Backtest UI

Picker Performance

Monthly picker portfolios, SPY comparisons, and two separate qualification histories.

generated 2026-08-25T20:48:16Z
Picker histories63
Active in Top Picks12
Portfolio quality13
Forward-RS evidence28

Portfolio quality

The method used by Top Picks. It measures the 12-month decay-weighted monthly portfolio excess over SPY. It reduces the score for a short history. The picker qualifies at a score of 2 or more.

Forward-RS evidence

A separate research method. It tests whether BUY picks reached the top relative-strength quintile after three months. It needs at least 10 labeled picks, two active months, and a binomial p-value below 0.05.

Each historical state uses only completed portfolio months and forward outcomes that were available at that date. The current partial month cannot change a qualification state.

63 pickers
Latest
@Lee_TradesActive4.5537.5%8+72.6%1,2172026-08-24
@rk8215Active4.5421.8%55+198.4%1,5692026-08-24
@ParadisLabsActive4.5141.6%77+58.2%1,9342026-08-24
@KevInvestingYTActive4.5053.8%26+210.1%5772026-08-19
@BryzonXActive4.2430.2%116+230.0%1,2532026-08-21
@satoritradenot tracked nowNo4.140.0%0+76.9%0
@UncleAlpha007Active3.7138.5%13+60.9%2232026-08-12
@sandeman52Active3.6343.3%30+58.8%7262026-08-24
@aleabitoredditActive3.2936.5%255+49.0%5,8932026-08-24
@daniel_kossActive3.1635.9%64+101.8%1,0202026-08-24
@ThematicTraderActive2.8756.2%105+43.4%3,2372026-08-24
@FeroceResearchActive2.87100.0%2+34.5%6682026-08-24
@TheValueistActive2.0346.8%124+30.9%5,1122026-08-24
@Venu_7_No1.7545.2%135+26.7%3,4072026-08-24
@SuperioresearchNo1.7260.5%38+31.2%6172026-08-21
@crux_capital_No1.7256.1%107+39.1%3,1382026-08-23
@pennycheckNo1.4937.0%46+31.5%6842026-08-20
@InvestNorthwiseNo1.2416.9%71+17.2%1,6192026-08-24
@Ren_arambNo1.1442.4%125+21.9%1,3692026-06-07
@AktiehedonistNo1.0740.5%37+80.8%1,3862026-07-30
@gbstocksNo1.0746.2%91+50.7%6,1792026-08-24
@yianiszNo0.8839.8%133+25.1%3,8082026-08-24
@asklivermoreNo0.8222.1%95+12.9%1,8382026-08-24
@KawzInvestsNo0.8042.3%52+24.9%8972026-08-23
@babyfolioNo0.6730.0%50+14.1%1,7892026-08-24
@davecompoundsNo0.5733.3%12+18.0%6472026-08-14
@RyshabTalksNo0.5120.8%101+7.7%2,4672026-08-24
@theprofinvestorNo0.4133.8%136+14.3%2,2492026-08-24
@SixSigmaCapitalNo0.0520.0%25+9.3%1,2622026-08-24
@jrouldzNo-0.0026.3%19+12.3%1,5572026-08-24
@michaelsikandnot tracked nowNo-0.150.0%0-6.7%0
@TacticzHNo-0.1621.4%145+2.5%2,7422026-08-20
@LucasSacerdote_No-0.1924.1%83+165.3%8102026-08-24
@Yeah_DaveNo-0.2630.8%39+11.3%7342026-08-19
@FinnStockingerNo-0.2942.1%107+8.8%1,4742026-08-24
@ChartradamusNo-0.3533.8%136+6.4%2,6232026-08-20
@MardoResearchNo-0.3733.9%121-3.1%7072026-08-24
@Kaizen_InvestorNo-0.5035.5%124+7.1%1,8752026-08-24
@traderstewieNo-0.5331.7%41+1.7%2892026-08-22
@Thomas_james_1No-0.6138.1%63+8.9%1,5432026-08-24
@khawatmiTradezNo-0.6728.6%35-0.6%6762026-08-24
@SRxTradesNo-0.7233.0%176+5.3%1,5062026-08-23
@JonahLuptonNo-0.7831.8%170+2.7%2,5492026-08-24
@moninvestornot tracked nowNo-0.810.0%0-7.3%0
@ElonTradesnot tracked nowNo-0.860.0%0-13.9%0
@CKCapitalxxNo-0.9138.3%120+6.1%2,7382026-08-24
@alc2022No-0.9520.0%10+1.6%6622026-08-24
@GrumpierBTDayNo-1.2234.8%46-15.5%1,1102026-08-24
@BottleneckFindrnot tracked nowNo-1.330.0%0-6.8%0
@majgeoinvestingnot tracked nowNo-1.600.0%0-23.2%0
@OGCapital25No-1.6231.7%60-9.1%7062026-08-13
@MoMoMacroNo-1.8433.3%12-6.4%2,4052026-08-24
@bubbleboiNo-1.87100.0%3+1.7%872026-07-02
@TheBigBerbowskiNo-2.4141.7%24-9.1%3,4852026-08-24
@InvestmentGuru_No-2.6043.5%62-6.2%7,3882026-08-24
@pequityresearchNo-2.820.0%0-10.5%2,6122026-08-24
@retail_mourinhoNo-3.7833.3%3-11.8%1,6252026-08-24
@DanzTraderNo-6.750.0%0-23.3%1,8362026-08-24
@mkfilkoNo-6.770.0%0-23.2%1,5282026-08-24
@BlackPantherCapNo-7.110.0%0-21.4%1,6062026-08-24
@fundmyfundNo-7.410.0%0-24.1%6,0132026-08-24
@PhotonBullNo-10.840.0%0-36.3%1,6702026-08-24
@ChairmansLedgerNo-11.560.0%0-39.9%4702026-08-23

@Lee_Trades

2026-02-25 to 2026-08-24 · 1,217 picks · 118 tickers
Portfolio quality qualified Forward-RS evidence not qualified
Picker portfolio+91.1%
SPY+10.8%
Total excess+72.6%
Portfolio quality4.55
Forward RS8037.5%
Forward-RS sample3/8
Portfolio over timePicker SPY
83512251615200623962026-022026-032026-042026-062026-072026-08
Qualification over timePortfolio quality Forward-RS evidence
-14813180%25%50%75%100%2026-022026-032026-042026-062026-072026-08portfolio threshold 2

The green line is the tenure-adjusted portfolio score. The purple line is the share of known three-month outcomes at RS80 or higher. Background color shows when each method qualified.

Recent monthly detail
MonthPortfolioSPYMonth excessPortfolio qualityPortfolio statusRS80RS NForward-RS status
2026-08partial19111108+8.9%-Pending--Pending
2026-0717041073-17.6%4.55Qualified37.5%8No
2026-0620641071-8.5%8.46Qualified37.5%8No
2026-0522881085+5.8%11.87Qualified50.0%4No
2026-0420661034+51.2%13.73Qualified0.0%0No
2026-031284942+33.4%7.93Qualified0.0%0No
2026-021000991+0.9%0.33No0.0%0No