Backtest UI

Picker Performance

Monthly picker portfolios, SPY comparisons, and two separate qualification histories.

Portfolio quality

The method used by Top Picks. It measures the 12-month decay-weighted monthly portfolio excess over SPY. It reduces the score for a short history. The picker qualifies at a score of 2 or more.

Forward-RS evidence

A separate research method. It tests whether BUY picks reached the top relative-strength quintile after three months. It needs at least 10 labeled picks, two active months, and a binomial p-value below 0.05.

Each historical state uses only completed portfolio months and forward outcomes that were available at that date. The current partial month cannot change a qualification state.

generated 2026-09-20T01:57:25Z
Picker histories63
Active in Top Picks12
Portfolio quality13
Forward-RS evidence28
63 pickers
Latest
@Lee_TradesActive4.2837.5%8+63.5%1,3312026-09-16
@KevInvestingYTActive4.2353.8%26+187.6%5772026-08-19
@satoritradenot tracked nowNo4.140.0%0+76.9%0
@ParadisLabsActive3.9741.6%77+47.6%2,1002026-09-16
@rk8215Active3.9321.8%55+168.0%1,5962026-09-09
@BryzonXActive3.7930.2%116+210.6%1,2542026-09-03
@sandeman52Active3.2543.3%30+46.1%7832026-09-09
@UncleAlpha007Active3.1738.5%13+47.9%2262026-09-11
@davecompoundsActive2.7833.3%12+28.7%6902026-09-09
@SuperioresearchActive2.7460.5%38+33.0%6792026-09-11
@daniel_kossActive2.6135.9%64+79.4%1,0612026-09-09
@FeroceResearchActive2.51100.0%2+23.8%7602026-09-15
@aleabitoredditActive2.0636.5%255+30.1%6,3152026-09-09
@GrumpierBTDayNo1.9434.8%46+24.9%1,1832026-09-15
@Venu_7_No1.9145.2%135+22.0%3,6602026-09-09
@TheValueistNo1.4846.8%124+20.1%6,3252026-09-16
@InvestNorthwiseNo1.4416.9%71+15.2%1,8392026-09-16
@ThematicTraderNo1.3756.2%105+22.4%3,2932026-09-16
@jrouldzNo1.3326.3%19+15.3%1,7362026-09-09
@gbstocksNo1.2846.2%91+43.6%6,6072026-09-09
@asklivermoreNo1.2622.1%95+13.7%1,9132026-09-09
@KawzInvestsNo1.0742.3%52+14.7%9712026-09-15
@Thomas_james_1No1.0338.1%63+12.4%1,6702026-09-16
@yianiszNo1.0339.8%133+15.4%3,9332026-09-09
@crux_capital_No1.0256.1%107+16.3%3,1902026-09-03
@alc2022No0.9320.0%10+5.9%7512026-09-09
@theprofinvestorNo0.8433.8%136+11.2%2,4312026-09-09
@AktiehedonistNo0.8338.6%44+59.3%1,4342026-07-30
@babyfolioNo0.6930.0%50+8.9%1,8762026-09-09
@RyshabTalksNo0.5920.8%101+3.4%2,5542026-09-16
@pennycheckNo0.4237.0%46+12.7%7012026-09-03
@Ren_arambNo0.3342.4%125+7.1%1,3692026-06-07
@SixSigmaCapitalNo0.2620.0%25+4.6%1,3512026-09-16
@MardoResearchNo-0.0333.9%121-2.4%8922026-09-16
@TacticzHNo-0.0321.4%145-0.2%2,8142026-09-11
@Yeah_DaveNo-0.0830.8%39+1.9%7342026-08-19
@FinnStockingerNo-0.1142.1%107+1.0%1,5432026-09-16
@traderstewieNo-0.1431.7%41-1.1%3152026-09-09
@michaelsikandnot tracked nowNo-0.150.0%0-6.7%0
@ChartradamusNo-0.2133.8%136-0.3%2,6412026-09-14
@SRxTradesNo-0.2633.0%176+0.3%1,7132026-09-15
@LucasSacerdote_No-0.4525.6%86+129.0%1,0852026-09-16
@InvestmentGuru_No-0.4743.5%62-3.0%8,5342026-09-16
@Kaizen_InvestorNo-0.5135.5%124-2.4%1,9092026-09-03
@OGCapital25No-0.5331.7%60-7.1%7062026-08-13
@JonahLuptonNo-0.5831.8%170-1.9%2,8902026-09-16
@CKCapitalxxNo-0.7138.3%120-2.9%3,0142026-09-16
@moninvestornot tracked nowNo-0.810.0%0-7.3%0
@ElonTradesnot tracked nowNo-0.860.0%0-13.9%0
@bubbleboiNo-1.15100.0%3-7.0%872026-07-02
@khawatmiTradezNo-1.1528.6%35-9.1%7602026-09-09
@BottleneckFindrnot tracked nowNo-1.330.0%0-6.8%0
@majgeoinvestingnot tracked nowNo-1.600.0%0-23.2%0
@TheBigBerbowskiNo-2.2441.7%24-14.6%3,8332026-09-16
@pequityresearchNo-2.490.0%0-14.4%3,3322026-09-09
@MoMoMacroNo-2.7633.3%12-20.2%2,9062026-09-16
@retail_mourinhoNo-3.6433.3%3-21.8%1,7752026-09-09
@DanzTraderNo-4.540.0%0-25.3%2,3012026-09-16
@fundmyfundNo-5.330.0%0-29.0%6,9832026-09-09
@BlackPantherCapNo-6.270.0%0-32.5%1,8412026-09-16
@mkfilkoNo-6.730.0%0-34.4%1,6162026-09-09
@PhotonBullNo-8.490.0%0-41.8%1,7472026-09-16
@ChairmansLedgerNo-9.250.0%0-44.8%5142026-09-15

@Lee_Trades

2026-02-25 to 2026-09-16 · 1,331 picks · 122 tickers
Portfolio quality qualified Forward-RS evidence not qualified
Picker portfolio+80.1%
SPY+10.1%
Total excess+63.5%
Portfolio quality4.28
Forward RS8037.5%
Forward-RS sample3/8
Portfolio over timePicker SPY
83512251615200623962026-022026-032026-052026-062026-082026-09
Qualification over timePortfolio quality Forward-RS evidence
-14813180%25%50%75%100%2026-022026-032026-052026-062026-082026-09portfolio threshold 2

The green line is the tenure-adjusted portfolio score. The purple line is the share of known three-month outcomes at RS80 or higher. Background color shows when each method qualified.

Recent monthly detail
MonthPortfolioSPYMonth excessPortfolio qualityPortfolio statusRS80RS NForward-RS status
2026-09partial18011101+0.0%-Pending--Pending
2026-0818011101+3.0%4.28Qualified37.5%8No
2026-0717041073-17.6%4.55Qualified37.5%8No
2026-0620641071-8.5%8.46Qualified37.5%8No
2026-0522881085+5.8%11.87Qualified50.0%4No
2026-0420661034+51.2%13.73Qualified0.0%0No
2026-031284942+33.4%7.93Qualified0.0%0No
2026-021000991+0.9%0.33No0.0%0No