4% | 12.4% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 41 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.2% | $58 | 3.0× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_TRIM25 tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_holdout_2023_2025 | holdout_2023_2025 | 30.9% | 9.4% | 23.1% | -13.7% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 0.60 | 0.81 | 1.19 | 1.74 | 0.29 | 1.13 | 60.6% | 226 | 46d | 14.6% | 12.5% | 160,690 → 499 → 499 → 493 → 226 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 45.3% | 6.9% | $355 | 17.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 31.8% | 14.9% | — | — | 25.1% | — | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.93 | 1.83 | -0.25 | 0.26 | 59.1% | 110 | 115d | 22.8% | 86.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,363 | 10.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 31.8% | 14.9% | — | — | 25.1% | — | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.93 | 1.83 | -0.25 | 0.26 | 59.1% | 110 | 115d | 22.8% | 86.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,363 | 10.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 168.7% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 1.6% | 25.7% | 33.7% | 0.59 | 0.80 | 1.19 | 1.56 | 0.32 | 2.08 | 42.8% | 664 | 32d | 18.2% | 9.4% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 664 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects | 3.2% | 20.0% | $1,655 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C15 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 66.7% | 7.6% | — | — | 12.9% | — | 0.59 | 0.84 | 1.24 | 2.00 | 0.52 | 2.19 | 47.7% | 394 | 68d | 24.4% | 9.2% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 394 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.3% | 15.0% | $747 | 29.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation | validation | 7.9% | 3.9% | 25.9% | -22.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 0.36 | 1.93 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.5% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $658 | 5.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 120.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 20.6% | — | 0.58 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 1.74 | 0.40 | 2.04 | 46.1% | 384 | 66d | 25.0% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,151 | 70.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 120.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 20.6% | — | 0.58 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 1.74 | 0.40 | 2.04 | 46.1% | 384 | 66d | 25.0% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,151 | 70.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D1 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 120.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 20.6% | — | 0.58 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 1.74 | 0.40 | 2.04 | 46.1% | 384 | 66d | 25.0% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,151 | 70.9× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H2 tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 27.3% | 8.4% | 23.1% | -14.7% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 0.57 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 1.60 | 0.36 | 2.40 | 39.9% | 213 | 44d | 21.9% | 9.3% | 160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 213 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects | 4.5% | 10.0% | $431 | 20.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R050_C10 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 103.1% | 10.7% | — | — | 18.6% | — | 0.57 | 0.89 | 1.33 | 1.91 | 0.47 | 2.04 | 48.4% | 380 | 65d | 26.1% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 380 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 10.0% | $920 | 48.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_100 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_validation | validation | 7.8% | 3.9% | 25.9% | -22.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.79 | 1.66 | 0.35 | 1.91 | 46.4% | 28 | 31d | 16.5% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $667 | 5.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 121.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | -1.6% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.57 | 0.82 | 1.17 | 1.57 | 0.30 | 1.72 | 47.9% | 627 | 36d | 11.8% | 7.1% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 627 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,671 | 119.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D3 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 115.7% | 11.6% | — | — | 20.6% | — | 0.56 | 0.80 | 1.24 | 1.72 | 0.39 | 2.01 | 46.1% | 384 | 66d | 25.0% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 384 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,138 | 69.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K1 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 106.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 19.5% | — | 0.56 | 0.79 | 1.24 | 1.83 | 0.42 | 1.87 | 49.4% | 338 | 70d | 25.6% | 9.9% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 338 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $969 | 54.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D0 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 120.5% | 12.0% | — | — | 21.4% | — | 0.56 | 0.81 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 0.42 | 2.23 | 43.9% | 390 | 65d | 25.5% | 9.4% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 390 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,163 | 72.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 164.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 1.3% | 26.7% | 33.7% | 0.56 | 0.80 | 1.22 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.92 | 44.2% | 670 | 32d | 16.3% | 8.3% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 670 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 15.0% | $1,962 | 146.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_IMMEDIATE equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_validation | validation | 4.4% | 2.2% | 25.9% | -23.7% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.00 | 46.4% | 28 | 27d | 15.8% | 7.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $347 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E1 equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | 4.4% | 2.2% | 25.9% | -23.7% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.00 | 46.4% | 28 | 27d | 15.8% | 7.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $347 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E1_PA equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | 4.4% | 2.2% | 25.9% | -23.7% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.73 | 0.39 | 2.00 | 46.4% | 28 | 27d | 15.8% | 7.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $347 | 2.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K1 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 101.5% | 10.5% | — | — | 19.2% | — | 0.55 | 0.77 | 1.21 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 1.97 | 47.6% | 313 | 75d | 25.7% | 10.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 313 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.4% | 15.0% | $936 | 53.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 32.8% | 7.4% | 13.1% | -5.7% | 13.5% | 33.7% | 0.55 | 0.91 | 1.41 | 2.07 | 0.56 | 2.30 | 47.4% | 133 | 38d | 33.3% | 11.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.1% | $206 | 10.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 32.8% | 7.4% | 13.1% | -5.7% | 13.5% | 33.7% | 0.55 | 0.91 | 1.41 | 2.07 | 0.56 | 2.30 | 47.4% | 133 | 38d | 33.3% | 11.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.1% | $206 | 10.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 33.3% | 15.5% | — | — | 28.6% | — | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.92 | 1.86 | 0.06 | 0.81 | 58.7% | 133 | 97d | 22.3% | 27.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,444 | 10.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 33.3% | 15.5% | — | — | 28.6% | — | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.92 | 1.86 | 0.06 | 0.81 | 58.7% | 133 | 97d | 22.3% | 27.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,444 | 10.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_025 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample | presample | 172.1% | 11.8% | -5.3% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 0.54 | 0.77 | 1.10 | 1.47 | 0.26 | 1.86 | 44.3% | 847 | 37d | 14.8% | 8.3% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,119 → 6,113 → 847 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.8% | 10.0% | $2,574 | 175.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_075_050_025 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2 | presample | 172.1% | 11.8% | -5.3% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 0.54 | 0.77 | 1.10 | 1.47 | 0.26 | 1.86 | 44.3% | 847 | 37d | 14.8% | 8.3% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,119 → 6,113 → 847 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 13.8% | 10.0% | $2,574 | 175.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E4 tht_revised_stage_e_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 103.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 1.5% | 19.7% | 33.7% | 0.54 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 1.63 | 0.33 | 1.84 | 46.9% | 375 | 66d | 26.8% | 9.8% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 375 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $3,743 | 66.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 116.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | -2.0% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.53 | 0.85 | 1.21 | 1.63 | 0.32 | 1.68 | 49.2% | 656 | 36d | 11.8% | 7.2% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 656 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,591 | 108.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R025_C10 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 67.7% | 7.7% | — | — | 14.4% | — | 0.53 | 0.87 | 1.28 | 2.04 | 0.55 | 2.27 | 47.3% | 385 | 66d | 24.8% | 9.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 385 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $728 | 29.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 122.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | -1.5% | 22.9% | 33.7% | 0.53 | 0.77 | 1.15 | 1.47 | 0.27 | 1.93 | 43.2% | 651 | 33d | 15.8% | 8.8% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,297 → 651 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.2% | 10.0% | $1,599 | 112.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 45.0% | 13.2% | — | — | 25.2% | — | 0.53 | 0.71 | 1.06 | 1.84 | 0.32 | 1.14 | 61.6% | 245 | 113d | 18.1% | 15.8% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 245 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.0% | 10.0% | $380 | 18.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_PREF tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 40.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 23.4% | — | 0.52 | 0.78 | 1.15 | 2.42 | 0.47 | 1.19 | 67.0% | 236 | 117d | 13.1% | 10.2% | 160,690 → 4,428 → 4,428 → 4,394 → 236 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 5.3% | 9.7% | $365 | 16.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_PREF tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 35.0% | 10.5% | — | — | 20.6% | — | 0.51 | 0.69 | 1.02 | 2.05 | 0.36 | 1.07 | 65.8% | 234 | 115d | 13.7% | 11.8% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 234 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.6% | 8.1% | $354 | 16.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_full | full | 735.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 0.1% | 27.9% | 33.7% | 0.51 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 1.85 | 0.47 | 2.27 | 44.8% | 834 | 33d | 21.4% | 11.8% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 834 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.3% | 10.0% | $4,658 | 357.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 161.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 29.0% | 33.7% | 0.51 | 0.89 | 1.34 | 1.55 | 0.30 | 1.91 | 44.8% | 712 | 32d | 15.9% | 8.3% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 712 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,907 | 139.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 106.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | -2.7% | 21.5% | 33.7% | 0.51 | 0.72 | 1.05 | 1.44 | 0.25 | 1.93 | 42.7% | 674 | 33d | 17.0% | 8.9% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 674 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $1,525 | 104.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 106.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | -2.7% | 21.5% | 33.7% | 0.51 | 0.72 | 1.05 | 1.44 | 0.25 | 1.93 | 42.7% | 674 | 33d | 17.0% | 8.9% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 674 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $1,525 | 104.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.7% | 14.4% | — | — | 28.4% | — | 0.51 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 1.77 | -0.06 | 0.57 | 59.8% | 107 | 98d | 23.6% | 41.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,381 | 10.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.7% | 14.4% | — | — | 28.4% | — | 0.51 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 1.77 | -0.06 | 0.57 | 59.8% | 107 | 98d | 23.6% | 41.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,381 | 10.7× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H1 tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 28.1% | 8.6% | 23.1% | -14.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 0.74 | 1.09 | 1.48 | 0.29 | 2.25 | 39.6% | 235 | 44d | 22.4% | 10.3% | 160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 235 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects | 4.9% | 15.0% | $478 | 22.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 103.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | -2.9% | 21.2% | 33.7% | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 0.22 | 1.87 | 42.7% | 661 | 32d | 16.7% | 8.8% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 661 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.2% | 10.0% | $1,618 | 113.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 564.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | -1.5% | 25.1% | 33.7% | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.16 | 1.82 | 0.46 | 2.33 | 43.9% | 798 | 41d | 21.6% | 9.5% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 798 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $3,652 | 290.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.2% | — | — | 28.5% | — | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.89 | 1.76 | -0.06 | 0.56 | 60.4% | 106 | 99d | 23.6% | 42.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,377 | 10.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_075 | validation_sizing | 30.4% | 14.2% | — | — | 28.5% | — | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.89 | 1.76 | -0.06 | 0.56 | 60.4% | 106 | 99d | 23.6% | 42.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,377 | 10.7× |
| research no holdout | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT14_LEGACY_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_presample | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RISK_CONTROL_BX_R075 equity_curve_tht_risk_throttle_presample_v2 | presample | 133.4% | 9.9% | -5.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 0.48 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.29 | 1.98 | 43.4% | 454 | 40d | 18.1% | 9.1% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 454 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,734 | 116.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 676.6% | 13.7% | 14.1% | -0.4% | 28.4% | 33.7% | 0.48 | 0.84 | 1.22 | 1.78 | 0.45 | 2.42 | 42.5% | 777 | 41d | 26.6% | 31.4% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 777 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 4.9% | 10.0% | $4,115 | 327.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 178.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 2.2% | 32.9% | 33.7% | 0.48 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 1.62 | 0.36 | 2.20 | 42.4% | 648 | 33d | 19.1% | 9.4% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 648 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects | 3.2% | 15.0% | $1,564 | 108.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 95.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | -3.6% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.48 | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.50 | 0.26 | 1.62 | 48.2% | 664 | 35d | 12.3% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 664 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,558 | 104.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 95.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | -3.6% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.48 | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.50 | 0.26 | 1.62 | 48.2% | 664 | 35d | 12.3% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 664 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,558 | 104.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 95.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | -3.6% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.48 | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.50 | 0.26 | 1.62 | 48.2% | 664 | 35d | 12.3% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 664 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,558 | 104.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 99.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | -3.2% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.47 | 0.76 | 1.07 | 1.50 | 0.26 | 1.61 | 48.2% | 711 | 36d | 10.9% | 6.9% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,062 → 711 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.7% | 15.0% | $1,711 | 116.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 18.9% | 9.1% | 25.9% | -16.8% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 0.47 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.56 | 0.32 | 2.08 | 42.9% | 56 | 45d | 23.0% | 15.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 56 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.9% | 15.0% | $168 | 11.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_DEPLOY_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_deployment_validation | validation | 18.9% | 9.1% | 25.9% | -16.8% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 0.47 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.56 | 0.32 | 2.08 | 42.9% | 56 | 45d | 23.0% | 15.0% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 56 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.9% | 15.0% | $168 | 11.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_HARD tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 30.3% | 9.2% | — | — | 19.7% | — | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.92 | 1.92 | 0.32 | 1.03 | 65.1% | 212 | 125d | 13.2% | 12.7% | 160,690 → 6,427 → 6,427 → 6,378 → 212 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.3% | 9.8% | $325 | 14.9× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_finalists_holdout_2025 | locked_holdout_2025 | 7.8% | 7.9% | 18.1% | -10.3% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 1.25 | 0.14 | 1.58 | 44.2% | 104 | 33d | 14.3% | 8.5% | 55,316 → 3,537 → 3,537 → 3,483 → 104 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 213 band rejects | 2.9% | 15.0% | $187 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 122.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | -1.5% | 26.1% | 33.7% | 0.46 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.47 | 0.27 | 1.90 | 43.7% | 703 | 34d | 16.8% | 8.6% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 703 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.4% | 15.0% | $1,643 | 114.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T2 tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 128.4% | 12.6% | — | — | 27.1% | — | 0.46 | 0.82 | 1.21 | 1.84 | 0.44 | 2.06 | 47.2% | 375 | 57d | 24.8% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,234 → 9,206 → 375 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 205 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,069 | 64.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T0 tht_revised_stage_t_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 141.3% | 13.4% | — | — | 29.0% | — | 0.46 | 0.78 | 1.13 | 1.68 | 0.36 | 1.88 | 47.2% | 373 | 56d | 25.9% | 9.6% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,234 → 9,206 → 373 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 205 band rejects | 4.0% | 15.0% | $1,280 | 85.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 97.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | -3.4% | 22.1% | 33.7% | 0.46 | 0.76 | 1.06 | 1.51 | 0.27 | 1.67 | 47.5% | 663 | 36d | 12.7% | 7.3% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 663 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,516 | 105.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 97.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | -3.4% | 22.1% | 33.7% | 0.46 | 0.76 | 1.06 | 1.51 | 0.27 | 1.67 | 47.5% | 663 | 36d | 12.7% | 7.3% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 663 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,516 | 105.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D63_N1_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_presample | presample | 138.4% | 10.2% | -5.3% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 0.46 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.55 | 0.31 | 2.03 | 43.2% | 421 | 40d | 16.8% | 10.0% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 421 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.9% | 10.0% | $1,713 | 119.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_FULL equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 82.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | -4.6% | 19.6% | 33.7% | 0.46 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 1.40 | 0.21 | 1.62 | 46.3% | 726 | 32d | 11.6% | 7.5% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 726 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.8% | 10.0% | $1,611 | 110.3× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_REV_HOLDOUT_H0 tht_revised_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 24.7% | 7.7% | 23.1% | -15.4% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 0.45 | 0.67 | 0.98 | 1.43 | 0.26 | 2.22 | 39.1% | 235 | 44d | 21.3% | 10.2% | 160,690 → 4,770 → 4,738 → 4,696 → 235 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 128 band rejects | 4.9% | 15.0% | $474 | 22.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 138.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | -0.4% | 29.5% | 33.7% | 0.45 | 0.79 | 1.18 | 1.47 | 0.26 | 1.83 | 44.5% | 716 | 32d | 16.4% | 8.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,295 → 716 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,870 | 135.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 93.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% | -3.7% | 22.5% | 33.7% | 0.44 | 0.75 | 1.06 | 1.51 | 0.27 | 1.68 | 47.4% | 648 | 35d | 11.8% | 7.2% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,060 → 648 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $1,531 | 103.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 124.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | -1.3% | 28.1% | 33.7% | 0.44 | 0.69 | 1.02 | 1.41 | 0.24 | 1.97 | 41.7% | 616 | 33d | 18.0% | 9.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 616 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects | 3.0% | 25.0% | $1,640 | 119.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_NONE equity_curve_tht_wide_presample | presample | 120.9% | 9.2% | -5.3% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 0.44 | 0.70 | 1.01 | 1.47 | 0.27 | 2.04 | 41.9% | 441 | 40d | 17.9% | 9.4% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 441 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.2% | 10.0% | $1,687 | 113.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 87.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | -4.3% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.43 | 0.66 | 0.94 | 1.42 | 0.23 | 1.72 | 45.2% | 622 | 35d | 11.3% | 7.0% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 622 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.1% | 25.0% | $1,638 | 116.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 131.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | -0.8% | 29.9% | 33.7% | 0.43 | 0.79 | 1.18 | 1.45 | 0.26 | 1.86 | 43.9% | 710 | 31d | 15.7% | 8.0% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,293 → 710 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,861 | 135.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 109.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | -2.4% | 26.2% | 33.7% | 0.43 | 0.65 | 0.99 | 1.40 | 0.23 | 1.96 | 41.7% | 648 | 33d | 16.7% | 8.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,303 → 648 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.2% | 20.0% | $1,747 | 127.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 105.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | -2.8% | 25.4% | 33.7% | 0.43 | 0.65 | 0.97 | 1.38 | 0.22 | 1.95 | 41.4% | 637 | 32d | 16.3% | 8.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,302 → 637 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.1% | 25.0% | $1,757 | 129.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 33.2% | 10.1% | — | — | 24.0% | — | 0.42 | 0.61 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 0.34 | 1.15 | 62.4% | 226 | 119d | 15.0% | 13.1% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 226 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 10.0% | $337 | 15.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 149.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 0.3% | 33.6% | 33.7% | 0.42 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.51 | 0.29 | 2.02 | 42.9% | 648 | 32d | 16.8% | 9.3% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 648 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects | 3.2% | 25.0% | $1,608 | 113.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 163.5% | 27.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 66.1% | 33.7% | 0.42 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 0.67 | -0.25 | 2.24 | 23.1% | 420 | 46d | 73.1% | 32.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $10,402 | 83.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 163.5% | 27.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 66.1% | 33.7% | 0.42 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.56 | -0.25 | 2.24 | 23.1% | 420 | 46d | 73.1% | 32.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $10,402 | 83.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 19.6% | 9.4% | — | — | 22.7% | — | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.67 | 1.46 | -0.35 | 0.15 | 56.5% | 138 | 104d | 22.5% | 150.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,284 | 9.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 19.6% | 9.4% | — | — | 22.7% | — | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.67 | 1.46 | -0.35 | 0.15 | 56.5% | 138 | 104d | 22.5% | 150.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,284 | 9.8× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 169.7% | 11.7% | -5.3% | 16.9% | 28.2% | 19.3% | 0.41 | 0.71 | 1.01 | 1.40 | 0.22 | 1.69 | 45.4% | 745 | 37d | 15.5% | 8.7% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 745 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 12.2% | 10.0% | $2,872 | 200.3× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 169.7% | 11.7% | -5.3% | 16.9% | 28.2% | 19.3% | 0.41 | 0.71 | 1.01 | 1.40 | 0.22 | 1.69 | 45.4% | 745 | 37d | 15.5% | 8.7% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 745 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 12.2% | 10.0% | $2,872 | 200.3× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 169.7% | 11.7% | -5.3% | 16.9% | 28.2% | 19.3% | 0.41 | 0.71 | 1.01 | 1.40 | 0.22 | 1.69 | 45.4% | 745 | 37d | 15.5% | 8.7% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 745 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 12.2% | 10.0% | $2,872 | 200.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_BLEND tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 23.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 18.0% | — | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.83 | 1.75 | 0.24 | 0.82 | 68.1% | 232 | 120d | 10.9% | 13.3% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,998 → 232 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.6% | 10.0% | $350 | 15.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 74.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | -5.3% | 20.3% | 33.7% | 0.41 | 0.65 | 0.91 | 1.43 | 0.23 | 1.65 | 46.6% | 638 | 35d | 11.0% | 7.5% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,057 → 638 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $1,442 | 95.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_HARD tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 30.8% | 9.4% | — | — | 23.1% | — | 0.41 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 1.71 | 0.28 | 1.10 | 60.9% | 207 | 129d | 16.7% | 15.2% | 160,690 → 8,862 → 8,862 → 8,794 → 207 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 9.8% | $320 | 14.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 494.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | -2.3% | 29.0% | 33.7% | 0.41 | 0.73 | 1.07 | 1.85 | 0.50 | 2.64 | 41.2% | 809 | 39d | 24.6% | 10.9% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 9,774 → 9,774 → 809 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 5.1% | 10.0% | $3,088 | 232.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D2 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 67.4% | 7.6% | — | — | 19.1% | — | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.89 | 1.49 | 0.26 | 1.67 | 47.2% | 373 | 64d | 20.2% | 9.9% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 373 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.0% | 15.0% | $1,003 | 57.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E5 equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | 6.2% | 3.1% | 25.9% | -22.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.49 | 1.23 | 0.15 | 2.38 | 34.0% | 97 | 26d | 19.9% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,441 | 10.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E5_PA equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | 6.2% | 3.1% | 25.9% | -22.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.49 | 1.23 | 0.15 | 2.38 | 34.0% | 97 | 26d | 19.9% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,441 | 10.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_ALL tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 30.3% | 9.2% | — | — | 23.3% | — | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 1.88 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 62.9% | 210 | 129d | 14.9% | 13.2% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $312 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_EQ tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 30.3% | 9.2% | — | — | 23.3% | — | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 1.88 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 62.9% | 210 | 129d | 14.9% | 13.2% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $312 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_CURRENT tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 30.3% | 9.2% | — | — | 23.3% | — | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 1.88 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 62.9% | 210 | 129d | 14.9% | 13.2% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $312 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D25 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 30.3% | 9.2% | — | — | 23.3% | — | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 1.88 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 62.9% | 210 | 129d | 14.9% | 13.2% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 210 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $312 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 76.3% | 8.4% | 13.6% | -5.2% | 21.4% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.85 | 1.40 | 0.21 | 1.57 | 47.1% | 632 | 35d | 11.8% | 7.3% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 632 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.1% | 15.0% | $1,501 | 101.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_ALL tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 36.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 27.8% | — | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.84 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 64.8% | 213 | 129d | 17.3% | 15.5% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 9.6% | $323 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_EQ tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 36.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 27.8% | — | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.84 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 64.8% | 213 | 129d | 17.3% | 15.5% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 9.6% | $323 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_CURRENT tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 36.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 27.8% | — | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.84 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 64.8% | 213 | 129d | 17.3% | 15.5% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 9.6% | $323 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D25 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 36.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 27.8% | — | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.84 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 64.8% | 213 | 129d | 17.3% | 15.5% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 213 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 9.6% | $323 | 15.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_BLEND equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 78.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | -4.9% | 22.1% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.63 | 0.87 | 1.36 | 0.21 | 1.83 | 42.7% | 632 | 38d | 14.6% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,073 → 632 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.1% | 10.0% | $1,398 | 95.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_TRIM50 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 116.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | -2.0% | 29.8% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.75 | 1.09 | 1.49 | 0.27 | 1.77 | 45.7% | 676 | 36d | 17.0% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,297 → 676 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $1,643 | 112.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 124.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | -1.4% | 31.6% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.77 | 1.13 | 1.43 | 0.24 | 1.81 | 44.1% | 723 | 32d | 16.6% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 723 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,836 | 132.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 124.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | -1.4% | 31.6% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.77 | 1.13 | 1.43 | 0.24 | 1.81 | 44.1% | 723 | 32d | 16.6% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 723 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,836 | 132.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C10 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 124.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | -1.4% | 31.6% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.77 | 1.13 | 1.43 | 0.24 | 1.81 | 44.1% | 723 | 32d | 16.6% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 723 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,836 | 132.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 120.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | -1.7% | 30.9% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.75 | 1.09 | 1.50 | 0.28 | 1.88 | 44.4% | 672 | 36d | 17.9% | 8.4% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 672 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $1,613 | 113.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 120.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | -1.7% | 30.9% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.75 | 1.09 | 1.50 | 0.28 | 1.88 | 44.4% | 672 | 36d | 17.9% | 8.4% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 672 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $1,613 | 113.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 83.8% | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 23.6% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.66 | 0.93 | 1.40 | 0.21 | 1.59 | 46.7% | 691 | 35d | 11.4% | 7.2% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,061 → 691 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.5% | 20.0% | $1,691 | 116.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 12.5% | 3.0% | 13.1% | -10.1% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 1.43 | 0.28 | 2.77 | 34.1% | 132 | 40d | 32.6% | 9.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.2% | $191 | 9.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 12.5% | 3.0% | 13.1% | -10.1% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 1.43 | 0.28 | 2.77 | 34.1% | 132 | 40d | 32.6% | 9.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.2% | $191 | 9.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_CURRENT equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 12.5% | 3.0% | 13.1% | -10.1% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 1.43 | 0.28 | 2.77 | 34.1% | 132 | 40d | 32.6% | 9.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.2% | $191 | 9.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_CURRENT equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 12.5% | 3.0% | 13.1% | -10.1% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 1.43 | 0.28 | 2.77 | 34.1% | 132 | 40d | 32.6% | 9.6% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.2% | $191 | 9.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R125_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 75.1% | 8.3% | 13.6% | -5.3% | 21.8% | 33.7% | 0.38 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 1.38 | 0.21 | 1.66 | 45.5% | 635 | 34d | 11.0% | 7.0% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 635 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.2% | 20.0% | $1,569 | 108.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 33.9% | 10.3% | — | — | 26.8% | — | 0.38 | 0.57 | 0.85 | 1.71 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 63.1% | 222 | 122d | 17.2% | 16.4% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 222 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $334 | 15.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_LOWER_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_management | full_2019_2025 | 382.5% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 66.1% | 33.7% | 0.38 | 0.75 | 1.11 | 1.84 | -0.12 | 2.33 | 26.3% | 636 | 55d | 60.9% | 26.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $17,379 | 136.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_RECOVERY tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 32.4% | 9.8% | — | — | 26.1% | — | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 1.70 | 0.24 | 0.91 | 65.0% | 220 | 126d | 16.4% | 16.3% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,399 → 220 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $334 | 15.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_PREF tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 29.8% | 9.1% | — | — | 24.1% | — | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 1.60 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 61.5% | 226 | 125d | 16.8% | 16.4% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,400 → 226 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 8.9% | $343 | 15.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 96.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% | -3.5% | 26.8% | 33.7% | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.94 | 1.37 | 0.21 | 1.85 | 42.6% | 697 | 33d | 16.7% | 8.9% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 697 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.4% | 25.0% | $1,586 | 108.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 32.8% | 9.9% | — | — | 26.4% | — | 0.38 | 0.56 | 0.83 | 1.66 | 0.25 | 0.99 | 62.6% | 222 | 117d | 17.6% | 16.2% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 222 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $338 | 16.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_BLEND equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 74.1% | 8.3% | 13.6% | -5.4% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.38 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.34 | 0.19 | 1.70 | 44.1% | 644 | 38d | 13.9% | 8.6% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,072 → 644 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $1,474 | 96.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 105.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | -2.8% | 28.9% | 33.7% | 0.37 | 0.67 | 0.96 | 1.38 | 0.21 | 1.73 | 44.3% | 756 | 33d | 14.9% | 8.0% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,293 → 756 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $1,840 | 130.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 105.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | -2.8% | 29.1% | 33.7% | 0.37 | 0.64 | 0.95 | 1.36 | 0.21 | 1.78 | 43.5% | 603 | 31d | 16.1% | 8.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,303 → 603 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 2.9% | 20.0% | $1,760 | 131.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_RISK_100 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development | development | 70.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 1.2% | 38.7% | 33.7% | 0.37 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 1.81 | 0.57 | 4.21 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,204 | 26.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 108.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | -2.6% | 30.0% | 33.7% | 0.37 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 1.37 | 0.20 | 1.72 | 44.3% | 750 | 32d | 15.5% | 8.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 750 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.7% | 20.0% | $1,888 | 135.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 68.9% | 7.8% | 13.6% | -5.8% | 21.2% | 33.7% | 0.37 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 1.38 | 0.21 | 1.60 | 46.3% | 566 | 34d | 10.5% | 6.8% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,065 → 566 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 3.7% | 20.0% | $1,449 | 101.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_LEAD tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 28.6% | 8.8% | — | — | 24.0% | — | 0.37 | 0.58 | 0.83 | 1.62 | 0.20 | 0.77 | 67.8% | 307 | 91d | 11.1% | 14.3% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,997 → 307 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.4% | 9.4% | $465 | 20.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 35.9% | 10.8% | — | — | 29.5% | — | 0.37 | 0.61 | 0.90 | 1.68 | 0.27 | 1.12 | 60.0% | 245 | 108d | 17.1% | 14.6% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 245 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.0% | 10.0% | $373 | 17.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 74.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | -5.3% | 22.8% | 33.7% | 0.36 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 1.34 | 0.19 | 1.59 | 45.9% | 654 | 35d | 11.7% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 654 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 25.0% | $1,620 | 111.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_ALL tht_presenter_stage_origin_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 28.9% | 8.9% | — | — | 24.4% | — | 0.36 | 0.61 | 0.91 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 1.15 | 61.8% | 233 | 123d | 13.3% | 11.4% | 160,690 → 4,428 → 4,428 → 4,393 → 233 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 5.3% | 9.9% | $348 | 15.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 23.6% | 11.2% | — | — | 31.0% | — | 0.36 | 0.51 | 0.73 | 1.56 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 58.6% | 128 | 99d | 22.1% | 30.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,412 | 10.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 23.6% | 11.2% | — | — | 31.0% | — | 0.36 | 0.51 | 0.73 | 1.56 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 58.6% | 128 | 99d | 22.1% | 30.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,412 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 5.3% | 2.6% | 25.9% | -23.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 0.36 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 1.61 | 0.33 | 1.85 | 46.5% | 43 | 44d | 26.0% | 13.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $58 | 2.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_SECTOR_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_validation | validation | 5.3% | 2.6% | 25.9% | -23.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 0.36 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 1.61 | 0.33 | 1.85 | 46.5% | 43 | 44d | 26.0% | 13.9% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $58 | 2.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R075_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 90.8% | 9.7% | 13.6% | -3.9% | 27.1% | 33.7% | 0.36 | 0.63 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 0.21 | 1.84 | 42.4% | 701 | 33d | 16.7% | 8.9% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 701 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.4% | 20.0% | $1,565 | 106.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_TRIM25 tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 62.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | -2.0% | 20.1% | 33.7% | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.83 | 1.84 | 0.30 | 1.03 | 64.1% | 460 | 49d | 11.7% | 11.0% | 302,663 → 1,112 → 1,112 → 1,110 → 460 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 41.4% | 10.0% | $746 | 36.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 71.8% | 8.0% | 13.6% | -5.6% | 22.8% | 33.7% | 0.35 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 1.35 | 0.19 | 1.55 | 46.6% | 684 | 35d | 10.9% | 7.1% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,062 → 684 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.5% | 25.0% | $1,640 | 111.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 72.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | -5.5% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.35 | 0.62 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 0.18 | 1.65 | 44.7% | 649 | 37d | 14.5% | 8.6% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,072 → 649 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,474 | 96.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 27.5% | 8.5% | — | — | 24.1% | — | 0.35 | 0.53 | 0.79 | 1.65 | 0.26 | 1.11 | 59.8% | 224 | 120d | 15.2% | 14.2% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 224 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 10.0% | $333 | 15.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_RS equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 69.3% | 7.8% | 13.6% | -5.8% | 22.4% | 33.7% | 0.35 | 0.54 | 0.78 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 1.72 | 42.7% | 722 | 31d | 15.4% | 9.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 722 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,540 | 102.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R075_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 103.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% | -2.9% | 30.8% | 33.7% | 0.35 | 0.66 | 0.96 | 1.36 | 0.20 | 1.69 | 44.6% | 737 | 33d | 15.4% | 8.1% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,294 → 737 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.6% | 25.0% | $1,848 | 132.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 75.8% | 8.4% | 13.6% | -5.2% | 24.2% | 33.7% | 0.35 | 0.62 | 0.86 | 1.35 | 0.20 | 1.74 | 43.8% | 640 | 37d | 14.8% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,071 → 640 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $1,407 | 95.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R150_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 89.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | -4.0% | 27.7% | 33.7% | 0.35 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 1.34 | 0.20 | 1.94 | 40.8% | 588 | 31d | 15.0% | 7.9% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,304 → 588 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 2.9% | 25.0% | $1,687 | 125.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 69.4% | 7.8% | 13.6% | -5.8% | 22.7% | 33.7% | 0.34 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 1.34 | 0.18 | 1.60 | 45.5% | 673 | 34d | 11.1% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,064 → 673 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.4% | 20.0% | $1,598 | 108.2× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H3 tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 28.7% | 8.8% | 23.1% | -14.3% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 0.34 | 0.52 | 0.77 | 1.59 | 0.23 | 0.99 | 61.6% | 203 | 128d | 18.3% | 17.7% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 203 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.6% | 9.8% | $307 | 14.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0_K4 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 102.2% | 10.6% | — | — | 31.1% | — | 0.34 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 0.32 | 2.61 | 36.5% | 411 | 59d | 22.3% | 7.9% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 411 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.2% | 15.0% | $1,292 | 85.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 71.2% | 8.0% | 13.6% | -5.6% | 23.5% | 33.7% | 0.34 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 1.33 | 0.18 | 1.60 | 45.5% | 683 | 35d | 11.5% | 7.5% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,062 → 683 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.5% | 15.0% | $1,603 | 107.9× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H1 tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 25.7% | 7.9% | 23.1% | -15.2% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 0.34 | 0.51 | 0.76 | 1.66 | 0.26 | 1.04 | 61.5% | 205 | 127d | 15.1% | 14.9% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 205 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $302 | 14.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_NO_TRIM tht_sector_leader_candidate_audit_v2_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 62.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | -2.0% | 21.3% | 33.7% | 0.34 | 0.55 | 0.82 | 1.80 | 0.29 | 1.02 | 63.9% | 451 | 49d | 12.3% | 11.7% | 302,663 → 1,112 → 1,112 → 1,110 → 451 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 40.6% | 10.0% | $675 | 35.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 96.3% | 10.1% | — | — | 30.1% | — | 0.34 | 0.63 | 0.90 | 1.49 | 0.32 | 2.81 | 34.6% | 451 | 55d | 27.5% | 7.3% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 451 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,365 | 90.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 96.3% | 10.1% | — | — | 30.1% | — | 0.34 | 0.63 | 0.90 | 1.49 | 0.32 | 2.81 | 34.6% | 451 | 55d | 27.5% | 7.3% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 451 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,365 | 90.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 92.9% | 9.9% | — | — | 29.5% | — | 0.33 | 0.69 | 1.05 | 1.60 | 0.35 | 2.33 | 40.7% | 391 | 59d | 24.6% | 7.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 76.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K0 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 92.9% | 9.9% | — | — | 29.5% | — | 0.33 | 0.69 | 1.05 | 1.60 | 0.35 | 2.33 | 40.7% | 391 | 59d | 24.6% | 7.3% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,188 | 76.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_075 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development | development | 60.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | -0.5% | 38.1% | 33.7% | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.86 | 1.78 | 0.54 | 4.12 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,957 | 24.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 94.5% | 10.0% | — | — | 30.3% | — | 0.33 | 0.62 | 0.89 | 1.49 | 0.32 | 2.92 | 33.8% | 447 | 55d | 27.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 447 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,345 | 89.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 94.5% | 10.0% | — | — | 30.3% | — | 0.33 | 0.62 | 0.89 | 1.49 | 0.32 | 2.92 | 33.8% | 447 | 55d | 27.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 447 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,345 | 89.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0_K0 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 94.5% | 10.0% | — | — | 30.3% | — | 0.33 | 0.62 | 0.89 | 1.49 | 0.32 | 2.92 | 33.8% | 447 | 55d | 27.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 447 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,345 | 89.3× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H2 tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 25.1% | 7.8% | 23.1% | -15.3% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 1.64 | 0.24 | 0.99 | 62.4% | 210 | 123d | 15.1% | 14.5% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 210 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $308 | 14.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 27.3% | 8.4% | — | — | 25.6% | — | 0.33 | 0.53 | 0.78 | 1.67 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 62.4% | 226 | 119d | 14.7% | 14.3% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 226 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 10.0% | $335 | 15.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_DEPTH equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development | development | 36.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | -4.9% | 25.1% | 33.7% | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.73 | 1.85 | 0.59 | 4.29 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,519 | 12.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0_K3 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 70.9% | 8.0% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.32 | 0.52 | 0.75 | 1.36 | 0.22 | 2.19 | 38.4% | 419 | 63d | 21.6% | 8.7% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 419 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,230 | 78.0× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_PRES_HOLDOUT_H0 tht_presenter_locked_holdout_2023_2025 | locked_holdout_2023_2025 | 24.3% | 7.5% | 23.1% | -15.6% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 0.32 | 0.49 | 0.72 | 1.63 | 0.25 | 1.04 | 61.2% | 201 | 130d | 15.0% | 14.0% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,999 → 201 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $298 | 14.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_confirmation_2023_2025 | confirmation_2023_2025 | 28.3% | 8.7% | — | — | 27.1% | — | 0.32 | 0.55 | 0.81 | 1.64 | 0.27 | 1.19 | 57.9% | 252 | 105d | 14.4% | 12.7% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 252 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.8% | 10.0% | $377 | 17.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 21.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 32.5% | — | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 1.51 | -0.05 | 0.63 | 58.1% | 129 | 98d | 22.1% | 35.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,389 | 10.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 21.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 32.5% | — | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 1.51 | -0.05 | 0.63 | 58.1% | 129 | 98d | 22.1% | 35.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,389 | 10.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_full | full | 633.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | -0.8% | 41.8% | 33.7% | 0.32 | 0.68 | 1.01 | 1.48 | 0.28 | 2.14 | 40.9% | 1,353 | 38d | 23.4% | 9.8% | 661,868 → 15,711 → 15,553 → 15,509 → 1,353 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 8.6% | 10.0% | $6,602 | 520.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 74.8% | 8.3% | — | — | 26.2% | — | 0.32 | 0.61 | 0.89 | 1.53 | 0.32 | 2.43 | 38.6% | 363 | 62d | 20.9% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 363 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.9% | 15.0% | $1,087 | 68.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K0 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 74.8% | 8.3% | — | — | 26.2% | — | 0.32 | 0.61 | 0.89 | 1.53 | 0.32 | 2.43 | 38.6% | 363 | 62d | 20.9% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 363 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.9% | 15.0% | $1,087 | 68.9× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 76.7% | 6.5% | -5.3% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 0.19 | 1.69 | 44.3% | 485 | 35d | 13.9% | 8.9% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 485 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,606 | 108.0× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 76.7% | 6.5% | -5.3% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 0.19 | 1.69 | 44.3% | 485 | 35d | 13.9% | 8.9% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 485 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,606 | 108.0× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 76.7% | 6.5% | -5.3% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 0.19 | 1.69 | 44.3% | 485 | 35d | 13.9% | 8.9% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 485 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,606 | 108.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_CONFIRMED equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development | development | 37.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | -4.7% | 26.4% | 33.7% | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.73 | 1.81 | 0.55 | 3.98 | 31.2% | 93 | 39d | 50.9% | 11.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,543 | 12.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_FAILED_RECLAIM equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development | development | 37.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | -4.7% | 26.4% | 33.7% | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.73 | 1.81 | 0.55 | 3.98 | 31.2% | 93 | 39d | 50.9% | 11.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,543 | 12.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 112.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | -2.3% | 36.0% | 33.7% | 0.32 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.36 | 0.21 | 1.94 | 41.2% | 641 | 32d | 17.8% | 9.3% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,296 → 641 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.1% | 15.0% | $1,613 | 113.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_BASE equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 83.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.32 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 1.40 | 0.24 | 2.20 | 38.9% | 633 | 39d | 20.3% | 8.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,309 → 633 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.1% | 10.0% | $1,382 | 93.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_ATH_ARM equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 65.5% | 7.5% | 13.6% | -6.1% | 23.7% | 33.7% | 0.31 | 0.61 | 0.84 | 1.36 | 0.19 | 1.53 | 47.0% | 642 | 36d | 10.6% | 7.5% | 332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,370 → 642 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 655 band rejects | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,429 | 98.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 86.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | -4.3% | 29.5% | 33.7% | 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 0.20 | 1.93 | 40.8% | 561 | 30d | 14.7% | 8.9% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,301 → 561 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 2.7% | 25.0% | $1,459 | 105.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_BREAKEVEN equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development | development | 14.2% | 3.4% | 13.1% | -9.7% | 10.8% | 33.7% | 0.31 | 0.45 | 0.72 | 1.82 | 0.53 | 3.36 | 35.1% | 94 | 30d | 31.4% | 8.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 7.1% | $897 | 6.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K2 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 85.0% | 9.2% | — | — | 30.1% | — | 0.31 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 1.52 | 0.33 | 2.70 | 36.1% | 391 | 67d | 23.6% | 7.4% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,139 | 73.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 86.4% | 9.3% | 13.6% | -4.3% | 30.5% | 33.7% | 0.31 | 0.61 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 0.19 | 1.91 | 41.1% | 642 | 38d | 19.9% | 10.1% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,310 → 642 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.1% | 10.0% | $1,429 | 97.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_ATH_FULL equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 51.3% | 6.1% | 13.6% | -7.5% | 20.1% | 33.7% | 0.30 | 0.52 | 0.71 | 1.25 | 0.13 | 1.48 | 45.8% | 716 | 31d | 10.0% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,368 → 716 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 654 band rejects | 6.2% | 10.0% | $1,572 | 107.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X4 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 83.8% | 9.1% | — | — | 30.0% | — | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.83 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 2.76 | 34.3% | 420 | 59d | 27.8% | 7.3% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 420 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,276 | 84.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_PAYOFF tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 15.2% | 4.9% | — | — | 16.1% | — | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 1.41 | 0.15 | 0.83 | 63.0% | 257 | 110d | 10.1% | 11.6% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,401 → 257 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.1% | 9.1% | $391 | 16.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 81.3% | 8.9% | — | — | 29.4% | — | 0.30 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 2.83 | 33.7% | 418 | 60d | 27.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 418 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.2% | 15.0% | $1,275 | 83.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G0 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 81.3% | 8.9% | — | — | 29.4% | — | 0.30 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 2.83 | 33.7% | 418 | 60d | 27.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 418 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.2% | 15.0% | $1,275 | 83.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 81.3% | 8.9% | — | — | 29.4% | — | 0.30 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 2.81 | 33.9% | 419 | 60d | 27.7% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 419 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,277 | 83.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G0 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 81.3% | 8.9% | — | — | 29.4% | — | 0.30 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 2.81 | 33.9% | 419 | 60d | 27.7% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 419 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,277 | 83.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X4 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 83.1% | 9.0% | — | — | 30.0% | — | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.83 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 2.74 | 34.4% | 421 | 59d | 27.6% | 7.3% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 421 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,276 | 84.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C15 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 71.7% | 8.0% | — | — | 26.7% | — | 0.30 | 0.57 | 0.83 | 1.44 | 0.24 | 1.67 | 46.2% | 357 | 66d | 25.2% | 9.9% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 357 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.9% | 15.0% | $1,030 | 62.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_BLEND equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 99.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | -3.3% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 0.30 | 0.68 | 0.97 | 1.38 | 0.22 | 1.97 | 41.3% | 649 | 37d | 20.2% | 9.5% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,308 → 649 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.2% | 10.0% | $1,508 | 104.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 83.2% | 9.0% | — | — | 30.2% | — | 0.30 | 0.64 | 0.97 | 1.55 | 0.33 | 2.37 | 39.6% | 407 | 55d | 23.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 407 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.4% | 15.0% | $1,191 | 75.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K0 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 83.2% | 9.0% | — | — | 30.2% | — | 0.30 | 0.64 | 0.97 | 1.55 | 0.33 | 2.37 | 39.6% | 407 | 55d | 23.9% | 7.2% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 407 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.4% | 15.0% | $1,191 | 75.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X2 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 79.2% | 8.7% | — | — | 29.1% | — | 0.30 | 0.56 | 0.76 | 1.43 | 0.30 | 3.04 | 32.0% | 365 | 61d | 28.7% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 365 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.0% | 15.0% | $1,036 | 77.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_ATH_TRIM50 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 58.6% | 6.8% | 13.6% | -6.8% | 22.9% | 33.7% | 0.30 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 1.32 | 0.17 | 1.48 | 47.1% | 645 | 36d | 10.3% | 7.5% | 332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,370 → 645 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 655 band rejects | 5.6% | 10.0% | $1,465 | 97.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P100 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 26.5% | 8.2% | — | — | 27.6% | — | 0.30 | 0.48 | 0.72 | 1.51 | 0.19 | 0.92 | 62.1% | 227 | 125d | 16.6% | 18.0% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,538 → 227 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $342 | 15.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X2 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 76.7% | 8.5% | — | — | 29.1% | — | 0.29 | 0.55 | 0.75 | 1.42 | 0.29 | 3.07 | 31.7% | 366 | 61d | 28.7% | 7.4% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 366 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.0% | 15.0% | $1,029 | 76.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 25.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | -7.3% | 20.0% | 33.7% | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 1.67 | 0.45 | 3.34 | 33.3% | 132 | 32d | 42.2% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.5% | $215 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 25.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | -7.3% | 20.0% | 33.7% | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 1.67 | 0.45 | 3.34 | 33.3% | 132 | 32d | 42.2% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.5% | $215 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 25.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | -7.3% | 20.0% | 33.7% | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 1.67 | 0.45 | 3.34 | 33.3% | 132 | 32d | 42.2% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.5% | $215 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 25.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | -7.3% | 20.0% | 33.7% | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 1.67 | 0.45 | 3.34 | 33.3% | 132 | 32d | 42.2% | 10.2% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.5% | $215 | 11.3× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 103.7% | 8.2% | -5.3% | 13.5% | 28.4% | 19.3% | 0.29 | 0.63 | 0.91 | 1.42 | 0.24 | 2.02 | 41.2% | 413 | 43d | 17.5% | 48.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 413 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.7% | 10.0% | $1,450 | 103.7× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 103.7% | 8.2% | -5.3% | 13.5% | 28.4% | 19.3% | 0.29 | 0.63 | 0.91 | 1.42 | 0.24 | 2.02 | 41.2% | 413 | 43d | 17.5% | 48.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 413 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.7% | 10.0% | $1,450 | 103.7× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 103.7% | 8.2% | -5.3% | 13.5% | 28.4% | 19.3% | 0.29 | 0.63 | 0.91 | 1.42 | 0.24 | 2.02 | 41.2% | 413 | 43d | 17.5% | 48.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 413 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 6.7% | 10.0% | $1,450 | 103.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 18.6% | 8.9% | — | — | 31.2% | — | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.65 | 1.49 | 0.16 | 1.05 | 56.7% | 201 | 97d | 21.8% | 20.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,302 | 9.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 18.6% | 8.9% | — | — | 31.2% | — | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.65 | 1.49 | 0.16 | 1.05 | 56.7% | 201 | 97d | 21.8% | 20.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,302 | 9.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C25 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 68.6% | 7.8% | — | — | 27.6% | — | 0.28 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.22 | 1.62 | 46.4% | 358 | 65d | 24.9% | 9.9% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 358 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.9% | 25.0% | $1,058 | 65.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_050 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development | development | 39.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | -4.4% | 30.9% | 33.7% | 0.28 | 0.44 | 0.74 | 1.74 | 0.52 | 4.05 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,957 | 15.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R100_C20 tht_revised_stage_p_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 68.6% | 7.8% | — | — | 27.8% | — | 0.28 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 1.41 | 0.22 | 1.59 | 47.1% | 359 | 65d | 24.6% | 9.9% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 359 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 3.9% | 20.0% | $1,047 | 63.9× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 78.9% | 6.7% | -5.3% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 0.28 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 1.34 | 0.19 | 1.58 | 45.9% | 477 | 38d | 14.9% | 9.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 477 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.8% | 10.0% | $1,596 | 107.9× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 78.9% | 6.7% | -5.3% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 0.28 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 1.34 | 0.19 | 1.58 | 45.9% | 477 | 38d | 14.9% | 9.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 477 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.8% | 10.0% | $1,596 | 107.9× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 78.9% | 6.7% | -5.3% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 0.28 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 1.34 | 0.19 | 1.58 | 45.9% | 477 | 38d | 14.9% | 9.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 477 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.8% | 10.0% | $1,596 | 107.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 16.8% | 8.1% | — | — | 29.3% | — | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.60 | 1.38 | 0.02 | 0.73 | 59.3% | 216 | 101d | 21.0% | 28.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,346 | 9.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C10_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 16.8% | 8.1% | — | — | 29.3% | — | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.60 | 1.38 | 0.02 | 0.73 | 59.3% | 216 | 101d | 21.0% | 28.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,346 | 9.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R125_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 72.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | -5.5% | 29.5% | 33.7% | 0.28 | 0.49 | 0.75 | 1.24 | 0.14 | 1.69 | 42.3% | 676 | 31d | 15.9% | 8.7% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 676 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 15.0% | $1,743 | 124.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_BASE equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 51.6% | 6.1% | 13.6% | -7.5% | 22.5% | 33.7% | 0.27 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 1.30 | 0.18 | 1.89 | 40.7% | 631 | 38d | 13.7% | 7.3% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,075 → 631 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.1% | 10.0% | $1,308 | 86.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 28.5% | 6.5% | 13.1% | -6.6% | 23.8% | 33.7% | 0.27 | 0.48 | 0.76 | 1.65 | 0.45 | 3.66 | 31.1% | 132 | 30d | 46.3% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,945 → 3,147 → 3,130 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 7.4% | $220 | 11.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 28.5% | 6.5% | 13.1% | -6.6% | 23.8% | 33.7% | 0.27 | 0.48 | 0.76 | 1.65 | 0.45 | 3.66 | 31.1% | 132 | 30d | 46.3% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,945 → 3,147 → 3,130 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.7% | 7.4% | $220 | 11.8× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 65.0% | 7.4% | — | — | 28.0% | — | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 1.44 | 0.28 | 2.49 | 36.7% | 371 | 61d | 21.4% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 371 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 4.0% | 15.0% | $1,097 | 69.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 84.3% | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 1.76 | 42.0% | 631 | 34d | 16.7% | 9.3% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 631 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.1% | 15.0% | $1,581 | 111.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_R150_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 54.8% | 6.4% | 13.6% | -7.2% | 24.4% | 33.7% | 0.26 | 0.49 | 0.67 | 1.29 | 0.16 | 1.63 | 44.1% | 560 | 32d | 10.5% | 6.9% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,066 → 560 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 3.7% | 25.0% | $1,453 | 102.3× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 60.5% | 5.4% | -5.3% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 1.65 | 43.7% | 462 | 37d | 14.4% | 9.0% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 462 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.6% | 10.0% | $1,551 | 99.2× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 60.5% | 5.4% | -5.3% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 1.65 | 43.7% | 462 | 37d | 14.4% | 9.0% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 462 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.6% | 10.0% | $1,551 | 99.2× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 60.5% | 5.4% | -5.3% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 1.65 | 43.7% | 462 | 37d | 14.4% | 9.0% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 462 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.6% | 10.0% | $1,551 | 99.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P50 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 22.4% | 7.0% | — | — | 26.6% | — | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.67 | 1.54 | 0.20 | 0.89 | 63.5% | 326 | 117d | 12.5% | 14.4% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,104 → 326 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.6% | 10.0% | $436 | 16.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C15 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 64.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | -6.2% | 28.4% | 33.7% | 0.26 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 1.22 | 0.13 | 1.72 | 41.5% | 711 | 32d | 16.3% | 8.4% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,297 → 711 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 15.0% | $1,704 | 119.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 75.6% | 8.4% | — | — | 32.5% | — | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.78 | 1.36 | 0.24 | 2.68 | 33.7% | 475 | 54d | 28.2% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 475 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.6% | 15.0% | $1,421 | 93.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 75.6% | 8.4% | — | — | 32.5% | — | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.78 | 1.36 | 0.24 | 2.68 | 33.7% | 475 | 54d | 28.2% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 475 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.6% | 15.0% | $1,421 | 93.3× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_RECOVERY tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 20.8% | 6.5% | — | — | 25.3% | — | 0.26 | 0.43 | 0.63 | 1.50 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 64.5% | 214 | 129d | 14.2% | 16.4% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 8,998 → 214 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.4% | 10.0% | $319 | 14.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P67 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 23.2% | 7.2% | — | — | 28.1% | — | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.68 | 1.62 | 0.23 | 0.92 | 63.9% | 288 | 121d | 12.4% | 13.5% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,117 → 288 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.2% | 10.0% | $392 | 15.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K2 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 65.3% | 7.5% | — | — | 29.1% | — | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 1.43 | 0.27 | 2.46 | 36.7% | 406 | 67d | 25.4% | 8.2% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 406 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.4% | 15.0% | $1,082 | 65.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N2_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_presample | presample | 63.7% | 5.6% | -5.3% | 10.9% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 0.26 | 0.48 | 0.68 | 1.29 | 0.17 | 1.75 | 42.5% | 468 | 37d | 15.5% | 10.0% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 468 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.6% | 10.0% | $1,545 | 98.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 17.5% | 8.4% | — | — | 33.3% | — | 0.25 | 0.42 | 0.61 | 1.41 | 0.08 | 0.85 | 58.3% | 204 | 100d | 21.1% | 24.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,368 | 9.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 17.5% | 8.4% | — | — | 33.3% | — | 0.25 | 0.42 | 0.61 | 1.41 | 0.08 | 0.85 | 58.3% | 204 | 100d | 21.1% | 24.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,368 | 9.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_FVB equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 78.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | -5.0% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.81 | 1.31 | 0.18 | 1.79 | 42.2% | 663 | 38d | 19.9% | 9.7% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,298 → 663 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects | 3.2% | 10.0% | $1,464 | 99.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 77.5% | 9.4% | — | — | 37.6% | — | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.67 | 0.23 | 0.90 | 65.0% | 392 | 122d | 18.4% | 16.4% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 392 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.0% | 10.0% | $666 | 34.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E3_PA equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 30.0% | 6.8% | 13.1% | -6.3% | 27.3% | 33.7% | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.64 | 1.34 | 0.24 | 3.18 | 29.7% | 249 | 24d | 27.3% | 8.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,809 | 31.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_management | full_2019_2025 | 159.2% | 14.6% | 17.2% | -2.6% | 58.7% | 33.7% | 0.25 | 0.56 | 0.85 | 1.65 | 0.14 | 0.89 | 60.2% | 342 | 140d | 35.9% | 40.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,909 | 44.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 12.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1.27 | -0.11 | 0.49 | 59.6% | 136 | 104d | 21.3% | 43.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,223 | 9.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 12.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1.27 | -0.11 | 0.49 | 59.6% | 136 | 104d | 21.3% | 43.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,223 | 9.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RISK_025 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_risk_development | development | 19.1% | 4.5% | 13.1% | -8.6% | 18.3% | 33.7% | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.56 | 4.17 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 7.0% | $908 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_NONE equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development | development | 19.1% | 4.5% | 13.1% | -8.6% | 18.3% | 33.7% | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.56 | 4.17 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 7.0% | $908 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_NONE equity_curve_tht_funnel_development | development | 19.1% | 4.5% | 13.1% | -8.6% | 18.3% | 33.7% | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.56 | 4.17 | 30.1% | 93 | 33d | 50.5% | 10.6% | 186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 134 → 93 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.8% | 7.0% | $908 | 7.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E3 equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 29.1% | 6.6% | 13.1% | -6.5% | 27.7% | 33.7% | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 1.33 | 0.23 | 3.17 | 29.6% | 250 | 24d | 27.2% | 8.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,818 | 31.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_BX equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 29.1% | 6.6% | 13.1% | -6.5% | 27.7% | 33.7% | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 1.33 | 0.23 | 3.17 | 29.6% | 250 | 24d | 27.2% | 8.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,818 | 31.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X2 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 68.4% | 7.7% | — | — | 32.7% | — | 0.24 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 1.35 | 0.25 | 3.23 | 29.4% | 394 | 58d | 31.8% | 7.7% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 394 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.1% | 15.0% | $1,087 | 80.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R125_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 64.8% | 7.4% | 13.6% | -6.2% | 31.4% | 33.7% | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 1.24 | 0.14 | 1.75 | 41.5% | 626 | 32d | 15.9% | 9.2% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 626 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,095 band rejects | 3.0% | 20.0% | $1,471 | 102.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_R2_R3 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development | development | 12.1% | 2.9% | 13.1% | -10.2% | 12.3% | 33.7% | 0.23 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 1.63 | 0.41 | 3.11 | 34.4% | 93 | 33d | 32.4% | 9.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 7.1% | $876 | 6.8× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 67.0% | 5.9% | -5.3% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 0.23 | 0.47 | 0.66 | 1.30 | 0.17 | 1.83 | 41.5% | 434 | 43d | 15.8% | 9.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 434 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.1% | 10.0% | $1,407 | 98.5× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 67.0% | 5.9% | -5.3% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 0.23 | 0.47 | 0.66 | 1.30 | 0.17 | 1.83 | 41.5% | 434 | 43d | 15.8% | 9.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 434 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.1% | 10.0% | $1,407 | 98.5× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 67.0% | 5.9% | -5.3% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 0.23 | 0.47 | 0.66 | 1.30 | 0.17 | 1.83 | 41.5% | 434 | 43d | 15.8% | 9.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 434 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.1% | 10.0% | $1,407 | 98.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RR_R1_R2 equity_curve_tht_confirmed_rr_development | development | 11.4% | 2.8% | 13.1% | -10.3% | 11.8% | 33.7% | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 1.64 | 0.42 | 3.13 | 34.4% | 93 | 33d | 30.2% | 8.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 6.5% | $877 | 6.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 11.7% | 5.7% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1.26 | -0.17 | 0.38 | 60.0% | 140 | 105d | 20.2% | 52.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.9% | $1,232 | 9.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 11.7% | 5.7% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1.26 | -0.17 | 0.38 | 60.0% | 140 | 105d | 20.2% | 52.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.9% | $1,232 | 9.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 11.7% | 5.7% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1.26 | -0.17 | 0.38 | 60.0% | 140 | 105d | 20.2% | 52.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.9% | $1,232 | 9.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_050 | validation_sizing | 11.7% | 5.7% | — | — | 24.6% | — | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1.26 | -0.17 | 0.38 | 60.0% | 140 | 105d | 20.2% | 52.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 19.9% | $1,232 | 9.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0_K2 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 52.9% | 6.3% | — | — | 27.1% | — | 0.23 | 0.47 | 0.69 | 1.40 | 0.26 | 2.64 | 34.7% | 453 | 59d | 17.9% | 6.1% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 453 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,154 | 71.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K2 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 62.4% | 7.2% | — | — | 31.2% | — | 0.23 | 0.52 | 0.76 | 1.39 | 0.25 | 2.37 | 37.0% | 421 | 65d | 25.4% | 7.9% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 421 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.6% | 15.0% | $1,113 | 68.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X1 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 65.3% | 7.5% | — | — | 32.6% | — | 0.23 | 0.48 | 0.68 | 1.34 | 0.24 | 3.18 | 29.7% | 421 | 62d | 32.9% | 7.4% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 421 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,203 | 77.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K1 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 70.6% | 7.9% | — | — | 34.7% | — | 0.23 | 0.54 | 0.79 | 1.34 | 0.18 | 1.61 | 45.4% | 295 | 74d | 26.0% | 11.1% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 295 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 3.2% | 15.0% | $1,068 | 68.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U3_D2 tht_revised_stage_d_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 36.4% | 4.5% | — | — | 20.0% | — | 0.23 | 0.45 | 0.62 | 1.32 | 0.17 | 1.58 | 45.5% | 369 | 65d | 18.2% | 9.5% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 369 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 204 band rejects | 4.0% | 15.0% | $913 | 49.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U1_R3_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 62.0% | 7.8% | — | — | 34.4% | — | 0.23 | 0.46 | 0.64 | 1.61 | 0.20 | 0.79 | 67.2% | 348 | 135d | 17.5% | 19.4% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 348 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_RS equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 47.4% | 5.7% | 13.6% | -7.9% | 25.2% | 33.7% | 0.23 | 0.49 | 0.68 | 1.25 | 0.13 | 1.44 | 46.5% | 673 | 32d | 11.7% | 7.7% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 673 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.4% | 10.0% | $1,455 | 94.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X1 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 62.6% | 7.2% | — | — | 32.0% | — | 0.22 | 0.47 | 0.66 | 1.34 | 0.24 | 3.28 | 29.0% | 421 | 61d | 33.7% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 421 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,189 | 76.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_BLEND equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 65.7% | 7.5% | 13.6% | -6.1% | 34.1% | 33.7% | 0.22 | 0.51 | 0.74 | 1.23 | 0.13 | 1.69 | 42.1% | 738 | 33d | 18.5% | 10.0% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,304 → 738 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.6% | 10.0% | $1,607 | 108.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R100_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_presample | presample | 57.9% | 5.2% | -5.3% | 10.5% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 0.21 | 0.44 | 0.63 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 1.76 | 42.0% | 450 | 35d | 13.6% | 12.9% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 450 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.4% | 10.0% | $1,539 | 100.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 71.1% | 8.0% | 13.6% | -5.6% | 37.3% | 33.7% | 0.21 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 1.24 | 0.14 | 1.75 | 41.4% | 719 | 33d | 19.4% | 9.8% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,304 → 719 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.5% | 10.0% | $1,622 | 111.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G0_K1 tht_revised_stage_k_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 58.6% | 6.8% | — | — | 32.1% | — | 0.21 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 1.26 | 0.13 | 1.40 | 47.3% | 340 | 69d | 23.0% | 12.3% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 340 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 1.8% | 15.0% | $1,087 | 66.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_RECYCLE_R075_D42_N3_EXIT equity_curve_tht_wide_presample | presample | 55.5% | 5.0% | -5.3% | 10.3% | 23.8% | 19.3% | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 1.26 | 0.15 | 1.71 | 42.4% | 479 | 35d | 14.3% | 14.4% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 479 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.8% | 10.0% | $1,564 | 98.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U1_R1_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 55.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 34.1% | — | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 1.55 | 0.17 | 0.69 | 69.2% | 341 | 138d | 16.9% | 21.3% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 341 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 9.7% | $566 | 27.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U1_R2_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 55.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 34.1% | — | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 1.55 | 0.17 | 0.69 | 69.2% | 341 | 138d | 16.9% | 21.3% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 341 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 9.7% | $566 | 27.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E1_PA equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 17.2% | 4.1% | 13.1% | -9.0% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 1.48 | 0.34 | 3.75 | 28.3% | 92 | 27d | 39.5% | 10.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,298 | 10.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_IMMEDIATE equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development | development | 17.1% | 4.0% | 13.1% | -9.0% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.49 | 1.47 | 0.34 | 3.79 | 28.0% | 93 | 27d | 39.4% | 10.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,299 | 10.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E1 equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 17.1% | 4.0% | 13.1% | -9.0% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.49 | 1.47 | 0.34 | 3.79 | 28.0% | 93 | 27d | 39.4% | 10.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,299 | 10.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV_RS equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 43.9% | 5.3% | 13.6% | -8.3% | 26.2% | 33.7% | 0.20 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 1.23 | 0.13 | 1.51 | 44.9% | 672 | 32d | 12.3% | 7.6% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,063 → 672 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.4% | 10.0% | $1,394 | 92.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 18.6% | 4.4% | 13.1% | -8.7% | 21.6% | 33.7% | 0.20 | 0.36 | 0.56 | 1.55 | 0.37 | 3.10 | 33.3% | 132 | 33d | 37.8% | 10.4% | 186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 7,662 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.1% | 7.5% | $203 | 10.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 18.6% | 4.4% | 13.1% | -8.7% | 21.6% | 33.7% | 0.20 | 0.36 | 0.56 | 1.55 | 0.37 | 3.10 | 33.3% | 132 | 33d | 37.8% | 10.4% | 186,103 → 12,008 → 7,701 → 7,662 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.1% | 7.5% | $203 | 10.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 65.3% | 8.2% | — | — | 40.6% | — | 0.20 | 0.45 | 0.62 | 1.51 | 0.17 | 0.73 | 67.3% | 367 | 132d | 18.6% | 20.4% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 367 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $630 | 32.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.2% | 5.9% | — | — | 29.4% | — | 0.20 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 1.34 | 0.22 | 2.44 | 35.4% | 395 | 55d | 19.4% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 395 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 4.3% | 15.0% | $1,097 | 69.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C25 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 61.8% | 7.1% | 13.6% | -6.5% | 35.6% | 33.7% | 0.20 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 1.22 | 0.13 | 1.72 | 41.5% | 677 | 33d | 15.5% | 8.4% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,299 → 677 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.3% | 25.0% | $1,629 | 114.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 1.9% | 0.9% | 25.9% | -25.0% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.01 | 37.2% | 43 | 34d | 20.4% | 10.1% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.7% | 7.1% | $66 | 3.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 1.9% | 0.9% | 25.9% | -25.0% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.01 | 37.2% | 43 | 34d | 20.4% | 10.1% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.7% | 7.1% | $66 | 3.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 1.9% | 0.9% | 25.9% | -25.0% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.01 | 37.2% | 43 | 34d | 20.4% | 10.1% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.7% | 7.1% | $66 | 3.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 1.9% | 0.9% | 25.9% | -25.0% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.01 | 37.2% | 43 | 34d | 20.4% | 10.1% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.7% | 7.1% | $66 | 3.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G2 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 51.6% | 6.1% | — | — | 31.1% | — | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 1.32 | 0.20 | 2.19 | 37.5% | 357 | 58d | 16.4% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 357 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects | 3.5% | 15.0% | $1,119 | 73.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 47.8% | 5.8% | — | — | 29.8% | — | 0.19 | 0.45 | 0.65 | 1.33 | 0.21 | 2.39 | 35.8% | 391 | 55d | 19.2% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 9,234 → 9,172 → 9,144 → 391 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 150 band rejects | 4.2% | 15.0% | $1,083 | 67.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P67 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 18.3% | 5.8% | — | — | 29.9% | — | 0.19 | 0.37 | 0.54 | 1.39 | 0.15 | 0.84 | 62.4% | 287 | 117d | 14.2% | 15.7% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,540 → 287 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $388 | 15.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_ARM_FV_RS_R150_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 57.5% | 6.7% | 13.6% | -6.9% | 34.9% | 33.7% | 0.19 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 1.22 | 0.13 | 1.81 | 40.3% | 564 | 32d | 14.8% | 9.0% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,303 → 564 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 2.7% | 20.0% | $1,421 | 101.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 53.6% | 5.5% | 14.1% | -8.6% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.19 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 1.31 | 0.19 | 2.06 | 39.0% | 590 | 41d | 12.1% | 7.0% | 331,536 → 7,402 → 7,327 → 7,321 → 590 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,494 band rejects | 8.0% | 10.0% | $1,253 | 84.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 53.6% | 5.5% | 14.1% | -8.6% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.19 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 1.31 | 0.19 | 2.06 | 39.0% | 590 | 41d | 12.1% | 7.0% | 331,536 → 7,402 → 7,327 → 7,321 → 590 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,494 band rejects | 8.0% | 10.0% | $1,253 | 84.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X0 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 85.7% | 9.3% | — | — | 48.8% | — | 0.19 | 0.47 | 0.68 | 1.72 | 0.53 | 4.77 | 26.5% | 245 | 95d | 61.1% | 7.7% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 245 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 1.3% | 15.0% | $624 | 45.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X0 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 85.7% | 9.3% | — | — | 48.8% | — | 0.19 | 0.47 | 0.68 | 1.72 | 0.53 | 4.77 | 26.5% | 245 | 95d | 61.1% | 7.7% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 245 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 883 band rejects | 1.3% | 15.0% | $624 | 45.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R42_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 58.0% | 7.4% | — | — | 39.9% | — | 0.19 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.43 | 0.15 | 0.81 | 63.8% | 376 | 126d | 19.9% | 19.7% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 376 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.9% | 10.0% | $637 | 32.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 9.2% | 2.2% | 13.1% | -10.9% | 12.1% | 33.7% | 0.18 | 0.37 | 0.53 | 1.32 | 0.19 | 1.94 | 40.5% | 131 | 39d | 28.3% | 12.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 131 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.3% | $181 | 8.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_TICKER_SECTOR_BX equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 9.2% | 2.2% | 13.1% | -10.9% | 12.1% | 33.7% | 0.18 | 0.37 | 0.53 | 1.32 | 0.19 | 1.94 | 40.5% | 131 | 39d | 28.3% | 12.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 131 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.3% | $181 | 8.9× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 13.0% | 6.3% | — | — | 34.8% | — | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1.29 | -0.04 | 0.66 | 57.6% | 198 | 100d | 21.5% | 32.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,358 | 9.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 13.0% | 6.3% | — | — | 34.8% | — | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1.29 | -0.04 | 0.66 | 57.6% | 198 | 100d | 21.5% | 32.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,358 | 9.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E5_PA equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 27.8% | 6.3% | 13.1% | -6.8% | 35.3% | 33.7% | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.57 | 1.25 | 0.18 | 3.13 | 28.5% | 298 | 25d | 28.3% | 8.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,891 | 38.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_R100_C20 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_risk_cap_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 45.6% | 5.5% | 13.6% | -8.1% | 31.1% | 33.7% | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.55 | 1.17 | 0.10 | 1.66 | 41.4% | 701 | 31d | 14.9% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,300 → 701 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.4% | 20.0% | $1,623 | 112.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 43.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | -3.5% | 54.2% | 33.7% | 0.18 | 0.43 | 0.63 | 0.94 | -0.02 | 0.59 | 61.4% | 207 | 136d | 29.2% | 49.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,970 | 24.0× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 43.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | -3.5% | 54.2% | 33.7% | 0.18 | 0.43 | 0.63 | 1.27 | -0.02 | 0.59 | 61.4% | 207 | 136d | 29.2% | 49.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,970 | 24.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U2_R21_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 56.9% | 7.3% | — | — | 42.0% | — | 0.17 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.49 | 0.17 | 0.80 | 65.0% | 369 | 133d | 17.6% | 18.6% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 369 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.9% | 10.0% | $613 | 30.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_ARM_FV_FVB equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 50.4% | 6.0% | 13.6% | -7.6% | 34.8% | 33.7% | 0.17 | 0.47 | 0.65 | 1.25 | 0.14 | 1.62 | 43.5% | 650 | 37d | 13.9% | 8.5% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,066 → 650 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,335 | 88.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G2 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 45.7% | 5.5% | — | — | 32.2% | — | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 1.27 | 0.18 | 2.26 | 36.1% | 363 | 57d | 16.5% | 6.9% | 302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 363 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects | 3.5% | 15.0% | $1,119 | 72.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 29.0% | 3.7% | 13.6% | -9.9% | 21.6% | 33.7% | 0.17 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 1.21 | 0.12 | 1.61 | 42.9% | 436 | 40d | 13.4% | 8.0% | 290,259 → 2,449 → 2,421 → 2,420 → 436 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 750 band rejects | 17.8% | 10.0% | $927 | 62.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 29.0% | 3.7% | 13.6% | -9.9% | 21.6% | 33.7% | 0.17 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 1.21 | 0.12 | 1.61 | 42.9% | 436 | 40d | 13.4% | 8.0% | 290,259 → 2,449 → 2,421 → 2,420 → 436 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 750 band rejects | 17.8% | 10.0% | $927 | 62.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X4 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 45.9% | 5.5% | — | — | 32.4% | — | 0.17 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 1.25 | 0.17 | 2.60 | 32.5% | 431 | 59d | 25.5% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 431 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,224 | 79.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U2_R1_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 50.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 39.2% | — | 0.17 | 0.39 | 0.54 | 1.45 | 0.15 | 0.73 | 66.6% | 335 | 139d | 18.6% | 20.0% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 335 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $560 | 28.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U2_R2_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 50.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 39.2% | — | 0.17 | 0.39 | 0.54 | 1.45 | 0.15 | 0.73 | 66.6% | 335 | 139d | 18.6% | 20.0% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 335 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $560 | 28.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 73.3% | 6.3% | -5.3% | 11.6% | 37.3% | 19.3% | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.63 | 42.0% | 735 | 37d | 14.6% | 9.4% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 735 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 12.0% | 10.0% | $2,525 | 176.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 73.3% | 6.3% | -5.3% | 11.6% | 37.3% | 19.3% | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.63 | 42.0% | 735 | 37d | 14.6% | 9.4% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 735 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 12.0% | 10.0% | $2,525 | 176.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 73.3% | 6.3% | -5.3% | 11.6% | 37.3% | 19.3% | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.63 | 42.0% | 735 | 37d | 14.6% | 9.4% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 6,001 → 5,995 → 735 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 12.0% | 10.0% | $2,525 | 176.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 15.8% | 3.7% | 13.1% | -9.3% | 22.3% | 33.7% | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 1.44 | 0.31 | 3.36 | 30.1% | 133 | 30d | 40.7% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 133 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.3% | $208 | 10.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_development | development | 15.8% | 3.7% | 13.1% | -9.3% | 22.3% | 33.7% | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 1.44 | 0.31 | 3.36 | 30.1% | 133 | 30d | 40.7% | 9.7% | 186,103 → 9,665 → 6,179 → 6,144 → 133 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.3% | $208 | 10.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_ATH_FULL_FV_FVB equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 47.5% | 5.7% | 13.6% | -7.9% | 34.3% | 33.7% | 0.17 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 1.17 | 0.10 | 1.75 | 40.1% | 750 | 32d | 18.6% | 9.7% | 332,876 → 20,541 → 20,350 → 20,302 → 750 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,096 band rejects | 3.7% | 10.0% | $1,564 | 103.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 10.2% | 5.0% | — | — | 30.2% | — | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.22 | 0.04 | 0.80 | 57.9% | 209 | 104d | 20.9% | 26.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,343 | 9.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 10.2% | 5.0% | — | — | 30.2% | — | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.22 | 0.04 | 0.80 | 57.9% | 209 | 104d | 20.9% | 26.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $1,343 | 9.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP200_ATH_TRIM50 equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 37.7% | 4.7% | 13.6% | -8.9% | 28.5% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 1.23 | 0.12 | 1.34 | 47.9% | 658 | 33d | 8.7% | 7.0% | 332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,713 → 658 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects | 11.3% | 10.0% | $1,426 | 91.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E5 equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 25.9% | 5.9% | 13.1% | -7.2% | 36.2% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 1.23 | 0.16 | 3.12 | 28.2% | 301 | 25d | 28.2% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,901 | 38.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P100 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.6% | 5.9% | — | — | 36.9% | — | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.45 | 0.16 | 0.78 | 65.0% | 392 | 128d | 15.7% | 18.4% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,106 → 392 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.0% | 10.0% | $645 | 31.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 37.2% | 4.6% | 13.6% | -9.0% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1.25 | 0.15 | 1.96 | 38.9% | 511 | 41d | 11.7% | 7.0% | 290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,084 | 72.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 37.2% | 4.6% | 13.6% | -9.0% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1.25 | 0.15 | 1.96 | 38.9% | 511 | 41d | 11.7% | 7.0% | 290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,084 | 72.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 37.2% | 4.6% | 13.6% | -9.0% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1.25 | 0.15 | 1.96 | 38.9% | 511 | 41d | 11.7% | 7.0% | 290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,084 | 72.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 37.2% | 4.6% | 13.6% | -9.0% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1.25 | 0.15 | 1.96 | 38.9% | 511 | 41d | 11.7% | 7.0% | 290,259 → 6,435 → 6,360 → 6,355 → 511 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,319 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,084 | 72.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_ALL tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.8% | 6.5% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.16 | 0.38 | 0.54 | 1.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 68.6% | 350 | 140d | 17.3% | 20.9% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D25 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.8% | 6.5% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.16 | 0.38 | 0.54 | 1.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 68.6% | 350 | 140d | 17.3% | 20.9% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP1000_ATH_TRIM50_FV_FVB equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ranking_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 44.0% | 5.3% | 13.6% | -8.3% | 33.4% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.44 | 0.61 | 1.21 | 0.12 | 1.54 | 44.1% | 660 | 36d | 13.4% | 8.6% | 332,876 → 15,269 → 15,109 → 15,066 → 660 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 830 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $1,406 | 89.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 42.3% | 5.2% | — | — | 32.3% | — | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.54 | 1.23 | 0.16 | 2.53 | 32.7% | 434 | 59d | 24.9% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 434 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,238 | 79.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G0 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 42.3% | 5.2% | — | — | 32.3% | — | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.54 | 1.23 | 0.16 | 2.53 | 32.7% | 434 | 59d | 24.9% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 434 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.3% | 15.0% | $1,238 | 79.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U1_R4_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 44.8% | 5.9% | — | — | 37.3% | — | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 1.41 | 0.12 | 0.61 | 69.8% | 341 | 140d | 16.5% | 22.3% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 341 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 9.4% | $561 | 27.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 7.1% | 1.8% | 13.1% | -11.3% | 11.1% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 1.25 | 0.16 | 2.28 | 35.3% | 133 | 38d | 28.0% | 11.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.3% | $182 | 8.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_SECTOR equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 7.1% | 1.8% | 13.1% | -11.3% | 11.1% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 1.25 | 0.16 | 2.28 | 35.3% | 133 | 38d | 28.0% | 11.5% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 133 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.3% | $182 | 8.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_final_development | development | 39.3% | 8.7% | 13.1% | -4.4% | 55.1% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.41 | 0.61 | 1.25 | -0.07 | 0.67 | 55.4% | 148 | 160d | 35.2% | 52.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,648 | 21.1× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_final_development | development | 39.3% | 8.7% | 13.1% | -4.4% | 55.1% | 33.7% | 0.16 | 0.41 | 0.61 | 1.25 | -0.07 | 0.67 | 55.4% | 148 | 160d | 35.2% | 52.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $2,648 | 21.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 43.1% | 5.8% | — | — | 36.8% | — | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.44 | 0.15 | 0.72 | 66.6% | 365 | 133d | 16.1% | 18.7% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 365 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.4% | 10.0% | $580 | 27.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R21_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 40.5% | 5.4% | — | — | 34.8% | — | 0.16 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1.40 | 0.14 | 0.79 | 64.1% | 376 | 127d | 16.2% | 17.1% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 376 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 10.0% | $599 | 28.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U2_R4_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 48.7% | 6.4% | — | — | 40.9% | — | 0.16 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 1.41 | 0.14 | 0.69 | 67.1% | 334 | 142d | 18.3% | 21.6% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 334 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 9.6% | $561 | 28.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P100 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 47.3% | 5.7% | — | — | 36.7% | — | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.47 | 0.15 | 0.70 | 67.9% | 396 | 127d | 14.5% | 17.6% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,297 → 396 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.6% | 10.0% | $646 | 30.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_2 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 45.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 39.6% | — | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 1.38 | 0.13 | 0.73 | 65.3% | 381 | 128d | 17.1% | 19.4% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 381 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 9.5% | $630 | 30.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U1_R0_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 42.3% | 5.7% | — | — | 37.6% | — | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1.40 | 0.12 | 0.58 | 70.5% | 339 | 139d | 16.1% | 22.0% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 339 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $556 | 27.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U_U1_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 42.3% | 5.7% | — | — | 37.6% | — | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1.40 | 0.12 | 0.58 | 70.5% | 339 | 139d | 16.1% | 22.0% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 339 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $556 | 27.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 10.8% | 5.3% | — | — | 35.2% | — | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 1.24 | 0.03 | 0.78 | 57.8% | 199 | 100d | 21.1% | 27.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,354 | 9.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H12 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 10.8% | 5.3% | — | — | 35.2% | — | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 1.24 | 0.03 | 0.78 | 57.8% | 199 | 100d | 21.1% | 27.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,354 | 9.5× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 18.1% | -16.6% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.71 | 38.8% | 67 | 34d | 13.0% | 7.4% | 42,074 → 188 → 188 → 184 → 67 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects | 35.6% | 10.0% | $122 | 7.6× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 18.1% | -16.6% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.71 | 38.8% | 67 | 34d | 13.0% | 7.4% | 42,074 → 188 → 188 → 184 → 67 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects | 35.6% | 10.0% | $122 | 7.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P50 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 12.9% | 4.1% | — | — | 27.9% | — | 0.15 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 1.23 | 0.09 | 0.82 | 60.2% | 319 | 118d | 15.2% | 69.1% | 160,690 → 12,492 → 12,492 → 12,534 → 319 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.6% | 10.0% | $422 | 16.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.8% | 5.9% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 68.6% | 350 | 140d | 17.3% | 20.9% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.8% | 5.9% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 68.6% | 350 | 140d | 17.3% | 20.9% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_EQ tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.8% | 5.9% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 68.6% | 350 | 140d | 17.3% | 20.9% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_CURRENT tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 49.8% | 5.9% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 1.41 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 68.6% | 350 | 140d | 17.3% | 20.9% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 350 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $585 | 29.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U2_R0_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 45.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 41.0% | — | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1.39 | 0.12 | 0.64 | 68.4% | 329 | 144d | 17.9% | 21.9% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 329 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $547 | 27.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U_U2_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 45.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 41.0% | — | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1.39 | 0.12 | 0.64 | 68.4% | 329 | 144d | 17.9% | 21.9% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 329 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $547 | 27.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P67 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 44.4% | 5.4% | — | — | 37.8% | — | 0.14 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 1.39 | 0.13 | 0.66 | 67.8% | 488 | 123d | 15.0% | 18.4% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,163 → 488 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 10.0% | $735 | 32.7× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P100 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 12.1% | 3.9% | — | — | 27.3% | — | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.43 | 1.28 | 0.11 | 0.80 | 61.5% | 218 | 129d | 13.6% | 16.2% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,128 → 218 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.4% | 10.0% | $311 | 13.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_TOP3_PROFITADD equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 17.7% | 4.2% | 13.1% | -8.9% | 30.5% | 33.7% | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 1.15 | 0.11 | 3.08 | 27.3% | 356 | 24d | 25.8% | 8.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,969 | 40.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 8.6% | 4.2% | — | — | 31.0% | — | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 1.18 | 0.06 | 0.83 | 57.8% | 206 | 105d | 21.0% | 25.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,333 | 9.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C20_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 8.6% | 4.2% | — | — | 31.0% | — | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 1.18 | 0.06 | 0.83 | 57.8% | 206 | 105d | 21.0% | 25.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $1,333 | 9.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G2 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 33.9% | 4.3% | — | — | 31.7% | — | 0.13 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 1.21 | 0.13 | 2.05 | 37.2% | 379 | 54d | 15.2% | 7.1% | 302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 379 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects | 3.7% | 15.0% | $1,089 | 69.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP200_ATH_ARM equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 33.1% | 4.2% | 13.6% | -9.4% | 31.0% | 33.7% | 0.13 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 1.21 | 0.11 | 1.41 | 46.1% | 648 | 33d | 9.1% | 7.0% | 332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,713 → 648 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects | 11.1% | 10.0% | $1,333 | 88.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X1 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 37.0% | 4.6% | — | — | 34.8% | — | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 1.21 | 0.15 | 3.02 | 28.6% | 437 | 61d | 31.1% | 7.7% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 437 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 2.4% | 15.0% | $1,148 | 70.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_ALL tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 37.8% | 5.1% | — | — | 39.1% | — | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 70.6% | 344 | 144d | 15.4% | 22.9% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $553 | 25.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D25 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 37.8% | 5.1% | — | — | 39.1% | — | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 70.6% | 344 | 144d | 15.4% | 22.9% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $553 | 25.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U1 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 21.4% | 2.8% | — | — | 21.5% | — | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.19 | 0.11 | 1.45 | 45.1% | 375 | 59d | 12.3% | 8.1% | 302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 375 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 92 band rejects | 7.1% | 15.0% | $953 | 52.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U2_R3_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_r_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 41.6% | 5.6% | — | — | 42.8% | — | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 1.33 | 0.11 | 0.70 | 65.7% | 344 | 138d | 18.8% | 22.4% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $574 | 28.4× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_management | full_2019_2025 | 72.1% | 8.1% | 17.2% | -9.1% | 61.9% | 33.7% | 0.13 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 1.15 | -0.36 | 1.26 | 28.1% | 1,476 | 25d | 27.1% | 21.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $20,863 | 159.1× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample | presample | 37.1% | 3.6% | -5.3% | 8.9% | 27.6% | 19.3% | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.83 | 39.2% | 449 | 40d | 14.0% | 11.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 449 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.3% | 10.0% | $1,294 | 88.4× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v2 | presample | 37.1% | 3.6% | -5.3% | 8.9% | 27.6% | 19.3% | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.83 | 39.2% | 449 | 40d | 14.0% | 11.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 449 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.3% | 10.0% | $1,294 | 88.4× |
| research no holdout | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_presample_v3 | presample | 37.1% | 3.6% | -5.3% | 8.9% | 27.6% | 19.3% | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.83 | 39.2% | 449 | 40d | 14.0% | 11.2% | 315,869 → 6,119 → 4,232 → 4,226 → 449 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 7.3% | 10.0% | $1,294 | 88.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U2 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 21.2% | 2.8% | — | — | 21.6% | — | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.11 | 1.55 | 43.6% | 360 | 59d | 14.6% | 8.6% | 302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 360 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 126 band rejects | 5.2% | 15.0% | $865 | 46.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D50 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 40.7% | 5.5% | — | — | 42.4% | — | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.48 | 1.33 | 0.11 | 0.63 | 67.9% | 340 | 142d | 17.7% | 33.9% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 340 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $568 | 28.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G2 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 25.0% | 3.2% | — | — | 25.4% | — | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 1.17 | 0.11 | 2.12 | 35.6% | 388 | 54d | 15.8% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 388 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 408 band rejects | 3.8% | 15.0% | $1,020 | 62.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D100 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 38.0% | 5.1% | — | — | 40.9% | — | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1.32 | 0.10 | 0.62 | 68.1% | 342 | 143d | 16.7% | 22.1% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 342 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $567 | 28.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E2_PA equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 13.6% | 3.3% | 13.1% | -9.8% | 25.9% | 33.7% | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 1.23 | 0.16 | 2.82 | 30.5% | 174 | 25d | 26.1% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,388 | 19.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G3 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 26.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 27.2% | — | 0.12 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 1.24 | 0.14 | 1.62 | 43.3% | 319 | 64d | 14.7% | 7.7% | 302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 319 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 107 band rejects | 5.8% | 15.0% | $876 | 51.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 7.8% | 3.9% | — | — | 31.4% | — | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 1.17 | -0.40 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 208 | 104d | 20.8% | 367.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,325 | 9.5× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C25_H18 equity_curve_tht_sizing_fixed_025 | validation_sizing | 7.8% | 3.9% | — | — | 31.4% | — | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 1.17 | -0.40 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 208 | 104d | 20.8% | 367.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 25.0% | $1,325 | 9.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_RECOVERY tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 41.3% | 5.1% | — | — | 41.3% | — | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1.32 | 0.10 | 0.61 | 68.3% | 344 | 151d | 18.3% | 24.9% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,850 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $573 | 27.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 32.6% | 3.6% | 14.1% | -10.5% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 1.20 | 0.13 | 2.09 | 36.5% | 591 | 40d | 12.6% | 6.8% | 331,536 → 7,648 → 7,554 → 7,524 → 591 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,179 band rejects | 7.7% | 10.0% | $1,199 | 78.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 32.6% | 3.6% | 14.1% | -10.5% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 1.20 | 0.13 | 2.09 | 36.5% | 591 | 40d | 12.6% | 6.8% | 331,536 → 7,648 → 7,554 → 7,524 → 591 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,179 band rejects | 7.7% | 10.0% | $1,199 | 78.5× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E2 equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 13.3% | 3.2% | 13.1% | -9.9% | 26.1% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 1.23 | 0.16 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 175 | 25d | 26.0% | 9.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,387 | 19.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_AR_U1_R42_1 tht_presenter_stage_ar_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 36.2% | 4.9% | — | — | 40.5% | — | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1.31 | 0.09 | 0.56 | 69.9% | 356 | 135d | 16.5% | 22.6% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 356 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.4% | 10.0% | $580 | 27.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 1.1% | 0.5% | 25.9% | -25.3% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 1.13 | 0.08 | 1.90 | 37.2% | 43 | 36d | 17.4% | 9.1% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.7% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 1.1% | 0.5% | 25.9% | -25.3% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 1.13 | 0.08 | 1.90 | 37.2% | 43 | 36d | 17.4% | 9.1% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.7% | 7.1% | $63 | 3.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_WEEKLY_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 30.3% | 6.9% | 13.1% | -6.2% | 56.4% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 1.08 | 0.06 | 2.33 | 31.8% | 957 | 24d | 23.3% | 39.5% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $15,033 | 119.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 36.8% | 4.6% | — | — | 37.9% | — | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 1.35 | 0.11 | 0.58 | 69.9% | 612 | 133d | 15.3% | 31.8% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 612 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.1% | 9.8% | $806 | 27.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 25.4% | 2.9% | 14.1% | -11.3% | 23.7% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 1.15 | 0.09 | 1.54 | 42.7% | 522 | 40d | 13.1% | 8.1% | 331,536 → 2,764 → 2,736 → 2,731 → 522 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 805 band rejects | 18.9% | 10.0% | $1,099 | 73.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 25.4% | 2.9% | 14.1% | -11.3% | 23.7% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 1.15 | 0.09 | 1.54 | 42.7% | 522 | 40d | 13.1% | 8.1% | 331,536 → 2,764 → 2,736 → 2,731 → 522 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 805 band rejects | 18.9% | 10.0% | $1,099 | 73.4× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G2 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 24.4% | 3.2% | — | — | 26.3% | — | 0.12 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.17 | 0.11 | 2.06 | 36.3% | 364 | 59d | 15.9% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 364 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 408 band rejects | 3.6% | 15.0% | $999 | 61.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 37.8% | 4.7% | — | — | 39.1% | — | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 70.6% | 344 | 144d | 15.4% | 22.9% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $553 | 25.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 37.8% | 4.7% | — | — | 39.1% | — | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 70.6% | 344 | 144d | 15.4% | 22.9% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $553 | 25.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_EQ tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 37.8% | 4.7% | — | — | 39.1% | — | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 70.6% | 344 | 144d | 15.4% | 22.9% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $553 | 25.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_CURRENT tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 37.8% | 4.7% | — | — | 39.1% | — | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 70.6% | 344 | 144d | 15.4% | 22.9% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $553 | 25.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_TOP3 equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 15.4% | 3.6% | 13.1% | -9.4% | 30.6% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 1.13 | 0.10 | 3.06 | 27.0% | 359 | 24d | 25.8% | 8.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,938 | 40.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G3 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 24.0% | 3.1% | — | — | 26.6% | — | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 1.20 | 0.12 | 1.75 | 40.6% | 337 | 58d | 15.8% | 8.2% | 302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 337 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 107 band rejects | 6.2% | 15.0% | $899 | 53.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 20.1% | 2.6% | 13.6% | -11.0% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 1.16 | 0.09 | 1.64 | 41.3% | 399 | 40d | 12.5% | 7.5% | 290,259 → 1,845 → 1,823 → 1,823 → 399 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 650 band rejects | 21.6% | 10.0% | $849 | 57.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 20.1% | 2.6% | 13.6% | -11.0% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 1.16 | 0.09 | 1.64 | 41.3% | 399 | 40d | 12.5% | 7.5% | 290,259 → 1,845 → 1,823 → 1,823 → 399 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 650 band rejects | 21.6% | 10.0% | $849 | 57.0× |
| research no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_PAYOFF tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_robustness_2023_2025 | robustness_2023_2025 | 5.9% | 1.9% | — | — | 16.8% | — | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 1.16 | 0.06 | 0.65 | 64.2% | 243 | 115d | 8.7% | 12.7% | 160,690 → 9,068 → 9,068 → 9,000 → 243 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.7% | 9.7% | $359 | 15.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 36.6% | 4.6% | — | — | 40.1% | — | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.33 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 70.2% | 635 | 133d | 15.3% | 22.4% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 635 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.2% | 8.5% | $825 | 27.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G2 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 28.1% | 3.6% | — | — | 31.7% | — | 0.11 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 2.07 | 36.3% | 389 | 53d | 15.0% | 7.0% | 302,663 → 10,233 → 10,232 → 10,219 → 389 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 357 band rejects | 3.8% | 15.0% | $1,095 | 69.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X0 tht_revised_stage_x_dev_2016_2022_v3 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 58.7% | 6.8% | — | — | 60.3% | — | 0.11 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 1.40 | 0.31 | 4.58 | 23.4% | 282 | 85d | 60.2% | 8.0% | 302,663 → 18,581 → 18,450 → 18,413 → 282 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 954 band rejects | 1.5% | 15.0% | $728 | 52.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U2_D33 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 36.0% | 4.9% | — | — | 44.0% | — | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1.30 | 0.09 | 0.61 | 68.0% | 331 | 144d | 17.2% | 22.4% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 331 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $555 | 27.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 20.5% | 2.7% | 13.6% | -10.9% | 24.3% | 33.7% | 0.11 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 1.15 | 0.09 | 1.60 | 41.9% | 432 | 40d | 12.9% | 7.8% | 290,259 → 2,216 → 2,190 → 2,189 → 432 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 726 band rejects | 19.5% | 10.0% | $902 | 60.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 20.5% | 2.7% | 13.6% | -10.9% | 24.3% | 33.7% | 0.11 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 1.15 | 0.09 | 1.60 | 41.9% | 432 | 40d | 12.9% | 7.8% | 290,259 → 2,216 → 2,190 → 2,189 → 432 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 726 band rejects | 19.5% | 10.0% | $902 | 60.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP200_ATH_FULL equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 24.0% | 3.1% | 13.6% | -10.5% | 28.2% | 33.7% | 0.11 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 1.13 | 0.07 | 1.32 | 46.0% | 702 | 30d | 9.3% | 7.2% | 332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,717 → 702 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects | 12.0% | 10.0% | $1,457 | 96.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_TOP3_SECTOR2 equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 14.0% | 3.3% | 13.1% | -9.7% | 30.9% | 33.7% | 0.11 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 1.12 | 0.09 | 3.06 | 26.8% | 358 | 24d | 25.8% | 8.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,891 | 39.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U1 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 18.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 23.4% | — | 0.11 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 1.15 | 0.08 | 1.32 | 46.6% | 322 | 65d | 12.6% | 9.0% | 302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 322 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 85 band rejects | 6.1% | 15.0% | $907 | 52.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_ALL tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 26.8% | 3.8% | — | — | 36.0% | — | 0.10 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 1.37 | 0.12 | 0.66 | 67.5% | 338 | 141d | 12.2% | 16.4% | 281,221 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 338 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.4% | 9.8% | $538 | 24.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 31.1% | 4.0% | — | — | 38.8% | — | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.29 | 0.09 | 0.58 | 69.2% | 603 | 133d | 15.5% | 21.8% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,851 → 603 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.0% | 10.0% | $794 | 26.8× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_management | full_2019_2025 | 53.9% | 6.4% | 17.2% | -10.8% | 62.6% | 33.7% | 0.10 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 1.12 | -0.21 | 1.86 | 27.5% | 1,435 | 25d | 27.8% | 15.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $18,824 | 144.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_PAYOFF tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 29.1% | 3.7% | — | — | 37.4% | — | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.46 | 0.15 | 0.74 | 66.3% | 413 | 124d | 9.9% | 12.6% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,046 → 413 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.7% | 10.0% | $663 | 28.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_PREF tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 27.2% | 3.8% | — | — | 39.6% | — | 0.10 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 1.28 | 0.09 | 0.64 | 66.8% | 349 | 143d | 14.6% | 20.2% | 281,221 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,852 → 349 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.8% | 10.0% | $562 | 25.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 26.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 36.0% | — | 0.10 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 1.37 | 0.12 | 0.66 | 67.5% | 338 | 141d | 12.2% | 16.4% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 338 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.4% | 9.8% | $538 | 24.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 26.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 36.0% | — | 0.10 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 1.37 | 0.12 | 0.66 | 67.5% | 338 | 141d | 12.2% | 16.4% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 338 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.4% | 9.8% | $538 | 24.9× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U2 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 18.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 26.2% | — | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1.15 | 0.08 | 1.35 | 46.0% | 313 | 68d | 14.4% | 9.1% | 302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 313 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 108 band rejects | 4.5% | 15.0% | $855 | 48.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U0 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 21.9% | 2.9% | — | — | 30.8% | — | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 1.17 | 0.10 | 1.44 | 44.9% | 359 | 62d | 12.2% | 8.1% | 302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 359 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects | 13.2% | 15.0% | $989 | 57.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_NO_TRIM equity_curve_20260721_044441 | development_2016_2022 | 1.7% | 0.1% | 14.1% | -14.0% | 1.1% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 4.39 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 85.7% | 7 | 39d | 10.7% | 14.6% | 661,868 → 18 → 18 → 18 → 7 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 38.9% | 3.3% | $10 | 0.5× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U1 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 13.1% | 1.8% | — | — | 19.9% | — | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 1.13 | 0.07 | 1.39 | 44.8% | 366 | 59d | 12.5% | 8.6% | 302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 366 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 92 band rejects | 6.9% | 15.0% | $903 | 48.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D50 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 26.5% | 3.7% | — | — | 41.8% | — | 0.09 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 1.24 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 69.7% | 340 | 144d | 15.8% | 44.2% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 340 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.3% | 10.0% | $542 | 25.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_BASE equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 18.4% | 2.5% | 13.6% | -11.2% | 27.5% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 1.11 | 0.07 | 1.68 | 39.8% | 605 | 40d | 11.0% | 7.4% | 332,876 → 11,537 → 11,411 → 11,384 → 605 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 655 band rejects | 5.2% | 10.0% | $1,183 | 76.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_CONTROL_C10 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 20.2% | 4.7% | 13.1% | -8.4% | 53.9% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.56 | 29.5% | 858 | 27d | 27.9% | 12.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $11,125 | 90.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 19.0% | 2.5% | 13.6% | -11.1% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1.13 | 0.09 | 2.05 | 35.6% | 519 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.7% | 290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,059 | 69.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 19.0% | 2.5% | 13.6% | -11.1% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1.13 | 0.09 | 2.05 | 35.6% | 519 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.7% | 290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,059 | 69.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 19.0% | 2.5% | 13.6% | -11.1% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1.13 | 0.09 | 2.05 | 35.6% | 519 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.7% | 290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,059 | 69.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 19.0% | 2.5% | 13.6% | -11.1% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 1.13 | 0.09 | 2.05 | 35.6% | 519 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.7% | 290,259 → 6,564 → 6,470 → 6,462 → 519 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1,880 band rejects | 7.9% | 10.0% | $1,059 | 69.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_PAYOFF tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 24.4% | 3.2% | — | — | 37.1% | — | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 1.34 | 0.12 | 0.68 | 66.3% | 413 | 124d | 10.2% | 13.0% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,847 → 413 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.1% | 10.0% | $661 | 28.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 24.5% | 3.2% | — | — | 37.6% | — | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 1.25 | 0.07 | 0.52 | 70.5% | 637 | 132d | 13.4% | 22.5% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 637 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.2% | 8.6% | $804 | 25.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D33 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 23.3% | 3.3% | — | — | 40.4% | — | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 1.22 | 0.07 | 0.53 | 69.8% | 328 | 146d | 16.0% | 24.8% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 328 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $522 | 24.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P67 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 26.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 42.2% | — | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 1.24 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 69.6% | 490 | 125d | 13.5% | 20.4% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,354 → 490 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.2% | 10.0% | $729 | 30.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_SL_SECTOR_13W_TRIM25 equity_curve_20260721_044441 | development_2016_2022 | 1.5% | 0.1% | 14.1% | -14.0% | 1.1% | 33.7% | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 3.99 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 85.7% | 7 | 39d | 9.7% | 14.6% | 661,868 → 18 → 18 → 18 → 7 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 38.9% | 3.3% | $10 | 0.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_UTL_U1_D100 tht_presenter_stage_utl_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 23.4% | 3.3% | — | — | 41.6% | — | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 1.21 | 0.06 | 0.51 | 70.4% | 338 | 144d | 15.8% | 25.0% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 338 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $543 | 25.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U1 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 14.0% | 1.9% | — | — | 23.6% | — | 0.08 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 1.11 | 0.06 | 1.41 | 44.1% | 322 | 65d | 12.7% | 8.5% | 302,663 → 5,315 → 5,276 → 5,257 → 322 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 85 band rejects | 6.1% | 15.0% | $892 | 51.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 22.3% | 2.9% | — | — | 37.2% | — | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 1.24 | 0.07 | 0.50 | 71.0% | 601 | 133d | 13.3% | 22.3% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 601 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.0% | 10.0% | $769 | 24.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 23.6% | 3.1% | — | — | 40.1% | — | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 1.23 | 0.07 | 0.57 | 68.1% | 649 | 128d | 14.2% | 20.3% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,046 → 649 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $847 | 28.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U_U0_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 20.1% | 2.9% | — | — | 38.1% | — | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 1.28 | 0.10 | 0.67 | 65.5% | 322 | 144d | 12.4% | 17.0% | 281,221 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,619 → 322 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $499 | 23.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_NO_FV equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 3.4% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.2% | 11.1% | 33.7% | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1.12 | 0.08 | 2.09 | 34.8% | 132 | 39d | 25.7% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.2% | $181 | 8.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_NO_FV equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | 3.4% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.2% | 11.1% | 33.7% | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1.12 | 0.08 | 2.09 | 34.8% | 132 | 39d | 25.7% | 11.2% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 7.2% | $181 | 8.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_HARD tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 19.8% | 2.9% | — | — | 38.0% | — | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 1.32 | 0.11 | 0.69 | 65.6% | 317 | 143d | 11.2% | 16.1% | 281,221 → 5,795 → 5,795 → 5,774 → 317 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 5.5% | 10.0% | $503 | 22.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 24.2% | 3.1% | — | — | 42.5% | — | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 1.22 | 0.07 | 0.58 | 67.9% | 672 | 130d | 14.4% | 21.4% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,056 → 672 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.4% | 9.2% | $854 | 27.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_RECOVERY tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 23.2% | 3.0% | — | — | 42.6% | — | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 1.21 | 0.07 | 0.59 | 67.4% | 334 | 153d | 16.0% | 24.0% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,050 → 334 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $540 | 24.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 10.9% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.09 | 0.06 | 1.55 | 41.4% | 452 | 41d | 10.1% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects | 9.9% | 10.0% | $899 | 58.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 10.9% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.09 | 0.06 | 1.55 | 41.4% | 452 | 41d | 10.1% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects | 9.9% | 10.0% | $899 | 58.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 10.9% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.09 | 0.06 | 1.55 | 41.4% | 452 | 41d | 10.1% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects | 9.9% | 10.0% | $899 | 58.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 10.9% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.09 | 0.06 | 1.55 | 41.4% | 452 | 41d | 10.1% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 4,561 → 4,499 → 4,493 → 452 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 832 band rejects | 9.9% | 10.0% | $899 | 58.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 22.0% | 2.9% | — | — | 42.6% | — | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 1.20 | 0.06 | 0.55 | 68.5% | 655 | 128d | 14.4% | 30.7% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,061 → 655 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $850 | 28.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 18.7% | 2.5% | — | — | 37.8% | — | 0.07 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 1.20 | 0.06 | 0.50 | 70.5% | 590 | 135d | 13.5% | 23.0% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,049 → 590 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.9% | 10.0% | $760 | 24.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U2_P50 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 21.5% | 2.8% | — | — | 43.6% | — | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 1.19 | 0.06 | 0.59 | 66.9% | 504 | 133d | 15.2% | 40.2% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 20,167 → 504 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.5% | 10.0% | $718 | 28.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 18.1% | 2.4% | — | — | 37.4% | — | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 1.28 | 0.09 | 0.61 | 67.8% | 667 | 132d | 9.7% | 15.9% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,801 → 667 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 8.7% | 9.0% | $832 | 24.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U0_PREF tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 16.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 38.3% | — | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.63 | 66.7% | 327 | 149d | 11.1% | 16.9% | 281,221 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,620 → 327 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $513 | 22.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_CF_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_confirmed_lower_development | development | 12.0% | 2.9% | 13.1% | -10.2% | 47.0% | 33.7% | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 1.19 | 0.09 | 1.10 | 51.8% | 56 | 199d | 50.0% | 36.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $936 | 7.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 14.7% | 3.5% | 13.1% | -9.6% | 57.6% | 33.7% | 0.06 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.61 | -0.28 | 1.52 | 28.8% | 844 | 26d | 25.9% | 17.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $11,771 | 95.7× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 14.7% | 3.5% | 13.1% | -9.6% | 57.6% | 33.7% | 0.06 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 1.05 | -0.28 | 1.52 | 28.8% | 844 | 26d | 25.9% | 17.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $11,771 | 95.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 16.3% | 2.2% | — | — | 37.3% | — | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 1.26 | 0.09 | 0.63 | 66.5% | 614 | 140d | 10.2% | 15.2% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,618 → 614 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 8.0% | 9.6% | $777 | 22.9× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 10.0% | 1.4% | 13.6% | -12.2% | 23.3% | 33.7% | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.63 | 40.0% | 368 | 40d | 12.5% | 8.1% | 290,259 → 1,292 → 1,277 → 1,277 → 368 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 420 band rejects | 28.5% | 10.0% | $771 | 51.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 10.0% | 1.4% | 13.6% | -12.2% | 23.3% | 33.7% | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.63 | 40.0% | 368 | 40d | 12.5% | 8.1% | 290,259 → 1,292 → 1,277 → 1,277 → 368 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 420 band rejects | 28.5% | 10.0% | $771 | 51.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G3 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 15.6% | 2.1% | — | — | 36.5% | — | 0.06 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 1.12 | 0.07 | 1.62 | 40.9% | 318 | 64d | 14.6% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 318 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects | 5.8% | 15.0% | $908 | 55.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 15.8% | 2.1% | — | — | 40.1% | — | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 1.16 | 0.05 | 0.52 | 69.0% | 680 | 128d | 12.8% | 22.5% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,244 → 680 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.5% | 8.9% | $844 | 25.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G3 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 14.2% | 1.9% | — | — | 36.5% | — | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 1.11 | 0.06 | 1.65 | 40.2% | 321 | 63d | 14.6% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 321 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects | 5.9% | 15.0% | $912 | 55.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_BLEND tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 14.3% | 1.9% | — | — | 37.2% | — | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 1.16 | 0.05 | 0.58 | 66.8% | 355 | 142d | 13.1% | 20.4% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,048 → 355 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.4% | 10.0% | $566 | 24.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U2_HARD tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 14.6% | 2.1% | — | — | 42.9% | — | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 1.14 | 0.05 | 0.56 | 67.0% | 327 | 145d | 15.2% | 23.3% | 281,221 → 15,021 → 15,021 → 14,976 → 327 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $525 | 24.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 13.9% | 1.9% | — | — | 37.7% | — | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 1.22 | 0.07 | 0.58 | 67.7% | 591 | 139d | 10.2% | 15.6% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,618 → 591 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 7.7% | 10.0% | $757 | 22.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.8% | 1.6% | 13.6% | -12.0% | 32.5% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.96 | 35.6% | 562 | 39d | 11.9% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,097 | 70.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.8% | 1.6% | 13.6% | -12.0% | 32.5% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.96 | 35.6% | 562 | 39d | 11.9% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,097 | 70.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.8% | 1.6% | 13.6% | -12.0% | 32.5% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.96 | 35.6% | 562 | 39d | 11.9% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,097 | 70.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.8% | 1.6% | 13.6% | -12.0% | 32.5% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.96 | 35.6% | 562 | 39d | 11.9% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 10,996 → 10,859 → 10,848 → 562 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,151 band rejects | 5.1% | 10.0% | $1,097 | 70.4× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 0.5% | 0.3% | 25.9% | -25.6% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.78 | 37.2% | 43 | 33d | 16.1% | 9.0% | 106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 4,058 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.6% | 7.1% | $66 | 3.1× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | 0.5% | 0.3% | 25.9% | -25.6% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.78 | 37.2% | 43 | 33d | 16.1% | 9.0% | 106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 4,058 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.6% | 7.1% | $66 | 3.1× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.1% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 31.9% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 2.04 | 34.6% | 546 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects | 6.0% | 10.0% | $1,068 | 68.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.1% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 31.9% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 2.04 | 34.6% | 546 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects | 6.0% | 10.0% | $1,068 | 68.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.1% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 31.9% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 2.04 | 34.6% | 546 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects | 6.0% | 10.0% | $1,068 | 68.6× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.1% | 1.5% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 31.9% | 33.7% | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 2.04 | 34.6% | 546 | 39d | 12.2% | 6.8% | 290,259 → 9,105 → 8,985 → 8,976 → 546 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,124 band rejects | 6.0% | 10.0% | $1,068 | 68.6× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U2 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 9.3% | 1.3% | — | — | 27.9% | — | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 1.08 | 0.04 | 1.35 | 44.3% | 386 | 58d | 13.5% | 9.0% | 302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 386 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 126 band rejects | 5.6% | 15.0% | $961 | 52.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 12.5% | 1.7% | — | — | 37.5% | — | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.19 | 0.06 | 0.56 | 68.0% | 628 | 134d | 10.1% | 16.6% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,818 → 628 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 8.2% | 10.0% | $795 | 23.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_TOP200_BASE equity_curve_tht_uncapped_ath_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 11.4% | 1.6% | 13.6% | -12.1% | 35.5% | 33.7% | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.05 | 1.68 | 39.0% | 603 | 38d | 10.4% | 7.0% | 332,876 → 5,828 → 5,755 → 5,733 → 603 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 339 band rejects | 10.3% | 10.0% | $1,176 | 75.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G3 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022 | 11.5% | 1.6% | — | — | 35.9% | — | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 1.09 | 0.05 | 1.63 | 39.9% | 328 | 59d | 14.4% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 328 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects | 6.0% | 15.0% | $901 | 54.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 8.1% | 2.0% | 13.1% | -11.1% | 46.2% | 33.7% | 0.04 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 1.04 | 0.03 | 2.57 | 28.8% | 535 | 26d | 25.4% | 9.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $7,589 | 62.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 5.7% | 0.8% | 13.6% | -12.8% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.41 | 43.0% | 286 | 40d | 11.8% | 8.3% | 290,259 → 924 → 913 → 912 → 286 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 306 band rejects | 31.0% | 10.0% | $592 | 39.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 5.7% | 0.8% | 13.6% | -12.8% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.41 | 43.0% | 286 | 40d | 11.8% | 8.3% | 290,259 → 924 → 913 → 912 → 286 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 306 band rejects | 31.0% | 10.0% | $592 | 39.2× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K3_U0 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022_v2 | development_2016_2022_risk_sized | 8.4% | 1.2% | — | — | 27.9% | — | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 1.07 | 0.04 | 1.50 | 41.7% | 369 | 60d | 11.9% | 7.5% | 302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 369 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects | 13.5% | 15.0% | $950 | 53.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 11.6% | 1.6% | — | — | 38.8% | — | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1.19 | 0.06 | 0.59 | 66.8% | 582 | 138d | 10.3% | 15.2% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,618 → 582 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 7.6% | 10.0% | $743 | 22.3× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_BLEND tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 11.0% | 1.5% | — | — | 37.3% | — | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 0.04 | 0.64 | 63.7% | 344 | 149d | 14.5% | 20.8% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,849 → 344 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.7% | 10.0% | $536 | 23.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K4_U0 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 8.8% | 1.2% | — | — | 30.4% | — | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1.07 | 0.04 | 1.37 | 43.9% | 317 | 68d | 12.2% | 8.0% | 302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 317 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects | 11.6% | 15.0% | $900 | 52.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C10 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 7.3% | 1.8% | 13.1% | -11.3% | 45.8% | 33.7% | 0.04 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 1.04 | 0.03 | 2.55 | 28.9% | 529 | 26d | 25.8% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $7,244 | 59.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G3 tht_revised_stage_g_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 10.1% | 1.4% | — | — | 35.8% | — | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.65 | 39.5% | 332 | 59d | 14.3% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 5,477 → 5,476 → 5,465 → 332 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 70 band rejects | 6.1% | 15.0% | $906 | 54.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BASE equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 7.1% | 1.8% | 13.1% | -11.3% | 45.8% | 33.7% | 0.04 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 1.04 | 0.03 | 2.55 | 28.9% | 529 | 26d | 25.8% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $7,238 | 59.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_PREF tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 10.3% | 1.5% | — | — | 41.8% | — | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1.11 | 0.03 | 0.54 | 67.4% | 331 | 152d | 14.3% | 24.0% | 281,221 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,051 → 331 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.2% | 10.0% | $517 | 22.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 9.8% | 1.4% | — | — | 40.7% | — | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 1.10 | 0.03 | 0.50 | 68.9% | 650 | 129d | 12.4% | 29.3% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,250 → 650 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.3% | 10.0% | $819 | 25.4× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C10 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 5.7% | 1.4% | 13.1% | -11.7% | 43.2% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 1.03 | 0.02 | 2.24 | 31.4% | 547 | 23d | 20.8% | 8.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $7,697 | 62.7× |
| research CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E1 equity_curve_tht_market_holdout | holdout | 0.1% | 0.1% | 18.1% | -18.0% | 4.2% | 18.8% | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1.03 | 0.02 | 2.82 | 26.7% | 15 | 20d | 27.5% | 9.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 5.0% | $174 | 1.5× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 8.3% | 1.1% | — | — | 37.5% | — | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 1.12 | 0.04 | 0.55 | 67.0% | 625 | 131d | 9.9% | 15.8% | 302,663 → 7,643 → 7,643 → 7,814 → 625 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 8.2% | 10.0% | $793 | 23.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_FULL equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 3.4% | 0.9% | 13.1% | -12.2% | 28.4% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 3.14 | 25.0% | 220 | 24d | 28.5% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,768 | 23.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 3.3% | 0.8% | 13.1% | -12.3% | 28.4% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 1.04 | 0.03 | 3.13 | 25.0% | 220 | 24d | 28.4% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,768 | 23.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 6.9% | 1.0% | 13.6% | -12.7% | 33.8% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 1.94 | 35.0% | 582 | 39d | 11.5% | 6.9% | 290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects | 4.7% | 10.0% | $1,106 | 69.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 6.9% | 1.0% | 13.6% | -12.7% | 33.8% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 1.94 | 35.0% | 582 | 39d | 11.5% | 6.9% | 290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects | 4.7% | 10.0% | $1,106 | 69.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 6.9% | 1.0% | 13.6% | -12.7% | 33.8% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 1.94 | 35.0% | 582 | 39d | 11.5% | 6.9% | 290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects | 4.7% | 10.0% | $1,106 | 69.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 6.9% | 1.0% | 13.6% | -12.7% | 33.8% | 33.7% | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 1.94 | 35.0% | 582 | 39d | 11.5% | 6.9% | 290,259 → 12,277 → 12,120 → 12,109 → 582 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2,128 band rejects | 4.7% | 10.0% | $1,106 | 69.9× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U1_LEAD tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 8.1% | 1.1% | — | — | 40.3% | — | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1.09 | 0.03 | 0.60 | 64.6% | 410 | 126d | 11.1% | 18.3% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,045 → 410 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.7% | 10.0% | $630 | 26.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E2 equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | 0.3% | 0.2% | 25.9% | -25.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 1.85 | 35.6% | 59 | 26d | 15.6% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $808 | 5.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E2_PA equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | 0.3% | 0.2% | 25.9% | -25.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 1.85 | 35.6% | 59 | 26d | 15.6% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $808 | 5.8× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ORIGIN_U1_HARD tht_presenter_stage_origin_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 6.3% | 1.0% | — | — | 43.9% | — | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.02 | 0.51 | 67.4% | 322 | 146d | 14.1% | 25.9% | 281,221 → 11,411 → 11,411 → 11,378 → 322 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.8% | 10.0% | $507 | 22.6× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_BOTH equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | 2.2% | 0.5% | 13.1% | -12.5% | 26.3% | 33.7% | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 3.00 | 25.9% | 139 | 24d | 25.8% | 8.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,849 | 15.0× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C20 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 3.7% | 0.9% | 13.1% | -12.2% | 47.7% | 33.7% | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 2.52 | 28.8% | 538 | 26d | 25.4% | 9.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $7,494 | 61.8× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 3.4% | 0.5% | 13.6% | -13.1% | 26.3% | 33.7% | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1.03 | 0.02 | 1.74 | 37.2% | 355 | 39d | 13.1% | 7.6% | 290,259 → 1,336 → 1,321 → 1,321 → 355 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 528 band rejects | 26.6% | 10.0% | $745 | 49.7× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_dev_2018_2024 | development_2018_2024 | 3.4% | 0.5% | 13.6% | -13.1% | 26.3% | 33.7% | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1.03 | 0.02 | 1.74 | 37.2% | 355 | 39d | 13.1% | 7.6% | 290,259 → 1,336 → 1,321 → 1,321 → 355 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 528 band rejects | 26.6% | 10.0% | $745 | 49.7× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_CONTROL_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | 2.7% | 0.7% | 13.1% | -12.4% | 57.9% | 33.7% | 0.01 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 2.61 | 27.9% | 810 | 26d | 26.5% | 17.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $10,833 | 88.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 2.7% | 0.7% | 13.1% | -12.4% | 57.9% | 33.7% | 0.01 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 0.60 | -0.29 | 1.56 | 27.9% | 810 | 26d | 26.5% | 17.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $10,833 | 88.3× |
| research E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_development | development | 2.7% | 0.7% | 13.1% | -12.4% | 57.9% | 33.7% | 0.01 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 1.01 | -0.29 | 1.56 | 27.9% | 810 | 26d | 26.5% | 17.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $10,833 | 88.3× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 1.5% | 0.2% | 14.1% | -13.9% | 29.7% | 33.7% | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 1.67 | 37.7% | 419 | 39d | 12.8% | 7.7% | 331,536 → 1,524 → 1,509 → 1,505 → 419 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 598 band rejects | 27.5% | 10.0% | $863 | 57.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_full_2018_2025 | full_2018_2025_descriptive | 1.5% | 0.2% | 14.1% | -13.9% | 29.7% | 33.7% | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 1.67 | 37.7% | 419 | 39d | 12.8% | 7.7% | 331,536 → 1,524 → 1,509 → 1,505 → 419 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 598 band rejects | 27.5% | 10.0% | $863 | 57.0× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z | validation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.9% | -25.9% | 0.9% | 10.0% | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 2.04 | 33.3% | 3 | 41d | 10.7% | 5.2% | 106,406 → 3,052 → 1,602 → 1,602 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.1% | 7.1% | $4 | 0.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT_FILL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z | validation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.9% | -25.9% | 0.9% | 10.0% | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 2.04 | 33.3% | 3 | 41d | 10.7% | 5.2% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 7.1% | $4 | 0.2× |
| research no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_LIMIT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z | validation | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.9% | -25.9% | 0.9% | 10.0% | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 2.04 | 33.3% | 3 | 41d | 10.7% | 5.2% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 3 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.0% | 7.1% | $4 | 0.2× |
| research DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_proof_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — | 46.5% | — | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 68.3% | 630 | 133d | 12.8% | 23.2% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,243 → 630 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 4.2% | 10.0% | $805 | 25.1× |
| research no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U2 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — | 24.1% | — | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.31 | 43.4% | 320 | 64d | 14.1% | 9.7% | 302,663 → 6,900 → 6,846 → 6,822 → 320 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 108 band rejects | 4.6% | 15.0% | $866 | 49.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_REV_X5_G1_K3_U0 tht_revised_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 31.0% | — | -0.00 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1.00 | -0.00 | 1.37 | 42.2% | 327 | 65d | 11.9% | 7.8% | 302,663 → 2,724 → 2,701 → 2,693 → 327 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 54 band rejects | 12.0% | 15.0% | $916 | 53.9× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | -0.1% | -0.0% | 13.1% | -13.1% | 11.5% | 33.7% | -0.00 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 1.00 | -0.00 | 2.21 | 31.1% | 132 | 38d | 26.6% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $180 | 8.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_RANK_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_ranking_development | development | -0.1% | -0.0% | 13.1% | -13.1% | 11.5% | 33.7% | -0.00 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 1.00 | -0.00 | 2.21 | 31.1% | 132 | 38d | 26.6% | 10.8% | 186,103 → 4,720 → 3,032 → 3,014 → 132 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 2.8% | 10.0% | $180 | 8.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_B2_N30_C15 tht_presenter_baseline_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -1.1% | -0.2% | — | — | 51.1% | — | -0.00 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.99 | -0.00 | 0.59 | 62.6% | 310 | 154d | 20.9% | 30.1% | 281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 310 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.2% | 12.1% | $468 | 21.7× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_C2_N30_C20 tht_presenter_stage_c_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -1.1% | -0.2% | — | — | 51.1% | — | -0.00 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.99 | -0.00 | 0.59 | 62.6% | 310 | 154d | 20.9% | 30.1% | 281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 310 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.2% | 12.1% | $468 | 21.7× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_C1_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_c_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -1.1% | -0.2% | — | — | 49.5% | — | -0.00 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.99 | -0.00 | 0.59 | 62.7% | 308 | 153d | 20.8% | 29.4% | 281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 308 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.2% | 10.0% | $466 | 21.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_U_U3_N30_C10 tht_presenter_stage_u_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -1.1% | -0.2% | — | — | 49.5% | — | -0.00 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.99 | -0.00 | 0.59 | 62.7% | 308 | 153d | 20.8% | 29.4% | 281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,673 → 308 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 1.2% | 10.0% | $466 | 21.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_PROG_U1_P50 tht_presenter_progressive_allocation_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -2.0% | -0.3% | — | — | 48.4% | — | -0.01 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.98 | -0.01 | 0.49 | 66.7% | 504 | 134d | 13.4% | 98.8% | 302,663 → 15,087 → 15,087 → 15,366 → 504 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 3.3% | 10.0% | $693 | 26.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | -1.2% | -0.3% | 13.1% | -13.4% | 45.8% | 33.7% | -0.01 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.99 | -0.00 | 2.18 | 31.3% | 553 | 23d | 20.8% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $7,694 | 62.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C15_T120 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | -1.2% | -0.3% | 13.1% | -13.4% | 45.8% | 33.7% | -0.01 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.99 | -0.00 | 2.18 | 31.3% | 553 | 23d | 20.8% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $7,694 | 62.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_CONTROL_C20 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | -2.3% | -0.6% | 13.1% | -13.7% | 60.2% | 33.7% | -0.01 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.99 | -0.01 | 2.62 | 27.5% | 794 | 25d | 26.4% | 17.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $11,003 | 89.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_FULL_FV_RANK equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | -2.0% | -0.5% | 13.1% | -13.6% | 46.0% | 33.7% | -0.01 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.98 | -0.02 | 3.60 | 21.4% | 276 | 18d | 29.5% | 7.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,913 | 30.7× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_STRICT equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z | validation | -0.0% | -0.0% | 25.9% | -25.9% | 1.2% | 10.0% | -0.02 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.90 | -0.07 | 2.70 | 25.0% | 4 | 37d | 10.7% | 4.3% | 106,406 → 6,033 → 3,164 → 3,164 → 4 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.1% | 10.0% | $6 | 0.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C20 equity_curve_tht_staged_development | development | -3.5% | -0.9% | 13.1% | -14.0% | 46.5% | 33.7% | -0.02 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.98 | -0.01 | 2.16 | 31.3% | 556 | 23d | 20.7% | 9.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $7,665 | 62.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_RANK_U2_LEAD tht_presenter_ranking_matrix_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -9.3% | -1.4% | — | — | 42.5% | — | -0.03 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.91 | -0.04 | 0.60 | 60.4% | 389 | 133d | 13.2% | 18.9% | 302,663 → 19,903 → 19,903 → 19,847 → 389 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 2.0% | 10.0% | $590 | 24.7× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_NEAR_CONTROL equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z | validation | -0.1% | -0.1% | 25.9% | -26.0% | 1.4% | 10.0% | -0.05 | -0.11 | -0.15 | 0.75 | -0.19 | 2.25 | 25.0% | 4 | 46d | 10.7% | 5.1% | 106,406 → 7,750 → 4,058 → 4,058 → 4 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.1% | 10.0% | $6 | 0.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C10 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -2.2% | -1.1% | 25.9% | -27.0% | 20.6% | 10.0% | -0.05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.97 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 29.5% | 295 | 21d | 16.7% | 7.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,842 | 26.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_B0_N20_C15 tht_presenter_baseline_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -18.8% | -3.2% | — | — | 55.8% | — | -0.06 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.87 | -0.05 | 0.59 | 59.4% | 219 | 155d | 18.7% | 29.9% | 281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,674 → 219 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 0.8% | 15.0% | $386 | 20.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_BASIS equity_curve_tht_market_development | development | -7.5% | -1.9% | 13.1% | -15.0% | 28.7% | 33.7% | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.90 | -0.08 | 2.83 | 24.1% | 249 | 24d | 23.9% | 8.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,017 | 24.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout | THT_PRES_B1_N25_C15 tht_presenter_baseline_dev_2016_2022 | development_2016_2022 | -20.4% | -3.5% | — | — | 52.0% | — | -0.07 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.83 | -0.07 | 0.56 | 59.9% | 252 | 158d | 17.9% | 28.9% | 281,221 → 26,743 → 26,743 → 26,674 → 252 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 0.9% | 13.0% | $387 | 18.5× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C10 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -3.2% | -1.6% | 25.9% | -27.5% | 20.5% | 10.0% | -0.08 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.95 | -0.03 | 2.42 | 28.2% | 294 | 21d | 17.5% | 7.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,833 | 26.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BASE equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -3.2% | -1.6% | 25.9% | -27.5% | 20.5% | 10.0% | -0.08 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.95 | -0.03 | 2.42 | 28.2% | 294 | 21d | 17.5% | 7.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $3,833 | 26.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -5.1% | -2.6% | 25.9% | -28.5% | 23.0% | 10.0% | -0.11 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 0.93 | -0.05 | 2.26 | 29.1% | 299 | 21d | 16.7% | 7.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,934 | 27.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C15_T120 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -5.1% | -2.6% | 25.9% | -28.5% | 23.0% | 10.0% | -0.11 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 0.93 | -0.05 | 2.26 | 29.1% | 299 | 21d | 16.7% | 7.1% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,934 | 27.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_C20 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -6.2% | -3.1% | 25.9% | -29.0% | 24.3% | 10.0% | -0.13 | -0.08 | -0.12 | 0.91 | -0.06 | 2.24 | 28.9% | 301 | 21d | 16.7% | 7.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $3,972 | 27.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_UPPER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation.stale-20260719T071314Z | validation | -0.1% | -0.1% | 25.9% | -26.0% | 0.4% | 10.0% | -0.14 | -0.36 | -0.47 | 0.64 | -0.18 | 0.64 | 50.0% | 2 | 15d | 5.5% | 8.6% | 106,406 → 2,981 → 1,562 → 1,562 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 0.1% | 3.6% | $3 | 0.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -6.8% | -3.5% | 25.9% | -29.4% | 22.4% | 10.0% | -0.16 | -0.09 | -0.13 | 0.90 | -0.07 | 2.37 | 27.6% | 301 | 21d | 17.6% | 7.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $3,927 | 27.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E3 equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -3.3% | -1.7% | 25.9% | -27.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.24 | 0.85 | -0.10 | 1.65 | 34.2% | 79 | 25d | 15.0% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,077 | 7.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_BX_E3_PA equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -3.3% | -1.7% | 25.9% | -27.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.24 | 0.85 | -0.10 | 1.65 | 34.2% | 79 | 25d | 15.0% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,077 | 7.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_BX equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -3.3% | -1.7% | 25.9% | -27.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.24 | 0.85 | -0.10 | 1.65 | 34.2% | 79 | 25d | 15.0% | 8.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,077 | 7.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_EPISODE_CONTROL_C20 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -8.0% | -4.1% | 25.9% | -30.0% | 23.8% | 10.0% | -0.17 | -0.12 | -0.17 | 0.89 | -0.08 | 2.35 | 27.5% | 302 | 21d | 17.6% | 7.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $3,968 | 27.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_WEEKLY_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -9.8% | -5.1% | 25.9% | -30.9% | 25.9% | 10.0% | -0.19 | -0.09 | -0.13 | 0.90 | -0.07 | 2.30 | 28.0% | 485 | 23d | 15.8% | 24.7% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,216 | 36.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | -2.7% | -1.4% | 25.9% | -27.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | -0.20 | -0.21 | -0.30 | 0.79 | -0.15 | 2.03 | 27.9% | 43 | 29d | 23.5% | 11.5% | 106,406 → 3,052 → 1,602 → 1,602 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $68 | 3.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ENTRY_LOWER_HALF equity_curve_tht_entry_semantics_validation | validation | -2.7% | -1.4% | 25.9% | -27.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | -0.20 | -0.21 | -0.30 | 0.79 | -0.15 | 2.03 | 27.9% | 43 | 29d | 23.5% | 11.5% | 106,406 → 3,052 → 1,602 → 1,602 → 43 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 1.4% | 7.1% | $68 | 3.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_TOP3_PROFITADD equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -7.5% | -3.8% | 25.9% | -29.7% | 19.3% | 10.0% | -0.20 | -0.26 | -0.36 | 0.84 | -0.12 | 2.47 | 25.4% | 185 | 20d | 18.6% | 7.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,425 | 17.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | -11.6% | -6.0% | 25.9% | -31.9% | 28.7% | 10.0% | -0.21 | -0.13 | -0.18 | 0.52 | -0.35 | 1.36 | 27.7% | 470 | 23d | 16.5% | 12.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,034 | 35.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX_X1_15 equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | -11.6% | -6.0% | 25.9% | -31.9% | 28.7% | 10.0% | -0.21 | -0.13 | -0.18 | 0.88 | -0.35 | 1.36 | 27.7% | 470 | 23d | 16.5% | 12.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,034 | 35.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_TOP3 equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -8.5% | -4.3% | 25.9% | -30.2% | 20.0% | 10.0% | -0.22 | -0.30 | -0.42 | 0.82 | -0.13 | 2.47 | 25.0% | 188 | 20d | 18.6% | 7.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,442 | 17.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_TOP3_SECTOR2 equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -8.5% | -4.3% | 25.9% | -30.2% | 20.0% | 10.0% | -0.22 | -0.30 | -0.42 | 0.82 | -0.13 | 2.47 | 25.0% | 188 | 20d | 18.6% | 7.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,442 | 17.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_CONTROL_C15 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -12.4% | -6.4% | 25.9% | -32.3% | 28.6% | 10.0% | -0.22 | -0.14 | -0.19 | 0.87 | -0.09 | 2.29 | 27.5% | 465 | 23d | 16.4% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,007 | 35.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | -12.4% | -6.4% | 25.9% | -32.3% | 28.6% | 10.0% | -0.22 | -0.14 | -0.19 | 0.52 | -0.34 | 1.38 | 27.5% | 465 | 23d | 16.4% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,007 | 35.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_LOWER_BX equity_curve_tht_stage5_validation | validation | -12.4% | -6.4% | 25.9% | -32.3% | 28.6% | 10.0% | -0.22 | -0.14 | -0.19 | 0.87 | -0.34 | 1.38 | 27.5% | 465 | 23d | 16.4% | 11.9% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $5,007 | 35.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_CONTROL_C20 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -13.1% | -6.8% | 25.9% | -32.7% | 29.8% | 10.0% | -0.23 | -0.15 | -0.21 | 0.86 | -0.10 | 2.44 | 26.1% | 456 | 23d | 16.8% | 16.8% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 20.0% | $4,948 | 34.9× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 20.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 20.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 25.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 25.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 20.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 5 → 5 → 5 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 20.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 25.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.6% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.47 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 49d | 0.0% | 6.4% | 525 → 4 → 4 → 4 → 1 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 25.0% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.25 | -0.48 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.7% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 28.6% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.27 | -0.51 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 27d | 0.0% | 23.3% | 525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 66.7% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_SPX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.27 | -0.51 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 27d | 0.0% | 23.3% | 525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 66.7% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.27 | -0.51 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 27d | 0.0% | 23.3% | 525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 66.7% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_UNION_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -0.7% | -0.3% | 21.6% | -22.0% | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.27 | -0.51 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 2 | 27d | 0.0% | 23.3% | 525 → 3 → 3 → 3 → 2 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | 66.7% | 10.0% | $3 | 0.2× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_BOTH equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -4.3% | -2.2% | 25.9% | -28.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | -0.27 | -0.26 | -0.38 | 0.80 | -0.13 | 1.71 | 31.9% | 72 | 24d | 16.0% | 9.2% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $984 | 6.9× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_BASIS equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -11.0% | -5.7% | 25.9% | -31.6% | 19.8% | 10.0% | -0.29 | -0.44 | -0.61 | 0.76 | -0.19 | 2.52 | 23.2% | 177 | 19d | 19.2% | 7.4% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $2,264 | 15.9× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | -6.3% | -6.4% | 18.1% | -24.5% | 21.0% | 18.8% | -0.30 | -0.39 | -0.49 | 0.78 | -0.12 | 0.94 | 45.4% | 97 | 36d | 11.3% | 10.0% | 42,074 → 316 → 316 → 311 → 97 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 55 band rejects | 30.7% | 10.0% | $160 | 9.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_proxy_holdout_2025 | holdout_2025 | -6.3% | -6.4% | 18.1% | -24.5% | 21.0% | 18.8% | -0.30 | -0.39 | -0.49 | 0.78 | -0.12 | 0.94 | 45.4% | 97 | 36d | 11.3% | 10.0% | 42,074 → 316 → 316 → 311 → 97 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 55 band rejects | 30.7% | 10.0% | $160 | 9.3× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_ST_CONTROL_C10 equity_curve_tht_staged_validation | validation | -19.5% | -10.3% | 25.9% | -36.2% | 33.1% | 10.0% | -0.31 | -0.33 | -0.45 | 0.79 | -0.16 | 2.21 | 26.3% | 479 | 23d | 16.7% | 10.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $4,867 | 33.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 7 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.3% | 525 → 14 → 14 → 14 → 7 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 50.0% | 10.0% | $11 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 7 | 30d | 0.0% | 20.3% | 525 → 14 → 14 → 14 → 7 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects | 50.0% | 10.0% | $11 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 27d | 0.0% | 22.1% | 525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 50.0% | 10.0% | $12 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 27d | 0.0% | 22.1% | 525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects | 50.0% | 10.0% | $12 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 27d | 0.0% | 22.1% | 525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 50.0% | 10.0% | $12 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 27d | 0.0% | 22.1% | 525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects | 50.0% | 10.0% | $12 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 27d | 0.0% | 22.1% | 525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 50.0% | 10.0% | $12 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -2.5% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -22.9% | 3.8% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.76 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 27d | 0.0% | 22.1% | 525 → 16 → 16 → 16 → 8 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 3 band rejects | 50.0% | 10.0% | $12 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -2.6% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -23.0% | 3.9% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.83 | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 6 | 31d | 0.0% | 10.2% | 525 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 6 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 66.7% | 10.0% | $11 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -2.6% | -1.3% | 21.6% | -23.0% | 3.9% | 18.8% | -0.34 | -0.83 | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 6 | 31d | 0.0% | 10.2% | 525 → 9 → 9 → 9 → 6 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 2 band rejects | 66.7% | 10.0% | $11 | 0.6× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_FULL_FV_RANK equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -11.8% | -6.1% | 25.9% | -32.0% | 17.4% | 10.0% | -0.35 | -0.31 | -0.43 | 0.75 | -0.21 | 3.79 | 16.4% | 140 | 17d | 33.3% | 8.6% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 9.5% | $2,622 | 12.7× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_FULL equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -6.7% | -3.4% | 25.9% | -29.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | -0.35 | -0.39 | -0.54 | 0.77 | -0.16 | 1.68 | 31.4% | 105 | 22d | 14.1% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,350 | 10.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_MC_SPY_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_market_validation | validation | -6.7% | -3.4% | 25.9% | -29.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | -0.35 | -0.39 | -0.54 | 0.77 | -0.16 | 1.68 | 31.4% | 105 | 22d | 14.1% | 8.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 10.0% | $1,350 | 10.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | -1.8% | -0.9% | 21.6% | -22.5% | 2.1% | 18.8% | -0.43 | -0.98 | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 4 | 23d | 0.0% | 20.6% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 4 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | 57.1% | 10.0% | $7 | 0.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_LIQ_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | -1.8% | -0.9% | 21.6% | -22.5% | 2.1% | 18.8% | -0.43 | -0.98 | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 4 | 23d | 0.0% | 20.6% | 525 → 7 → 7 → 7 → 4 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 1 band rejects | 57.1% | 10.0% | $7 | 0.4× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_final_holdout | holdout | -26.2% | -26.4% | 18.1% | -44.5% | 33.5% | 18.8% | -0.79 | -0.74 | -1.06 | 0.36 | -0.35 | 0.44 | 44.8% | 29 | 139d | 18.6% | 42.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $454 | 3.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · DD > 30% · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_GRID_BX_C15_H08 equity_curve_tht_final_holdout | holdout | -26.2% | -26.4% | 18.1% | -44.5% | 33.5% | 18.8% | -0.79 | -0.74 | -1.06 | 0.36 | -0.35 | 0.44 | 44.8% | 29 | 139d | 18.6% | 42.0% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $454 | 3.1× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | -23.3% | -23.4% | 18.1% | -41.6% | 29.6% | 18.8% | -0.79 | -0.65 | -0.90 | 0.56 | -0.22 | 0.56 | 50.0% | 54 | 108d | 18.6% | 33.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $530 | 3.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_S5_BX_ONLY equity_curve_tht_stage5_holdout | holdout | -23.3% | -23.4% | 18.1% | -41.6% | 29.6% | 18.8% | -0.79 | -0.65 | -0.90 | 0.42 | -0.22 | 0.56 | 50.0% | 54 | 108d | 18.6% | 33.3% | — → — → — → — → — observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 15.0% | $530 | 3.8× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BLEND_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BREAKOUT_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BREAKRS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_BXSLOPE_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FVB_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FV_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_FV_THROTTLE equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT14_UPPER_RS_BX equity_curve_tht_improvements_1_4_holdout_2025_v2 | holdout | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55,316 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U0_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U1_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_EQ tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S33 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S50 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_PRES_ALLOC_U2_S67 tht_presenter_staged_allocation_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,839 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E0 tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015 | predevelopment_2010_2015 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E1 tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015 | predevelopment_2010_2015 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E2 tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015 | predevelopment_2010_2015 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E3 tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015 | predevelopment_2010_2015 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout | THT_REV_X3_G1_K4_U3_D1_T1_P_R075_C15_E4 tht_revised_stage_e_predev_2010_2015 | predevelopment_2010_2015 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 198,515 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_LOW_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R0 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R1 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_R3 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_fill_smoke | smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |
| research PF ≤ 1 · E(R) ≤ 0 · no holdout · CAGR ≤ SPY | THT_TR_NDX_SWEEP_R2 equity_curve_tht_touch_summary_smoke | integration_smoke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | -21.6% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0d | 0.0% | 0.0% | 525 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 0 observed · qualified · market · attempts · fills· 0 band rejects | — | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0× |